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It's always painful when you get the value on a horse, and they get an awful ride.
Bad rides have been a recent theme for me over the last couple of weeks. Paul Mulrennan was the latest to add, but that isn't a surprise. The horse was backed into 11/8F from 11/4 when tipped up and was positioned in last place. Being held up isn't a problem, but when the jockey tries to find as much trouble as he possibly can, that's when it becomes annoying.
Phoenix of Dreams was horrendous. I feel for Jason Hart, who made the trip down to Windsor for the one ride.
Brazilian Belle 3/1 (1pt) – Musselburgh 4.00
Given that Brazilian Belle has a track record of being bad in the stalls and then held up, this track might not be ideal for her. However, if she gets a clear run, which is a hard task for my horses, she will be fighting out for the win.
I watched her race the time before last when she ran at Beverley. I had no money on the line in that race that day, but I thought she shaped very well and was the one to take out of it for the future. A week ago, she showed that with a clear run, she is a progressive horse. She was playing up in the stalls, but that didn't stop her from winning the race at Thirsk by 2L.
Because she is out seven days after her win, she has to carry a 6lb penalty. This isn't too much of a concern because Michael Dods knows how to handle progressive sprinters like this. He has done very well with similar types over the years, and mainly with fillies. I think she has a fair way to go before the handicapper catches up with her.
Elvetham 11/4 (1pt) – Musselburgh 5.30
It's probably a foolish decision to take on the odds-on favourite, but I'm doing it with a newcomer to the Michael Bell stable.
If you look at the favourites form, other than last time out when he finished second, his form has been atrocious. Who is to say that he can follow that run up with another good run? he is mightily short in the market, and the newcomer to the Michael Bell stable did catch my attention.
Michael Bell has a 28% strike rate when sending his runners to Musselburgh. He obtained this horse from Dermot Weld's yard a couple of weeks ago for 21,000gns. It's interesting that they are coming up to Musselburgh for their first race with him, as it's not exactly around the corner. The price for travel and other expenses will probably come close to the winning pot for this race, so they must be thinking they're in with a strong chance.
Jay Mackay takes the ride and takes off 5lbs from this lad's mark, which is already 53. He is winless from nine starts in Ireland, but has shown signs of ability, especially in a race like this.
baton rouge 11,45 Kenilworth
well done all winners yesterday
spirit star 3,15
2:15 Lingfield – Post Rider
B’ Lucky (“,)
Goldilocks cen 2-30 Dieppe 🇫🇷. 3-1……
4:15 Lingfield – Lahina Bay
4:15 Lingfield – Lahina Bay
oooo Stalingrad 5,25
5,22
no demand 5,12 ew
Last one …. 5:12 Ballinrobe – Spick And Span
🇺🇸
Finger Lakes – Race 3…She’s A Freud. 7/2 Bet365
Few NRs but this lighter raced has beaten the favourite twice and is building after 6 months off with 2 from 2 to his best form OR better?
With Non runners Bet365 still offer 7/4 Money back top 3…it’s 5 runners.
GL
Back later I had a few but Thistledown is Abandoned again 🌧️ and Presque Isle Downs is currently SP due to thunderstorms
2 here but that will definitely run
Finger Lakes -Race 7..Quiet Wisdom 13/8
(11/10 Money back Top 2?)
Race 8…Saratoga Kisses 11/4 Bet365
Money back Top 2 is 5/2 and THATS probably the bet BUT do fancy the win.
He beat the current favourite very well on his comeback run, yes the Fav is a lot lighter raced but the manor of the defeat looks a lot to turnaround plus Saratoga Kisses back form, especially at Santa Anita along with his record 2nd time after a break looks to good along with trainer record buying horse to run in New York is supewb
Freedom bay 8.00w 8-1
Parisian phoenix 8.30 10-1
Macs dilemma 9.00w 14-1
Ew singles & ew trixie ☘️☘️gl all