WE are at the end of the 2018 Premier League journey and we learnt a few things along the road.
Briefly, that MVG and Cross are a punters nightmare, Gerwyn Price used apparent excuses for his Premier League experience and Peter Wright is certainly a cool customer. Massive credit goes to him back on April 5th when the death of Eric Bristow was announced during his match with Daryl Gurney and both went to an emotional 6-6 draw!
MVG opened the market briefly at 5/6 in places before heading off at 8/11 to win the PL outright and is 8/15 heading into tonight having to battle Cross in the opening semi final before playing Anderson or Smith in the final.
MVG is an implied 65.89% chance of winning the event and is no bigger than 1.21 at Marathonbet to topple Cross making MVG around a 1/4 shot to win in the final approximately.
Gary Anderson is next best at 4/1 to win the title once again and will be on implied odds be just over 5/2 in the final if he bests Michael Smith in combined Ante post pricing betting to a best overall 103% this is how it shapes:
- MVG – 8/15 (65.89%)
- Anderson – 4/1 (20%)
- Cross – 8/1 (11.11%)
- Smith – 14/1 (6.67%)
MVG Vs Cross
- Head-to-head: Van Gerwen leads 10-2
Michael van Gerwen has never failed to make a Premier League final and he should make it one more time in London writes Dave South.
Despite making his sixth consecutive appearance at finals night MVG has been stunned twice in this time by Raymond van Barneveld in 2014 (25/1 at the start of the evening) and Gary Anderson a year later, which may put you off at 8/15?
Van Gerwen and Anderson are a short 1.69 to make the final with Marathonbet.
MVG’s opponent Cross is also suffering from a discomforting chest injury, as is Michael Smith, who plays Anderson in the second semi, which forced Cross to miss last weekends European Tour with Smith suffering a rare whitewash in the event.
Van Gerwen has played Cross twice in the competition and thumped him 7-2 each time and will make a clean sweep. Picking a market is tricky though with main markets priced to attract a difference of opinion and find it tough to ignore one or more finishes on the Bullseye at evens with Hills. In addition MVG to hit two or more 100+ checkouts at 11/8 with the same firm may appeal in a race to ten.
Smith Vs Anderson
- Anderson leads 9-3
The pair get to create a Premier League decider having traded victories this season but under issues and circumstances and it doesn’t bode well for Smith having been diagnosed with pleurisy.
Smith didn’t look well last week looked in some pain against Barney. 48 hours later appeared at the European Tour in an attempt to partner Rob Cross at the World Cup but missed out to Dave Chisnall and would have surely withdrawn from that event had the circumstances been different.
Anderson in comparison is in good nick and the pair ended the campaign respectively 57 maximums to Smith’s 41 over the campaign and is 5/6 with 188bet, Matchbook and Sunbets to trouser the most maximums. Anderson is 6/5 to win and hit the most maximums
Recommendations
- MVG/Cross – 1+ Bullseye finish – 1/1 William Hill 2pts
- Anderson win/most 180s – 6/5 Betway 3pts
