Premier League Relegation odds

The new 2025/26 Premier League season is now underway, and all three newly promoted teams are already faring better than those who came before them.

The strong starts by Leeds, Sunderland and Burnley indicate that we would be in for a closer relegation battle this time around, after two consecutive seasons of all three newly promoted teams being cut adrift from the rest of the division.

The aforementioned three teams started the season as the favourites to go back down, but is that still the case now? Check out the current Premier League relegation odds below.

Best Premier League relegation odds

Team
Best odds

Burnley

1/3

Wolves

1/2

West Ham 

11/8

Sunderland

7/4

Brentford

4/1

Leeds

4/1

Nottingham Forest

4/1

Aston Villa

10/1

Everton

10/1

Fulham

10/1

Selections to watch

Promoted trio

As mentioned, the promoted trio were relegated for the second time in a row last season and for the fourth time in Premier League history. As a result, it is clear why the newcomers from the Championship were the main candidates to go down before a ball was kicked.

However, huge credit must go to all of them for how they've dug in so far. Sunderland have been particularly impressive, winning three, drawing two and losing just one of their first six matches. For all three of them, their fate will likely be decided by how they do at home.

Wolves

Although Wolverhampton Wanderers were not the first team above the relegation zone in 24/25, with that honour going to Tottenham, they were just one spot above Spurs and are one of the main candidates for relegation outside of the three promoted sides.

Wolves lost their two best players over the summer and haven't done a great job of replacing them. They are also the only team to be winless after six league games. As things stand, it is looking bleak for Vitor Pereira's men.

West Ham

While West Ham ended last season 18 points clear of the relegation zone, they were dangerously close to it for a long time. In fact, that was the reason for a managerial change when Julen Lopetegui was replaced by Graham Potter, who managed to right the ship and avoid any stress late in the season.

That being said, the Hammers were not that impressive under Potter either, and the fact that they were able to pull away from the relegation zone by so many points was more due to the sheer incompetence of the relegated team than West Ham's great form.

They have also gotten off to a desperately poor start in the Premier League this season, losing 3-0 against newly-promoted Sunderland away from home, and 5-1 to Chelsea, 3-0 to Tottenham and 2-1 to Crystal Palace – all at the London Stadium. A change of manager could turn their season around, though.

Who will be relegated? Here is our prediction

I've seen enough already to tell me that Sunderland and Leeds are going to be fine this season. Burnley, however, are going to return to the Championship, alongside West Ham and Wolves.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market is not just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market isn’t just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

Year
18th
19th
20th

2025

Leicester*

Ipswich*

Southampton*

2024

Luton*

Burnley*

Sheffield Utd*

2023

Leicester

Leeds

Southampton

2022

Burnley

Watford*

Norwich*

2021

Fulham*

West Brom*

Sheffield Utd

2020

Bournemouth

Watford

Norwich*

2019

Cardiff*

Fulham*

Huddersfield

2018

Swansea

Stoke

West Brom

2017

Hull*

Middlesbrough*

Sunderland

2016

Newcastle

Norwich*

Aston Villa

As seen above, newly promoted teams are well-known for being vulnerable to relegation. So much so that it is considered quite a unique feat when there is a Premier League season that sees none of the newcomers immediately drop back into the second tier, though it last happened only in 2022/23.

In stark contrast, all three promoted sides sank straight back down again twice in a row. While this might sound like something that happens often, before the previous two seasons, it has not really happened since 1997/1998.

On another interesting note, four of the last six seasons have also seen a newly promoted side finish at the bottom of the table. Noting this trend might prove helpful in both the ‘to finish bottom’ and ‘bottom three exact order’ markets associated with relegation.

And for the benefit of anyone delving into points markets, it is worth mentioning that no bottom-placed team has tallied more than 25 points in any of the previous seven PL campaigns.

Premier League relegation FAQ

Who got relegated from the Premier League in the 2024/25 season?

Southampton finished bottom of the pile, with Ipswich just above them and Leicester taking the final relegation place. The three promoted sides all failed to stay up for the second time in a row.

Have Arsenal ever been relegated?

The Gunners have not been relegated in the Premier League era but took the drop from the top flight in season 1912/13. It took them two seasons to get back, and they have not been relegated since.

Have Everton ever been relegated?

Everton are another team who have not been relegated since the Premier League rebrand, although they have come mighty close in the last few seasons. They have been relegated just twice in their entire history, most recently in 1951.

When were Manchester City relegated from the Premier League?

Manchester City have won the Premier League in six of the last eight seasons, but there was a time when they were battling it out at the other end of the table. They have twice been relegated from the Premier League, in 1996 and 2001, and even fell as low as the third tier in 1998.

More Premier League predictions

Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.

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All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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