Germany v Portugal
Germany

Germany vs Portugal

, KO: 20:00 , Allianz Arena
Portugal

Germany will be hoping home advantage can help fire them to UEFA Nations League glory but they face a tricky semi-final against a star-studded Portugal side in Munich.

The Allianz Arena was packed to the rafters at the weekend as PSG romped to Champions League glory, bringing up two bets for Slips Tips, and it will host two more big games in the next few days as the Nations League comes to a conclusion.

The Germans have never won this competition, while the other three sides in the semi-finals – Portugal, Spain and France – have all got their hands on the trophy before.

Most bookies make European champions Spain 9/4 favourites to come out on top in Saturday's Munich final but Julian Nagelsmann's side aren't too far behind in the betting at 5/2.

Germany head into this semi-final in superb form, with their extra-time loss to Spain at Euro 2024 the only defeat in their last 17 games.

Portugal's form is a bit more flaky, with just four wins inside 90 minutes in their last 12, but they still have enough talent in their squad to silence the Munich crowd if they hit top form.

How the bookies view it: Germans the odds-on favourites

With a passionate Munich crowd behind them, Germany are BoyleSports' 4/5 favourites for a win in 90 minutes, with Portugal 11/4 outsiders. Backing the full-time draw pays 13/5.

Recent head to head: 25 years of hurt for Portugal

The Germans have been a bogey team for Portugal of late, dishing out defeats in the last five meetings. You have to go back 25 years for Portugal's last win in this fixture and they lost 4-2 at the Allianz Arena when these teams last faced off in the delayed Euro 2020 finals.

Players to watch: Wirtz under the microscope

Liverpool fans will be keeping a close eye on Florian Wirtz in this one as their club look to win the race to sign the Leverkusen wonderkid this summer. The 22-year-old is coming off the back of a 19-goal season and is 13/8 at Bet365 for anytime scorer, while the same firm price him at 10/3 for an assist.

While Wirtz has an exciting future ahead of him, Cristiano Ronaldo's career is winding down. But there seems to be plenty of life in the old dog yet, with the 40-year-old netting six times in seven Nations League games this season. He's 7/4 at Bet365 to add to that tally in Munich.

Probable line-ups

It will be interesting to see if Portugal boss Roberto Martinez picks his three PSG players – Nuno Mendes, Joao Neves and Vitinha – so soon after their Champions League Final exertions. Nagelsmann has a selection dilemma up front with Nicolas Fullkrug back from injury to rival Denis Undav for a start. Stopper Yann Bisseck misses out after going off injured for Inter in their Munich hammering.

Germany: Baumann, Mittelstadt, Tah, Koch, Kimmich, Andrich, Gross, Pavlovich, Wirtz, Sane, Undav.

Portugal: Costa, Dalot, Mendes, Silva, Dias, Palhinha, Fernandes, Vitinha, Leao, Ronaldo, Conceicao.

Anything else catch the eye?

Portugal have conceded in their last four games so this talented German attack could get a bit of joy on home soil. Combining a Germany win with over 1.5 goals pays 6/5 at BoyleSports while backing Nagelsmann's side to score in both halves is a bit bigger at 17/10.

We should see goals at both ends with Portugal possessing so much firepower and combining BTTS with over 2.5 goals pays a decent 21/20.

Portugal's last three games have all seen 12 corners or more so try going for a high number of flag kicks once that market is priced up.

Germany vs Portugal Betting Tips & Predictions
Germany win and over 1.5 goals
6/5
Boylesports
BTTS and over 2.5 goals
21/20
Boylesports
Florian Wirtz assist
10/3
Bet365
Further Reading
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