IT'S London calling for week four of the NFL as the Jackosonville Jaguars face Indianapolis Colts at Wembley on Sunday afternoon.
Jordan says: “Looking at the London game on Sunday, the Jaguars will host the Colts who will be making their first trip to London, while the Jaguars have experience here playing in each of the last three seasons.
“Through three games the Colts are averaging 31.7 points against them per game which is 30th in the NFL. The London games are tough for any team but they do get the bye afterwards. Chances are if the Colts are giving up points in their homeland, the trip will almost certainly yield more.
“Blake Bortles is a decent fantasy QB but he’s always inclined to turn the ball over. However they do have the offense to put up points as they did here last season when they scored 34 against Rex Ryan’s so called good Bills defense. The Colts are hurting on both sides of the ball and placed LB Trent Cole on IR this week, with players still missing from the secondary, the Jags should get their points.
“Flip to the other side and the Jags despite making big free agent signings and a top corner in the draft, they are still giving up 28 points per game and have given up 31 or more in every game in London. Andrew Luck is a top QB, but his problem has been protection from the o line. He did rally the Colts to comeback against the Chargers on one of the last plays of the game and are averaging 27 points through their three games.
“The total is set at 48.5 @ 365, and I’m going to take that to go over. Both teams that struggle on defense but have big offensive weapons (take Mondays game in New Orleans for example) are primed for overs, and add the fact both teams are making 4,000+ mile journeys and playing at 9:30AM on their body clocks. It bodes well for points imo.”
NFL Week 4 – Bet 1
Jacksonville Jaguars/Indianapolis Colts Over 48.5 Total Points @ 5-6 @ 365– 3 points
Euro Basketball
Czech NBL
Opava @ Ostrava (16:30GMT)
Both of these teams have played one game in the NBL where Opava started their campaign with a comfortable home win against Labem (93-60) whereas Ostrava lost their game away from home to a strong Decin team (89-76). I think the bookies have underestimated Ostrava here. Ostrava have shown over recent seasons that they are a tough team to beat at home and although both teams have had contrasting openers to their season, I don’t think this serves as a good basis when looking at this fixture. Given the generous odds I’m willing to take a punt on Ostrava here.
Ostrava (Money Line) @ 13/5, Coral / William Hill – 1pt staked. ***WINNER*** :)
Good luck!
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Final score: 68-53. The big underdogs Ostrava ran-out clear winners by 15 points.
Euro Basketball
Latvia LBL
Jekabpils @ Ventspils (17:00GMT)
The LBL season gets underway as Ventspils entertain Jekabpils in the opening game in Latvia.
I really like the look of Ventspils this season, they have made a couple of really good additions to their roster and I believe they will be the eventual league winners. Lietkabelis on the other hand will be lucky to make the playoffs and I can’t see anything but a comprehensive Ventspils win tonight.
Although I do see the home team having a good chance of covering the large spread, I think for a league opener, the attention should be on the totals. There’s no doubt Ventspils will be strong offensively but I also think they’ll be too strong defensively for Jekabpils to register enough points to take us over the totals line. I’m calling unders here.
Total Points (Under 158.5) @ 17/20, Betfair – 1.5pts staked. **LOST**
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Final score: 91-70
As so often is the case with totals, it was a close run thing with a 3 pointer in the last 10 seconds to kill the bet. Things could’ve been different had Ventspils finished the 1st half with a more commanding lead but they came out firing in the 3rd with 30 points.
Euro Basketball
Czech NBL
Praha @ Hradec (17:00GMT)
Both teams had difficult opener to their league campaign scoring 61 & 76 points. These games were against strong defensive teams. Hradec’s score of 61 against Nymburk might seem low but Nymburk are in a different class and for me, 61 points was respectable. Both teams should be able to score around 75 points here, especially Praha so I think the line is set quite low. Also, from the previous 6 H2H this line has been passed.
Total Points (Over 148.5) @ 5/6, PP – 1.2pts staked. **LOST**
Good luck!
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Final Score: 77-61. A terribly low scoring 1st half followed by a high scoring 2nd to get my hopes up, but in the end just falling short.
Euro Basketball Outsiders Fourfold
Nad Labem (-3.5) **WON**
Hradec (Money Line) **WON**
Ostrava (Money Line) **WON**
Manresa (Money Line) **WON**
Fourfold @ 72/1, Bet365 – 0.2pts staked. ***WINNER*** :) :) :)
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The outsiders fourfold romped home as all three Czech teams defied the odds running out comfortable winners by 17, 8 and 15 points. Was made to sweat in the late Spanish friendly but Manresa left their best till the 4th winning by 5 points and securing the monster fourfold.
Slightly annoyed that it wasn’t a bigger stake but isn’t that always the case!?!
Chapeau bas !!!!
This oracle hunter has constantly been picking euro basketball winners for as long as I can remember . I and think I speak for many others on this site are so glad he is here follow this man for serious long term profit long may it continue ?
Ross, top work mate. The Euro Ball Master!
Cincinnati Bengals/Miami Dolphins
Brandon LaFell (Bengals) Over 41.5 Receiving Yards @ 5/6 @ PP – 2.4 points
Bet365 have over 38.5.
They might do mate but I bet its a worse price.
Ahhhh fair enuff
Over 38.5 10/11 with Skybet
Thanks for the kind words lads! :)
German Bundesliga (Friday)
Brose @ Phantoms (18:00GMT)
I won’t go too much into detail here but Brose were last seasons standout team and I dont see that changing this season. They travel to newly promoted New Yorker Phantom who will get a brutal introduction into the top-flight against Brose. I’d expect the visitors to win by 20+ points so quite happy to take the given spread.
Points Spread: Brose (-18.5) @ 9/10, Winner Sports – 2.5pts staked.
Good luck!
Simple double for me tonight, i fancy the Bengals to get their season going against a poor Dolphins defense who rank dead last against the rush in the NFL.
Houston -27.5 (NCAA) 10/11
Jeremy Hill anytime TD/Bengals to win 11/10
1 pt
Euro Basketball (Friday)
Spanish ACB
Malaga @ Madrid (19:00GMT)
The season gets underway in the Spanish ACB as Madrid entertain Malaga at the Barclaycard Centre.
Madrid go into this match as strong favourites and the spread has been set at 12 points, but Malaga can be troublesome for any team on their day and it would take a brave punter to take this on in the opening day.
With Pablo Laso at the helm once again, we should see Madrid adopt a fast paced, gung-ho style of Basketball with many 3-pointer attempts. Given this, along with Malaga’s offensive threat, I think the total look remarkably low. This is the season opener and the bookies are possibly expecting the game to be played at a lower pace but I don’t believe either Malaga or Madrid will change their style of play.
Total Points: Over 165 @ 10/11 Skybet / Coral – 2pts staked.
Total Points: Over 171.5 @ 7/4, Coral – 1pt staked.
Good luck!
Rugby League Warrington v St Helens
Under 40.5
1.90 @ Bet365
Both games this season have gone under 40 and being a semi-final it should be a tight affair.
GL if you follow
Bengals v fins bengals -6.5 on handicap 4/5 ?
Good Evening one and all, its your main man Max here, and Week 4 of the NFL is upon us. Week 1 and 3 were superb for me , week 2 was poor but I am kicking of week 4 with 2 tips for you all.
My followers and anyone who followed profited on Sunday when I took Landry O76.5yds 5/6. He went for 120yds. Tonight on a short week he faces a tougher side, but also a secondary that looks to be down on starters in the defence, on a short week. His line is set at 75.5yds at 4/5 Paddy Power. He has 24rec this season and anywhere between 7-10 catches could see him cover this line. He as had 6 catches over 20yds+ in the first 3 games.
The star WR in this game is AJ Green. He was shut down in week 2 against a tough Steelers D and last week he was held to 77yds against the Champs. His line is set at 88.5yds at 10/11 Skybet. There are two reasons why I like him to cover that. No 1 is the Dolphins are dire against the run and face Hill and Bernard, so the fins have to look out for them, which means AJ may get some one on one matchups.
No 2 if Pryor can torch this defence for 144yds then one of the best deep threats in the league can make them pay, providing Dalton can stay upright.
Max’s NFL TNF Week 4 tips
Landry O75.5yds 4/5
Green O88.5yds 10/11
GL
Jeremy Hill (Bengals) Anytime TD @ 10/11 @ Skybet – 2.2 points
Hey Jordan,
Your breakdown of the london game is spot on. Im on the over 48.5pts. it cud be a cricket score with 2 dodgy D’s! The bengals have to win this game tonight. Their season relys on it. Backing ur LaFell yrds tip and also backing J Hill anytime TD & Bengals win @ 11-10. Hopefully its a gud game 2night.
Nice 1 Jordan. LaFell just got his yrds. J Hill will hopefully get 1 more red zone action!!