WASN'T a great night for me with the likes of Valencia, Real Madrid and Schalke failing at home.
Well done to anyone who picked a winner including Greg with his Man United nap which was a brave call in the circumstances.
Goals weren't too bad and luckily Twitter followers voted for over 2.5 at Roda v PSV on bet 2 of the new £10 to £1000 challenge so that's something like 11 or 12 single winners in a row and bet 3 will be posted sometime on Thursday.
There are two Premier League matches – Burnley v Chelsea and Leicester v Southampton. Quite fancy Burnley, who have won their last five, and certainly Burnley not to lose while Leicester may have to settle for a draw at home to Southampton.
In League One Blackburn can join Wigan at the top of the table by beating a Peterborough side who have play-off ambitions.
Other games I've looked at are in La Liga and Holland. Alaves and Levante are in good enough form to beat Girona and Malaga respectively while Real Betis, who have won five in a row and four of them without conceding, look best bets of all at home to a Las Palmas outfit who have lost five out of six.
Leaving Ajax alone after the title was lost at the weekend and instead backing both to score at Utrecht v Groningen. Utrecht's last five have gone that way as have five out of six for Groningen.
Remember to check out welovebetting for their latest tips and betting blogs.
2pts Super Single
- Burnley +1
- (10-11, BetBright)
3pts Top Treble
- Utrecht v Groningen btts (5.30pm)
- Blackburn
- Real Betis (8.30pm)
- (11-5, Marathonbet)
April Super Singles Total: -13.7pts
April Advised Accas Total: -20.8pts
This month's football partner at MrFixitsTips is BetBright. They've a great welcome offer where you can claim up to £50 to play with when you deposit £10 upon opening a new acount. 18+. T&Cs apply. New customers only.
Early post for the Night Owl and I’m making tracks to La Paz with my oxygen tanks packed and ready to go…
THE STRONGEST VS. TUCUMAN (2315 KO):
I’ve been writing about the Bolivian altitude advantage for a long time and historically it has been a massive part of their home dominance – but that scenario has played out hand in hand with The Strongest/Bolivar being the best domestic sides and no slouches on the sub-continent.
BUT, The Strongest are at their weakest in the 6 or 7 years that I have followed their fortunes and that’s relected in an utterly unprecedented domestic run of 4 back to back defeats. They are NOT (currently) the force they previously have been.
The visiting Arentines can capitalise on this at some massive prices – they are a great footballing side and have proved they know where the goal is with 4 away goals in their last 5 Libertadores matches.
Three selections to consider:
TUCUMAN TO SCORE…EVENS
????
***WON***
BTTS…11/10
???
***WON***
TUCUMAN OVER 1.5 TGS…11/2
?
***WON***
??
Brilliant Hull.
Cheers Hull ??
Super tipping hull?
nice one Hull !!
Superb Hull, read your post last night, logged on to bet365 and Tucuman scored a 30 yard goal to open the scoring.
Was just too late but brilliant selections
He’s back! Thanks for that Hully, saved the day really.
Haha – cheers lads…a bit better that.
Midtjylland > 10 Match corners, Hammarby / Fenerbache > 1.5 `MGS Evens – Main Bet
Midtjylland > 11 Match Corners, Hammarby > 2.5 MGS, Burnley BTTS 4/1 – small stake
Hamad ATGS 8/5 (Hammarby) – small stake
The game in Denmark usually sees a shed load of corners. Should be goals in Sweden where recent stats and H2H. The Turkish cup game was a 2-2 in the first leg – worth looking at cards if you can find a market if the first leg of this Istanbul derby was anything to go by!
GL all today
Sad thing is @wasclueless is that it seems the bookies have cottoned onto the corner counts in big Danish games! You could typically get 8+ Match Corners @ 2/5 but it’s 10+ Corners for that price tonight… I might look in-play instead, but Brondby did rack up an astonishing 17 corners here last month.
Still, I’ll probably end up on something similar. Good luck!
fingers crossed for a corners fest ;)
Also going to pinch Hull’s NPL pick …
Shaw Lane / Matlock > 2.5 MGS, Burnley + 1.5AH 2/1 – quarter stake
Bet 32
Spain – Primera Liga – 8.30pm
Levante v Malaga
2-3 Match Goals
2.05 (Bet Stars)
*************************
Profit/Loss: -6.7pts
Surely S/Hampton will have to go for it tonight.
40 + booking points 5/4
20 + booking points each team is a big 11/4
Skybet.
Now been cut to 1/1 and 9/4
All five Swiss games over 2.5goals@11.51/1 bet365 1point
Same again but over 1.5mgl@1.63/1 skybet 2.5points
Two games that interest me tonight…
SHAW LANE VS. ALTRINCHAM
It’s fair to say that SLA have had a pretty hectic schedule and with this being their 5th game in just 10 days – I reckon a few of those players might just be looking forward to getting pulled off at half-time…beats a bottle of lucozade sport I suppose.
Altrincham have played 1 less in that spell and head into this one table-toppers and with their tails up after spanking the hosts 5-1 just a few weeks ago. This will be SLA’s return to home soil at Sheerian Park after the last 2 home games were rearranged as away fixtures due to the state of the pitch.
There could well be goals here with plenty still to play for; Altrincham will be looking to close the gap on that Champions title whilst The Ducks need to push hard for a play-off spot.
Won’t be a dull affair and I can see both teams contributing – no value markets out there yet but will be post if like the look of anything.
**********************
VALUR VS. IBV (1800 KO):
Icelandic action here and when I think of Valur I think of corners. Can’t quote any stats or figures as stuck on a very delayed train to London but Valur very frequently dominate games through offensive possession and wider wing play – check them out when the Urvalsdeild begins on the live feeds.
The result of this is regular high corner counts – this one could go the same way.
Two selections:
OVER 10 CORNERS…4/5
???
OVER 12 CORNERS…13/8
?
Best of luck today!
Good luck, my tips are up and the treble for the Twitter vote is picked out.
Might add Bet of the Day later but for now I’m off to the golf on the hottest day of the year by a mile.
Agree with you on Alty hull, I was at Moss Lane to watch the mighty Robins batter Barwell 4-0 on Saturday, 2 goals in each half. Despite a shaky first 15 minute spell where Barwell really should’ve scored, Alty were dominant for the rest of the game and a real threat going forward… hit the bar, and could’ve been 5 or 6 nil.
Over 2.5 mgls is 8/15. It might be worth doing Bet365’s Bet-Builder for this one, Altrincham win & Over 2.5mgls looks tempting at 7/4 – this is what I picked for the Barwell game.
Good luck Mr F/Alex!
My 3 picks for tonight;
4-Fold
Leicester
Burnley double chance
Fenerbahce v Besiktas – BTTS
Utrecht v Groningen – BTTS
9/1
1 POINT
4- Fold – Over 2.5 mgls
Utrecht v Groningen
Midtylland v Brondby
Fenerbahce v Besiktas
Burnley v Chelsea
4/1
1 POINT
Add Ajax game Overs for 5-Fold
9.24/1
1 POINT
Afternoon gents , quite a busy card for a Thursday. A lot said about Man U yesterday but you can’t be knocking back even money at Bournemouth regardless of how bad they’ve been
Burnely v Chelsea KO 7.45pm
Must win for Chelsea in their quest for champions league football against a side who unbelievable are challenging Arsenal for 6th Place. A win for Burnely propels them above Arsenal. both sides needing the points and should be a decent game
Real Betis v Las Palmas KO 8.30pm
You have to feel for Las Palmas, they look certainties to go back down and much of that is due to their inability to win away from home ( one win in their last 34 games in La Liga is brutal) They travel to play inform Betis who have had a terrific season and have won 5 on spin – Europe beckons for them next season
Burnley v Chelsea over 1.5 goals
Betis to win
Double pays 9/10 (Marathonbet) (NAP)
****************************
The 5 Swiss games at 7pm
Going for a goal in the first 10 mins and and a goal before 30 mins
Should see goals in these 5 games and I agree with @lockhart that all 5 over 2.5 goals looks a good shout
Mr F, long time follower and gold member. Can I ask you why the challange bets are on Twitter? I don’t have Twitter and don’t want another social media site to have to log into. We pay for the members bets here and they are put on another platform. Couldn’t it be put up on the main site Or both if you have followers on Twitter
The bets are on Twitter because it’s easier to do the vote.
As a Gold member you will share the spoils of the win as was the case the last time.
I will let people know on here when each vote takes place.
Mr F – I think we’re asking to advertise the result of the vote not nessesarily to take part so we’ve got the option to follow.
Yeah I can do that but it’s easy to look on Twitter and also have a vote if you have an opinion.
Noted above that the corner prices aren’t as value as they have been in Denmark, but I fancy them to add up regardless. Definitely feel that Brondby are the more reliable side, but I’ll be watching this one in-play to see if any value opens up.
Midtjylland v Brondby
Brondby To Score and 11+ Match Corners @ 19/25 (Bet365)
_________________________________________________
Both sides have started impressively and played out a 3-2 in a friendly last month. Fancy more of the same here.
Hammarby v Norkopping
BTTS & O2.5 Match Goals @ 4/5 (Sky Bet)
___________________________________
Good luck all.
see we have similar picks – GL Leroy!
Where do I find your bet in Midtjylland game on bet365?
Sorry @jarssonn I didn’t see this! You would’ve had to select Over 10 Corners and Midtjylland Clean Sheet No separately, and then bet them as a double in your bet slip.
Thanks i found it in the end
Leicester – Southampton – 2-3 goals @ 2.02
Betis – Las Palmas – under 3.5 goals @ 1.73
Blackburn – Peterborough – 2-3 goals @ 2.02
Denmark Superligaen 19:00
Midtjylland vs Brondby – Brondby -1 corner handicap 13/10 Paddypower **NAP**
—————————————————————————————————————
Sweden Allsvenskan 18:00
IFK Goteborg vs Dalkurd FF – IFK Goteborg to win either half
England Premier League 19:45
Leicester vs Southampton – over 5.0 first half Asian corners
Spain Primera Liga 20:30
Levante vs Malaga – over 2.0 goal line
Levante vs Malaga – over 19.5 multicorners
4-Fold 8.19/1 Bet365 **NB**
As @wasclueless alluded to Midtjylland vs Brondby frequently produces high corner counts and just looking back to last month when this same fixture happened makes for some interesting reading. There were 21 corners in total but Brondby’s pretty much made up for most of it; (3-6 at HT), (1-11 second half) & 4-17 at full time all in Brondby’s favour. This was by no coincidence either, Brondby were the better team and the stats proved it, they had 76 dangerous attacks to Midtjylland’s 52 and 15 shots on target compared to Midtjylland’s 8. Based on these stats there are some good plays available here such as Brondby corner match bet, Brondby 1st & 2nd half corner match bets, Brondby multicorners, Brondby team corners etc but I’m picking Brondby -1 corner handicap seeing as they covered it so comfortably last time out.
Good luck all
Hammarby
Midtjyland
Over 2.5mgs Double 7/4
also taken over 2.5mgs in all 5 Swiss games
Good luck
Also like the look of corners in Denmark tonight but in the Silkeborg v Hobro game which kicks off at 5PM. The three meetings this season have seen 10 – 11 – 12 corners. Silkeborgs last 5 at home have seen 14 – 12 – 12 – 11 – 22. I’ll be doubling it up with Chelsea no clean sheet.
Silkeborg over 9 match corners + Chelsea no clean sheet @ 2.60 on Betfair.
Combo @ 15.70
– Craiova – Botosani – Craiova to win @ 1.60
– Burnley – Chelsea – over 1.5 goals @ 1.35
– Alaves – Girona – 1X @ 1.34
– Will – Chiasso – btts @ 1.68
– Winterthur – Wohlen – Witerthur over 1.5 goals @ 1.37
– Hammarby – Norrkoing – 2nd Half over 1.5 goals @ 1.72
– (Basketball) CSKA – Khimki – over 162.5 @ 1.37
Just had chance to look at prices in the Northern Prem pick now they’re up – two selections:
OVER 3.5 MGS…5/4
???
BTTS 1ST HALF…5/2
?
COME ON ALTY !!!!
Chelsea are yet to keep a clean sheet at Turfmoor and statistically that shouldn’t change tonight against the best Burnley side we’ve seen since their most recent promotion. With European football well in with a shout they should be well up for this. Chelsea have been lucky over the past coupe of weeks with a big comeback at St Marys last weekend. They’ve kept only two clean sheets on the road this season and I fancy Burnley to continue their scoring form. A very nice goal time, but I can’t see them keeping Chelsea out their own net, so BTTS is the pick here.
Burnley/Chelsea BTTS @ 19/20 @ 365 – 4 points
Tow clean sheets in their last 10 in the road that should be*
Burnley to win 18/5 . Bet Vic.
Burnley/Chelsea BTTS
Blyth Spartans/Southport BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals
Leicester/Southampton BTTS
Alaves Double Chance
33/5 @ 365 – 1 point
Live 0-0 HT
Silkeborg – Hobro
– over 1.5 goals @ 1.75
Over 1.5mgs @ EVS Treble (NAP)
Burnley v Chelsea
Leicester v Southampton
Blackburn v Peterborough
Bakayoko to be booked 11/4 – quarter stake
Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid (in-play now 25 minutes gone)
Over 2.5 goals @ 12/5 has a great chance
Final score 3:0 :)
tonite
brugge o1.5tgs, hemel Hempstead overs hair over 13/10
add burnley btts, Blackburn win just under 6/1
GL………………..
Evening all.
Leicester v Southampton
Over 2.5 goals at 17/20
Over 3.5 goals at 2/1 (NAP)
Over 4.5 goals at 5/1 (NB)
I think the bookies have goals way way overpriced here and i’m certainly willing to take them on!There just isn’t enough games left for Southampton to mess about it’s do or die they have to attack no other option and given the hosts ability to counter with pace we could be in for a pretty high scoring game,expect an open game here end to end.Correct score 4-2
Best of Luck
Like the look of this skyrab, 1pt on it.
BTTS and 4+ corners each team in each of BUR v CHE and LEI v SOU 9/1
GLWAYB
in play 83 mins 2-1
valur o3.5mgs 5/4
LOST grrrrrrrrrr…………
Hammarby
Midtjyland
Over 2.5mgs Double 7/4 **WON**
WD DC !!
Nice price yet again DC!
Thanks lad
Wood ags 21/10
Lost
In Play Half Stake:
Midtjylland v Brondby
13+ Corners @ 5/6 (Bet365)
_______________________
Lol Blackburn are really bottling this if they end up in the play offs will get beaten and stuck in that division for years Shrewsbury will overtake them if they keep performing like this !
Midtjylland > 10 Match corners, Hammarby / Fenerbache > 1.5 `MGS Evens – Main Bet – WON / Void
Game in Turkey even more feisty than I thought …. Pepe red card, players fighting and too much stuff getting chucked on the pitch to continue – think it was the Fener coach with blood streaming down his head who refused to continue .. not great scenes …
Midtjylland v Brondby
Brondby To Score and 11+ Match Corners @ 19/25 (Bet365) ///WIN///
_________________________________________________
Hammarby v Norkopping
BTTS & O2.5 Match Goals @ 4/5 (Sky Bet) ///WIN///
___________________________________
In Play Half Stake:
Midtjylland v Brondby
13+ Corners @ 5/6 (Bet365) ///LOST///
_______________________
Got a little greedy and fancied a couple of late corners once Brondby had equalised – but they didn’t come.
Good profit with both main bets landing, though! :)
Couple of nice winners Leroy ?
Acca down but main bet at Turfmoor a winner ??
WINNER ??
—
Also like the look of corners in Denmark tonight but in the Silkeborg v Hobro game which kicks off at 5PM. The three meetings this season have seen 10 – 11 – 12 corners. Silkeborgs last 5 at home have seen 14 – 12 – 12 – 11 – 22. I’ll be doubling it up with Chelsea no clean sheet.
Silkeborg over 9 match corners + Chelsea no clean sheet @ 2.60 on Betfair.
@Jordan nice BTTS there …. WD & thanks (my 4/1 quarter stake was 1 corner short in Denmark)
????
rely on your tips to cover my losses lol
Blimey. No pressure ?
Giving up on my bookings at Leicester . Loser
Denmark Superligaen 19:00
Midtjylland vs Brondby – Brondby -1 corner handicap 13/10 Paddypower **NAP** ✅ WON
—————————————————————————————————————
Sweden Allsvenskan 18:00
IFK Goteborg vs Dalkurd FF – IFK Goteborg to win either half
England Premier League 19:45
Leicester vs Southampton – over 5.0 first half Asian corners
Spain Primera Liga 20:30
Levante vs Malaga – over 2.0 goal line
Levante vs Malaga – over 19.5 multicorners
4-Fold 8.19/1 Bet365 **NB** LOST
It finished 4-7 on corners to Brondby in the end. Well done all winners
great nap bully, looked for it pre match on365 but wasnt available
Cheers Shortee, unfortunatey 365 don’t go as in depth on the corner markets as Paddy’s do.
both bets LOST hemel going under 2.5 brought down both………………
WD all with a win…………………..
nice 7/4 there dc old bean…………….. gallus
Early Value Bet….
Saturday sees the Wolves travel to Bolton.
We won the home fixture 5-1 against Bolton. Not taking this to be easy. We have a bit of a history with Bolton stemming back to the days of John McGinley and losing out in playoffs in the 90s. Also fair to say that Bolton are fighting for survival.
I expect us to win as Nuno has thrown down the gauntlet to the team that he wants us to break the 100 points barrier with a max 104 still up for grabs.
A win will give us the title and anyone thinking the players will be struggling to be motivated knowing we’re already promoted is having a laugh.
Last week I said we’d get 2 against Blues as my most confident pick of the season. It was suggested that the players would have had a late night celebrating promotion the previous night…. not a chance with this team.
Some great value, especially in goals which will worsen before the game I’m sure.
Wolves 2+ goals – 11/10 – 5 points (NAP)
Wolves 3+ goals – 7/2 – 1 point
Wolves score both halves – 9/4 – 1 point
A point to note…. as a season ticket holder for a long time this is the first time we’ve actually been confident that something special is on the horizon. The owners aren’t messing about and certainly aren’t just hoping for survival. I think we will spend by this summer and really go for it. Also have no concerns that any star players will depart.
7/4 is available for a top half finish and I’ll be honest I’ve lumped on this.
Prem is a funny league. It’s like 2 leagues in 1… top 6 and the rest. Nobody outside the top 6 concerns me and I think top 10 is there for the taking.
I think we will surprise a lot of people next season.
Hail the Betis ?
95th minute winner ✅
HaHa…you lucky duck!
Can’t beat a late winner to bring up a betis. ?
1-2 in the Shaw Lane game…
OVER 3.5 MGS…5/4
???…lost
BTTS 1ST HALF…5/2
?…WON
No idea how many corners in Valur’s game – stuck working so never got the bet on.
Called it – Altrincham & Over 2.5 mgls 7/4 ?