The new 2025/26 Premier League season is now in full swing, and all three newly promoted teams are already faring better than those who came before them.
The solid starts by Leeds, Burnley, and especially Sunderland indicate that we would be in for a closer relegation battle this time around, after two consecutive seasons of all three newly promoted teams being cut adrift from the rest of the division.
The aforementioned three teams started the season as the favourites to go back down, but is that still the case now? Check out the current Premier League relegation odds below.
Best Premier League relegation odds
Burnley |
4/11 |
Wolves |
2/5 |
West Ham |
10/11 |
Leeds |
11/4 |
Sunderland |
5/2 |
Nottingham Forest |
11/4 |
Brentford |
9/2 |
Fulham |
7/1 |
Everton |
16/1 |
Man City |
20/1 |
Selections to watch
Promoted trio
As mentioned, the promoted trio were relegated for the second time in a row last season and for the fourth time in Premier League history. As a result, it is clear why the newcomers from the Championship were the main candidates to go down before a ball was kicked.
However, Leeds and especially Sunderland have started the season well, with Burnley trailing behind, but still currently out of the relegation zone. Despite that, Burnley remain the main candidate for relegation, while Leeds are currently fourth and Sunderland fifth, according to the bookies.
Wolves
Although Wolverhampton Wanderers were not the first team above the relegation zone in 24/25, with that honour going to Tottenham, they were just one spot above Spurs and they were one of the main candidates for relegation outside of the three promoted sides before the season started after losing their two best players over the summer.
As expected, Wolves didn't have a good start of the season and they're currently last in the Premier League standings with two points from eight games. They are now the second favourite to go down this season, but, for now at least, they are sticking with their manager Vitor Pereira, who steered the team away from relegation last season.
West Ham
While West Ham ended last season 18 points clear of the relegation zone, they were dangerously close to it for a long time. In fact, that was the reason for a managerial change when Julen Lopetegui was replaced by Graham Potter, who managed to right the ship and avoid any stress late in the season.
Meanwhile, the Hammers started the new season as poorly as they did the last and Potter was quickly replaced by Nuno Espirito Santo, the former Nottingham Forest manager. So far, Espirito Santo couldn't turn West Ham's form around and they remain second-last in the standings.
Who will be relegated? Here is our prediction
I've seen enough already to tell me that Sunderland are going to be fine this season. Burnley, however, are going to return to the Championship, and I believe that Leeds will follow suit. I can also see West Ham surviving this season and Fulham being the third team to go down.
Premier League relegation betting trends
Exploring the relegation market is not just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.
Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.
Premier League relegation betting trends
Exploring the relegation market isn’t just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.
Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.
2025 |
Leicester* |
Ipswich* |
Southampton* |
2024 |
Luton* |
Burnley* |
Sheffield Utd* |
2023 |
Leicester |
Leeds |
Southampton |
2022 |
Burnley |
Watford* |
Norwich* |
2021 |
Fulham* |
West Brom* |
Sheffield Utd |
2020 |
Bournemouth |
Watford |
Norwich* |
2019 |
Cardiff* |
Fulham* |
Huddersfield |
2018 |
Swansea |
Stoke |
West Brom |
2017 |
Hull* |
Middlesbrough* |
Sunderland |
2016 |
Newcastle |
Norwich* |
Aston Villa |
As seen above, newly promoted teams are well-known for being vulnerable to relegation. So much so that it is considered quite a unique feat when there is a Premier League season that sees none of the newcomers immediately drop back into the second tier, though it last happened only in 2022/23.
In stark contrast, all three promoted sides sank straight back down again twice in a row. While this might sound like something that happens often, before the previous two seasons, it has not really happened since 1997/1998.
On another interesting note, four of the last six seasons have also seen a newly promoted side finish at the bottom of the table. Noting this trend might prove helpful in both the ‘to finish bottom’ and ‘bottom three exact order’ markets associated with relegation.
And for the benefit of anyone delving into points markets, it is worth mentioning that no bottom-placed team has tallied more than 25 points in any of the previous seven PL campaigns.
Premier League relegation FAQ
Who got relegated from the Premier League in the 2024/25 season?
Southampton finished bottom of the pile, with Ipswich just above them and Leicester taking the final relegation place. The three promoted sides all failed to stay up for the second time in a row.
Have Arsenal ever been relegated?
The Gunners have not been relegated in the Premier League era but took the drop from the top flight in season 1912/13. It took them two seasons to get back, and they have not been relegated since.
Have Everton ever been relegated?
Everton are another team who have not been relegated since the Premier League rebrand, although they have come mighty close in the last few seasons. They have been relegated just twice in their entire history, most recently in 1951.
When were Manchester City relegated from the Premier League?
Manchester City have won the Premier League in six of the last eight seasons, but there was a time when they were battling it out at the other end of the table. They have twice been relegated from the Premier League, in 1996 and 2001, and even fell as low as the third tier in 1998.
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