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Day three of the York Ebor festival is upon us and Attacanter Racing is back with his four each-way fancies with a 28/1 shot heading the way in the finale.
So close yet so far yesterday. The Kevin Ryan runner was outperformed by bigger priced stablemates. Avoiding the obvious cost us Angel Hunter, an example of my luck so far, Art Market finished 6th which isn't good enough but 6 places were available. Paddy placed before Queen of Mougins went close which could have easily changed the atmosphere, the winner trained by Craig Lidster, has typically been tipped up twice this week, when it rains it pours.
Battle Queen 10/1 5 places – 16.10 York
I was a bit naive to chance Easterby/Mason in a Nursery here this week, however they must have a great chance in this. Reach won this race last year, she returns having only raced twice since, both this season over track and trip, placing on each occasion. Now only 5lbs above the win it looks a safe shout, I will side with the effervescent Hayley Turner.
Battle Queen's connections were a neck 2nd to Reach in this last year, we can presume this has been the target all season with Hayley retaining the ride from Royal Ascot. The horse is yet to feature over the trip, but sire Churchill has plenty of winners over the distance, he himself 2nd over this C&D in the Juddmonte International. The form of her Royal Ascot 6th has quite a nice look to it and can outrun her price in this.
Ultrasoul 4/1 4 places – 16.45 York
Angelo Buonarroti, an expensive purchase dropping down from a debut Group race, he was pulled out at Goodwood, coming here fresh only likely increases his chances.
This race has massive potential for some big prices to place but I will include Ultrasoul from the hugely respected Roger Varian. Havine just one run, losing to Shadow of Light a 2-2 Godolphin horse. The two in behind that day were close but have both come out and won, the price isn't ideal but I expect this son of Kingman to enjoy the step up in trip and be too good to be beaten by four of these.
Insanity 8/1 4 places – 13.50 York
An interesting race with many potential avenues to explore, a drift and step up in trip offsets the fact SDS and Hugo Palmer had 3 wins from 4 rides in June. Kevin Coleman's Derry Lad could outrun his odds, the trainer is around 37% when he sends them across the water, although not here.
Wafei will carry 18lbs less than the horse Doyle does ride. Haggas has won this race so Wafei is highly respected, Shadow Dance is carrying a lot of weight, Lieber Power has done little wrong – he is the safe each way play.
Insanity hasn't had much of a break since a tough race which is not ideal prep off near top weight, but wanting to chance an outsider, Derry Lad was the only alternative, not being able to justify any of Ian Williams who has had a nice summer.
I overlooked Alan King in the stayers race here this week, a big price backed in, doing best of the English runners. The horse winning twice this season certainly makes this a lot, lot harder, but only one horse has beaten him in 3 runs and a 4lbs rise should not be enough to keep him out of the places all being well. The form as is typical once again reads well, Dream Harder ran us close at Ascot last time but only gets 1lb back, Rossa takes over from an inexperienced amateur. The uphill finish at that track should hopefully mean he won't be fading in the later stages.
Zain Blue 28/1 5 places – 17.20 York
By all known accounts, this is potentially one of the hottest races of the week, Zain Blue was the fourth horse I landed on from a trainer who let us down on day one. I will admit market analysis does make me hesitant but he is overpriced having drifted.
Overlooking Blue Prince for another out of Blue Point pains me but Zain Blue has at least seen out the trip. He was tried at this festival on his 2nd start last year, the form is nothing to hang your hat on but at a glance does read quite nicely. He's been a consistent performer overall, winning just over a month ago in a Class 3, the 2nd has won both of his next starts whilst EBT's Guard was back in third, I suspect EBT will be a different prospect today having flown home when the gaps opened last time but our price is hard to ignore. We were easily beaten by Mount Teide last time but another 7lbs will help our cause and in my view his price holds plenty of value regardless of result.
- Advised bet – Eachway Lucky 15
WHAT IS A LUCKY 15 BET?
A Lucky 15 bet consists of 15 unique bets, covering every possible combination that comes from backing four selections. The 15 bets are broken down like this:
– 1 fourfold accumulator
– 4 trebles, with each treble omitting one of your selections
– 6 doubles, again covering every possible combination
– 4 singles
The attraction of a Lucky 15 is that it offers many more ways to win than a standard accumulator. A Lucky 15 uses both your acca and your singles as well as producing trebles and doubles that reward you for correctly calling 2/4 or 3/4 of your selections. To cover the 15 separate bets, a Lucky 15 uses your stake 15 times. If you were to place £1 on a Lucky 15, you would be staking £15 in total across the various bets.
I hope insanity wins at 13.50 Race 😊👍🏻