NFL week 12 comes to an end with the Monday night match-up of Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers.
Jordan fancies Eagles running-back Wendell Smallwood to do some damage and is doubling down on his stake, with his NFL picks reposted below.
Elsewhere today England's cricket team have fought back into contention in the third Test with India but the tourists are still as big as 4-1 at Coral to level the series.
There's also the likes of UK Championship snooker and NBA action on the sporting schedule so feel free to add your tips and chat.
Jordan's NFL Tips
Wendell Smallwood (Philadelphia Eagles) Over 65.5 Rush + Receiving Yards @ 5-6 @ PP– 6 points + 6 points (12 total)
Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) Over 290.5 Passing Yards @ 5-6 @ PP– 3 points
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Trevor Siemian O228.5 Passing Yards @ 10/11 BetVictor
Simple stats – Siemian achieved this in 6/8 and Chiefs given these yards up in 7/10
Morning all, its your main man Max here with my MNF tips. This game is must win although to be fair whoever wins have little or no chance off going to the post-season, with my Boys, Skins and Giants all potentially coming out of the East.
My beloved Cowboys took Zeke in the 4th round and Philly took Smallwood Lol. That franchise has a lot to learn. They should however be able to take apart a poor Green Bay team and a shocking D that has given up O40pts on the road in their last 2 road games, and O30pts in their last 5 games. Take Philly on the ML at 1/2 and their team points O24.5pts 5/6 and O26.5pts 11/10 Skybet.
Darren Sproles and Wendell Smallwood are expected to pick up the slack with Matthews being out, and Sproles his banged up, so the latter looks good for a prop and anytime scorer. I am taking the latter as the games he has been involved in as seen him in pass protection and with this Packers Secondary poor, the young buck Wentz could have a good day and the speedster Bryce Treggs could stretch this these CB’s. He is 17/2 anytime, this is worth a few notes but am advising half a point
Max’s MNF tips
Eagles to win 1/2
Eagles O24.5pts 5/6
Eagles O26.5pts 11/10
Anytime you like
Nelson 15/8
Smallwood 13/8
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Max’s Longshot advised bets
Eagles O32.5pts 7/2
Treggs to score 17/2
(these should be played for 0.05pt)
GL
Morning Guys with the late game still in action, I will repost my late games later. The early games was absolutely smashed as my double at evens and my treble at 9/5 cruised in. Hyde covered his line their was a typo as I was looking at another player who yards was 65 (which he covered) DJ also blasted past his yardage, the only real let down was Jennings, but how can I hate big blue when they secured a 9/5 treble for me and my followers? I took a punt on Wallace but at 2/1 it was worth a go and I don’t shy away from tipping at odds against.
Max’s Sunday Early tips
Saints O22.5pts WON
Bills O23.5pts WON
(Evens @ Skybet) WON
inc
Giants O22.5pts WON
(9/5 Skybet) WON
Anytime you like
Beckham (NYG) 3/4 WON
Murray (TEN) 9/10 Loss
Wallace (Balt) 2/1 Loss
Player props
Jennings O66.5yds 5/6 Loss
Johnson O138.5yds R&R 17/20 WON
Hyde O62.5yds 5/6 WON*
My MNF tips are up, and I will be back this evening to round up week 12.
GL
NBA singles
Dwight Howard (Atlanta) over 29.0 P&R 5/6 **LOSE** 28 ?
James harden (rockets) over 28.5 points 4/5 **WON** 38
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Nba player prop record
24 wins
25 loss
Posted yesterday
Nuggets ML @ 2.10 (Bet 365) – *WON*
Updated record
Wins – 21
Lost – 16
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Trevor Siemian O228.5 Passing Yards @ 10/11 BetVictor – WON
4/5 and a good weekend across the pond
Early thoughts…
Philadelphia 76er’s @ Toronto Raptors
Philly are 0-21 on all road games and are going to Toronto tonight on a b2b, after a hard fought game against the Cav’s at home.
Raptors are coming back home after a 10 game road trip, and have had 2 days rest.
There is no question who’s going to win this match up, its just a question of by how many points.
Philly haven’t won a road game since January 20th 2016 (last season), and are without their leading scorer Joel Embiid, who will rest tonight.
They’ve played 3 b2b road games so far this season, and lost them by an average of 20.33 points.
The bookies have the line set at +/-14.5, and I don’t think this will be enough for Philly to cover, not in this scenario.
Leaning – Toronto Raptors -14.5.
Anyone have any thoughts?
Defo locked in on this one @raoul duke, jojo ain’t playing tonight either
Snooker bets for today:
O’Sullivan -3.5 – v Georgiu – 8/13 WH
Hightailed win – v Lines – 4/6 bet365
Brecel/Fu win double – 4/5 bet365
Higgins -2.5 – v Higginson – 4/6 Betway
Morning gents. Just a recap of all bets through week 12. Yesterdays props weren’t brilliant but some were very close with the ‘dodgy long shot’ failing with the Seahawks loss in Tampa, which would have then needed only 42+ points in tonight’s game in Philly to land. You might know I’m on the Eagles to score over 2 TD’s for the 10 point double I posted, with Wendell Smallwood’s rush and receiving yards plus Aaron Rodgers passing yards. I saw a comment yesterday saying that Aaron Rodgers will barely get half that without any real theory behind it, so I just thought I’d give my reasons why I think he will.
As a Packers fan its been a season to forget for now. Third year following the NFL and its a first for me as a cheese-head to know when you’re down, and we’re down. Guards TG Lang and JC Tretter are out, so Jason Spriggs will start there who is primarily a Tackle. I have no idea who starts in place of Lang? Perhaps Don Barclay. Either way I think we’re going to lose. Third straight road game and a likely fifth straight loss. Motivation is big in the NFL, but I’m just not sure the Packers have any under Mike McCarthy anymore.
There are two teams that have a perfect record in the NFC. The Seahawks at 5-0, and the Eagles at 4-0, beating the Falcons, Vikings, Steelers, and not so important Cleveland Browns. The record of the first three teams is 19-14, which isn’t great, but still winning teams with decent offense and particularly good defense who are all likely playoff teams this season. It shows the Eagles are a good team and will have to win to keep pressure on the Giants and Redskins in a very tight division for a likely wildcard spot. Packers last three losses are teams with records of 17-16-1 and our defense has been demolished by the pass and run. Our leading tackler Jake Ryan is back in the line up but this is still his first year and still misjudges tackles at times. Damarious Randall was limited in both practices this week but that usually points to them being able to play depending how limited they were. That is a good sign for our secondary but still Sam Shields is missing who is our best corner. Over the past two weeks the packers have been the worst defense against Quarterbacks, second worst against Running Backs, worst against Receivers, worst against Tight Ends, and fifth worst against Kickers. Tight End Zach Ertz has seen 26 targets over his last three games and should have another strong showing tonight. Our corners aren’t brilliant but Ertz should get more looks over the middle with our inexperienced Linebackers. His yards at over 55.5 @ 17/20 @ Ladbrokes looks good to go over for me.
All points to a Packers loss which means Aaron Rodgers is going to have to carry the offense with his arm and legs. The Eagles over the last two weeks haven given up 426 yards to Receivers, only 5 less than Green Bay. On the season they rank 8th worst in opponent passing plays of 25+ yards with 24, which ironically is only two worse than Green Bays shambles of a secondary. Expect Rodgers to connect big a few times with sub package players such as Jeff Janis or Trevor Davis or are being mixed in with the offense a fair bit to shake things up, as well as the usual suspects of Nelson, Cobb and Adams. Rodgers has also thrown for 290+ in five of his last six games (four in losses). Eagles have been stingy against Tight Ends this season so it’ll be interesting to see how much Jared Cook affects the game after his big game in Washington last week. Cook did show that he can go deep on a 47 yard reception and had 11 targets, its just whether he can stay consistent/healthy.
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NFL Main Double
Pittsburgh Steelers Over 2 TD’s – Friday Morning – WON
Philadelphia Eagles Over 2 TD’s – Tuesday Morning – VOID IF 2 TD’S SCORED
6/5 @ 365 – 10 points
Wendell Smallwood (Philadelphia Eagles) Over 65.5 Rush + Receiving Yards @ 5-6 @ PP– 6 points (12 total)
Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) Over 290.5 Passing Yards @ 5-6 @ PP– 3 points
Adding
Zach Ertz (Philadelphia Eagles) Over 55.5 Receiving Yards @ 17/20 @ Ladbrokes – 5 points
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Week 12
Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 @ 17-20 @ Coral– 20 points **WIN**
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5
Dallas Cowboys ML
17-20 @ 365– 4 points **WIN**
Ezekiel Elliott (Dallas Cowboys)
LeVeon Bell (Pittsburgh Steelers)
27-20 @ William Hill– 2 points **WIN**
Pittsburgh Steelers score in all quarters @ 7-4 @ William Hill– 2 points **LOSE**
Steelers Defense/ST TD @ 4-1 @ PP– 1 point **LOSE**
Eric Ebron (Detroit Lions) Over 45.5 Receiving Yards @ 4/5 @ 365 – 5 points **LOSE**
Jason Witten (Dallas Cowboys) Anytime TD @ 2/1 @ Ladbrokes – 1 point **LOSE**
Rashad Jennings (New York Giants) Over 65.5 Rushing Yards @ 5/6 @ PP – 6 points **LOSE**
Jay Ajayi (Miami Dolphins) Over 90.5 Rushing Yards @ 5/6 @ PP – 3 points (Now 96.5) **LOSE**
Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers) Over 253.5 Passing Yards @ 5/6 @ PP – 3 points (Over 250. 10/11 @ William Hill – 3.3 points) **LOSE** 246
Jameis Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) Over 237.5 Passing Yards @ 5/6 @ PP – 3 points **LOSE** 220
LeSean McCoy (Buffalo Bills) Anytime TD @ 5/6 @ Skybet – 3 points **WIN**
Tennessee Titans ML – WON
New York Giants ML – WON
Seattle Seahawks ML – LOST
San Diego Chargers +3.5 – WON
Buffalo Bills -2.5 – WON
Miami Dolphins -2.5 – WON
New England Patriots -2.5 – WON
New Orleans Saints -2.5 – WON
Atlanta Falcons/Arizona Cardinals Over 42 Total Points – WON
Oakland Raiders/Carolina Panthers Over 42 Total Points – WON
Philadelphia Eagles/Green Bay Packers Over 42 Total Points – N/A
55/2 @ 365 – 1 point **LOSE** (Again if I’d have done doubles/trebles I’d be ok. Going to do it next week.)
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@creamz nice winners yesterday mate, good stuff everyone else. Good luck tonight.
Tampa covered handicap and win but Houston let me down well done all the winners
NFL post in moderation but putting tonights NBA selection up.
Carmelo Anthony (New York Knicks) Over 30 Points and Rebounds @ 5/6 @ PP – 3 points
Approved now – it won’t appear with more than 7 or so links.
If you split it up it will.
I know the crack Mr F. There’s never any rush. I post in good time :)
I’m not a man who bets under but @raoul-duke, do you think the total in Kings/Wizards game looks high? Both teams ranked 18th and 23rd in pace, Sacramento have only topped 100 twice in their last seven road games against Brooklyn and Portland who both play high tempo’d ball? Just don’t see the Kings topping 100. 212 seems high.
Not a huge fan of totals, definitely one of the toughest markets! But yea, I do like your reasoning.. In fact since you’ve posted that the total has dropped to 210.5 on Bet 365. Could well be worth a bet.
I would also side with the Wizards tonight, they’re back to full strength now…. gunna look at a little more into it.
Any reason why skybet are not offering any prop bets for rushing yards in the Eagles v Packers? Strongly fancy Smallwood to produce the goods.
@iceman, PP have his rush and receiving yards but have weirdly lowered them even with rumours of him having a bigger workload. Maybe Sproles gets more touches.
NBA Bet 28/11
Boston Celtics @ Miami Heat
Pick – Boston Celtics -4.5 @ 1.90 (PP).
A lot of guys either ruled out or questionable for Miami. Boston should win this one.
Likely to have another bet or 2 tonight… will post later.
Good luck.
NBA Bet 28/11
Philadelphia 76er’s @ Toronto Raptors
Pick – Toronto Raptors -15 @ 1.90 (PP)
Write up posted earlier today.
Good luck.
NBA double:
Warriors -8.5
Grizzlies +3.5
2pt @ 1.22/1 Bet365
5 fold @ bet365 Wizards win 10/21. Celtics win 10/23. Thunders win 20/23. Grizzlies win 1/1. Utah win 5/7. 5£ returns 68£
Raptors -9.5
Warriors -9.5
Thunder @ Knicks over 207.5
2.1/1
*Posted Yesterday*
NBA Bet For Tonight
5 Fold @ 4.01/1 (£10) LOST
Cavaliers -6.5 ✗
Kings ML
Clippers -4.5 ✗
Pelicans ML ✗
Blazers/Rockets Over 213.5
November NBA (accumulators)
Bets 26
Win 3
-£73
O’Sullivan -3.5 – v Georgiu – 8/13 WH *winner*
Highfield win – v Lines – 4/6 bet365 *winner*
Brecel/Fu win double – 4/5 bet365 *winner*
Higgins -2.5 – v Woollaston – 4/6 Betway *winner*
4 shorties but 4 winners so will definitely take it
Profit: 20.81 pts
71 winners
45 losers
Very nice work mate ..shorties or not profit is profit,.?
Nice one mate. Was on them all!
Evening lads
My NBA singles tonight
Avery Bradley (celtics) over 16.0 5/6
Bradley beal (wizards) over 21.0 5/6
All with PP
Good lucks everyone
————
NBA player prop record
24 wins
25 loss
I know I said the Eagles have been good against Tight Ends, but 35.5 yards for Jared Cook is ridiculous considering his 47 yard reception last week. If I didn’t have the bets on already I’d take that Cook line.
That is @ 365
Longshot treble
Wall 10+ assists/wizards win
Kyle Lowry 20+ points/Toronto win
Westbrook over 10.0 assists
10/1 with PP..
————
NBA longshot
2 wins
4 loss
NBA Bet For Tonight
4 Fold @ 5.05/1 (£10)
(nhl) Islanders ML
Celtics ML
Raptors -11.5
Warriors -12.5
Last bet..
Charlotte Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies
Pick- Charlotte Hornets-1 @ 1.86 (Bet 375)
Good luck.