MONDAY was fairly quiet but a winning Super Single saved the day after my attempt at landing a fairly obscure treble failed.
The teams on the card are more familiar to us on Tuesday but there will be the usual problems with trying to find winners with some sides playing weakened teams and others without players on international duty.
Take the live Sky game between Wolves and Notts County for example. Initially I'd decided not to back hot favourites Wolves in the assumption they'd be missing a few.
And they are minus Kevin Doyle and Sam Ricketts called up by their countries. However, Leigh Griffiths can play before joining Scotland who don't play until Tuesday.
So it's actually County who are hardest hit by call-ups for Jack Grealish, Callum McGregor, Marcus Haber (Canada) and Greg Tempest. Winger Jamal Campbell-Ryce is a doubt while striker Enoch Showunmi and defender Haydn Hollis are out.
That sort of team news is invaluable and suggests Wolves are a decent bet at a best 4-6 with Paddy Power and Coral. I'll be on them but I think the key is whether Griffiths starts so this might be one to leave until line-ups are revealed.
If last season's Scottish Player of the Year is included consider him at 4-1 with William Hill to break the deadlock.
Crawley are another fancied side, 8-11 at Coral and William Hill, and they will be without Welsh Under-21 call-up Joe Walsh and have doubts over three players – defender Kyle McFadzean, Mike Jones and Billy Clarke.
However, Newport couldn't fill their bench at the weekend and boss Justin Edinburgh has plenty of injury headaches.
Peterborough v Brentford is a big game between two League One rivals and Bees boss will bring in Jonathan Douglas, George Saville and Jake Bidwell.
Posh are without crocked striker Lee Tomlin and full-back Kgosi Ntlhe is away on international duty with South Africa.
Even poor old York have been hit by call-ups with Josh Carson, Ryan Brobbel, Sander Puri and Chris Kettings all away. Visitors Rotherham will miss Iceland ace Kari Arnason.
I've read team news for every game and it's clear almost every team will be weakened in some way and that makes it tough to land winners.
However, there is no indication of many sides making wholesale changes so form might not go out of the window just as much as expected.
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Alright mr fixit how are you,I had orebro -1 at 8/13 and midtjylland 2/5 double,80 mins gone and orebro winning 3-0 and midtjylland 2 up but down to ten men,the draw on midtjylland was 45/1 at that time I should off backed it,bang 2-1,sick got the draw at 7/1 so covered my bet,I should off made a nice little profit though,stupid me
Ken, if you’re waiting on one side or a big single then you should cover if the price is right. I was out so didn’t get the chance and it was definitely one missed.
I say there is money to be made on live betting,just like your super single on Saturday,Ipswich 4-1 up at half time at derby
You did say you made Monet out off that chesterfield game though
Money not Monet
I’ve picked out a few tantalisers but decided to stay away from cup games.
First up we head over to Germany Regionalliga Bayern where 1.FC Eintracht Bamberg take on FC Memmingen. Bamberg have lost once in their 6 home games they’ve played so far where the visitors have won 1 in 5 on their travels. Bambergs Nicolas Gortler and Daniel Shaffler are one of the leagues deadliest duo’s scoring a combined total of 8 goals in their last 5 competitive home games, and I’m sure if not both, one of them would do some damage. Bamberg @ 23/20
Next back to the UK in the Conference league, its Kidderminster v Forest Green. Kidderminster have won 3 in their last 5 home games and Forest Green with a solitary win on their last 5 travels. Head to head shows Kidderminster winning 3 in 5 and I cant see much changing now, especially when Kidderminster can potentially go 2nd following a win here. Kidderminster @ 6/5
Reminaing in the conference, we see Alfreton take on Chester. High flyers v low flyers. Alfreton have W4 D1 in their last 5 homes and Chester W1 L4 on their travels.
Chester have no target man and it seems like a free for all in terms of goalscorers and that means Chester do score. They’ve actually scored in all 5 of their aways but the opposition almost always out scores them. Alfreton have even odds because their main goalscorer, John Akinde, seems to have lost confidence. The bookies however, appear to have forgotten about their back up duo in Tom Shaw and Paul Clayton to do the deed, and the two of them have scored a combined total of 6 in their last 5 homes. Alfreton @ Evens
1. FC Eintracht Bamberg (6pm)
Kidderminster (7.45pm)
Alfreton (7.45pm)
A formidable just over 8/1 triple threat.
Hartlepool double chance 13/10
Hartlepool +1 AH 7/10, shef utd win by 1 void bet
both at bet365
Shef utd be concentrating on league survival and Hartlepool only real chance of silverware this season and after putting 4 away at Mansfield at the wknd i’m taking a chance on away side, especially since shef utd only scored 7 gls in 10 league games
9/2 for straight win
I would Imagine Harlepool will be concentrating on the league too. They have had a terrible start to the season and will not want to be relegated out of the football league.
Sheff Utd should win the game. They are the home team and will want to push on from their score draw with crawley and get a win to boost confidence. More defeats simply won’t do for them.
Having said all that I don’t have so much confidence in them that I will be backing them myself.
Instead of going for Wolves, Preston, Crawley and Peterboro.
I may also consider a treble on Swindon, MK Dons and Gateshead.
Those all look like good picks to me, but it will only be small stakes, being a cup competition.
Going with three doubles today
Alders hot v Luton – Luton win
Wolves v Nott Co – wolves win
Double £10 bet profit £26
Crawley v Newport – Crawley win
L Orient v Coventry – L Orient win
Double £10 bet profit £23
Hyde v Gateshead – Gateshead win
Alfeeton v Chester – Alfreton win
Double £10 bet profit £33
If one double comes in I make a small profit, if 2 double my stake, all come in I triple my £30 stake
Also like Wrexham
Wrexham v southport
Southport haven’t won a away game in their last six games away
6 Singles for today
been doing well this last week with 5 singles so stepping it up a notch
wolverhampton win @1.61
Sheff United @1.61
Kidderminster -1 @3.20
Luton Over 1.5 Team Goals @2.25
Hyde Vs Gateshead over 3 goals @2.30
Alferton Vs Chester Over 3 Goals @2.05
% is Profit above stake spent
3wins = 2.7% Back
4wins = 37% Back
5wins = 71.3% Back
6wins = 105.6% Back
Mitchell do you always post on here as I’d like to follow your bets, they look good and I’ve been shocking recently.
Mitchell what stake ate you putting down?
Do you have a set stake or do you bet to get same return on each bet?
TOP BETS:
ALFRETON
HALIFAX
LINCOLN
BRAINTREE
Monday 7th October Top Tips:
SUPER SINGLES:
7:45PM ALFRETON TOWN V CHESTER FC
TIP – ALFRETON @11/10
Alfreton are on a really good run of form and sit in the top six of the Conference. Chester are in the relegation zone and have lost 3 away games on the spin. I expect BTTS score here BUT Alfreton to win and if you can get those odds then go for that. However, our tip here is home win @11/10.
7:45PM DARTFORD V SALISBURY
TIP – DARTFORD WIN @21/10
Although Salisbury’s form has been excellent recently, they lost their last away game to Barnet and Dartford have won their last two at home. Both H2H’s have gone the way of the home side and we can see that happening again with the odds of 21/10 attracting us more.
7:45PM HALIFAX V NUNEATON
TIP – HALIFAX @6/4
Nuneaton have lost their last two away games without scoring a goal and Halifax have won four of their previous five home games. This looks like a really good bet despite the fact Nuneaton are above their opponents in the table. Back the home win @6/4.
7:45PM EBBSFLEET V EASTLEIGH
TIP – EASTLEIGH @EVS
Eastleigh are top of the league and have 3 wins from 4 away wins. They come up against an Ebbsfleet side without a home win this season and we’re backing the away @EVS here.
TREBLE:
7:45PM HYDE V GATESHEAD
TIP – GATESHEAD @11/10
You just cannot back Hyde in any way, shape or form (they’ll almost definitely win now). 2 points from 13 games and I just can’t see anything apart from an away win @11/10.
7:45PM BRAINTREE V WELLING
TIP – BRAINTREE @11/10
Braintree are on a roll at the moment with 4 wins on the bounce. They come up against a Welling side who were on a good run but that has come to an end because they haven’t won their previous two. Back the home win @11/10.
7:45PM EASTBOURNE BOROUGH V FARNBOROUGH
TIP – OVER 2.5 GOALS @17/20
Farnborough have scored at least two goals in all their away games this season while the home side hit 4 and conceded in their last home game. Expect plenty of goals here, maybe even over 3.5. However, back over 2.5 goals @17/20.
TREBLE PAYS: 7.15/1
Should be Tuesday 8th October tips, sorry!
Korea Brunei u19s goals set at over 3.5 half time at 11/10 and over 7.5 at 8/11 shocking! Have to wait in-play
Korea Brunei u19s goals set at over 3.5 half time at 11/10 and over 7.5 at 8/11 shocking! Have to wait in-play…
supersingle braintree
I need VIP treble today
Goodson, picked a bad day for a “VIP treble” whatever it means. It’s a day for caution and small stakes.
Its okey with me
There’s one. I got on at over 1.5 h/t goals at around 17 mins mark at 6/4, bet365 keep suspending it
Got 6/4 aswell madi. Getttt in.
Does anyone know much on Portugal u17 v Bosnia-Herzegovina u17
Going on over 2.5 ht when it’s a bigger price small stake
Or not :(
Took 5/4 o2.5 get it. 1 more for full house!!
Try over 3.5 small stakes …
Missed the boat on that one Paul !
I took o3.5 pre match. Then small stakes o1.5 abd 2.5 in play. Few quid for later anyway. Cheers madi!!
Got to agree with much of the above regarding Alfreton. Their home form is excellent and having backed them at 7/4 on Saturday will definitely follow up with EVEN money tonight against a team clearly struggling.
Braintree 3rd also at EVENs are going well with 4 wins on the spin against 12th placed Welling.
Add in Wolves at 4/6 after hearing Mrfixits team news, and theirs a pretty decent double at a smidgeon over 11/2!
GOOOOOOOAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLLLLLLL!!!!!!
Your welcome mate! I did mention this game a few times lol :) aah feck sake missed it again waiting for a better price for over 3.5 was only getting 5/6
Time to play the waiting game in the second half now. 8-0 is the shortest odds at 4/1 so bet365 except a few more and so do I !
Barnet 5/4 look’s a good price .. Woking sit 2nd bottom ,w1 d2 l3 only scoring 7 and letting in 12 at home. Barnet (away)w2 d3 l2 scoring 10 in the process.
Super single=Halifax win
@Branson it depends on the price of each bet but i generally have a total amount i want to spend Eg. these 6 singles total spent was $90(im australian) something like £60 and then i try to make my total outlay back with the 3 lines
so if my 3 lowest odd come in and thats it i’m going to make $92.49 profit $2.49
if 3 come in that are not my lowest i get more but not much more.
$90 / 3 = $30 then i just 30 / the odd’s Eg 30/1.61 = 18.6 stake on the line then round up to 19 for that little bit of profit. so you only need 3 to make your money back to have another go tomorrow. remember nothing is set in stone and as you know, shocking nights do come along where you loose money
so i normaly do 5 single.
3 between $1.30-1.90 2 of which are around 1.75
1 around $2
and a $2.50+
Going in on Korea game over 6.5 waiting for it to hit evens or above….
Not happening. Aah well made my money in the first half :)
@ Branson and anyone who cares this week 30/9 to the 8/10 all bets totalled spent $508.80 for only $572.05 which is only a $63.25 increase not good but still ++ 12.5% this week includes the $90 spent today
Wolves
rotherham
Hartlepool double chance
crawley
Kazakhstan
Croatia v Belgium over 2.5 – gls £1.60 for £95
Hartlepool 3-1
ceawley 5-2
Peterborough 2-2
10p trixie for £4k back
I’m a wolves season ticket holder, I think they should win but they will rest players, Griffiths etc.so not a straight forward win but a narrow one due to county missing players.
john, is there no chance of Griffiths starting? If he started I’d be fairly convinced about Wolves. Virtually every team playing in the JP Trophy will be weakend but some more than others.
Been looking at a game at 1200 KO
Both teams can score plenty of goals- last 5 games between these two, FK Minsk have won.
Bobruichanka Ladies v FK Minsk
over 1.5 goals
-1 handicap FC Minsk
____
small wager
over 3.5 goals
-1 handicap FC Minsk
____
good luck
MP
Apologies, Both teams can score plenty of goals- last 5 games between these two, FK Minsk have won 4***
Important to note that Minsk have not conceded a goal in 23 league matches this season!
Aaaaaand minutes after I say that, Minsk concede for the first time this season lol!
Mr F don,t think L griffiths will start didn’t play the last jp trophy game expect bjorn siggurdson to lead the line tonight and at 5-1 seems a pretty good bet,but again will wait for team news.
mark, I just wondered whether Wolves would take advantage of the fact he doesn’t join up with Scotland until tomorrow. Anyway we’ll wait and see.
My selections as posted on my blog.
Top Treble
Crawley
Alfreton
Braintree
Odds: 6.16
Top Trixie
Rotherham – Odds: 2.10
Gateshead – Odds: 2.15
Kidderminster – Odds 2.50
Bet365 just returned a won bet for me!
North korea u19 – Brunei u19 over 2.5 first half goals
What could possibly be wrong?
Chriz half time score was 4-0 not sure why it’s void?? Paul was on over 2.5 and he got paid out. Have a word on their live chat
Bet365 reckon the odds were wrong on the over 2.5, if you placed your bet after the 2nd goal was scored. I got 6/5 but resettled at 1/2, joke. They don’t even let you know.
Takes the piss, I remember people having this problem last time aswell with the Brunei game. A heads up Brunei play Thailand next game on Thursday at midday. Thailand beat them 8-0 just last month !
We are contacting you regarding bet ID
QT9949240610W placed at the odds of 2.62 on
Over 2.5 (First Half Goals North Korea U19 v
Brunei U19). We have identified that this
selection was placed at incorrect odds and as
such, in accordance with our rules, will be
settled at the revised odds of 1.50.
Please accept our apologies for any
inconvenience caused.
Kind regards,
The bet365 Team
I think that settles it!
Must admit I thought 6/5 at 2-0 with 20 mins still to play was too good to be true! Hopefully get a win tonight.
Afternoon gents, will mainly be focusing on goals tonight given the the team changes, weakened lineups etc! Will put up some over 2.5 goals thoughts later!
Wrexham v Southport KO 7.45
Southport are a team I bet on often! At home i do them to win, away I do them to lose! Tonight they travel to North Wales to play a Wreham side without a win in 4, however there last 3 have been tough having played 1st 2nd and 7th! This is a much easier assignment for the hosts and despite being 5 points worse off than Southport, All of southports good work is done at home! They have lost their last 6 away games scoring just two goals!
Wreham have scored 2 or more in their last 3 home games againt southport and should win against a team who don’t travel well!
Back Wrexham 5/6
Ove 1.5 Wreham goals 4/5
Alfreton remain 1/1 at home to Chester with bet365 I didn’t bet them on Sats but they were tipped on here by a lot of you. Considering them tonight their form at home has been really consistant
Crazy stats on that Minsk game- Minsk have had 18 shots on goal and still nothing! Bobruichanka have had 2 shots on goal and scored
Should of been Minsk game!
KO 1930
Leyton Orient v Coventry
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.61
KO 1945
Morecambe v Carlisle
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.66
KO 1945
Oxford United v Portsmouth
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72
KO 1945
Wolves v Notts County
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.61
12.5/1
Good Luck
MP