IT'S been a mental week in the world of football but if feels like it's a bit calmer today.
Play-offs take up most of my attention and my top tips stretch over Saturday and Sunday.
I've posted separate Scottish and English previews and have some thoughts here on my European picks. VIP tips for members only will be up first thing in the morning.
With three games remaining in Italy four sides are chasing the final two Champions League places. Inter and Atalanta occupy them at the moment with Milan and Roma having to do the catching up.
After the midweek magic in the semi-finals you can see why Atalanta are desperate to qualify for the first time.
The side from Bergamo have won four in a row and today face a Genoa side without a win in seven on the road. Back the home at 1-2 with Ladbrokes.
For goals the league to look at is the Bundesliga. There's the possiblity of both scoring in all of today's eight matches and that pays 22-1 at bet365.
My best three picks are the matches at Dortmund v Fortuna Dusseldorf, Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich and that pays 11-5 at bet365.
My only bet on Friday was Aberdeen to win to nil and while the Dons got the points, Hearts scrambled a deflected goal to beat the bet.
Well done to all the winners including Greg with his French goals tips. Been working so apologies for not mentioning anyone else.
Remember to check welovebetting for their video chat and tips.
2pts Super Single
- Livingston
- (Evens, Betfred)
1pt Top Treble
- Derby +1 (5.15pm)
- Man City win to nil (Sun)
- Bayer v Schalke over 2.5 goals (2.30pm)
- (3-1, bet365)
*1pt Moneyback Fivefold
- Aston Villa (12.30pm)
- Atalanta (2pm)
- Livingston
- Cove
- Torino (11.30am, Sun)
- (18-1, McBookie)
*Stake back as free bet for 1 wrong
1pt Both to Score Treble
- Inverness v Ayr
- Forfar v Raith
- Sunderland v Portsmouth (5.15pm)
- (4-1, McBookie)
1pt Over 2.5 Goals Treble (all 2.30pm)
- Borussia Dortmund v Fortuna Dusseldorf
- Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen
- RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich
- (31-10, bet365)
Mr Fixit's May Super Singles Total: -7pts
Mr Fixit's May Accas Total: -10.3pts
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Stat based 7fold – 15/1+
Vancouver v Portland Over 2.5 gls
Atlanta
Augsburg v Hertha Over 2.5 gls
Cove
Sporting
Ajax v Utrecht Over 2.5 gls
Groningen/Overs
What do you think about Kilmarnock needing a home win to qualify? Isn’t it a good home bet?
I’ve tipped Kilmarnock but it’s not an easy game for them.
To score double
w brom
Sunderland
10/11
Jack Grealish atgs todai in Villa game, very important player if villa are to get to Wembley also have a wee punt on all bundesliga games btts as highlighted by mrf. GL 🍀
Massive playoff games for all the fans concerned with their respective clubs. Aston Villa look a shoe-in to inflict first blood to WBA. Villa have the best form in the league going into the playoffs, their ” blip ” against Norwich on the final day of the season was just that, a blip. However, I’ve seen Derby demolish WBA at their ground, I’ve seen us also concede against WBA and then score 2 late goals to cover the -1. WBA were far removed from the lofty heights that they achieved, I thought they were dreadful. Villa on the other hand have had a season end not unlike last years Fulham. Their early form hit their ability to catch up to the likes of Norwich/Sheff Utd and Leeds and I’ve seen them play Derby twice, the first encounter was not far from a bloodbath, the reverse fixture wasn’t as glum from a Derby fans perspective but they did grab all the spoils again. I cannot see past a Villa win, and even though this is the playoffs ( anything can happen ), its a local derby ( anything can happen ), but if I’m honest, Villa have more than enough to take at least a 2 goal cushion to WBA on the 15th.
Derby v Leeds. Leeds played us really early in the season at our ground and obliterated us. Almost on par with the ” soon to come ” Villa thumping that we were going to receive. Again, we then visited Leeds at their ground, and again they beat us, but Derby were not that much of a pushover. We didn’t impose our game on them enough but a loss to Leeds is almost as painful as any loss to Forest ( speaking as a Derby fan ). Leeds form has fell away at the wrong end of the season and that levels things up big time. Derby have hit a solid bit of form only registering 1 loss going back 13 or 14 games back – 2 nil at Blackburn I believe. – both were late goals. That match was in the middle of Mason Mount and a few other noted absences, so Derby’s form was a bit all over the place. Momentum is everything going into the semi’s and it is all with Derby. It is likely that Waghorn will be absent through an achilles injury, Holmes is racing to get fit but I think he’ll miss the boat. But Derby have enough cover. I’m just surprises Jack Marriott is down the pecking order behind Bennett and Nugent. Lampard’s blue eyed boy is Bennett. Bennett took a long standing record away from Derby club legend Steve Powell to become the youngest player ever to wear a Derby shirt. That was years ago. But he’s doing enough to stay with the club that nurtured his talent.
Derby MUST win this game, no ifs, no buts. This will likely be a fiery affair – it always is against Leeds, so cards are gonna fly. Former Derby loanee Patrick Bamford is banned for simulation, but Leeds have nearly a full squad to play with.
I’m thinking Derby will edge this one but I’m inclined to think Derby really need to go to Elland rd with a +2 goal advantage. So consider a price boost for Derby to cover the -1 h/c.
The cards line is drawn at overs/unders 4.5, I can see cards, I can see corners, goals and hopefully a Derby victory.
I have plumped for a Derby win and btts Yes/over 12 match corners and overs 4.5 cards. Bet 365 gave me a price north of 40/1. So check that out.
I’m inclined to think a Derby win – bare minimum to take to Elland Rd, because they’ll be all over us like a rash at their ground. If we get our noses in front, the bigger that gap, the more chance we have before a ball is kicked on the 15th. I’m knocking on a bit, sadly the match falls a day short of my birthday. If my bet lands on Saturday, I will attempt another similar bet on the 15th. Let’s see just how good our momentum is. FYI: we’re not the pushover that we were in the first half of the season, we’re much more balanced.
Good luck guys, let’s smash the bookies.
Final thought of the day, I’ve just checked Leeds website for Derby team news and tactics but there isn’t much there. I’m guessing the CAA has grounded their drones and their men in raincoats holding notebooks and binoculars have been recalled back to the Fredrick Forsyth books…
Cheers for your thoughts and enjoy the game. Hope to be watching after I get back from Beith v Bankies.
Looking for a wee bet for interest so on this. £2.
@nathanufton…Hi mate, firstly, good luck today. There’s a ‘boosted’ price on a Derby win and BTTS @ 13/2, so have taken a bit of that.
Sorry…at Skybet
It was 4 corners short and 2 goals. It did come in on the Villa game though, but a lower price of around 24/1. Cards were flying in, could easily of been many more.
Waasland beveren
St gilloise
Over 2.5mgs double evens
Over 3.5mgs double 3/1
All 5 Belgium games overs 6/1
Good luck
Forfar over 2.5mgs
Clyde over 1.5tgs
Double 2/1
Nisbett (raith rovers)
Ags 21/20
Brace 5/1
Good luck
Sticking with my pens in the SPL. Penalty taken at .
Kilmarnock v Hibs
Livi v Dundee
St. Johnstone v Motherwell
All three up pays over 160/1 Hills price boost .
Also on over 2.05 mg in the same 3 games. 9/1 skybet.
I agree with the Bundesliga and goals, another bet I’ve been following closely is the early corners in that league, was the corner before 9 minutes market and a few times the Saturday games all came in, they have dropped the market lately to corner before 8 minutes and some even before 7 minutes, I’ve won a few notes over the season on this market but go the safer option of corner before 10 minutes, less odds but 2 minutes in football is a lot for a corner believe it or not as I’ve been greedy and gone for the better odds for the minute markets bet365 put the minutes on mainly the first half the season when most were the before 8 or 9 mins and I been caught many times with it coming in the next couple of mins!!
Anyway all games today corner before 10 mins in the bundesliga pays 35.5/1 adding the Frankfurt game tomorrow pays 56/1.
I think it’s worth keeping another eye on these next season as most Saturdays it’s 6/8 or 7/8 and like I said a few times 8/8. Good luck today guys
Morning Folks/Mr F. I do like your German over 2.5 goals treble but on 365 this morning it’s paying about 6/5? Anyone else on it? 2/7 2/9 and 4/9. Am I doing something wrong?
Those prices are extremely short – when I quoted them they were all much bigger.
I wouldn’t have included a 2-7 or 2-9 – have a look at btts which should be better.
One catching my eye Leipzig 4/1 .to beat Bayern.
Also I done a season bet at the start of the season, it was an 6 fold, 4 of the 6 were in weeks ago but the last 2 are going to the wire, Bayern to win bundesliga which I’m hoping lands today, and West Ham to finish top half which I’m hoping Watford rest the whole squad for the final tomorrow!! Cash out is at £239 and the full pay out is £918. Is it worth my while covering the bet with double chance on Watford? Which is about £250 to get my stake back, I want to let it run but West Ham are so unpredictable and it being last game. What’s your thoughts guys please
Bayern have a harder 2 games but experience I think they will do it
If that’s your thoughts you can leave until teams are revealed. I’ve tipped Watford because I assume they will play a much weakened team but as you say the Hammers can’t be relied on. The title’s almost Bayern’s but today’s game will be tough although results wise it means nothing to Leipzig.
Personally I wouldn’t take £239 when a £918 winner is so close but it depends on how much you need the £239.
Saturdays goals tips
Over 1.5tgs
Atalanta
Dortmund
Hoffenheim
7/5 ladbrokes NB
Today sees Al Sadd in action in the semi final of the princes cup. I’ve went into great detail about about their goal scoring prowess numerous times this season so I’ll keep it fairly brief. I expect them to win and win well today. Al rayyan might be able to notch 1 themselves but I expect al sadd to score at least 4. Ko is 830 uk time
Al sadd to win/over 3.5mgs 10/11 NAP
Al sadd over 3.5tgs 6/4
Al sadd to win bh 5/4
All priced at bet 365
Moneyback wdw acca
Hoffenheim
Ict
Atalanta
Clyde
Paok
20/1 ladbrokes
Off to build a decking then out for dinner with the mrs tonight so won’t be about today, good luck with your bets folks
Cove rangers 1/2
Atalanta double chance 1/8
Aston villa double chance 2/9
B dortmund v Fortuna over 1.5 mg 1/17
Hoffenheim v W bremen btts 1/3
Just under 2/1 for all winners.
My 50th birthday today and i always seem to win on my birthdays so heres hoping for today.
Have a good day. I hope I win when my 50th comes round!
over 2.5goals
*dortmund
*schalke 04
*hannover
*hoffenheim
*leipzig
good luck kickoff1630hrs
5pts play off treble
both teams to score
derby v leeds
Doncaster v Charlton
sunderland v Portsmouth
6/1 William hill price boost
all 3 games had both to score this season
Treble the day and free 5er on 11am 4fold….
Atalanta
Varbergs BoIS
Forfar v Raith BTTS
3/1 treble
Thanh Hoa vs Ha Noi FC – O2.5 Goals
Jeonnam Dragons vs Suwon FC – BTTS
Leixoes SC vs Pacos Ferreira – BTTS
FC Seoul vs Daegu FC – O1.5 Goals
7/1
36mins in and 3/4 up with just Pacos score so covered at 6/4 btts no in that one
Thanh Hoa vs Ha Noi FC – O2.5 Goals 3-0
Jeonnam Dragons vs Suwon FC – BTTS 1-1
FC Seoul vs Daegu FC – O1.5 Goals 1-1
Leixoes SC vs Pacos Ferreira – BTTS 1-0
Boooooooom Mr H thumb up
I cannot understand why the cards line has been set at 2.5 for bayern v rb leipzig. Unless I am missing something this is too low. Ref has a great history of cards and red cards.
Bet365 3 Asian cards 1.950
Skybet red card in match 4.50.
Good luck.
Maybe because it means nothing to RB although I’d imagine they’d love to upset Bayern.
Agreed however h2h rivalry and the fact that rb leipzig will be licking their lips at the thought of taking points off bayern in the title run when bayern are so close. The referee stats are also very strong so reckon these are great value.
andrez . If you have a Unibet account you can get 5/1 for your red card mate .
I’m with you on this one.
Full Stake:
RB Leipzig v Bayern
1+ Card Each Team @ 4/6 (Bet365)
______________________________
Morning gents
Total goals and early goal bets
https://mrfixitstips.co.uk/italian-serie-b-full-card-to-be-full-of-goals/
Thanh hoa (Vietnam 11am)
Chonburi (Thailand 12pm)
Asian over 2.5mgs Double 7/5
Good luck
today
ICT o1.5tgs 21/20
GL……………….
Thanh Hoa vs Ha Noi FC – O2.5 Goals
Jeonnam Dragons vs Suwon FC – BTTS
Leixoes SC vs Pacos Ferreira – BTTS
FC Seoul vs Daegu FC – O1.5 Goals
7/1 ✔
Happy way that for a free fiver 👌
Invest some in this…..
Yes @ 13/10
Aston Villa vs West Brom
Both Teams To Score & O 2.5
Yes @ 5/4
Hebei China Fortune vs Henan Jianye
Both Teams To Score & O 2.5
Doubles – 1 bet
Stake: 1 bet @ 4/1
Good shout mr h.
Villa v West Brom .
Red card 7/2 . Bet365
Red card for both teams 45/1 Betfair
Just missed this but got penalty bets on. Good luck Cocker!
Cheers andy .
Btts/win acca – Forfar,Inverness,Hibs + Leipzig. 1002/1. Have a free £2 bet with PP. so stuck it on this. Hibs are 10/1 alone in this market so single betting this too great price.
Back to my favourite type of bet
BET 1
Slovan Bratislava to score both halves
Slovan Bratislava over 2.5tgl
Bet365betbuilder 2/1
Will see how this pans out before deciding on a couple more on my HIT list😂😂😂
Kilmarnock v Hibs
Like Aberdeen last night Killie will be desperate to win this match , can see it get feisty.
20 + Kilmarnock booking points 1/1
50 + booking points in the match 15/8
Skybet
Longshot 5fold effort
Palermo & O2.5 – 27/20
Lecce & O2.5 – 27/20
St Johnstone vs Mwell – BTTS & O 2.5 – 33/20
PAOK Saloniki -1 handicapvs AEK Athens – 9/2
Nimes vs Monaco – Nimes & O2.5 – 15/4
375/1
Thanh hoa (Vietnam 11am)
Chonburi (Thailand 12pm)
Asian over 2.5mgs Double 7/5**WON**
Cracker
Yes @ 13/10
Aston Villa vs West Brom
Both Teams To Score & O 2.5
Yes @ 5/4
Hebei China Fortune vs Henan Jianye
Both Teams To Score & O 2.5
Doubles – 1 bet
Stake: 1 bet @ 4/1 ✔
7/1 free fiver winner followed up by a wee 4/1 double from the proceeds 😀 Big note for free 👍
👍
They say nowts for free…. How wrong is that saying,they also say money doesn’t grow on trees…. Dont say you have trees, totally smashed it, well done👍
Nice one
Just won £20 off the Villa so stuck half on Leipzig at 4/1. Live Bt Sport.
Red card at Villa 7/2 WINNER
No joy with the long shot LOSER
Good start to the day .
Good work Cocker! I got the Villa penalty @ 6/1 ✅
We should’ve doubled up lol!
Well done again on the cards cocker,should have been a pen too in that
The hell am I talking about should have beena pen 😂 sat n watched it go in🍁✌
Cheers lads . I should have done the double
Nice 6/1 shot andy
RB Leipzig v Bayern in-play
Bet Builder:
Btts
Over 2.5gls
Over 2.5 cards
@ 2/1
5pts treble
both teams to score
botev Plovdiv v beroe Bulgarian league
8/8 last head to heads in league
arouca v Estoril Portugal segunda
4/4 last heads to heads in league
nice v nantes france
5/5 last head to heads
13/2 William hill price boost
At the Sunderland play off semi tonight. It’s going to be feisty. Pompey are a dirty side and have a few fouls in them. Nathan Thompson could be caught up in a few argie bargies – 15/8 for him to be carded.
Mcgeady to be carded 14/5
Red card 3/1
Btts 10/11
Nap is each team 20+ booking points 10/11
acsafc. I was looking at cards in this game as well mate . If you do the 20 + booking points each team with bet365 it`s 6/4
Cheers cocker I’ll do it there instead. I’ll be amazed if there’s not a load of cards no love lost on or off the field between us and Pompey
Afternoon gents,
VALUR VS. ÍA (9.15pm):
Like the look of both sides scoring in this evenings Urvaslsdeild game – Valur have had an unexpectedly poor start and have been vulnerable at the back whilst ÍA have hit 5 in their opening 2 matches.
Alas, the price is short at 4/7 so look to boost that by rolling up btts with a decent corner count – something that’s rarely lean on Valur’s narrow Vodafonevöllurinn pitch!
BTTS + OVER 10 CORNERS
(2/1, bet365 – betbuilder)
Best of luck!
Bet365betbuilder 2/1 wins😁
Tea time btts double
Angers
Cagliari
17/10
Binacional to score both halves
Binacional over 2.5tgl
Bet365betbuilder 9/4
🇮🇹 Hail Serie B 🇮🇹
25+ goals scored 10/11 (NAP) ✅
All matches over 1.5 goals 15/2 ✅
Very generous of Skybet giving us total goal market – 31 in total. 🕺🏽
🏴 Scottish plays off’s 🏴
Forfar v Raith
Stenhousemuir v Annan
BTTS double 8/5 ✅
Nice one Greg !!!
Great shout . I was on 27 + goals at 13/8 plus the 15/2 shot . Well done
Brilliant stuff Greg. Was on ur Italian bets cheers
Brilliant work Greg…Pescara made me sweat for the O1.5mgs all games, but eventually came in. Went large on the NAP Gregg. Cheers for posting. Top man!
I see the Class of 92 have brought their way in to the football league now then…. Congrats Salford
I see the Class of 92 have brought their way in to the football league now then…. Congrats Salford
Atalanta
Varbergs BoIS
Forfar v Raith BTTS
3/1 treble 👍
Treble up too for good measure,productive Saturday
Well done again .
Forfar over 2.5mgs
Clyde over 1.5tgs
Double 2/1 **LOST**
Nisbett (raith rovers)
Ags 21/20**WON**
Brace 5/1**LOST**
Pity no 3rd goal in Forfar
Fingers crossed for plenty goals in Belgium tonight
Small stake on
Harry Wilson ags 3/1
Good luck
Lost
2 out of 3 in my pen trixie . Double paid over 16/1
My card bets at Kilmarnock Loser
Goal bets Loser
I have had a good day – a pen at Livi would have made it a great one
Good work cocker
Superb again cocker,i rarely bet pens or cards but seems productive
Cheers lads . The prices for pens in the SPL and the EPL are normally good . It`s a bit of a lucky dip at times . But over the past few seasons i am definitely ahead .
Btts treble for teatime kickoffs and see if the luck continues
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa FC Gibraltar – Both Teams to Score
Cliftonville vs Glentoran Belfast – Both Teams to Score
Derby County vs Leeds – Both Teams to Score
10/3
Sunderland v Portsmouth
Portsmouth to win at 13/5*****(NAP)
Portsmouth to win -1 asian handicap at 6.800(NB)
Best of luck
Real bet or just a wind up🤔,childish if just a wind up fella
Btts treble:
3/4 – Both Teams to Score
FC Dallas – New York Red Bulls
18/25 – Both Teams to Score
Fiorentina – AC Milan
19/20 – Both Teams to Score
Sunderland – Portsmouth
Sunderland have been my go-to side for both teams scoring this season, hoping they’re gonna continue this trend into the playoffs?
The treble pays 4.9/1
Good luck all tonight👍
Angers
Cagliari
Btts double 17/10 won
AC Milan 13/10
Sunderland 13/10
Celtic & Btts 15/4
With bet365
2 Derby goals and 4 corners short but the cards count sailed in. Derby have it all to do. Our game plan wasn’t good enough, Leeds pressed high and forced mistakes. Whenever we started an attack, there was 1 Derby player up front being outnumbered and nullified. The penalty looked a given, until I saw the replay, but it leaves a bitter taste in your mouth when Leeds players swarm and bitch at the linesman to force the ref into a conversation. Dirty Leeds.
On another day, Klick could of been sent off, he was lucky to get a yellow. I guess the yellow was for intent rather than making a connection, but Derby have to up their game all over the pitch if they’re to turn this around.
There is a small silver lining. late last night, I dropped a £10 on the same bet in the Villa game: Villa win and btts, over 12 corners, over 4.5 cards. It came in for I think 24/1.
The commentator hit the nail on the head for me, he said ” It’s as though Derby celebrated their sole achievement of making the playoffs after the win against WBA “. It feels like Derby don’t have a plan in place on how they’re going to approach these 2 legs against Leeds because they’ve already reached their goal – which is the playoffs. Far too negative for me.
Expect more cards at Elland Rd on the 15th, but I fear Derby will get nothing from that game. Judging by Leeds direct play, high pressing etc, a corners handicap on Leeds could also be the way forwards ( with the overs cards bet ).
At the moment its looking like a Villa/Leeds final. But its been a great few weeks for comebacks in English football. I won’t be holding my breath with Derby. We needed a couple of goals to take to Elland Rd, we never got them.
I hope somebody on the site managed to eek out a few quid today.
One more before Peru bet365 betbuilder Uruguay
Liverpool M over 1.5tgl 11/10
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Europa FC Gibraltar – Both Teams to Score
Cliftonville vs Glentoran Belfast – Both Teams to Score
Derby County vs Leeds – Both Teams to Score
10/3 ❌
Luck ran out so that’s it for the day,wee sneaky ticket for the Debtdome tomorrow at noon so quiet night then up and at it 😀
Can see Kortrijk running wild
Inplay over 5.5tgl 11/4
Fun bet for sporting game
Raphinha
Phellype
Both players to score 9/2
Lost
Waasland beveren
St gilloise
Over 2.5mgs double evens**WON**
Over 3.5mgs double 3/1**LOST**
All 5 Belgium games overs 6/1**WON**
Happy with that
Well done all winners today
AC Milan 13/10 “WON”
Sunderland 13/10 “WON”
Celtic & Btts 15/4 Pending.
With bet365
To score double
w brom
Sunderland
10/11
Won
Burnley/arsenal btts
Charlton to score
11/10
Liverpool M over 1.5tgl lost but main bet in Peru needing Binacional to score in 2nd half for 9/4
Bet365betbuilder😁
No joy on Qatar with only 1/3 landing, Earlyish missed pen not helping what I suspect would’ve been the floodgates opening at 2-0.
Al sadd to win/over 3.5mgs 10/11 NAP❌
Al sadd over 3.5tgs 6/4❌
Al sadd to win bh 5/4✅
All priced at bet 365
Mr h canny believe your giving them your hard earned coin today- shame on you! 😂😂😂
Well in Shaker!!! Got to love a 96th minute winner haha
Whoops, sorry Hull, I thought it was 10 you needed
Sadly there were 10 corners. Unlucky hull