Wednesday’s Racing Tips – The unexposed I’ve Madeupmymind will be tough to beat at Hereford

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Rizzels selections ran below expectations on Tuesday and ultimately it was a disappointing day at the office.

Sao Carlos was very weak in the market but came back in before the off and ran a creditable race from top weight. He travelled nicely into contention but he went from 100 to 0 very quickly and looked in need of the run.

Going against the short priced favourite was the correct angle for the race Rizzel tipped up Playaway Girl in. Rizzel’s tip drifted from 5/1 to 22/1, finishing tailed off, but the race was won by a hurdling debutante at odds of 25/1.

High Treason put in a horrid display. His jumping was decent, but he deteriorated very quickly and I don’t think chasing is for him at this moment in time.

Cairnzy's Tips

I've Madeupmymind 13/8 – Hereford 1.05

If given the option, I'd have a no bet day on Wednesday as the racing on offer is dire, but that's not how it works unfortunately and as a result I had to go digging in the mud for something worth placing money on.

I did find one horse who looks potentially a good bet, however the odds of 13/8  are hardly that exciting. With that said, I do thing I've Madeupmymind is a worthy favourite on paper to get the job done for trainer Ben Pauling and Jockey Ben Jones.

I mentioned a couple of days ago when tipping Fine Casting about my liking for the Ben Pauling and Ben Jones combo, and although Fine Casting didn't win on that occasion he ran a good race which seems to be a consistent trend at present more many of Paulings horses. I've found myself backing the trainer and jockey combination once more and hopefully this time it goes more to plan.

I don't think this Class 4 contest will take much winning as the standard on offer within this field looks weak. Pigeon House for Jennie Candlish and jockey Gavin Sheehan is the more obvious exception to the above statement. Pigeon House on past form is the one to beat, but he looks very exposed which seems a bit crazy to say that about a four year old but surprisingly he's already contested in a whopping 15 hurdle races in his short career. As already mentioned, he does have some decent form, in particular when beating Gordon Elliots Morodor at Ballinrobe in August of this year. Pigeon House was seen at Listowel in September but pulled up during that race and has since switched hands to Jennie Candlish. A change of stable can spark horses back into form but it will be a tough enough ask carrying 19lb more than my selection.

I've Madeupmymind is making her hurdling debut for this particular contest, and given she jumps well or at the least to a respectable standard, I think she is the one to beat. My selection remains lightly raced after only four career starts and similar to Pigeon House, she also brings some good recent form to the table. She finished fourth at Sandown in March, not beaten too far by the eventual winner Honky Tonk Highway. Honky Tonk Highway has since boosted the form when winning a Class One Listed hurdle race at Sandown a few days ago.

My selection made her seasonal reappearance at Carlisle last month, finishing 2L back in third in what was an encouraging return to action. She's entitled to step forward for that recent run and this unexposed mare could take all the beating under a low weight.

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