Wimbledon begins its second week with a bang this Monday, as seven-time champion Novak Djokovic squares off against the mercurial Holger Rune in the fourth round. The pair share a fascinating head-to-head, making this a must-watch match for bettors and fans alike.
Can the young Dane upset a sub-par Djokovic at Wimbledon? Or will the 24-time Grand Slam champion continue to improve ahead of the business end of the tournament later this week? Read on for our Djokovic vs Rune prediction and betting tips.
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Player Form: Both Patchy
Admittedly, both Djokovic and Rune have had patchy seasons – and Wimbledons – so far this year.
For Djokovic, he has underwhelmed after winning virtually everything in 2023. The Serbian is yet to make a final, let alone win a title in 2024. However, after a miraculous recovery from knee surgery a month ago, he’s building nicely here in London.
Djokovic’s form has been far from convincing, but he’s doing what he needs to to get through the early rounds of Wimbledon. So far he’s dropped two sets, one each to Jacob Fearnley and Alexei Popyrin in his past two matches.
Rune, on the other hand, came to Wimbledon with a record of 22-13 for the season. He’s improved that by winning his first three matches, but only just. Last round, he fell behind by two sets to love against France’s Quentin Halys, only to come back a win in five for the first time in his career.
How the Bookies View It: Djokovic Favourite
Bookmaker Betfred has Djokovic as a solid favourite in this clash, with the world No. 2 paying 4/9 to win on Monday. Rune is a reasonable underdog at 13/8, with a handicap of 4.5 games. Set betting puts the most likely outcome at 3-0 in favour of Djokovic, returning 29/20.
Recent Head-to-Head: It’s Competitive
Djokovic and Rune have a very competitive head-to-head, which the Serb leads 3-2. Most recently, Djokovic won a three-setter at the Nitto ATP Finals, 7-6 (4), 6-7 (1), 6-3.
Anything Else Catch the Eye?
Rune typically punches above his weight against higher ranked opposition. He’s won a set in four of his last five matches against the top five at Grand Slams, and in 13 of the 17 times he’s met a top five opponent.
Djokovic vs Rune Betting Tips & Predictions
We expect Djokovic to win this one, but it could be a real test for the 37-year-old.
- Rune +4.5 game handicap @ 4/5
- Djokovic to win 3-1 @ 5/2
The pair play third on Centre court this Monday.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
