Italy got their campaign at the women's European Championships off to a winning start and if they can follow it up with another victory against reeling Portugal it will book their place in the knockout stages.
With Spain heavy favourites to top Group B, the other three teams look set to scrap it our for runners-up spot and the Italians stuck a telling blow by beating Belgium 1-0 in their opener.
Our man Vlad bet against goals in that clash and got it spot on as a single strike from Arianna Caruso handed the Azzurri three precious points.
Just a few hours later, Portugal slumped to a 5-0 loss against Spain in their opener, with all three recommended bets landing for our man Andy as the tournament favourites ran riot.
While that was a demoralising defeat for the Portuguese, all hope is not yet lost and if they can bounce back with a win over Italy it will keep their hopes of reaching the knockout stages alive.
But they will need to be much better in defence to stop Italy from piling on the pain, with their opponents full of confidence after that win over the Belgians.
How the bookies view it: Forza Italia
Italy are favourites to rack up another win, with BoyleSports pricing them at just 4/6. Portugal are 10/3 outsiders and the draw pays 13/5.
Recent head to head: Portuguese pain
Portugal Women have a terrible record in this fixture, losing all six of their meetings with Italy. They've only scored twice during that dismal run, with the Azzurri netting 12 times. They last faced off five years ago, with Italy winning 2-1 in the Algarve Cup.
Players to watch: Girelli leading from the front
Captain Cristiana Girelli looked lively in attack for Italy in their opener and should get a few chances against a leaky Portugal defence. She's 6/4 for anytime scorer at Coral and that looks pretty good value.
Defender Carole Costa was Portugal's top scorer in qualifying, netting three times, and could be worth a long-odds punt as she takes the penalties. The captain is as big as 11/1 with StarSports for anytime scorer.
Probable line-ups
Italy boss Andrea Soncin is likely to stick with a winning team so I'd be surprised if he made any changes for this one. It's a different story for the Portuguese though, with Beatriz Fonseca and Andreia Jacinto at threat of being dropped after they were subbed at half-time against Spain.
Portugal Women: Pereira, Pinto, Costa, Gomes, Amado, Borges, Pinto, Seica, Diana Silva, Faria, J Silva.
Italy Women: Giuliani, Linari, Salvai, Lenzini, Boattin, Severini, Giugliano, Carusom, Guglielmo, Girelli, Cantore
Anything else catch the eye?
Italy should be too strong for the Portuguese and you can boost their odds to a decent 11/10 at BoyleSports by adding on over 1.5 match goals. That looks worth a punt given the bet has landed in four of the last five meetings.
Portugal lost 10-1 on the corner count against Spain but I'm expecting them to win more flag kicks in this game as they need to go for a win. Over 3.5 Portugal corners pays 10/13 at Unibet while adding on one more corner boosts the odds to 8/5.
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