Sky Super 6 challenge

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Brighton vs Fulham

A 2-1 score line to Brighton fits both teams’ statistical profiles and the trends from last season. Brighton’s home matches under Fabian Hurzeler were high-scoring, with 74% seeing both teams find the net and 68% producing over 2.5 goals. They averaged 1.50 xG and conceded 1.32 xGA at the Amex, showing they were more likely to outscore teams than keep them out.

Fulham’s away games told a similar story. They had one of the league’s highest both teams to score rates on the road at 68% and kept just three clean sheets from 19 away fixtures. Their average away xG of 1.30 shows they carry a threat, but with an xGA of 1.15, they often allowed quality chances in return.

Head-to-head history supports the pick with Brighton beating Fulham 2-1 at the Amex in March 2025, one of two matches last season where both sides scored and Brighton edged it. Fulham’s likely attack, led by Raul Jimenez, will be capable of breaching the hosts’ back line, but Brighton’s pace and width through Kaoru Mitoma and Yankuba Minteh, combined with Georginio’s creativity, should create enough to secure a narrow win.

The pattern points to both teams scoring, but Brighton making their home advantage count for a 2-1 victory.

  • Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet

Sunderland vs West Ham

A 1-1 draw looks the most likely score when weighing Sunderland’s home strengths against West Ham’s away profile. Sunderland built their promotion campaign on defensive organisation at the Stadium of Light, conceding just 18 goals in 23 home games last season and limiting opponents to 0.82 xGA per match. That structure should keep them competitive, even against Premier League opposition. However, their youthful squad is short on top-flight experience, which may limit their ability to control the game for long spells.

West Ham, for their part, found the net in 89% of away games last season, failing to score just twice. Their away xG of 1.11 per match shows they can threaten even in tighter contests. However, they also conceded in 17 of 19 on the road and posted one of the league’s lowest away clean sheet rates at 11%. Even with summer defensive reinforcements like Jean-Clair Todibo and El Hadji Malick Diouf, early-season cohesion at the back can take time.

Sunderland’s incoming signings such as Simon Adingra and Enzo Le Fee should provide creative spark whilst Granit Xhaka will add defensive qualities and leadership, but the loss of Jobe Bellingham and Tom Watson removes some of their cutting edge. West Ham’s sale of Mohammed Kudus leaves them heavily reliant on Jarrod Bowen for goals, so breaking down a well-drilled Sunderland side might prove difficult.

The balance of metrics points towards both teams finding the net once. Sunderland’s defensive record suggests they can avoid being overrun, while West Ham’s consistent scoring history makes it unlikely they draw a blank. A tight, competitive match with moments for each side should keep it close, and 1-1 reflects both the statistical trends and the transitional stages both squads are in.

  • Score 1-1 at 11/2 with Skybet

Spurs vs Burnley

A 2-1 Tottenham win looks the most plausible outcome when they host Burnley in their Premier League opener. Spurs’ home record last season was chaotic, with the joint highest over 2.5 goals rate in the league (74%) and only two clean sheets in 19 matches. They averaged 1.42 xG for and 1.78 xGA at home, underlining both their ability to score and their defensive vulnerability. Those trends are unlikely to disappear immediately under Thomas Frank, especially with new signings still bedding in and James Maddison sidelined.

Burnley arrive as Championship winners, boasting the best away defensive record in the division, but their underlying numbers with 0.86 xGA and a huge overperformance on xPTS, point to regression at this level. In pre-season, they conceded to Shrewsbury, Stoke and Lazio, showing they can be opened up. That said, they still carry a threat on the break with Spurs’ high defensive line is likely to offer them at least one good chance.

Tottenham’s attacking upgrades in Mohammed Kudus and Mathys Tel should combine well to produce the two goals needed. Spurs have scored at least twice in 12 of their last 14 home meetings with Burnley, and the visitors have not kept a clean sheet in this fixture since 2012. Burnley’s probable game plan will be to defend deep and counter, but against Spurs’ technical quality, that resistance should eventually be broken.

A 2-1 scoreline fits the profile — Tottenham to control the game and create enough to win, Burnley to frustrate in spells and capitalise on one defensive lapse but ultimately fall short against superior firepower.

  • Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace

Chelsea are well placed to open their Premier League campaign with a 2-1 win over Crystal Palace, given the balance of their attacking threat and Palace’s profile away to stronger sides.

Enzo Maresca’s team were formidable at Stamford Bridge last season, posting the league’s third-best home record (W12-D5-L2) and scoring at least twice in eight of their last nine home matches against non-top-four opposition. They averaged 1.65 xG at home, creating 10.05 shots in the box per game – the third-highest in the division while failing to score just once all season. The addition of Joao Pedro, Jamie Gittens and Liam Delap gives Chelsea even greater variety in the final third, complementing the influence of Cole Palmer and Enzo Fernandez.

Crystal Palace were a resilient away side in 2024/25, finishing with the fourth-best away xPTS, but their record against top-half opposition was limited (W1-D5-L4). In those four defeats, they conceded at least twice on three occasions, and their away xGA of 1.21 per game suggests Chelsea should be able to create multiple high-quality chances. While Palace’s defence has been strengthened with Borna Sosa and Walter Benitez, they have not added in the forward areas and against elite sides they have tended to rely on quick transitions rather than sustained pressure.

The 2-1 scoreline fits the likely flow of the match. Chelsea’s home dominance should allow them to build a lead through sustained possession and chance creation, but Palace’s pace on the counter and ability to take chances – led by Eberechi Eze and Jean-Philippe Mateta – means they are capable of finding the net. Chelsea’s depth, home crowd advantage and superior attacking numbers point towards a clear victory with the visitors grabbing a consolation.

  • Score 2-1 at 13/2 with Skybet

Man Utd vs Arsenal

A 1-1 draw looks the most realistic outcome when you consider both teams’ profiles, last season’s records, and the fact this is the first game of the season.

Manchester United’s home form under Ruben Amorim last season was poor, with only four home wins and none against teams that finished in the top half. Even so, their underlying numbers were strong, with the fifth best home xPTS and a positive xG difference. This suggests they often controlled games but failed to convert chances. The arrivals of Benjamin Sesko, Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbeumo should help improve their finishing, making a home goal more likely. United averaged 1.42 xG per home game and 8.53 shots in the box, showing they create enough opportunities.

Arsenal were the second best away team last season and had the best away defensive record, conceding just 17 goals in 19 games. They also had the lowest away xGA in the league and allowed the fewest shots in the box. However, they averaged 1.74 xG away from home, so they carry plenty of attacking threat, and new signing Viktor Gyokeres gives them a focal point up front.

The history of this fixture points to both teams scoring, with 15 of the last 20 meetings seeing this happen. Amorim and Mikel Arteta favour balanced setups, especially in big games, which often leads to tight scorelines.

With United’s attack strengthened but still facing a well organised Arsenal defence, and Arsenal’s away control meeting a solid United back line, a 1-1 draw fits the likely pattern. It reflects a match where both sides find a goal but neither is able to fully take control.

  • Score 1-1 at 6/1 with Skybet

Wolves vs Man City

Manchester City are well placed to start the new Premier League season with a controlled 2-0 win at Molineux. Last season they had the fourth-best away record, collecting 29 points and conceding only 21 goals on the road. Their defensive record was a standout, keeping eight clean sheets away from home, the joint-most in the division, and allowing just 1.16 xGA per game. That level of control, coupled with Wolves’ modest attacking metrics, points towards a City win without conceding.

Wolves improved under Vítor Pereira in the second half of last season but still finished with the sixth-worst xG ratio at home (43.3%) and averaged just 1.14 xG per game in front of their own fans. Their in-box threat was also limited, producing 6.53 shots in the box per home game while allowing more at the other end. Losing Matheus Cunha and Rayan Aït-Nouri this summer further reduces their attacking and transitional options.

City’s away attack is less explosive than at the Etihad but remains highly effective. They averaged 1.55 xG per away match and ranked second in the league for shots in the box on the road (9.26 per game). Against a Wolves side that conceded the fourth-most goals in the league last season, City should create enough high-quality chances to find the net twice.

Pep Guardiola’s sides are known for managing games once ahead, and with Wolves struggling for creativity against top defences, it is unlikely the hosts will break through. City’s depth in forward areas, even with Rodri absent, should be enough to secure a comfortable, professional performance.

Given their strong defensive base, Wolves’ limitations in attack, and City’s ability to convert territorial dominance into goals, a repeat of last season’s pattern of controlled away victories makes 2-0 to Manchester City the most probable outcome.

Score 0-2 at 13/2 with Skybet

The total odds for all six games are a massive 163,799/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back Man Utd vs Arsenal to be a 1-1 draw and Man City to start the season with a win at 2-0. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 52/1 with Skybet.

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