Premier League relegation tips 2025-26: Will there be another newly-promoted clean sweep?

With the new 2025/26 Premier League season now very much underway, there are more than a handful of teams in danger of being in the relegation battle, something which has not been the case in recent seasons. The three newly-promoted teams, Leeds, Burnley and Sunderland, are all expected to trouble, while the likes of Wolves, Brentford and West Ham all look weaker than they were last season.

The last two Premier League campaigns have seen the three newly-promoted teams go straight back down. Will the new trio manage to avoid the same faith as their predecessors and how do the bookies view their chances of staying up in the top flight?

In this article, we will take a closer look at the Premier League relegation odds for the 2025/2026 season and check out some of the main candidates for relegation in more detail.

Best Premier League relegation odds

Selections to watch

Promoted trio

As mentioned, the promoted trio were relegated for the second time in a row last season and for the fourth time in Premier League history. As a result, it is clear why the newcomers from the Championship are right away the main candidates to go down again.

Two of three promoted teams, Burnley and Sunderland, have lost arguably their best players from last season, too. Jobe Bellingham left the Stadium of Light for Borussia Dortmund, while James Trafford has ditched Burnley for a return to Manchester City.

Leeds, however, have managed to keep hold of their best players while adding some players with Premier League experience, most notably Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Sean Longstaff. It is easy to see why the Whites are considered the most likely of the three to stay up.

Sunderland's odds have been widened though after an impressive 3-0 against West Ham at the Stadium of Light on the opening weekend of the Premier League. The Black Cats have made a number of eye-catching new signings in the summer transfer window so far, including Switzerland international midfielder Granit Xhaka from Bundesliga heavyweights Bayer Leverkusen, who has immediately become their new club captain.

Wolves

Although Wolverhampton Wanderers were not the first team above the relegation zone, with that honour going to Tottenham, they were just one spot above them and are the main candidate for relegation outside of the three promoted sides.

Wolves have struggled for a while this season and spent some time in the relegation zone, but once they sacked Gary O'Neil and brought in Vitor Pereira to replace him, their fortunes changed, and they have managed to create enough of a separation from the relegated teams that they were not in real danger in the final stretch of the season.

That being said, Wolves have lost their best two players from last season, Matheus Cunha and Rayan Ait-Nouri, and there are question marks about their replacements. They also fell to a heavy 4-0 defeat at home to Manchester City on the opening weekend of the Premier League.

Brentford

The Bees finished 10th in the standings last season, which is their second-best finish in the Premier League ever, so on the face of it, it may seem odd to see them as one of the main candidates to be relegated. However, the reality is that the club have lost their manager, Thomas Frank, and their best player, Bryan Mbeumo, who netted 20 Premier League goals last season.

What is more, Yoane Wissa also look likely to move on. We will know more about Brentford later in the season, but with a manager with no previous managerial experience in the hot seat, things could turn ugly quite quickly.

That was evident in their first game of the Premier League, going 3-0 down to Nottingham Forest by half-time before eventually losing 3-1 at the City Ground.

West Ham

While West Ham ended last season 18 points clear of the relegation zone, they were dangerously close to it for a long time. In fact, that was the reason for a managerial change when Julen Lopetegui was replaced by Graham Potter, who managed to right the ship and avoid any stress late in the season.

That being said, the Hammers were not that impressive under Potter either and the fact that they were able to pull away from the relegation zone by so many points was more due to the sheer incompetence of the relegated team than West Ham's great form. They have also gotten off to a poor start in the Premier League, losing 3-0 against newly-promoted Sunderland away from home.

Fulham

It might be a surprise to see Fulham as one of the candidates for relegation after the season they have had, but the Premier League is very competitive, and no one expects teams like Manchester United and Tottenham to be down in the gutter once again.

So, despite finishing 11th this season, Fulham are seen by the bookies as one of the teams that will have to battle to stay up, which is not too surprising considering how often Fulham have been relegated from the Premier League in the last decade.

On top of that, Fulham have been quiet in the transfer window so far, but at the same time, they have kept hold of all their best players. A last-minute Rodrigo Muniz goal salvaged them a point away at Brighton on the opening weekend of the Premier League.

Who will be relegated? Here is our prediction

All three promoted teams will have to climb an uphill battle against the more established teams from the Premier League, especially since all three promoted sides have been relegated twice in a row, which could be the start of a new trend.

However, we would go for more value for money and back one of the less obvious teams to be relegated. For example, Brentford at 9/4 odds sounds tempting, especially with the likes of Wissa being linked with other clubs according to the latest transfer odds.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market is not just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market isn’t just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

As seen above, newly promoted teams are well-known for being vulnerable to relegation. So much so that it is considered quite a unique feat when there is a Premier League season that sees none of the newcomers immediately drop back into the second tier, though it last happened only in 2022/23.

In stark contrast, all three promoted sides sank straight back down again twice in a row. While this might sound like something that happens often, before the previous two seasons, it has not really happened since 1997/1998.

On another interesting note, four of the last six seasons have also seen a newly promoted side finish at the bottom of the table. Noting this trend might prove helpful in both the ‘to finish bottom’ and ‘bottom three exact order’ markets associated with relegation.

And for the benefit of anyone delving into points markets, it is worth mentioning that no bottom-placed team has tallied more than 25 points in any of the previous seven PL campaigns.

Premier League relegation FAQ

Who got relegated from the Premier League in the 2024/25 season?

Southampton finished bottom of the pile with Ipswich just above them and Leicester taking the final relegation place. The three promoted sides all failed to stay up for the second time in a row.

Have Arsenal ever been relegated?

The Gunners have not been relegated in the Premier League era but took the drop from the top flight in season 1912/13. It took them two seasons to get back, and they have not been relegated since.

Have Everton ever been relegated?

Everton are another team who have not been relegated since the Premier League rebrand, although they have come mighty close in the last few seasons. They have been relegated just twice in their entire history, most recently in 1951.

When were Manchester City relegated from the Premier League?

Manchester City have won the Premier League in six of the last eight seasons, but there was a time when they were battling it out at the other end of the table. They have twice been relegated from the Premier League, in 1996 and 2001, and even fell as low as the third tier in 1998.

More Premier League predictions

• Premier League Golden Boot predictions
• Premier League outright odds and favourites
• Next Premier League manager sacked odds
• Premier League top four odds and favourites

🔗 Share on Social Media