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Keiran Shoemark took a hand off the reigns late on to ensure he was necked out of the places, frustrating given the winner who had a lot going for him could've easily been included. I'll have to take that on the chin and ensure we miss less nice types going forward.
The short-priced ‘nap' clung on for the win for a second straight day which was pleasing, with a NR, the one selection left to run can scrape us some profit if placing but Magico ensured a pretty decent day was avoided.
Attacanter's Tips
Have Secret 7/2 – 14.00 Redcar
There are six outsides in this, at least one will be filling a place, I dissected the race before the market was set and unfortunately, it's the two market leaders I landed on. Liberty Coach can certainly resume his progress having been refreshed from a two-month break but I am going to side with the Fahey runner who on his day is more than capable, I don't overly like how obvious he has been situated but I'll put faith in the legitimacy of the sport and go with this tried and tested runner.
The horse is still 3lbs below his last win which was just over two years ago, that isn't ideal when his season is potentially coming to an end based on last year's schedule. He didn't show anything last time out either but was extremely consistent in the summer and at risk of chancing one who has a bit more to prove, I'll side with him having placed multiple times in better races than this, from higher marks. The trainer also had one run the market leader close recently so he should have a decent understanding of what is required.
Iontach Cheval 9/2 – 14.25 Warwick
Iontach Cheval comes off a 251-day break and is asked to carry 12 stone around Warwick, he has also shortened before I've managed to type the entire article out so he comes even more chancy, but as stated before, I can't find a replacement given how time-consuming it all is.
In fairness, there will be better days for this horse and perhaps some in this have plenty less to prove given we have shown anything for a year, finishing off last season with three poor showings. The yard are in good form which is the first reason I was attracted to the horse, JJ Burke over the last couple of seasons has become their most notable jockey which may not mean much today but it certainly isn't a negative.
The horse actually won here off a 7 month break two years ago which I thought was a big positive, Burke was on that day also, he beat a decent enough field with 125 rated Opening Bid closest in behind. The horse has never run in a Class 5 over any obstacles which combined with everything else, was enough for me to risk despite the absence, weight carried and missed value.
Maura Jeanne 11/2 four places – 15.55 Sedgefield
I never really like chancing a horse that won last time, always fearing the boat has been missed in this game of cat and mouse, especially with an extremely poor, inconsistent profile, last time was her only win in fact but with an extra place up against plenty of lurkers, I am happy to stick with Maura Jeanne representing a small trainer who has had a couple go in recently.
The main concern is the horse has only had a 10 day break from her recent success at Kelso when contesting a race over 3 miles, it was a comfortable success by 4 lengths, today's claimer was on but unable to claim, which is why I am happy to risk today now 3lbs lower than that. The next issue is however the drop back in trip, which may be a big red flag but I am unwilling to risk anything else I've looked over so we'll take our chances an honest run is given.
Half a mile is quite a distance, it could be her undoing having had little success around this trip but we can hope the race will be hotly contested and our stamina will have a part to play. The horse came to this track over 2m3f for her first run in 3 months just four weeks ago, she only managed 5th but it was a decent enough effort only finishing around 2 lengths off the winner. We can take solace from that given she got round, plenty of rivals have it to prove, I suspect there are a couple who have been primed for today but we'll hope she can stay on into the places.
True Nation 4/1 four places – 18.00 Newcastle
I chanced this owner/trainer/jockey recently one run before they landed a massive priced winner, it is rather unfortunate he is such a skinny price but if the trainer has lined another one up for this 7lb apprentice, then he is extremely well in and the chance can be taken without worrying about the legitimacy of the sport at this level.
The horse, at least according to my sources, with the claim taken into consideration will be running rated 39, which isn't something you see every day. The horse hasn't really ever put in a decent performance on the AW but we can forgive that, he's another that's been in form recently with a 1st & 2nd both at Musselburgh last month, I'm willing to overlook the fact he's won his stable fees and include another Fahey runner.
*Advised Bet – Eachway L15*
WHAT IS A LUCKY 15 BET?
A Lucky 15 bet consists of 15 unique bets, covering every possible combination that comes from backing four selections. The 15 bets are broken down like this:
– 1 fourfold accumulator
– 4 trebles, with each treble omitting one of your selections
– 6 doubles, again covering every possible combination
– 4 singles
The attraction of a Lucky 15 is that it offers many more ways to win than a standard accumulator. A Lucky 15 uses both your acca and your singles as well as producing trebles and doubles that reward you for correctly calling 2/4 or 3/4 of your selections. To cover the 15 separate bets, a Lucky 15 uses your stake 15 times. If you were to place £1 on a Lucky 15, you would be staking £15 in total across the various bets.
