WE all know about the Augusta course, the azaleas and tree-lined and undulating fairways. The manicured greens – in fact everywhere you look is green.
I’ve read all the form books and know the players in good nick and who plays well at Augusta. So it’s easy to pick a winner then!
All aspects of the game are needed at Augusta National but probably greens in regulation and putting are going to count most.
Little-known Jim Herman won the Shell Houston Open but three of my Masters selections, Henrik Stenson, Dustin Johnson and Rickie Fowler, finished strongly
My first pick Fowler, played really well in the 2014 Majors with four top-five finishes and I expected him to kick on last year.
Unfortunately it didn’t work out that way and his best was in the Masters (T12). He has had a great start to this season with four top-10 finishes and looks a good pick this week. His driving accuracy is 60.33%, he is fifth in GIR (72.86%), strokes gained:putting he is 9th with 0.659 and putts per round of 28.92 (86th). Maybe, with a bit of luck he can stay out of the water this week.
If there is one thing Henrik Stenson needs to improve on to win a Green Jacket it’s his putting. He is 29th in driving accuracy (67.39%), GIR of 72.86 (5th) but his strokes gained:putting is a lowly -0.033 (122nd). His putting seemed to improve at the Shell Houston Open to 0.684 so maybe he’s getting it together at the right time.
Last season he came into The Masters after a bout of flu forced him to withdraw from the Houston Open. He was still suffering the effects in the first two rounds (73, 73) but recovered to shoot 68, 70 and finished T19. He’s never finished in the top 10 here but there’s no doubt he has the ability to win a Major and I believe he can do it and this is the time.
Louis Oosthuizen had a great WGC Dell Matchplay two weeks ago, losing to Jason Day in the final. He certainly seems to have a game plan in Majors having won the 2010 Open, losing in a play-off to Bubba Watson in the 2012 Masters and runner-up in both the US Open and The Open last year.
He doesn.t seem to get flustered, like last year in the US Open at Chambers Bay where he hit an opening-round 77 yet finished one shot behind winner Jordan Spieth. His driving accuracy is 57.93% which I don’t think will be a problem but his GIR is 71/30% (T20), and strokes gained:putting 0.230 (75), which could be pluses this week.
I thought a lot before picking Dustin Johnson after all the heartaches he’s given me over the years but I just can’t leave him out. Big DJ holds the record of three eagles in one round, at the 2nd, 8th and 15th, and just failed with an eagle putt on the 13th.
He finished T6 last year, his best yet, and that was with a third-round 73. He played the par 5s in 14 under last year, one off the record, and if he can come near that he will be up there on the final day. You always get the feeling if he can get three good rounds under his belt he will win. Iit’s when he has to push that he falls short.
In his second Masters appearance Hideki Matsuyama ended with a superb fourth-round 66 to finish 5th. This boy has talent in abundance as Mr Fixit will testify after watching him up close and personal last year in Augusta. He tipped him at halfway for a place after seeing him the ball so cleanly on the driving range.
Last year Mr F was at Augusta for the weekend action – on Saturday he'll be swapping Georgia for Glencairn as he watches Clydebank in action. That's some contrast in live sports experiences. Anyway his Masters tips will be posted later in the week and I know he likes Day, Ooosthuizen and Bubba Watson.
Back to my tips and after missing the cut in his first appearance here Matsuyama eased himself on to the leaderboard then went for it in the fourth round. His driving accuracy is 60.59%, fifth in GIR (72.03%) but strokes gained:putting of -0.0199. So not the best but his game and temperament is good for Augusta and could well finish near the top.
Justin Rose was unlucky in The Masters last year to come up against Spieth who just couldn’t do anything wrong that week – in fact that year. Rose also finished T6th at The Open and solo fourth in the PGA so did well in the Majors.
Last year he posted four sub-par rounds at Augusta and finished with a -14 score which would have won him all but six Masters. His stats are driving accuracy of 60.50%, GIR 70.20% (32nd) and strokes gained:putting 0.110 (91st).
Finally, I can’t finish without mentioning Brooks Koepka. He’s not had the best of seasons but has all the attributes to battle for a Major. His driving accuracy stat is 56.13% with GIR at 66.8% and his strokes gained:putting of 0.409 (47th). So a small wager might be in order as most bookies are paying on seven places.
Watch out for tips on the site and forum throughout the tournament – and Mr F will also be doing twoball betting throughout.
Recommended Bets
1.5pts ew Rickie Fowler (Betway, 16-1)
1.5pts ew Henrik Stenson (Betway, 25-1)
1.5pts ew Louis Oosthuizen (Betway, 33-1)
1.5pts ew Dustin Johnston (Betway, 16-1)
1.5pts ew Hideki Matsuyama (Betway, 40-1)
1.5pts ew Justin Rose (Betway, 28-1)
1pt ew Brooks Koepka (Betway, 66-1)
Ace Venturer
Patrick Reed @ 40/1 for me ( as well as Aces tips )….
Note Sky bet paying out on top 8 but I don’t know if their odds are poor compared to others
No nothing about golf…but big write up for Justin Rose this morning in the Scottish Daily M**l. …….so gonna have a wee each way dabble ..?
Morning Ace! Hope you are keeping well.
Not been following the golf for a few months but looking to have a play on The Masters.
All selections e/w:
Jason Day…7/1
Louis Oosty..30/1
Danny Willet…60/1
Enjoy the golf ?
Hi kingdingaling. I had a good look at Reed but he seems to have gone off the boil at the moment but one I haven’t taken and will take another look at is Phil Mickelson. He has played well of late and looks good for Augusta,
Nothing original from me.
Jason Day – In the form of his life the past 12 months and already has a Masters 3rd place and 2nd place to his name. Surely it’s time to go one better.
Adam Scott – like Jason Day, he’s also playing incredible golf recently and obviously he already knows how to get it done round Augusta.
Rickie Fowler & Henrik Stenson – 2 players who have been knocking on the door for their first Major wins, if they don’t win, they shouldn’t be far off the top.
e/w top 8 for these, just need a couple of places to break even, can’t really see it not happening.
Bubba probably the main danger, not convinced by Rory or Spieth so far this season . Westwood always seems to bring his A-game to the Masters, at 200/1, he’s probably my best idea of a longshot.
Another good weekend with Cabrera bello placing at 60/1.
For the masters I am going for;
A Scott 12/1 ew
Matsuyama 40/1 ew
P reed 40/1 ew
C schwartzel 40/1 ew
D Willet 66/1 ew
B haas 110/1 ew
Cabrera bello 175/1(before last week) ew
Long shot E Grillo 200/1 ew
Morning all. Masters bets i’ve placed:
R.Fowler 16/1 e/way
J.Rose top ten finish 15/8
@ladbrokes. Good luck all and enjoy the golf.
Wow how can Ace fail picking 7 Golfers….oh well!!
Day 7/1
Long shot Justin Thomas 150/1 ?@ Hills
craig.g, pretty normal amount of picks for a Major – and he can still fail because there are loads he’s mentioned who could win.
I’m sure he’s hoping to show a profit.
craig.g, I’m not the golf tipster. It actually doesn’t matter how many he picks – it’s what profit he makes.
All his picks could place or none of them.
Since some bookies are giving much better place terms than they do for normal PGA events, I think a few extra e/w picks is a good idea. I’ll be shocked if Ace doesn’t get at least a couple of places from his selections, that will cover the stakes. Anything more is good profit.
shaky, some bookies are doing 8.
Nothing wrong with putting up a few selections – no one needs to do them all.
I’ll do max 4 outright then some in tournament bets.
Ace,
Ive had a bet on Matsuyama and Garcia.
What chance do you give Sergio??
the notorious, Ace is a big Sergio fan but he’s not tipped him.
In my opinion he has little chance.
By now many have questioned Garcia’s temperament but sooner or later it just has to click. He’s too good of a golfer in my opinion.
the notorious, I think he’s left it too late. Too many younger and playing better.
He should stick to “putting trolleys”. See Beeb website.
Posted this on the Other Sports last night as I couldn’t find this thread. Needless to say, I found it.
Trust me, I’m no golf head but I love this man at Augusta. Not consistent every year but enough for me to think he could have a top 10 finish again this season. The man I’m talking about is Phil Mickelson. Top 10 finishes were last year, 2012, 2010, 09, 08, 06, 05, 04, 03, 02, 01, 2000, 1999, 96 and 95.
Obviously he’s getting on now and hasn’t lit up the tour, but he has had some decent finishes this year, and on a course he loves I think top 10 is reachable. Not a tip but The Masters is the only golf event I bet on and he placed for me last year so sticking with him again.
Phil Mickelson Top 10 Finish @ 7/4 @ Coral
I saw Ace give a mention on Phil on another thread but obviously not as keen now. After a bit of research too I saw this article which leads me to believe he could have another good year at Augusta. http://www.cbssports.com/golf/eye-on-golf/25536965/six-reasons-phil-mickelson-will-win-his-fourth-masters-in-2016
Jordan, I saw Ace’s comment and he quite fancies him. But he’s already put up 7!
Haha I know Mr F. Lucky for some!
unreal
http://www.independent.ie/sport/golf/us-masters/video-80yearold-major-winner-gary-player-hits-hole-in-one-in-masters-par-3-tournament-34605763.html