TOMMY FLEETWOOD was so close last Sunday for the second week running and hopefully it will be third time lucky this weekend.
Myself and Mr Fixit both tipped him each-way at 28-1 and he finished joint second after missing a six-footer at St Andrews to force a play-off with Oliver Wilson.
With four top-five finishes from his last six events and two tied seconds in the last two weeks he’s certainly in top form and I was hoping he could pull it off. His stats this season are good with driving accuracy over 66%, GIR over 72% and putts per round under 30.
Hopefully he can continue his good form and pull off a win at the Portugal Masters on a course where he finished T26 last year with three rounds below 70.
Another player in a rich run of form is Scot Ritchie Ramsay. In the last five tournaments he has four top-fives with 72 being his highest score and 15 sub-70 rounds.
He tied second last week with Tommy Fleetwood and Rory McIlroy and although his driving accuracy has not been that great this year(61.87) his GIR is 71.47% and putting average is under 30. Certainly worth a bet this weekend.
Over the pond It’s three weeks since the final round and now they are back for the start of the ninth FedExCup. The Fry’s.com takes place at the Silverado Resorrt & Spa in Napa, California, for the first time and there are four Ryder Cup combatants taking part – Jimmy Walker, Matt Kuchar, Hunter Mahan and Lee Westwood.
I honestly don’t see any of them winning. It’s been a long season and I think the American guys will still be sore from their Gleneagles experience.
Therefore I’m going for the likes of Brooks Koepka, who was runner-up last year and takes part after securing his PGA Tour card with top-15 finishes in the US Open and the PGA Championship.
He’s been playing most of the year on the European Tour but hasn’t found the step up from the Challenge Tour too difficult. He had a creditable T4 in the US Open and two T3rds in the Dubai Classic and the European Masters so he certainly holds his own in the big fields. Could be a good season for the rookie and one to watch.
One man who seems to flatter to deceive is Graham DeLaet. I picked him a few times last season and although he got us a couple of places he doesn’t seem to be able to push on for that win.
However, last year he started the season really well with five top=10 finishes from his first six events and it wouldn’t surprise me if he did the same this year but hopefully with a win in there. In GIR he’s third in the Tour stats with 70.68%, 12th in strokes gained tee to green and his driving accuracy is 62.07% (75th).
Recommended Bets
Tommy Fleetwood 3pts ew (16-1, William Hill)
Ritchie Ramsay 2pts ew (30-1, Betfred)
Brooks Koepka 2.5pts ew (28-1, bet365)
Graham DeLaet 2pts ew (25-1, Betfred)
Ace Venturer
top ten finish double
RICHIE RAMSEY/Brooks Koepka @10/1
Have stuck with Shane Lowry and Robert Rock for the last few weeks and I see no reason to desert them now. Lowry is overdue a win (14/1) and Rock has been threatening an ew finish (80/1). Quiros looks overpriced at 80/1 – Coetzee and Wood might also have a chance at 33/1 and 45/1 respectively.
In USA, also like the look of Koepka, but great things seem to be expected of Justin Thomas. Must be worth a shout at 80/1.
Charlie
Where do you find bets like that mate???
You are tipping Tommy Fleetwood at 16/1?!
Surely only ever going to lose money taking Fleetwood at 16s. Not a hint of value.
Robert Rock looks worth a play at 80/100. Achieved more in the game than majority here, coming into form and will be inspired by “pupil” Wilsons win in Scotland last week.
StevenRG, Aces’s record is so good his tips deserve respect. There’s no value in any player unless they finish top five and I’d save your Fleetwood comment until the tournament ends.
Portugal Masters
P.UHLEIN 40/1
D.HORSEY 125/1
Fry’s.com Open
M.LAIRD 55/1
B.DE JONGE 80/1
All £2 each way
Uhlein due a win,mind you,so am I !!
frank ,all bookies should do it,but online 11/4 for ramsey and 9/4 for koekpa is actually about 12/1,just double the two prices.
I view his tips most weeks and he does indeed have a good record. Im not having a go at him, just one tip, I dont expect to see tipsters put up players that are massively underpriced. Considering “Value” afterwards surely doesnt help anyone?
Backing Tommy Fleetwood at 16s is just a bad idea and I know the majority of serious Golf Punters would agree. I realise this might seem like an arsey comment but Value is very important in Golf betting and I think that should be relayed to those that might be lumping their hard earned on.
StevenRG, value means nothing if the player doesn’t provide a return. Ace’s record over the season is superb and he picks players he thinks have a chance of winning.
Yeah you are right if he is showing long term profits I cant knock him. But I have to disagree with your perception of value (which is futile as everyones idea of value is different) as if hindsight is applied then any winning bet is value and any losing bet isnt, and that just cant be right.
That’s suggesting if we can somehow back Tiger on his return at 50s that we arent getting value if he doesnt win/place.