I'LL take a good look at the four Europa League games in the morning but here are Milesey's thoughts on Fenerbahce v Lazio – the one I think is tough to call.
Milesey writes: For some reason the market seems to consistently underestimate Lazio, even though they have been one of the tournament's most impressive sides.
Vladimir Petkovic's men are unbeaten in the competition so far and they have eased their way through knockout ties against Borussia Monchengladbach and Stuttgart. Lazio have played 12 games in the competition to date, winning eight and drawing four.
While Lazio have been impressive in general, striker Libor Kozak has stolen the show individually. He is the competition's top scorer with eight goals, including a hat-trick in Lazio's most recent Europa League game against Stuttgart.
Given his record, I am surprised to see him trading at a hefty 9.08 in the first scorer market at time of writing. Lazio's attack will be further boosted by the return from injury of German veteran Miroslav Klose.
Fener have reached this stage of the competition thanks to some outstanding away displays but their European home form is nowhere near as good. They have played seven European games at the Sukru Saracoglu Stadium this term and have only won two.
One of those victories was against BATE Borisov in the last 32 while the other was against Cypriot side AEL in the group phase. Fener's recent domestic form is strong (three wins on the spin) but Lazio represent a big step up in class.
Given their unimpressive home record, I can't fathom why Fener are 2.34 favourites. If you back Lazio Draw No Bet at 2.47 you'll win if Lazio win and you'll have your stake returned if the match ends in a draw.
Recommended Bets
Back Libor Kozak first scorer at 9.08/1
Back Lazio Draw No Bet at 2.47
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
GambleAware
even 11/4 anytime scorer is a decent bet on Kozak to be honest
Like your thinking, overpriced at stuttgart and won 2-0 and imo stuttgart are on par, at least, wi fenerbahce. 2-1 Lazio for me
3 April 2013 Last updated at 23:02
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Barrow clinched an important point against Blue Square Bet Premier relegation rivals Ebbsfleet.
Kick-off was delayed by 90 minutes as the Ebbsfleet coach was delayed by a baked bean spillage on the M6.
How proud are we to be British, what next Schalke v Werder Breman Delayed for 20 min because of a bratwurst avalanche, remember they are far more efficient!!!
Realistic Anytime Goal Scorers
Cardozo (Benfica) – 23/20 @ betvictor
Moussa Sow (Fenerbahce) – 17/10 @ betvictor
Ambitious Anytime Goal Scorers
Jose Rondon (Kazan) – 10/3 @ betvictor
Marco Streller (Basel) – 7/2 @ Coral , Ladbrokes
Lucky15 first goalscorers
Kozak – Lazio
Bale – Spurs
Cardoza – Benfica
Mata – Chelse£1 lucky 15 returns £1649 at paddy Power
Chelsea -1
Benfica -1
Spurs -1
Fernerbache Lazio btts
DENMARK.
€108.52 in profit on this ongoing Danish series after 23 games and another value bet available from the Danish Superliga tonight.
Aalborg might be 5-3-3 at home but haven’t won a match since November and haven’t beaten FC Nordsjalland the last 6 times they’ve met. FC Nordsjalland are without Patrick Mtiliga tonight but looks very strong and have all ready drawn and beaten Aab Aalborg this season.
I’m on FC Nordsjalland +0.25 and are having half the odds if a draw.
Aalborg – FC Nordsjalland (5.00 UK)
FC Midtsjalland + 0.25
Odds: 1,57
Stake: €26.00 (or 5.2% of my fixed €500.00 bankroll for this series)
I’ll be demonstrating a staking plan from tomorrow when Mr. Fixit have posted his tips for the day and probably be using what he and others might have of value bets.
The Dane.
I agree with Lazio being underestimated. Something I think has happened all the way through the Champions League with Malaga too. Going to take Lazio with draw no bet here too. Good shout.
I thought Aalborg were a pretty good team in the Danish league