The Wimbledon women's singles finals are kicking off on Thursday, July 11. Day 11 of this prestigious Grand Slam has revealed a surprising yet thrilling showdown between Jasmine Paolini and Donna Vekic.
This matchup is packed with betting opportunities, and we've conducted our thorough match analysis to bring you the best bets. Read on for our Paolini vs Vekic prediction and betting tips.
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Player Form: It's Interesting
Paolini has had quite the season so far. She's been impressive on all courts, with a standout clay campaign that saw her reach the French Open finals. She hasn't lost her clay touch on grass either, making it to the semi-finals in Eastbourne.
Bringing that same form to Wimbledon, Paolini has fought her way to the semi-finals, eyeing another Grand Slam final this year. Paolini has dropped only one set so far, against Madison Keys in the Round of 16. Keys had to withdraw due to an injury, giving Paolini a spot in the quarter-finals, where she then defeated Emma Navarro to advance to the semis.
Donna Vekic has been having a solid season. While she struggled to find her footing on clay, she found her stride on grass. Vekic has spent a lot of time on grass courts this season, reaching the finals in Bad Homburg and the Round of 16 in both Berlin and ‘s-Hertogenbosch.
Her Wimbledon campaign has been impressive as well. Vekic defeated Xiyu Wang and Erika Andreeva in the first and second rounds, respectively. She then took down Dayana Yastremska in the Round of 32, moving on to the fourth round where she overcame Paula Badosa. This win earned her a spot in the quarter-finals, where she bested Lulu Sun to ultimately reach the semis.
How the Bookies View It: It’s Close
Bookmaker Betfred is slightly leaning towards Paolini to win this encounter, making her the favourite at 8/15. Vekic is not far behind at 6/4 to win. Set betting suggests a 2-0 win for Paolini, with this result paying 11/8.
Recent Head-to-Head: Paolini Leads 2-1
Paolini and Vekic have faced each other thrice before this encounter. Paolini leads their head-to-head 2-1, with their last encounter being in Montreal 2023, where Paolini overcame Vekic 7-6(3), 6-2.
Anything Else Catch the Eye?
Paolini had faced first-round exits in all her previous Wimbledon campaigns, but 2024 seems to be her breakthrough year. She has made her second Grand Slam semi-final this year and the first at Wimbledon. Paolini has maintained an emphatic 24-12 win-loss record this season and has also bagged a title in Dubai.
In her quarter-final match against Navarro, Paolini blasted 19 winners and won 94 percent of the net points to bag an astounding 6-2, 6-1 victory.
Vekic faced a tough road after undergoing knee surgery following the 2021 Australian Open, which seriously affected her performance for several months. Struggling to surpass the second round of any Grand Slam for nearly two years, she contemplated quitting until her breakthrough at the 2023 Australian Open.
However, setbacks from injuries resurfaced at the start of the 2024 season, nearly leading to retirement before the French Open. Despite these challenges, Vekic's perseverance over the years has now rewarded her with her first appearance in the Wimbledon semi-finals. So far this season, she holds a 17-14 win-loss record.
Paolini vs Vekic Betting Tips & Predictions
Both Paolini and Vekic have fought hard to reach the semi-finals, but based on Paolini's acute gameplay this season, we predict this is where Vekic's journey will likely end. However, Vekic might still manage to snatch at least a set.
- Paolini to win 2-1 @ 11/4
- Paolini to win first set @ 8/13
Paolini and Vekic will play on the Centre Court on Thursday, July 11. While you wait, head over to our Rybakina vs Krejcikova prediction and betting tips.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
