AN eventful week ended with a last-minute goal beating my new Betting Club attempt but I can't really complain.
So it's ironic I go 11 winners in a row then fall at the first hurdle next time round with Serbia draw no bet in Austria.
Still, I know what last-minute goal I'd rather have had and that was Harry Kane's against Slovenia.
My Georgia draw no bet Super Single was a loser as Wales deservedly won for the first time in four years without Gareth Bale.
It's been a difficult week for finding betting value and I finally landed my first treble of the month thanks to wins to nil by Spain and Republic of Ireland as well as a victory for England Under-21s who beat Scotland 3-1.
Saturday isn't easy with more World Cup ties – mostly involving short-priced favourites – as well as English League One and Two matches and difficult to call Irn-Bru Cup games in Scotland.
I won't be putting up as many bets as usual and in fact not adding to those I posted last night.
The Super Single is under 3.5 goals at Sweden v Luxembourg and I'm thinking back to last month when France were held 0-0 at home by the so-called minnows. They defended brilliantly that night and if they do the same in Stockholm there won't be many goals.
Notts County kick off the Top Treble at home to basement boys Forest Green. County had won six in a row before losing to near neighbours Mansfield last week and should get back on track against a side that's struggled to adapt since being promoted.
Add Lincoln who have settled fairly since moving up. They face second-bottom Chesterfield who have lost five on the spin in the league and picked up just one point at home.
Complete the treble with Portugal to win to nil when they visit minnows Andorra. Not a big price but OK to add to a double.
Remember to check welovebetting for their tips and video chat.
2pts Super Single
- Sweden v Luxembourg under 3.5 goals
- (17-10, Ladbrokes)
2pts Top Treble
- Notts County
- Lincoln
- Portugal to win to nil (7.45pm)
- (11-5, bet365)
1pt Both to Score Treble
Walsall v Shrewsbury
Accrington v Luton
Barnet v Coventry (12.30pm)
(9-2, 10Bet)
Mr Fixit's October Super Singles Total
- Profit: -6pts (3 bets, 0 winners)
Mr Fixit's October Advised Accas Final Total
- Profit: -1.9pts (5 bets, 1 winner)
This month's football partner at MrFixitsTips is Unibet. They're making a big splash in the UK betting scene and if you join them today you can claim up to £30 in Welcome Bonuses when you deposit and place your first bet.
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
National League North-bound tomorrow and although there’s a few that may be best avoided, two look great – again, no time for reasoning but well worth a look:
BLYTH OVER 1.5 TGS…8/13
?????
BLTYH VS. NUNEATON
NASH VS. HARROGATE
BTTS…1.4/1
????
Good luck!
Heading away for the next day and a bit for my birthday, so posting all the match previews for the A-League now.
Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets
It’s the big F3 derby! Mariners have made some additions to their squad with Baro coming in, as well as Brama and Asdrubal. They have lost important players Hoole and Roux for this one, but overall have had a good pre-season and should challenge again this year. De Silva and Pain add some attacking options as well to the squad.
Jets enter this one after a decent pre-season as well. Old boy Ernie Merrick (who has coached everyone in the A-League by now), makes a welcome return as the coach, and he’s brought in firebrand O’Donovan, Vargas, and strong defenders Topor-Stanley and Boogaard. The absence of Moss in between the sticks is a bad one though, as he’s a solid keeper and without him they are always more susceptible.
For me, Mariners are the more likely.
Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC
Victory face Sydney in a badly timed match for the home side. Coach Muscat has been out in the press complaining that the league doesn’t recognise FIFA windows, as he’s missing host of key players heading into a game against a class side. Milligan, Troisi and Barbarouses are all on international duty. Their pre-season has been strong, but against a fierce Sydney side… not the start Muscat would want.
Sydney have retained most of their side from last year, a side which utterly dominated the league. Not much to say other than they’ve looked as good as last year in the pre-season games.
Tips:
Mariners (0) asian handicap @ 1.80
Victory v Sydney – over 2.5 goals @ 1.82
Sydney – over 1.5 team goals @ evens
Cheers for the tips, have a good birthday.
Obi how you think the mariners will cope this year with losing the likes of Montgomery, Ferreira and Donovan? Watched them a fair bit last year ( my A league team if you wish) and those 3 were important players for them
Hey Sean, sorry for the delayed response. Been away the last 30 hours.
O’Donovan and Ferreira are both replaceable losses. Both are solid players, but Asdruval is decent and did play a half-decent game (given his team got belted!). The loss of Montgomery though is significant. Monty was the captain and always held the midfield together, anchoring defense and attack. You’ll note every time he played, Mariners always played vastly better than when he didn’t.
They haven’t really replaced him this season… and whilst I thought Mariners would do enough to get at least a point yesterday, I didn’t anticipate the shambolic first half… that in fairness was only about 20 minutes of madness. For the other 70 minutes, the Mariners were okay, but Jets had done enough to lock it down, and just punished them on the counter after that point.
So yes, the loss of Montgomery may well plague them until they bring in someone of his caliber who can marshal the squad and hold everything together.
Now onto Sunday’s matches!
Wellington Phoenix v Adelaide United
This match is going to be really unpredictable. Phoenix have lost a host of players (Smeltz, Barbarouses, Rodriguez, Lia and Bonevacia), and have brought in minimal players to replace them. Vidosic, Abbas and Mullen have all joined, who are decent enough players… but in my mind are weaker than what they lost. Phoenix are always tough at home though, so it would be unwise to rule them out completely.
Adelaide were shocking last year, and as a result sacked most of their squad and coach at the end of the season. They’ve brought in a host of talented players, including big name Gulum (which sounds terribly close to Gollum), and new coach Kruz. I fancy Adelaide to trouble the Phoenix here, but am not sure on the result.
Western Sydney Wanderers v Perth Glory
For the last game of round 1, we have a solid looking Wanderers side against the Glory. Wanderers have been in blistering form in pre-season, but were surprised when coach Popavic walked from the club. They have added to ton of quality players to their ranks though, in Riera, Bonevacia, Risdon and others, and really look on paper to be a title challenger this year.
Perth have lost a number of players, crucially Risdon to their opponents today, and look really weak in defense. They do have some good attacking players… but I don’t like their chances against the Wanderers.
Tips:
Adelaide- goal before 53rd min @ 1.83
Wanderers win @ 1.90
Hope everyone has a cracker of a weekend! :)
Not the easiest of Saturday cards, I don’t think.
Three sides that I think should net are Stevenage, Shrewsbury and Weston.
Stevenage visit a Crewe side in dire form. They have lost their last 5 on the trot, conceding 13 in the process, while they have only kept one clean sheet at home this season. I backed Stevenage last week and though they aren’t too prolific, these consistent scorers ought to bag at a struggling side.
Shrewsbury top the League 1 table and have only lost in the league cup to Championship opposition. Unbeaten in the league, scoring in every fixture this season, yet they find themselves marginal underdogs when visiting Walsall? Strange. Walsall are unbeaten at home but haven’t kept a clean sheet in those games. Fair price on offer for Shrewsbury to net.
Weston and Hemel games have been bonkers in recent times (0-5, 3-5, 5-5, 2-4, 1-6) and either side have played out their fair share of goal heavy games this season. Weston usually score and concede on their travels and the only true value on offer in this game is on Weston scoring. With 13 in their last 5 in the league, I’ll take that risk.
Stevenage
Shrewsbury
Weston
O0.5 Team Goals Treble @ 1/1 (Unibet)
_________________________________
One game that stands out to me in the National League South sees St Albans welcome Bath City. Current form of either side doesn’t exactly scream goals, but St Albans’ home form does.
My eyes usually widen when I see them down to play at home because all 8 league and FA Cup qualifiers have seen BTTS and Overs land, even against weaker opposition. They’re usually much tighter and quieter on the road and as such sit in the top three. Last season they were fantastic to follow at home, too, until falling off the rails a little towards the end of the season.
Bath games aren’t usually filled with goals, but BTTS has often landed this season (9 of 12 league games). This is more consistent when they travel, with BTTS and Overs landing in 5 of 6 away games, including in three 1-2 victories. Their only quiet away game saw them win 0-1 at Concord – Concord sit second bottom, averaging less than 2 goals a game at home and scoring just 8 in 12.
St Albans’ home scoring form, Bath City’s consistent scoring form – especially on the road, and St Albans’ apparent ability to concede to anyone at home makes me fancy goals yet again in this one.
The more than fair price on offer was enough to tempt.
St Albans v Bath City BTTS and O2.5 Match Goals @ 21/20 (Bet365)
_______________________________________________________
Hemel Hempstead v Weston
St Albans v Bath City
BTTS Double @ 7/5 (Stan James)
____________________________
Good luck!
Hey guys!
Three tips for tomorrow so far:
–> EXETER to WIN @ 2.78
–> ACCRINGTON to WIN @ 3.10
–> BULGARIA vs FRANCE BTTS @ 2.20
Good luck to all!
Sat o1.5 goals tips
Notts cty tgs
Accrington v Luton mgs
Oxford v Wimbledon mgs
31/20 bet 365
October total +11.3 pts
Australia
2 derbys in oz today- the F3 and the big blue. Nothing to go on in the way of form obviously but I reckon both will be keenly contested affairs with a few cards flying about. I watched the mariners a lot last year and despite being one of the poorer teams in the league they gave almost everyone a game at home, and the formation and style they play led to a lot of corners. They were also pretty hopeless at the back however and barely kept a clean sheet so For the first game I’m going for a goals/corners/cards small stakes patent.
Mariners v jets advised tip
Mariners rt5
Btts
Over 4.5 Asian cards
that was quick
Yeah mate 2 out the 3 in so far. Just need it to get fiery now
Mitre 10 Cup ??
Southland v Wellington
Southland +26
1.90 @ bet365
GL if you follow
Aviva Prem ??
Harlequins v Sale
Great odds on Sale here. They had a cracking game v Gloucester last time beating them by 40 odd points and looking dynamic and exciting. Harlequins have had a couple of poor results, especially at home and have a lot of injuries.
Sale +7
1.90 @ bet365
?Loser?
Sale ML
3.20 @ bet365
?Loser?
Sale ht/ft
4.00 @ bet365
?Loser?
Wknd: 4-4
Overall: 52-51
42-26 Quins built a big early lead, Sale didn’t get going to the second half. Was worth a punt at those odds. Won back some money on the Sale half time spread.
Aviva Prem ??
Harlequins v Sale
Great odds on Sale here. They had a cracking game v Gloucester last time beating them by 40 odd points and looking dynamic and exciting. Harlequins have had a couple of poor results, especially at home and have a lot of injuries.
Sale +7
1.90 @ bet365
?Loser?
Sale ML
3.20 @ bet365
?Loser?
Sale ht/ft
4.00 @ bet365
?Loser?
Wknd: 4-4
Overall: 52-51
42-26 Quins built a big early lead, Sale didn’t get going to the second half. Was worth a punt at those odds. Won back some money on the Sale half time spread.
Cheers sean . yeah the Aussie league is good for pens mate ( and red cards)
Victory are 9/1 score one 28/1 miss one. Sydney 8/1 and 22/1 bet365
I am on a free sky fiver 9/1 red card/pen. Good luck with your bet.
well done sean on auzz tips
Now he’s up&running R O’Donovan to score another goal@2/1
Well done mate
Thanks?
R.O’Donovan to another goal@2/1?Good to have Aussie footy back
Morning
Bray btts
Cliftonville over 2.5mgs
Double returns 6/5
Walsall btts & overs 5/4
Good luck all
Oh how I’ve missed Saturday morning A league matches. First half-4 goals, a penalty, 3 cards, a hat trick and 8 corners ??
Will have a dabble on over 16 corners@11/8,hopefully jets will participate in getting a few?
Over 15corners my mistake@11/8
Not to be but a very entertaining game
Notts County > 1.5TGS, Walsall > 1.5 MGS Evens
Dartford > 1.5 TGS, Hemel > 2.5 MGS 1.1/1
Stevenage Win 6/4
Grant (Notts C) ATGS 13/8 – half stake
Hemel > 3.5 MGS, Walsall BTTS, Notts County & > 2.5MGS 7/1 – small stake
Dipped out on my pen trixie last night, but i will persevere with this bet for the rest of the season.
You only need to get it up a few times to show a decent profit.
Mariners v jets advised tip
Mariners rt5
Btts
Over 4.5 Asian cards
WINNER✅✅✅
Top tipping mate,decided to keep with the theme&gone for over2.5mgls@1/1
Bobo ags 9/4
Lost
Aviva Prem ??
Bath v Worcester
Over 49.5 total points
1.90
Bath points over 34.5
1.90
Worcester over 14.5
1.83
Gloucester v Northampton
Northampton ML
1.90
Double:
Newcastle +19.5
Northampton +5.5
2.02
Bath win by 13+
Leicester ML
1.92
All @ bet365
GL if you follow
Rubbish with the overnight pick – well done all Oz winners ?
Hi All
Over 1.5 Team Goals for Dartford, Tranmere and Blyth
Pays just over 2/1 at Bet 365
To Win Lincoln, Notts County and Stevenage
Pays around 5/1 at Bet 365
Good Luck to everyone today
Been awhile here. Hoping to return with a bang.
straight win for the foll teams.
Truro city
Altrincham
Hereford
Notts County
ChojniceZanka
Grantham Town.
Goodluck
India vs Australia T20
H Pandya – Player Performance over 32.5 @ 8/11 (NAP)- 4 points
H Pandya man of the match- 11/1- 1 point
didn’t bother with a bet yesterday as been rubbish on the WCQ’s just as well didn’t bother as the 2 bets I’d picked out would of lost………
today
Falkirk overs, st Mirren o1.5tgs 8/5
add Walsall btts, notts co. o1.5tgs 13/2
GL all with a bet on………….
I am on skybet enhanced treble
NOTTS COUNTY
LINCOLN
SHREWSBURY
All to win pays 8/1 .
12.30, Women’s Super League
Chelsea Women v Liverpool Women
Best Bet: Chelsea Women to win and over 3.5 goals, 11/8, SkyBet
Melbourne v Sydney
Advised tip
Sydney to win✅
Over 9 match corners✅
Over 5 Asian cards❌
Pennies short of money back for this one
Top 14/Pro 14 Early Match Double
Leinster v Munster over 34.5 total points
Stade under 28.5 team points
1.81 @ bet365
GL if you follow
risky
€50 koldingq women game over 2.5 fhg returns €110
No joy down under. Think i start following sean.
I am on craigboy`s suggestion of Chelsea women win and over 3.5 goals .
Mr. F , you wrote down “Sweden v Luxembourg under 2.5 goals” as Super Single. I guess you mean U 3.5 ?
Yeah sorry – was looking at both. Says under 3.5 in the article but will sort.
Off to see Pollok v Clydebank so good luck to everyone with all of their bets.
Check in later.
Greg where ya at bud?!
Hey all will be on a treble today
Southport ov 2.5mgs
Hungerford btts
Northampton btts
a Northampton goal away
Colchester
Crewe
Notts Cnty
Goal scored each half YES
Odds4.67/1
Tonk
Where art thou oh Gregg Browning?
€10 holland u19, poland u19 and sweden u19 games over 1.5 fhg
Flipping rubbish on the Chelsea Women’s game. Apologies anyone that followed. I feel I have spotted a gem, certainly overpriced compared to other bookies who price up at 6/4.
Ronaldo hat-trick, 3/1, bWin
Scored 4 in the reverse fixture and he’ll be keen to beat Lewandowski in the goalscoring charts.
International accumulator:
Portugal over 3.5 team goals
Belarus +3
Bulgaria +3
Bosnia v Belgium: over 2.5 goals
4/1, Betbright
Been mad busy so haven’t been on for a while. Mostly been doing in-plays as that is definitely the way to go & you invariably get better odds as it’s not often that a goal or try is scored early doors. Rugby: The Kiwi’s love Cape Town and I expect them to bring their best again for the Boks. Will wait a few minutes & see how the Boks come out but will definitely be on All Blacks total & handicap….expect a big win! Also expect the Aussies to win later on against the Pumas & they should cover too. Darts: The Wizard vs SuperChin over 7.5 sets (5/6). In-play for the total 180’s. Expect a few for sure. UFC 216 Werdum/Ferguson double (Evens). Johnson via KO/TKO/Subm (8/11). Duquesnoy/Bibulatov double (5/6). Enjoy
Done and dusted on 40 minutes ?
National League North-bound tomorrow and although there’s a few that may be best avoided, two look great – again, no time for reasoning but well worth a look:
BLYTH OVER 1.5 TGS…8/13
?????
***WON***
BLTYH VS. NUNEATON
NASH VS. HARROGATE
BTTS…1.4/1
????
***WON***
??
Superb hull
sweet
?
Cheers gents – had forgotten how to spell ‘won’ ?…keep an eye on Blyth’s games for goals!
Non League is where the gold is often found
10/11 NLN games went BTTS!
Also loads of NLS went BTTS..so out of 22 matches in NL 19/22 went BTTS.
Usually do a lower league kamikaze bet for a dubloon or two but didn’t bother today – like you say…goals-galore!
Last night Double
Wales ✓
Turkey x
-Lost-
For interest all league 1&2 games with 1goal already at halftime to be over 1.5mgls full time@3/1,there is 7 games in all
TNS VS. ELGIN (1630 KO):
TNS may be the strong favourites here but they really aren’t that strong a team – I reckon Elgin will find a way through against the Welsh champs…
ELGIN TO SCORE…4/6
???
?
Morning
Bray btts
Cliftonville over 2.5mgs
Double returns 6/5 **LOST**
Walsall btts & overs 5/4 **LOsT**
Poor, just the one second half goal needed in nigh cliftonville & Walsall games but never arrived
Well done all winners
Mr F – re the Notts County result.
We would be cacking our selves even more if you had gone that way – 94 mins is a breeze!
All the 1-9s or 1-10s I considered came in but as you said Notts County which was suggested would have been another nailbiter.
Funny thing is 4 of us who go golfing in France each year pick 2 sides to score each for a £20 acca and today we were waiting on Notts County to put another few beers in the kitty.
€50 luts atgs estonia returns €187.50
Bosnia
Dundee Utd
Over 2.5mgs double returns 2/1
Lost p1ss poor
Sat o1.5 goals tips
Notts cty tgs
Accrington v Luton mgs
Oxford v Wimbledon mgs
31/20 bet 365
LOST ❌✅✅
Surprise let down by Notts cty. Not bothering with internationals
today
Falkirk overs, st Mirren o1.5tgs 8/5 LOST
add Walsall btts, notts co. o1.5tgs 13/2 LOST
close but no cigar WD all with winners………….
€187.50 latvia no clean sheet returns €287.50
Tonight
Criciuma btts 10/11
Add beerschot over 2.5mgs
Double returns 5/2
Good luck all
DOes anyone fancy greece to score 2,…,,,,,!
I fancy Greece no clean sheet 10/11.
Mr F, is that the worst SS in history :( I hate unders
Absolutely worst SS ever – I don’t do too many unders but how can Sweden score 8 against Luxembourg and France can’t score any.
Mr f. I thought I was playing it safe with Luxembourg +4.5 Asian handicap doubling up with Portugal match btts no and over 2.5. guess we called it wrong.
Yeah was a strange one.
Andorra – Portugal
– Portugal -4.0 AH goals @ 1.93
Belarus – Holland
– Holland to win by 1 goal @ 4.10
– Holland to win by 2 goals @ 3.85
Bulgaria – France
– France to score in both halves @ 1.76
Swizerland – Hungary
– 2-3 goals @ 2.00
International Treble
Portugal to win both halves
Switzerland v Hungary – Over 1.5 mgls
Bulgaria v France – Over 1.5 mgls
EVENS
3.8 POINTS
Lost – Portugal not able to muster a goal in the first half – Ronaldo not starting didn’t help
Just shows how reliant they are on Ronaldo. Didn’t start him in case he got booked and missed the Switzerland game but surely his chances of being booked against Andorra were slim.
Seferovic ags 5/4
Lost
€50 returns €545
france ht result
cyprus game over 0.5 fhg
andorra game over 1.5 fhg
belarus game over 1.5 fhg
switzerland game over 0.5 fhg
Low stake double for the Night Owl on a rizla-thin card:
LUVERDENSE
SANTA CRUZ games (2300 KO):
BTTS DOUBLE…3.6/1
??
?
Get in Greece like i said i realy fancied them tonight
Had €15 on them,i had great run last weekend banked
£150 ONLY started with a£5 ..then done
shit in week,
Hope back to winning .like my son said to me go
With your gut,
Holland RT9 corners 6/5
Loze
Tonight
Criciuma btts 10/11 **WON**
Add beerschot over 2.5mgs
Double returns 5/2 **WON**
That’s a bit better
Incase anyone missed the Belarus v Holland game you can watch on itv4 +1 ;-) ;-)
Hi Mr f.
I am looking at best placed 2nd teams Scotland are last at minute is there any way we will miss out on playoffs even if we win tmw ?
With Bosnia losing we are guaranteed one of the play-off places if we win.
Neither Greece nor Bosnia can beat us – remember Greece’s points in their last game against Gibraltar will be knocked off.
NYRB btts & overs evens
Montero ags 5/2
Lithuania v England
England win -1.5 asian handicap at evens.
Dead rubber this game as already qualified but this means there is no pressure on England which in turn will mean england can showboat in this game.a 2 nil isnt much to ask against this Lithuania team.
Agree with that – I see Butland stating instead of Hart.
England should win to nil – Lithuania were rank rotten against us last month and couldn’t even beat Malta last week.
Also Scotland game unders all day long.
It will be unders unless Slovenia score early and we have to chase it.
Give me 1-0 Scotland any day.
Mitre 10 Cup Double
North Harbour ML
Tasman ML
2.23 @ bet365
GL if you follow
Ricky Burns still in wi a shout
Crolla just won on points – fairly big margins too.