Hoffenheim's survival depends on the results from this final round, and they have the hardest of all assignments. There is only one positive: Bayern Munich have nothing to play for.
The Kraichgauers are in pole position to escape relegation ahead of Heidenheim. Even losing against Bayern won't send them down, unless the Bavarians score six or more goals. That's because Hoffenheim have a better goal difference than Heidenheim. But the interesting fact ahead of this clash is that Bayern are just five away from 100 Bundesliga goals this season and given that they scored five in the reverse fixture, we wouldn't be surprised if Vincent Kompany pushes them for the century.
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Last week's home win over Borussia Monchengladbach stretched Bayern's unbeaten streak in the league to eight and we don't see how Hoffenheim would be able to end it, as they have won only once in their last 10 Bundesliga home games.
How the bookies view it: The Bavarians to go back-to-back against the Kraichgauers
There are no surprises in the odds, as Bayern Munich are a solid betting favourite. There is some value, however, and perhaps the 1/2 odds present us with an opportunity. Alternatively, both Hoffenheim's win and the draw have been priced at 17/4.
Recent head to head: One of Bayern's biggest wins this season
We already mentioned the 5-0 from the reverse fixture this season but we should also mention the few times Hoffenheim gave the Bavarians a good beating in recent years. Most recently, the Kraichgauers beat them in the same match last season (4-2). And a few years back, we saw a 4-1. So there is a real possibility here. But at the same time, the Bavarians won six of the last 10 H2Hs and scored 3+ goals in five of them.
Players to watch: Olise is sensational
We place our trust in Michael Olise one last time, as he been phenomenal these past few weeks. He scored and assisted in Bayern's last three fixtures, an achievement unseen since 2014. With these contributions, he now has 11 goals and 16 assists in the Bundesliga. There are so many options when it comes to Michael Olise. You can go hard and pick him to score or you can bet on him to give an assist. Even better, you can pick him to have at least one shot on target if your bookie offers this market.
Probable line-ups
Hoffenheim: Baumann, Nsoki, Chaves, Ostigard, Prass, Stach, Bischof, Kaderabek, Kramaric, Tabakovic, Toure
Bayern Munich: Neuer, Laimer, Dier, Stanisic, Guerreiro, Kimmich, Sane, Muller, Olise, Kane
Anything else catch the eye?
One-sided is an understatement when it comes to the reverse fixture. Hoffenheim managed only 36% of the possession and attempted a total of five shots, equaling 0.37 xG. We expect a slightly different kind of match, although we expect the Bavarians to win again. But Hoffenheim should have more chances to score, so BTTS is also a valid option. The Kraichgauers scored in all five of their most recent home games in the league. And we already described their situation above. All Hoffenheim need to do is not lose by 6+ goals.
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