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Day 1 for the ‘main' thread selections didn't exactly go to plan.
Lead Artist was very poor, and probably wasn't suited by the lacklustre gallop that was on offer. I'd have never picked the winner in a month of Sundays, so it is what it is.
Mgheera was restless at the start. She lost a shoe and wasn't given too many attempts to go into the stalls. To make matters even worse, the horse who won the race was convincingly beaten by Mgheera last time out.
Spicy Marg 9/1 (1pt EW, 4pl) – Ascot 2.30 (Queen Mary Stakes Group 2)
To start off Day 2, we have the Queen Mary Stakes, which is a 5f sprint contested by two-year-old fillies.
This race is a total minefield, so if you manage to find the winner, I tip my hat to you. I think you can give a shout to at least ten of the twenty-five who line up, but the one I'm taking a chance on is Spicy Marg.
With everything that has happened to Kieran Shoemark in recent months, it would be fantastic to see him land a Royal Ascot winner. Kieran is on board my fancy, and I think if she can improve from her debut run, she will be fighting out for the win. It's hard to say whether she is drawn on the right side of the track. I am ignoring draw bias and pace bias, as it always goes wrong for me.
I was taken by her debut effort at Newmarket. Though it was only a four-runner race, she put up a seriously quick time for an inexperienced horse, and I think that will put her in good stead. The form is decent, with the runner-up being behind Harry's Girl the time before, who was second in a Listed event last time out. I think the fact that she encountered the dip at Newmarket and handled it well will be a great bit of experience. She looks to have a big stride and showed a solid turn of foot. She is an each-way price, so that's the route I'll go down.
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Shackleton 4/1 (1pt) – Ascot 3.05 (Queen's Vase Group 2)
If there was going to be a fairly big-priced winner for today, outside of the handicaps, this could be the race.
I don't think the horses who are towards the top of the market have outstanding claims, my selection included. However, I did think Shackleton looked in desperate need of his return run, and the step up in trip will suit.
I am no physical horse expert, but he looked to be carrying a fair bit of timber at the Curragh last time out. He wasn't weak in the market, but he looked on the plump side. Not only that, he looked like he lacked gears against horses over shorter trips. There were positives to take out of the race. He looked like he was going to finish in last, tailed off, but he kept plugging away, and that will have made him fit for today's race.
Aidan has won this race numerous times in the last twenty or so years, so he knows the score.
The Godolphin horse is the one to beat in terms of official ratings, but the form of the Dante flopped massively in the Derby. The French horse comes over with solid form and has a staying pedigree, so he has to be respected as well.
Cinderella's Dream 7/4 (3pt) – Ascot 3.40 (Duke Of Cambridge Stakes Group 2)
I don't know whether being too confident in Cinderella's Dream is foolish of me or not. Time will tell, but I think she has a very solid chance of winning this.
I backed against Cinderella's Dream last time out, and I was very wrong for doing so. I was gobsmacked by how impressive Charlie Appleby's filly was at Newmarket when beating a solid field. I tipped Running Lion against her that day; my selection was poor, but the winner was mindblowingly good.
Running Lion won this race last year and ran better last time out, so she has to be respected again. Knowing my luck, backing against her with the horse who beat me will come back to bite me.
The way that Cinderella's Dream travelled through the Newmarket race and then powered clear made her look like she was streets ahead. Today, she faces new opposition. Fallen Angel is a very solid horse, so she has to be respected, but I think you'll need to be special to beat my fancy.
GambleAware
Ascot
2-30 come on eibhlin.
16-1 ew extra 10 places
150-1 ew 4 places (small bet) BETFRED.
The only debutant here and as recoba mentioned space blues progeny are going well, in for a penny in for a pound as they say.
3-05 asmarani 5-1 ew 4 places 🇫🇷.
3-40 Running lion 9-1 ew 3 places bet365.
4-20 map of stars 7-2 🇫🇷
5-00 f**k knows 😂😂
5-35 francophone 12-1 ew extra 10 places.
6-10 utmost respect 8-1 ew extra 5 places
Morning all
Harrys girl 2.30a 14-1
Further 3.05a 14-1
Running lion 3.40a 8-1
Ombudsman 4.20a 6-1
Tony Montana 5.00a 11-1
Francophone 5.35a 20-1
Havana hurricane 6.10a 9-1
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️gl all
NAP won yesterday but other than that it was a bloodbath, although I did hit the bar on a few occasions with Rosallion just being pipped and a couple of ew bets finishing 5th but bookies only paid 4 places.
Still I’ll be a bit more selective going forward.
2.30 Spicy Marg ew
3.05 no bet
3.40 One Look
If Porta Fortuna lined up here she’d be odds on. One Look finished 1/2L behind her lto. Fav has a penalty to carry which won’t be easy even though has her perfect conditions
4.20 Map of Stars NAP
A star in the making. Should have won lto.
5.00 My Cloud
Ridiculous price now but is still very well h’capped
5.35 Snellen ew
6.10 no bet
BOL
Another thing that I’ve mentioned in previous years of Royal Ascot is backing Jamie Spencer blind to place only over the straight course up to 1m.
If you had done so over the past 10 years you would have a profit of +144.
He has 2 mounts today over that trip in the 5.00 and 5.35.
Up to you but worth having 50p on him to PLACE
Arisaig in the 5.35 for Jamie Spencer looks a good Ew Oor DC as was only 3/4l behind the market favourite Rainbows Edge in his last run and he’s carrying 5lb less here.
Arasaig is a lot more exposed but looking at his career he has a slight pattern when coming back in from winter storage to start his flat season.
He seems to takes 2-3 races to get to his best and with his last race being 3rd outing and his best so far along that 5lb less he will get my Ew play @ around. 12/1
5.35 ….Arisaig 12/1 Ew various
GL
staya 2.30 ew
🇬🇧/ 🇺🇸 🫅 🐎
Im making my job to make cases for USA raiders if worth it and Carl Spackler came in for plenty money and ran well enough for extra weight and first time on a straight undulating track.
🇬🇧
Ascot – 2.30 …Lennilu 11/1 Ew
He ran 5F round a bend in 56.99 seconds at Gulfstream which is a better time than anything in here by a near 2 seconds!
BUT and it’s a big BUTT the weight thing that I get to a point does hinder USA raiders as it’s always take weight ON never off.
Lennilu goes up 5lb but has been training with n straight undulating tracks in a much better prep than Carl Spackler yesterday
Lennilu….
56.99 round a bend ✅ ✅
Surface ✅
Up 5lb ❌
Straight track 🤔
GL
Well that price crumbled length of time took to type that but couldn’t get on till break at work guys so 🤷
Ascot – 5.00….My Cloud @ 9/2 Bet365
(Insurance Top 4 @ 11/4 and @ 5/2 Top 5
GL
Always loved Silvestre De Sousa and needed a jockey there as he looked In trouble boxed in at the rail behind a wall of horses
Blue Point progeny /Space Blues yesterday done well 👍
baggot street 2.50
scandnavia 3.05 ew well done all winners yesterday
jeudidee 3.15
Sir Galahad 3-50 Worcester 6-5.
(Double your dough).
Comes into the back it until it loses category.
Jockey bookings suggest it should beat his stablemate vocito.
Fromheretoetenity probably biggest danger As had 2 handicaps already
tony Montana 5.00 ew
tokenomics 5.00 ew
5.35 sore ckirp ew workout wouldn’t let me post it
it’s a horse for god dake
azizam 6.10 ew well done all winners today