Week 14 from Newcastle
7pm, Thu, Sky Sports 3 HD
AT the beginning of the Premier League season 99 people out of 100 would have expected to see Michael van Gerwen, Raymond van Barneveld and Phil Taylor in the top four – and that's exactly what's happened.
Some might not have predicted Van Gerwen would be top of the table with one week left but after the way he's played this year few will be surprised to see him in that position – and I can't see Barney toppling him this week.
But there's a great battle taking place for the final play-off spot after James Wade lost both of his games last week. I expected him to beat Andy Hamilton who had nothing but pride to play for but James was beaten by a very good professional who took some big shots out in the early legs and went on and won comfortably.
That's put James in a perilous position where both Robert Thornton and Simon Whitlock can now beat him to the O2 Arena. He's had some good performances this year but also some indifferent ones.
It's all to play for in Newcastle and I would say Thornton is possibly the favourite for the fourth spot – and if I was a total neutral I would say he deserves it. If Wade loses to Taylor then two points from two games should see the Scots through.
Wade has the points on the board and is in possession of fourth and in many ways that's the best position to be in but Thornton is in the best form of the three. It's such a hard call to predict who will go through to finals night.
Andy Hamilton v Adrian Lewis
Neither of these players can make the O2 Arena but there is pride to play for and as Hamilton proved last week that means a lot to him. I'd also say Lewis needs something to kick-start his season and a good win here could do that.
At times he's been playing fairly well but when he misses doubles it seems to get into his head. He also throws the third dart too quickly at times and thinks it will go in – and when you're on top of your game it often does.
When you're scrapping for results that last dart doesn't go in and it can make a difference if you take half a second and tighten up that final dart. He needs to do a pro's job rather than an extrovert's job and get those darts straighter. If he does that then he can go on and beat Andy – and I'm going to go for him here. It will be really tight though.
ROD'S CALL: Lewis win
Robert Thornton v Raymond van Barneveld
There's no question van Barneveld would love to finish in top spot and force Van Gerwen and Taylor to play each other in the semis – that would be a perfect scenario to him. However, he's up against the form horse in Thornton. He won the Pro Tour event last weekend and I watched three of his games and he was incredible, especially in the final, finishing with a 111.33 average and needing just seven darts at a double in six legs.
He's really up for Thursday night because he can still finish in fourth spot,so this could be the game of the night. I can make a huge case for both players and it wouldn't surprise me if Barney dips off the top of his form and Thornton walks away a winner. It's a tough one to call though because if Barney is on top form all the way through he should win.
ROD'S CALL: No bet
Adrian Lewis v Simon Whitlock
Lewis has only got pride to play for but Whitlock can qualify for the O2 Arena and will go up there really motivated. This is the important game for him and he needs to prepare properly and forget about the Barney game later in the night. If you win the first one then the second one comes naturally and you don't need to think about it but if you lose the first game you're still thinking about it later on. Whitlock has been playing solidly lately and if he prepares right then he'll win here, even though Lewis can beat anybody.
ROD'S CALL: Whitlock win
Phil Taylor v James Wade
At the beginning of the Premier League I always say the last thing you want is to have to win points on the last night by beating Taylor. Admittedly, The Power didn't do too well in the Tour Events at the weekend but even though he was losing he was doing so with a 104-105 average and remains the man to beat under pressure.
Wade is a great player but has not played well enough in the last two weeks to beat Taylor. He needs to throw 104 averages or else he will lose this and if he loses there's a high chance that he won't get the fourth spot. I've got to go with a Taylor win.
ROD'S CALL: Taylor win
Michael van Gerwen v Robert Thornton
This will be another tough game for Thornton but the way he's playing means he should be up for it. Van Gerwen will know he can be toppled off the top spot and I'm sure he would rather play Thornton, Wade or Whitlock in the semi-final rather than Barney or Taylor so he'll be up for winning this. I can't see Thornton nicking his second game of the night but it's not impossible he could get four points on Thursday night. I expect Van Gerwen to win but it should be another good match.
ROD'S CALL: Van Gerwen win
Simon Whitlock v Raymond van Barneveld
At the start of each Premier League we always hope the last night will have a big impact and it could all come down to this last game. Both of these players find it hard to get up for two games in one night but if Barney wins his first match they'll both have plenty to play for. I've got to go for a Barney win again but he'll need to be on the top of his game in what should be a close match.
ROD'S CALL: Van Barneveld win
Rodney Trotter
Taylor van Gerwen double is tasty
Simon Whitlock v Raymond van Barneveld
Simon has played superbly well to even be in with a shout of a playoff place but I think this match up with Raymond van Barneveld will be a step too far.
Barney has been the most consistent performer in this year’s Premier League, he’s showed that he’s up for a fight as well, a trait that’s not often said about the big Dutchman, and so Simon will have to really be on top form to have a chance. I’ve got this down as a Barney win.
Recommended Bet
Back Raymond van Barneveld to win 7-5 at 10.0
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Michael van Gerwen v Robert Thornton
Robert won a tour event on Saturday, his second win in three weeks, so he’s playing well, and his opponent MVG won the next tour event on the Sunday so in theory this should be a belter. Extra spice is thrown into the mix in the form of Robert needing to win to have any chance of a playoff spot.
Michael is unrelenting though, and I think he’ll out score The Thorn and go into the playoffs having topped the table.
Recommended Bet
Michael van Gerwen to win 7-2 and 7-3 at 6.0 and 6.5 respectively
Michael van Gerwen to hit the most 180s at around 1.9
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Andy Hamilton v Adrian Lewis
What a match up this will be! Two highly unpredictable players and all the thrill of the Premier League!
The Hammer used to be the most consistent player on tour, but in this Premier League he’s shown a few frailties. Lewis on his day (and he’s not having his day that often at the moment) beats anyone, and I’m going for Adrian because he can produce a tide turner should he need it.
Recommended Bet
Back Adrian Lewis to win at 2.1
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Phil Taylor v James Wade
James Wade has let it slip. Losing to Hamilton last week was a massive blow for him, especially after losing to Simon Whitlock and all that after he’d lost to Raymond van Barneveld the week before.
Taylor is still tinkering with his darts and set up, which is a distraction for him, yet he persists. He had no trouble overcoming Robert Thornton and is still the main man in this Premier League. He can stop Wade progressing and I think he will, in probably quite easy fashion.
Recommended Bet
Back Phil Taylor to win 7-3 and 7-4 at 6.75 and 6.25 respectively
Back The Draw in most 180s at around 5.0
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Robert Thornton v Raymond van Barneveld
Robert’s hopes could be dashed by the time this match comes around and that might affect him, so we’ll need to wait and see how the other games go I think.
As I said before Barney is playing very well indeed and I can’t see The Thorn posing too many problems to him when he’s in this sort of form. I think he’ll win again and post a few more maximums in the process.
Recommended Bets
Back Raymond van Barneveld to win at 1.72
Back Raymond van Barneveld to hit the most 180s at around 2.1
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Adrian Lewis v Simon Whitlock
Like Robert Thornton, Simon Whitlock’s Premier League could well be over by the time his game comes around so it’s difficult to know what frame of mind he’ll be in.
That said, Adrian Lewis hasn’t played that well when he’s had to play twice in a night though, so for that reason alone I’m going for Simon to run riot.
Recommended Bet
Back Simon Whitlock to win 7-3 at 6.75
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Milesey
( betfair )
BET MVG TO HIT OVER 3.5 180s
BET RVB TO BEAT THORNTON
BET WHITLOCK TO BEAT LEWIS
DOUBLE TOPS
BET Taylor & MVG to win thier respective matches
Good luck if your having a bet
Andy Hamilton v Adrian Lewis
Back Adrian Lewis to win at 2.1 ** WIN **
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Phil Taylor v James Wade
Back Phil Taylor to win 7-3 and 7-4 at 6.75 and 6.25 respectively ** 6 – 6 DRAW **
Back The Draw in most 180s at around 5.0 ** 3-0 to WADE 180’S **
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Robert Thornton v Raymond van Barneveld
Back Raymond van Barneveld to win at 1.72 ** WIN **
Back Raymond van Barneveld to hit the most 180s at around 2.1 ** LOST **
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Adrian Lewis v Simon Whitlock
Back Simon Whitlock to win 7-3 at 6.75 ** 6 – 6 DRAW **
Milesey
how can any 1 have mvg and taylor just them 2 in double there huge odds on but i never have a odds on
Thats y u double them. Wade just basically eliminated Whitlock and Thornton. Go double Dutch pays just over 6/4 at William hill
BET MVG & RVB TO WIN
Good luck
Michael van Gerwen v Robert Thornton
Michael van Gerwen to win 7-2 and 7-3 at 6.0 and 6.5 respectively ** 7 – 1 MVG **
Michael van Gerwen to hit the most 180s at around 1.9 ** 5 – 1 180’S MVG **
Milesey
yes you getting just over evs on them when could of had lewis in 1st game who was a cert
Simon Whitlock v Raymond van Barneveld
Back Raymond van Barneveld to win 7-5 at 10.0 ** 7 – 4 RAYMOND **
Milesey