Premier League Relegation odds

The new 2025/26 Premier League season is now underway, and all three newly promoted teams already have one win on the board each.

The strong starts by Leeds, Sunderland and Burnley indicate that we would be in for a closer relegation battle this time around, after two consecutive seasons of all three newly promoted teams being cut adrift from the rest of the division.

All three promoted teams started the season as the favourites to go back down, but is that still the case now? Check out the current Premier League relegation odds below.

Best Premier League relegation odds

Team
Best odds

Burnley

1/3

Sunderland

8/13

Wolves

6/4

West Ham

7/4

Leeds

9/4

Brentford

11/4

Everton

9/1

Fulham

9/1

Crystal Palace

9/1

Bournemoth

10/1

Selections to watch

Promoted trio

As mentioned, the promoted trio were relegated for the second time in a row last season and for the fourth time in Premier League history. As a result, it is clear why the newcomers from the Championship were the main candidates to go down before a ball was kicked.

However, all three have now enjoyed victories in the Premier League, albeit Burnley's was against Sunderland. Leeds, meanwhile, were dominant in their 1-0 win over Everton, while Sunderland were mightily impressive in their 3-0 triumph over West Ham.

None of the three are certainties to go down or stay up at this point, but they all certainly have a fighting chance.

Wolves

Although Wolverhampton Wanderers were not the first team above the relegation zone, with that honour going to Tottenham, they were just one spot above them in 2024/25 and are one of the main candidates for relegation outside of the three promoted sides.

Wolves have struggled for a while this season and spent some time in the relegation zone, but once they sacked Gary O'Neil and brought in Vitor Pereira to replace him, their fortunes changed, and they have managed to create enough of a separation from the relegated teams that they were not in real danger in the final stretch of the season.

That being said, Wolves have lost their best two players from last season, Matheus Cunha and Rayan Ait-Nouri, and there are question marks about their replacements. They also fell to a heavy 4-0 defeat at home to Manchester City on the opening weekend of the Premier League and lost again to Bournemouth in gameweek two.

West Ham

While West Ham ended last season 18 points clear of the relegation zone, they were dangerously close to it for a long time. In fact, that was the reason for a managerial change when Julen Lopetegui was replaced by Graham Potter, who managed to right the ship and avoid any stress late in the season.

That being said, the Hammers were not that impressive under Potter either, and the fact that they were able to pull away from the relegation zone by so many points was more due to the sheer incompetence of the relegated team than West Ham's great form.

They have also gotten off to a desperately poor start in the Premier League this season, losing 3-0 against newly-promoted Sunderland away from home and 5-1 to Chelsea at the London Stadium.

Fulham

It might be a surprise to see Fulham as one of the candidates for relegation after the season they have had, but the Premier League is very competitive, and no one expects teams like Manchester United and Tottenham to be down in the gutter once again.

So, despite finishing 11th this season, Fulham are seen by the bookies as one of the teams that will have to battle to stay up, which is not too surprising considering how often Fulham have been relegated from the Premier League in the last decade.

On top of that, Fulham have been quiet in the transfer window so far, but at the same time, they have kept hold of all their best players. A last-minute Rodrigo Muniz goal salvaged them a point away at Brighton on the opening weekend of the Premier League and they came from behind again in the second week to draw with Man Utd.

Who will be relegated? Here is our prediction

All three promoted teams will have to climb an uphill battle against the more established teams from the Premier League, especially since all three promoted sides have been relegated twice in a row, which could be the start of a new trend.

However, we would go for more value for money and back one of the less obvious teams to be relegated. For example, Brentford at 9/4 odds sounds tempting, especially with the likes of Wissa being linked with other clubs according to the latest transfer odds.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market is not just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market isn’t just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

Year
18th
19th
20th

2025

Leicester*

Ipswich*

Southampton*

2024

Luton*

Burnley*

Sheffield Utd*

2023

Leicester

Leeds

Southampton

2022

Burnley

Watford*

Norwich*

2021

Fulham*

West Brom*

Sheffield Utd

2020

Bournemouth

Watford

Norwich*

2019

Cardiff*

Fulham*

Huddersfield

2018

Swansea

Stoke

West Brom

2017

Hull*

Middlesbrough*

Sunderland

2016

Newcastle

Norwich*

Aston Villa

As seen above, newly promoted teams are well-known for being vulnerable to relegation. So much so that it is considered quite a unique feat when there is a Premier League season that sees none of the newcomers immediately drop back into the second tier, though it last happened only in 2022/23.

In stark contrast, all three promoted sides sank straight back down again twice in a row. While this might sound like something that happens often, before the previous two seasons, it has not really happened since 1997/1998.

On another interesting note, four of the last six seasons have also seen a newly promoted side finish at the bottom of the table. Noting this trend might prove helpful in both the ‘to finish bottom’ and ‘bottom three exact order’ markets associated with relegation.

And for the benefit of anyone delving into points markets, it is worth mentioning that no bottom-placed team has tallied more than 25 points in any of the previous seven PL campaigns.

Premier League relegation FAQ

Who got relegated from the Premier League in the 2024/25 season?

Southampton finished bottom of the pile with Ipswich just above them and Leicester taking the final relegation place. The three promoted sides all failed to stay up for the second time in a row.

Have Arsenal ever been relegated?

The Gunners have not been relegated in the Premier League era but took the drop from the top flight in season 1912/13. It took them two seasons to get back, and they have not been relegated since.

Have Everton ever been relegated?

Everton are another team who have not been relegated since the Premier League rebrand, although they have come mighty close in the last few seasons. They have been relegated just twice in their entire history, most recently in 1951.

When were Manchester City relegated from the Premier League?

Manchester City have won the Premier League in six of the last eight seasons, but there was a time when they were battling it out at the other end of the table. They have twice been relegated from the Premier League, in 1996 and 2001, and even fell as low as the third tier in 1998.

More Premier League predictions

Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.

0 Comments

Leave a reply

CONTACT US

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Sending

Please play responsibly. For assistance with problem gambling please visit 18+ GambleAware

About MFT  | Journalist CharterSupport  |  Contact Us  | GambleAwarePrivacy Policy  | Terms of use | ©2025 North Star Network.

All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

Log in with your credentials

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account