IT was a great night in Dublin last week – the players loved the crowd and only Phil Taylor let me down in my six predictions.
There were a couple of lucky results like Michael van Gerwen beating Adrian Lewis but last week seemed to be the most predictable of all weeks in the Premier League. Tonight will be a little different.
It’s week 12 and there are six more games in Birmingham at the NIA. It’s important for those on a bad run to forget the previous week but that’s hard in the Premier League.
In other tour events you can have a bad week and come up against a lesser player and get on a run. That’s impossible in this event. It’s every Thursday and you’re playing top players all the time. One loss and you could be thinking of relegation and that all adds extra pressure.
We haven’t really talked too much about the top four because of the battle for relegation but the pressure is now really on.
I have to say a lot of players are looking tired. They could do with finding out what makes them tick at a good standard to sharpen them up. The one thing missing in this sport is few players bring in a coach or a friend if things are going badly. Even if they did, I don’t think they’d listen!
I really like Andy Hamilton and Robert Thornton, though They get up there and play their hardest – if they lose they just get on with it. I really like that attitude.
So on to Tonight's matches in Birmingham.
Phil Taylor v Adrian Lewis
Taylor got a draw with Barney last week, he’s fourth and still need points to guarantee fourth place and go to the O2. Lewis is in the worst form and his head is in the worst state I’ve seen in a young man.
He’s an incredible talent but he’s just missing doubles. That’s making him want to score heavier and he’s pushing and pulling the darts. I can’t see him doing it tonight and Phil will be up for it. Adrian has got to literally turn his form around overnight and throw his best darts for 18 months.
My advice for Adrian would be to stay away from Phil – don’t practice with him on the same board and just go up there and try to enjoy it. That’s easy for me to say but when you enjoy it your arms aren’t so tight and you don’t pull your darts. If he can get into Phil in the opening two legs Lewis with his ability could easily turn the game around. The form book, however, says he won’t.
ROD’S CALL: Taylor win
Simon Whitlock v Michael van Gerwen
Simon’s had a couple of good weeks and really needs to win every game to make the top four. Meanwhile, Van Gerwen is on such a high. He’s the player Taylor’s been for 20 years. It doesn’t matter what’s happened to him in the previous three darts or legs, he doesn’t care. The only thing important thing is the next dart and that’s why he’s got such a great attitude.
That’s why Van Gerwen is so hard to beat and even Taylor is struggling against him. You just can’t intimidate him. He loves the game and I can only see Van Gerwen winning. He’s got that extra scoring power and Simon will have to look at some big check-outs at crucial times if he’s to have a chance.
ROD’S CALL: Van Gerwen win
Robert Thornton v Andy Hamilton
This is a tough match to call. They are both solid players and two consummate professionals with their play and conduct. Hamilton has relied on his double 16 and eight but he’s been missing them in the last three weeks.
Thornton has been brilliant this year but he too has gone off the boil. This will be a close one and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a draw. Perhaps Thornton will have the edge.
ROD’S CALL: Draw
Raymond van Barneveld v James Wade
This could be the game of the night. Wade has probably been playing his best darts for four years over the last few weeks. He’s another player who’s got his brain in the right gear and who isn’t worrying too much about his opponents.
Barney played well last week but was letting people off at crucial times. In this field he’ll get crucified and can’t afford to slip-up against Wade.
Wade has been prolific, especially with 124 and 120 check-outs but this will be close and could easily be a draw. Barney has his fluency and natural ability and he’ll be facing a man who’s a solid professional. It’s like George Best playing Kevin Keegan! Keegan was not the most naturally gifted and had to work so hard, while Best was rubbish for most of the game and would then score two goals.
In darts, the solid pro wins eight out 10 times. Wade is a 90-minute man and you have to play so well to get anything off him.
ROD’S CALL: Draw
Phil Taylor v Simon Whitlock
Phil has got to get a four-pointer on Thursday. Whitlock has not had the best results against Taylor but the difference between these two is Phil can play two big games in one night and keep the same standard. Simon struggles with that and it may be his downfall. He’s got the ability but playing a second game in Birmingham will hurt Simon more.
ROD’S CALL: Taylor win
Adrian Lewis v Robert Thornton
This is all about their first match of the night. If Lewis loses his first game or plays badly it will be tough for him. If Thornton beats Hamilton I can only see him beating Adrian. The form book says Thornton but I’ve just got this feeling Lewis could do it. He’ll know he can’t make the top four so may get up there and be relaxed. We may just see the real Lewis in Birmingham and he could pull it out of the bag.
ROD’S CALL: Lewis win. Just
Rodney Trotter
Phil Taylor v Adrian Lewis
Even though he’s not been at his best Phil is still the man to beat; and the fact that he needs to cement his place in the top four could spur The Power on to raise his game.
Lewis has been disappointing in this year’s Premier League and will have to play at his best to get anything from this match; a loss will surely end his slim hopes of reaching the play-offs. With Taylor being the opposition I can see Lewis putting in an improved performance, but it still won’t be enough to win.
Recommended Bet: Back Taylor to win 7-3 @ 6.25
Simon Whitlock v Michael van Gerwen
I’m not pushing the boat out by predicting another Van Gerwen win but I cannot see any other outcome in this encounter. Whitlock has been inconsistent and a slight off night would see MVG run riot again. He’s playing the darts of his life at the moment and it would be a nice 24th birthday present for him to pick up two points and cement his deserved place at the top of the Premier League table.
Recommended Bet: Back Michael van Gerwen to win @ 1.44
Robert Thornton v Andy Hamilton
This should be a close encounter and I’m not expecting anyone to run away with it that’s for sure. Hamilton has gone off the boil at the wrong time, whilst Thornton has shown he can beat anyone and has been more consistent.
Matches between these two are normally very close so I wouldn’t put anyone off backing 7-5 either way or even 6-6 in the Correct Score market, but I have a hunch that Thornton might just pinch it at the death.
Recommended Bet: Back Thornton to win @ 1.9
Raymond van Barneveld v James Wade
Possibly the match of the night, and at their best both players will think they’ve got the beating of the other. And thankfully for the viewers, both are playing well so this should be a great game.
You could say I’m sitting on the fence in selecting a draw but the truth is I can’t call this game and the stalemate is just as likely as a win for either player, there’s that little between them. So the fact that the draw is a much better price it makes sense to go for that option.
Recommended Bet: Back The Draw @ 4.5
Phil Taylor v Simon Whitlock
Both players return to the oche for the second time on the night and the feeling is that Taylor, despite being older, is the more experienced in such situations. Having said that, I think we can expect a scrappy game that will be won by the player who makes the least mistakes.
Both have struggled when playing two games in one night. The mental fatigue is clear to see but as I’ve already said I believe Taylor will handle it slighly better. And does The Power lose scrappy games? No!
Recommended Bet: Back Taylor to win 7-4 @ 5.0
Adrian Lewis v Robert Thornton
This could be a make or break game for both players. Thornton needs the points to keep the pressure on the others for a place in the play-offs, while Lewis has to win to give himself any chance of getting to the 02 in London – especially if he’s taken anything from his first game.
Thornton will handle the exhausting night better than the younger man in my opinion. Lewis is struggling for form, that is mentally tiring alone, while Thornton is playing well which gives you a much bigger spring in your step.
Recommended Bet: Back Thornton to win @ 2.25
Milesey
( betfair )
It paid too avoid the latter games last week, as even the brilliant MVG looked jaded in his second match, so again im concentrating on the first 4 matches, there is not a great deal in Taylor on his own but he is part of my treble. Im starting off with the 180s market and there is some cracking value to be had at Ladbrokes.
180S SINGLES
BET MVG TO HIT MORE 180s THAN WHITLOCK 10/11
BET THORNTON TO HIT MORE 180s THAN HAMILTON 10/11
BET BARNEVELD TO HIT MORE 180s THAN WADE 4/5
Im also putting them in a treble which pays 5.56/1
TOP TREBLE
TAYLOR TO BEAT LEWIS
MVG TO BEAT WHITLOCK
THORNTON TO BEAT HAMILTON
PAYS 7/2 @ WILLIAM HILL
SUPER SINGLE
BET OVER 6.5 180s IN THORNTON V HAMILTON 6/5 @ VARIOUS
(there was 9 in the game last time they met)
Good luck if your having a bet
RESULT
Premier League
Taylor P. 7 – 2 Lewis A.
Milesey
RESULT
Premier League
Whitlock S. 7 – 5 Van Gerwen M.
Milesey
RESULT
Premier League
Thornton R. 7 – 4 Hamilton A
Milesey
RESULT
Premier League
Thornton R. 7 – 4 Hamilton A
Milesey
Recommended Bet: Back Taylor to win 7-4 @ 5.0
RESULT
Premier League
Taylor P. 7 – 4 Whitlock S
Milesey
RESULT
Premier League
Lewis A. 5 – 7 Thornton R.
Milesey
MVG BIRTHDAY TODAY
sorry its late just as my challenge to milesy…
TAYLOR
TAYLOR
VAN GERWIN TO WIN VS WHITLOCK
THORNTON TO WIN VS HAMILTON
WADE TO WIN VS VAN BARNEVELD
LEWIS TO WIN VS THORNTON
what do you think in play for louis oosthen to win the golf milesy seems a good bet