IT was a winning day thanks to my 19-1 long shot – Ajax, Atalanta, Hertha Berlin and Paris St Germain.

I was so busy working on cup final at the Daily Record I couldn't advise cover on PSG after the first three won but thankfully it wasn't needed.

I wanted to get some tips up early for the Lazio game and while they won my SS was Lazio and btts and that game also bombed the both to score treble. All stats suggested loads of goals but maybe they didn't fancy the 11.30am start.

Plenty of hot favourites failed to win – the likes of Juventus, Barcelona, Nice, Man United and Villarreal – so the 19-1 winner was my only one and a welcome one. I much preferred my 23-10 Top Treble but that's the way it goes.

It leaves me 10pts up for the month on the accumulator and 10pts down in the Super Singles – and I aiming to wipe out that 10pt loss over the next three days.

My members bet won again and after four in a row I'm 13pts in profit for the month.

And I called the Betfred Cup Final pretty much correctly tipping Celtic and Tom Rogic to score.

Monday starts with an interesting card and I'm going to research the games in the morning before putting up tips.

In England it's Huddersfield v Wigan while there are two good games in Serie A – Napoli v Sassuolo and Inter v Fiorentina.

Las Palmas entertain Athletic Bilbao in Spain and there is a full card of Jupiler League games so watch out for goals tips.

Huddersfield should win but Wigan have suddenly become tough to beat and conceded five goals in six games – three of them to Reading – so I'm leaving it alone.

The Spanish game is tough to call so for a double I've decided to go with both to score in the Italian games. I'm more confident about Inter-Fiorentina with the home side likely to concede. Inconsistent Inter haven't found the right formula under new boss Stefano Piolo and the midweek 3-2 defeat at Hapoel Beer Sheva from 2-0 up was a shocker.

Fiorentina also suffered a shock Europa League defeat at home to PAOK but in Serie A they've been pretty solid losing just two games – one to champions Juventus. Picking a winner here isn't the best policy but but both teams are capable of scoring.

The bigger price is Napoli-Sassuolo simply because the visitors are as big as 10-1 to win the game. However, they have netted in all but one of their 22 matches this season with the exception being a 3-0 home defeat to on-form Atalanta.

Obviously Sassuolo have netted in all of their away encounters and with 10 goals in the road in Serie A is more than leaders Juventus.

Napoli don't have an out-and-out striker in the absence of Arkadiusz Milik and drew a blank against Dynamo Kiev in midweek, However, Sassuolo have conceded at least two goals in their last six games so I can't see the home men not hitting the target.

I could do with a Super Single winner so after spending some time looking at Dutch goals stats I've picked out a double. I wouldn't normally put this up at five points but needs must – so consider it carefully before deciding what to do.

First up it's over 2.5 goals at Jong PSV v Top Oss and Greg has highlighted Oss's stats recently. Their 15 matches have totalled 69 goals and nine of their last 10 went over 3.5 goals – the other was over 2.5. All three meetings between the sides in Eindhoven have totalled exactly four goals.

Next take over 1.5 goals at Fortuna v FC Eindhoven. Nine of the last 10 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals.

Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their tips and video chat.

5pts Super Single

Fortuna v FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals (7pm)

Jong PSV v Top Oss over 2.5 goals (7pm)

(4-5, Betfair)

1pt Both to Score Double

Napoli v Sassuolo (6pm)

Inter v Fiorentina (8pm)

(21-10, 10Bet)

November Super Singles Total

Profit: -10.3pts

(23 bets, 9 winners)

November Advised Accas Total

Profit: 10pts

(52 bets, 15 winners)

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73 Comments
  1. stagger 2 years ago

    A full card in the Dutch Eerste so lots to choose from.

    BTTS Treble (7pm)

    Dordrecht v Jong Ajax
    De Graafschap v Volendam
    Emmen v MVV
    (5/2 Coral)

  2. mr suduji 2 years ago

    fc midtylland(denmark)
    braga
    fc zurich
    napoli
    all games to win

    inter 2.5 goals
    napoli 2.5 goals
    vfb stuttgart(btts)
    las palmas(btts)

    goodluck

  3. radu 2 years ago

    Indonesia
    Sriwijaya – Barito Putera
    – Sriwijaya to score in both halves @ 1.75 – 6u

    • obi wan cannoli 2 years ago

      Great looking tip Radu. I got on yours, and also on over 1/1.5 FH goal @ 1.90. So far, so good, with 1-1 in the first half. Sriwijaya looking relatively dominant and should boss the second half.

  4. hampy 2 years ago

    sparta prague u19 v hradec yth
    over 1.5fhgls 1.80
    over 3.5,4 goalnline 1.77

    lechia gdansk v g.lecna
    over 2.5 match goals 1.85

    las palmas v a bilbao btts 1.75

  5. radu 2 years ago

    Bet of the Day
    – Midd.. – Odense – over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – 10u
    =================================
    Combo of the Day @ 5.35 – 6u
    – Lechia Gdansk – Gornik Leczna – over 2.5 goals @ 1.75
    – Midd.. – Odense – over 2.5 goals @ 1.70
    – Inter – Fiorentina – over 2.5 goals @ 1.80
    =================================
    Combo – Under/Over 2.5 goals @ 110 :D – 1u
    – Inter – Fiorentina – over @ 1.80
    – Las Palmas – Bilbao – under @ 1.80
    – Midd.. – Odense – over @ 1.70
    – Stuttgart – Nurnberg – over @ 1.65
    – PAOK – Atromitos – under @ 1.65
    – Venezia – Padova – under @ 1.60
    – De Graafschap – Volendam – over @ 1.65
    – Lechia Gdansk – Gornik Leczna – over @ 1.75
    – Konia – Osmanlispor – under @ 1.60
    =================================
    Combo @ 3.73 – 5u
    – Napoli – Sassuolo – Napoli over 1.5 goals @ 1.35
    – Huddersfield – Wigan – BTTS & over 2.5 goals – NO @ 1.41
    – Reims – Niort – 2-5 goals @ 1.40
    – PAOK – Atromitos – PAOK to win @ 1.40
    =================================
    GL

  6. micky belfast 2 years ago

    HUDDERSFIELD score 1.5. BILBAO btts over . BRAGA win 6/1 bet365

  7. kierons 2 years ago

    My shortlist list consists of 13 games all goals based.
    I am gong to do a rolling bet from this morning and see how it goes by the end of the day.

    Shortlist:

    Inter Vs Fioren Btts 4/7
    Napoli over 2.5 19/40 ……. Btts 4/5
    VVV over 1.5 4/9
    PSV vs Oss over 3.5 1/1
    Ajax Res over 1.5 tgs
    KV Korijk Re vs Sint Tru over 2.5 11/40
    Eupen res vs Gent res 3/10
    Las Palmas Vs Ath Bilbao btts 3/4
    Stuttgart vs Nurnberg over 2.5 13/20
    Alloa vs Cowdenbeath 9/50 waiting for the goal line cause this will have a stackfull of goals

    starting with :

    Over 2.5
    Sparta P u21 vs Hradec 2/9
    Vysocina u21 vs Pribram 2/5
    Brno u21 vs Viktoria 2/9

    £10 returns 20.90

  8. tipsultan 2 years ago

    Mr.F, the winner for the competition Euro Acca on 19 nov 2016 selected?

  9. -wato- 2 years ago

    Netherlands – Eerste Divisie 7pm
    Over 2.5 Match Goals Double

    Dordrecht v Jong Ajax
    Fortuna Sittard v FC Eindhoven

    2.44 (Bet365)

    ——————————————————
    Over 1.5 Match Goals Treble

    Portugal – Segunda Liga 6pm
    Benfica B v Fafe

    Germany – Regional League Southwest 6pm
    FC Kaiserslautern II v Stuttgarter Kickers

    Germany – 2. Bundesliga 7.15pm
    VfB Stuttgart v FC Nurnberg

    1.92 (Betfair)

  10. stagger 2 years ago

    Belgian Beloften U21 BTTS Treble

    Season-so-far stat based treble. KV’s 5 home games have all gone YES while their visitors St Truiden have netted 11 goals in their last 3 outings. Brugge have scored in all 4 of their away games and they visit an Anderlecht side who have netted 10 in their 4 home games. Lokeren’s last 3 at home have seen YES and they entertain Oostende whose 7 goals in the last 3 aways must count for something.

    Will the stats stand up or make a mockery of it all? The odds aren’t great for a treble but I’m happy to invest in a league that is not scared of goals.

    KV Kortrijk v St Truiden (6pm)
    Anderlecht v Brugge (6.30pm)
    Lokeren v Oostende (6.30pm)
    (11/8 Coral)

  11. mr orange, thoughts on vvv and psv 2 to win? also oss over 2.5. cheers

  12. sean567 2 years ago

    Huddersfield
    Napoli
    Inter v Fiorentina btts
    Vvv v rkc over 2.5
    Jong Psv v FC oss over 2.5
    Pays 8/1 bet 365

  13. dc john boy 2 years ago

    Nothing Spectacular tonight but like the following

    Inter Milan over 2.5mgs
    Las Palmas btts

    Doube Returns 2/1

  14. kierons 2 years ago

    Over 2.5
    Sparta P u21 vs Hradec 2/9 LOST
    Vysocina u21 vs Pribram 2/5 WON
    Brno u21 vs Viktoria 2/9 WON

    £10 returns 20.90
    Bad start first time Sparta have failed to score in there last 12.

    I’m gonna go again later with the Belgium selection

  15. wasclueless 2 years ago

    > 2.5 MGS Emmen, Fortuna Sittard, Telstar 3.6/1
    BTTS Inter, Napoli > 1.5 TGS, Curzton Ashton 2 GL 1.8/1
    Callejon ATGS 11/8

  16. GregBrowning 2 years ago

    Afternoon gents

    There’s quite a few games to focus on tonight – I’ll be sticking to the Dutch and Belguim games

    Kortrijk Res v Sint-Trudenm Res KO 7pm

    The hosts have seen both teams their last 15 matches at home with all 15 seeing over 2.5 and 10 over 3.5 – Sint Truden are no strangers to goals with 28 goals netted in their last 5 matches! Should see both sides contributing here

    Back over 3.5 match goals Bet365 (NAP)

    Utrexht II v Almere
    PSV II v Oss

    Over 2.5 match goals double 13/10

    Worth some loose change on all matches over 2.5 and another loose change bet for all matches over BTTS

    • bixieupnorth 2 years ago

      here we go again then, i’ve been looking hard at the fixtures today, the dutch jupiler has failed to impress recently, will a cold november night be the night it all changes in our favour again??

      i’ve had a quid on all ten to be over 2.5 and over 3.5 and added the chiasso v zurich game to the 3.5, so the bets pay 78/1 and about 15,000/1!

      my serious bets now then!
      i’ve picked an away six fold
      fc zurich 1/3 say no more, i know theres an unwritten rule about not backing teams away from home who are odds on!
      niort 4/1 this makes up for the above, they won 5 on the trot before their home draw on friday, way too big surely? maybe +1
      almere evens just gone out to 23/20 all these dutch sides bang in form against poor looking home side
      jong ajax 5/6
      eindhoven 10/11
      cambuur 13/20

      six pays 82/1 bet365

      helmond sport in similar form so adding them at a massive 17/4 to pay 434/1

  17. Jordan 2 years ago

    Hi gents. Everton failed to net yesterday and with no cover it was a 2.5 point loss. Tonight I’m on two teams who should be too inferior for opposition.

    Have to be quick so I apologise.

    PSV Reserves
    Braga

    Over 1.5 Team Goals Double @ 13/10 @ 365 – 2.5 points

    Good luck if you follow.

  18. thoughts on vvv and psv 2 to win? also oss over 2.5. cheers

  19. 2 years ago

    Curzon Aston
    Vfb Stuttgart
    Jong PSV
    Palestino
    btts&over 2.5mgls
    odds 11/1@betfair

  20. mervin 2 years ago

    Following Jordan’s lead tonight with a simple o1.5tg double:

    Jong PSV o1.5tg
    FC Zurich o1.5tg

    3pts @ 1.16/1 on Bet365

  21. HullShaker 2 years ago

    Great afternoon was followed by a rotten night on the betting front with 1 close call and 1 dead rubber ?

    Onto tonight and I fancy goals in the FA Tropy match…

    CURZON ASHTON VS. WORCESTER CITY (19.45 KO):

    CA have been great for goals these past few seasons and Worester are hardly shy of goals in their own games.

    The home side are set to have a slight advantage but it is marginal and they are prone to concede goals – 5 of their last 6 have seen both teams scoring whilst Worcester have managed to score in the vast majority of recent games.

    The two most recent H2Hs have seen 4 goals with 2-2 and 3-1 scorelines – what stands out for me is the fact that in both the above games AND Curzon’s last 2 games (not to mention many more) both teams have scored in the second ’45!

    2 selections:

    BTTS 2ND HALF…7/4

    BTTS BOTH HALVES…9/1

    Good luck ?

  22. dc john boy 2 years ago

    Also going to try this for tonight as hopefully be plenty goals in holland tonight

    Utrecht reserves
    Emmen
    Fortuna sittard

    All over 2.5mgs 16/5

    Hopefully picked the right games

    Good luck tonight all

  23. maccathered 2 years ago

    Inter v fiorentina
    under 2 alternative goal line @ 3.000
    good luck chaps.

  24. bixieupnorth 2 years ago

    oh and a list of overs too

    vfb stuttgart
    curzon ashton
    las palmas
    napoli
    dordrecht
    fortuna suttard
    jong psv
    telstar
    chiasso

    nine fold pays 72/1

  25. archie 2 years ago

    Jong psv vvv and denbosch win both score

  26. nate pesh 2 years ago

    Stuttgart vs Nurnberg

    Burgstaller AGS 15/8
    Burgstaller FGS 7/1

  27. richard 2 years ago

    Scottish Development League East

    Alloa u20 vs Cowdenbeath u20

    This is a match between the bottom two in this league but Cowdenbeath are simply rubbish away from home

    Their 4 away games so far have all been hammerings – 5-1 by 2nd, 6-0 by 5th, 7-0 by 4th and 6-0 by 1st

    Alloa have a comparable home record to 5th placed Forfar and although they’ve not scored as many at home, they haven’t played Cowdeneath yet which has obviously helped everyone else’s goal stats

    Over 1.5, 2.0 fhg @ 1.90
    Over 4.0, 4.50 ftg @ 1.90
    Alloa -2 @ 2.20

    • richard 2 years ago

      Not bad, not brilliant

      Over 1.5,2.0 fhg @ 1.90 1/2 win, 1/2 void
      Over 4.0, 4.5 ftg @ 1.90 lost
      Alloa -2 @ 2.20 WIN

  28. alex_mufc83 2 years ago

    Shall be on the following tonight…

    Small acca – goals

    Huddersfield v Wigan – Goal Line 1, 1.5
    Curzon Ashton v Worcester City – Goal Line 2
    Las Palmas v Athletic Bilbao – Goal Line 2
    Inter Milan v Fiorentina – Goal Line 2
    Venezia v Padova – Goal Line 1, 1.5
    Newbridge Town FC v Swords Celtic FC – Over 2.5 goals

    5.96
    £10 returns £59.6

    • alex_mufc83 2 years ago

      Adding these to the acca;

      Hitchin v Hayes – Goal Line 2
      Haringey Borough v Thamesmead Town – Over 2.5 goals

      10.65
      £10 returns £100.65

  29. Johnb 2 years ago

    Please let it be the rose, Bonnyrigg Rose

    • Author
      Mr Fixit 2 years ago

      Probably missed their chance at home. Desmond was at the game though and said Rose were the better team on the day.

  30. alex_mufc83 2 years ago

    IN PLAY – England U23’s league

    Arsenal v Leicester – Over 2.5 goals
    Brighton v Wolves – Over 2.5 goals
    Saints v Everton – Over 3.5 goals
    Derby v Liverpool – Goal Line 1.5, 2

    9.28
    £10 returns £92.80

  31. craneguy 2 years ago

    tonite

    inter, palestino btts, las palmas o1.5tgs 2/1

    GL all with a bet on……………

  32. wasclueless 2 years ago

    BTTS Inter, Napoli > 1.5 TGS, Curzton Ashton 2 GL 1.8/1
    Callejon ATGS 11/8
    LOST
    even more gutting when he hits the post in injury time!!

  33. stagger 2 years ago

    Belgian Belofta and Eerste largely crap for goals so far. It seems that goals are getting scarcer by the week.

    • Author
      Mr Fixit 2 years ago

      My SS double can be covered with under 1.5 goals at Fortuna. I need the points but at this stage I’m covering with 2pt at 6-4..
      Covering the btts double as well – 0.5pts on no to both to score at Inter at 85-40.

  34. dc john boy 2 years ago

    Even at half time looks like the Dutch overs treble gona bomb, severe lack of goals

    Braga over 1.5tgs
    Palestino btts

    Double returns 6/4

  35. HullShaker 2 years ago

    There’s the BTTS 1st half in Curzon Ashton’s game – same again for the second ’45 please ?

  36. interyernan 2 years ago

    Nice work mr f, jordan and greg!

  37. wasclueless 2 years ago

    Well done @Jordan and nice BTTS double Mr F

  38. stagger 2 years ago

    A goal short in the Belofta BTTS treble.
    KV Kortrijk v St Truiden (6pm)
    Anderlecht v Brugge (6.30pm)
    Lokeren v Oostende (6.30pm)
    (11/8 Coral) – Lokeren let it down.

    Don’t even mention the Eerste BTTS treble.
    Dordrecht v Jong Ajax
    De Graafschap v Volendam
    Emmen v MVV
    (5/2 Coral) – pathetic.
    Thankfully got most of tonight’s stake money back through MrF’s members bet. Cheers, MrF.

  39. shauncpfc 2 years ago

    Get in there Eindhoven :D was watching it live on Bet365 and was waiting for them to offer me just short of the full winnings on the cover when the Free kick was given away. Cashed out the Cover bet for no more goals and then watched as they put the free kick away, winning the original bet too so winning on both ???????? Cheers for the tips as always

  40. mervin 2 years ago

    Following Jordan’s lead tonight with a simple o1.5tg double:

    Jong PSV o1.5tg
    FC Zurich o1.5tg

    3pts @ 1.16/1 on Bet365

    **WON**

  41. dc john boy 2 years ago

    Cmon Bilbao give me a goal

  42. HullShaker 2 years ago

    Worcester City missed penalty but just gone 1-2 up…Curzon goal needed ?

  43. alex_mufc83 2 years ago

    Guys what’s happened to the Curzon ashton game can anyone shed any light on why the market has disappeared?? I’ve got them in my acca (that’s going well)

    Game hasn’t been abandoned has it ?

    Also Bilbao nicked a goal good news

    • HullShaker 2 years ago

      See above – 7 minutes to go – Worcester’s Twitter much better than CA’s ?

      • alex_mufc83 2 years ago

        Yeah I clicked on their twitter and as I did they were celebrating their second goal to make it 2-1 and bring home the bacon for my accas

        :D

        Hope you made a decent profit too man

  44. HullShaker 2 years ago

    Ah, crap – crossbar…CA fail to get the 2nd half goal needed. Final score 1-2

    BTTS 2ND HALF…7/4 lost.

    BTTS BOTH HALVES…9/1…lost

    Well done all winners

  45. alex_mufc83 2 years ago

    Both these have come in hope ppl followed :-)

    Shall be on the following tonight…

    Small acca – goals

    Huddersfield v Wigan – Goal Line 1, 1.5
    Curzon Ashton v Worcester City – Goal Line 2
    Las Palmas v Athletic Bilbao – Goal Line 2
    Inter Milan v Fiorentina – Goal Line 2
    Venezia v Padova – Goal Line 1, 1.5
    Newbridge Town FC v Swords Celtic FC – Over 2.5 goals

    5.96
    £10 returns £59.6
    *WON*

    Adding these to the acca;

    Hitchin v Hayes – Goal Line 2
    Haringey Borough v Thamesmead Town – Over 2.5 goals

    10.65
    £10 returns £100.65
    *WON*

  46. richard 2 years ago

    Brazil Serie A

    Coritiba vs Vitoria 10pm

    Coritiba at home are P18 W9 D7 L2 F29 A16 and in their last 3 at home they’ve taken 7 points beating 19th, 4th and drawing with 12th

    Vitoria away are P18 W3 D5 L10 F20 A29 and in their last 3 away they’ve only taken one point losing to 3rd and 15th and drawing with 12th

    H2H shows Coritiba unbeaten at home against Vitoria in their last 14 meetings, winning the last 3 without conceding.

    The curve ball is Coritiba are now safe from relegation while Vitoria are outside the relegation places only on goal difference at the moment but I still reckon they’re not good enough to win away today

    Coritiba to win @ 2.20

  47. dc john boy 2 years ago

    Nothing Spectacular tonight but like the following

    Inter Milan over 2.5mgs
    Las Palmas btts

    Double Returns 2/1 **WON**

    Was tonight’s main bet so happy with that

    Braga over 1.5tgs
    Palestino btts

    Double returns 6/4 **LOST**

    Don’t know how union never managed to score against palestino, missed a penalty & had about 20 attempts at goal, couple of late red cards didn’t help cause either

    Dutch overs treble lost also,

    Well done all winners

  48. -wato- 2 years ago

    Netherlands – Eerste Divisie 7pm
    Over 2.5 Match Goals Double

    Dordrecht v Jong Ajax
    Fortuna Sittard v FC Eindhoven

    2.44 (Bet365)

    ***LOST***

    ——————————————————
    Over 1.5 Match Goals Treble

    Portugal – Segunda Liga 6pm
    Benfica B v Fafe

    Germany – Regional League Southwest 6pm
    FC Kaiserslautern II v Stuttgarter Kickers

    Germany – 2. Bundesliga 7.15pm
    VfB Stuttgart v FC Nurnberg

    1.92 (Betfair)

    ***LOST***

  49. craneguy 2 years ago

    tonite

    inter, palestino btts, las palmas o1.5tgs 2/1 LOST

    espanola missed penalty cost it grrrrrr……… WD all with winners

  50. radu 2 years ago

    Bet of the Day
    – Midd.. – Odense – over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – 10u – LOST
    =================================
    Combo of the Day @ 5.35 – 6u – LOST
    – Lechia Gdansk – Gornik Leczna – over 2.5 goals @ 1.75
    – Midd.. – Odense – over 2.5 goals @ 1.70
    – Inter – Fiorentina – over 2.5 goals @ 1.80
    =================================
    Combo – Under/Over 2.5 goals @ 110 ? – 1u – Lost
    – Inter – Fiorentina – over @ 1.80
    – Las Palmas – Bilbao – under @ 1.80
    – Midd.. – Odense – over @ 1.70
    – Stuttgart – Nurnberg – over @ 1.65
    – PAOK – Atromitos – under @ 1.65
    – Venezia – Padova – under @ 1.60
    – De Graafschap – Volendam – over @ 1.65
    – Lechia Gdansk – Gornik Leczna – over @ 1.75
    – Konia – Osmanlispor – under @ 1.60
    =================================
    Combo @ 3.73 – 5u – Lost
    – Napoli – Sassuolo – Napoli over 1.5 goals @ 1.35
    – Huddersfield – Wigan – BTTS & over 2.5 goals – NO @ 1.41
    – Reims – Niort – 2-5 goals @ 1.40
    – PAOK – Atromitos – PAOK to win @ 1.40
    =================================
    Profit Today = – 17.5u
    Total Profit = + 75.85u
    =================================
    Well Done all Winners

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