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Well, I hope you all had a nice Christmas and enjoyed the racing on Boxing Day. Hopefully, you picked out more winners than I did, which saw me get the one winner which meant we were even on the day.
Chepstow 2:50 – Only The Bold 33/1 (0.5pt EW, Whill 6pl)
It's the Welsh Grand National, and this race is normally get a great betting race as it's wide open and often get decent odds on the majority of the runners. I've been liking Autonomous Cloud for a few weeks for this race since he beat by horse at Uttoxeter, who was a faller and Paddy Brennan was singing the praises of the horse and that he'll be going straight for this race, but he's shortened a lot in the market and at the prices, I think it's best off going for another horse as 11/2 or around that for a horse who has to prove his stamina is mighty short.
My dart for the Welsh National landed on Only The Bold who is trained by David Pipe and ridden by the Welsh wizard, Jack Tudor. On recent form over hurdles you'd say he's got no chance of winning this or getting close with a PU and 8 next to his form line, and a fourth over fences the time before that, but hear me out. He was 2/2 over fences since moving to David's yard from Evan Williams, he made mincemeat of two handicaps at Bangor and then Hereford, he was then dropped to 2m 4f at Haydock, which was never going to suit as he is a strong stayer, so the 4th placed effort can be forgiven. For the start of this campaign, he's been running over hurdles, which is not for him as his one win from 10 efforts would suggest, and to me, it looks like they were getting prep/fitness runs into him for the specific race today, that way his handicap mark wouldn't have been altered over fences, as they must feel he's on a good mark.
Now he's back over fences and is running over a trip which should suit on ground which should become testing with Chepstow expecting a decent amount of rain in the morning of race day, which is another positive for this lad's chance.
Chepstow - 2:50 pm