I thought Ryan Moore would take the initiative in his race on Continuous, it's a shame he didn't ride him how I wanted him to.
Ryan decided to set the world's slowest 14f race known to man, which was never going to suit his horse, but for some reason, he thought that was his best chance of winning. I'd have set a frenetic gallop. which would suit his horse, and likely not suit the eventual winner who had to prove he stayed the trip.
Gulya in the race before was far too keen, and she desperately needs to learn to settle. Once she does, she'll be a very good filly.
King's Gambit 9/4 (2pt) – Newbury 12.50
It was a shock when Al Aasy won last time out over 10f at Sandown, so based on that performance, he has to be respected. But, I get the impression he was ready for that race when many of the others would have been using it as a seasonal opener.
The horse, who I believe will be tough to beat if he can reproduce the best form of last year, is King’s Gambit, under Ryan Moore. The booking of Ryan is a key reason why I am going for this horse, as the record Ryan has for this yard is ridiculous. Since Harry took over from his father, he has combined with Moore 12 times, which has yielded 6 wins and a further 4 inside the top 3. When Harry and Roger were a combined training team, Ryan was 7/23, so it goes to show that whenever they expect a big run, Ryan is the man they go to.
Sunway and King’s Gambit have close forms with each other, but I think on this ground, King’s Gambit is the one that is better suited. His close finish to Los Angeles at York reads very well, and I think with Ryan being booked, he will have come on plenty for his run 90 days ago.
Lead Artist 16/1 (0.5pt EW) – Newbury 14.35
In my opinion, on this ground and on all known form, Notable Speech is the one to beat. However, he hasn’t had a run, and last season he did chuck up a couple of stinking runs, so he’s either on the ball or he’s not. I do think his current odds make him good value, but I cannot believe the price of Lead Artist.
On paper, Lead Artist has it all to prove, as his form isn’t as good as the ones towards the top of the market, and he made a very poor return to racing this season, but Oisin Murphy has decided to give up the ride on Tamfana for Lead Artist, which makes me think a big run is on the cards.
With Tamfana, we know she is a Group 1 filly, and she will come on for the recent runner-up finish to Dancing Gemini, so it’s strange that Oisin has decided to jump ship for Lead Artist, who didn’t show much in the same race at Sandown last time out. However, I did see an interview that he needed the run last time out, and they firmly believe he is a very good horse, and I get the impression that there is a lot of confidence coming out of the Gosden yard as Oisin isn’t daft and he’ll realise that Tamfana has a better chance on what we know.
GambleAware