THERE are a few games to look at tonight with Aston Villa v Sunderland, Real Betis v Deportivo and Maritimo v Benfica the main events.
Milesey's already put up recommended bets on the Villa and Betis matches with goals a common theme. I'd be surprised if both teams don't score in these games and I'll be doing a double on them that pays 2-1.
And when I wasn't looking he fired up a double on St Pat's and Monaco and again the selections look difficult to dispute although as he says Sedan are improving. I'd already pinpointed Monaco as a possible Super Single.
So let's start with Villa v Sunderland with the home side needing a win more than their visitors after Paolo di Canio's astonishing arrival on Wearside has resulted with back-to-back wins at Newcastle and home to Everton.
Villa have been battling relegation all season and no matter how many results they pick they never seem to be too far from the bottom three. It's beginning to look like a straight fight between Villa and Wigan to see who joins Reading and QPR in the Championship and of course those two still have to meet.
A few weeks ago you'd have backed Villa to win tonight but now I can't see Sunderland losing. They may well edge it but shouldn't lose and I'm hoping to play safe with di Canio's side at 8-13 with Titanbet plus one.
I've already tipped both to score and Villa have conceded in 18 successive Premier League while boasting a goal threat from the likes of Christian Benteke and Andreas Weimann.
Benteke is 9-2 to score first at Ladbrokes and if he does their moneyback offer (check conditions will kick in). He has a good chance but the man to watch could be Stephan Sessegnon who has been inspired by di Canio's presence and is 9-1 at bet365 to hit the opener for the third successive game.
I've tipped a btts double at Real Betis v Deportivo and I'm adding btts in that game to my treble. It really has the look of goals galore between two in-form teams who have banging them in.
Depor have hit 15 goals in a five-game unbeaten run while Real's only defeats in seven games were at Real Madrid and Valencia. They hve hit nine goals in three games and those matches have totalled 16 with both scoring in each.
Picking the outright is tougher and it has the feel of a draw – possibly 2-2 – with the stalemate paying a biggest 11-4 at BetVictor.
Complete the treble with Benfica who travel to Maritimo trying to stretch their lead over Porto at the top to four points with three games to go. Victory would put the Europa League semi-finalists within touching distance of the title but anything less means it's back in Porto's hands with the top two still to meet in Oporto.
Benfica are unbeaten in 26 games and should be backed at 2-5 with Titanbet.
I can't add much to Milesey's view on Monaco but the opportunity to stretch their lead over Nantes at the top to seven points can't be passed over. Claudio Ranieri's men need to be in the top flight and have done much of their hard work on the road with 10 victories.
Sedan haven't been as sedate as the first half of the season and can't be completely ruled out but evens or just over on Monaco looks too good to pass up.
Super Single
Monaco
(1-1, Titanbet)
Double Up
Both to score at Villa and Betis
Pays a best £30.01 to a £10 stake at 888bet
Top Treble
Sunderland +1 (8pm)
Real Betis btts (9pm)
Benfica (8pm)
Pays £34.68 to a £10 stake at Titanbet
In December 2020 we sadly 
im on that double.
and vard v fredrikstad in norway for a treble
Barca let me down I would have won a total of over a £1000 with the 4 bets I had on :( I made £174 so I’m still happy!!
BTTS
Cottbus – Kaiserslauten
A.Villa – Sunderland
Sedan – Monaco
Asian Handicap
R.Betis – Deportivo
Deoportivo A.H win
Hi guys,
I am waiting on Ronnie O,Sullivan -3.5 for £649 could someone help me out, or tell me the best way to cover my bet. The score is 9-7 to Ronnie and re starts at 7pm tonight. I was thinking of betting 13-12, 13-11 and 13-10 as the price on Carter +3.5 is a lot shorter.
James
James, if you do what you’re suggesting you’ll be snookered if Carter wins. This is perfect for backing and laying on Betfair but as 1plus2 says: How much of your potential winnings are you prepared to lose. This is a classic for backing and laying on Betfair but you’d need be following the match as it progresses.
Mr F with your background into betting and gambling i would recommend get this kind of software and hand yer notice in at the Record with your analytical mind you won’t need a job any more, just think all that extra time hacking your way round the golf course ;-)
1plus2, it’s maybe something for the future when the Record kick me out. It’s gonna happen one day.
back sunderland two win get on they will win.
The double this week surely has to be Madrid&Barcelona? Anyone agree? Both losing big time, both have to come out the blocks to stand any chance and both very good at home. I’m on big dollar personally think its a great bet.
Miguel, I’m not sure about the Spanish double, will need to weigh it up. Sure, both will have to go for it but equally that means at some point they’ll leave gaps at the back and Dortmund and Bayern can pick people off. I also wonder whether in their heads the Spaniards think they’re already out, certainly in Barca’s case. 3-0 Madrid puts them through but if Barca lose a goal, which they probably will, they’ll need at least six.
benteke wi a deadly double tonight 2-1 villa or 2-2, gonna have a look at btts and find a treble or acca for tonight after quiet wknd
How much are you prepared to lose of the £649 ?
And what was your original stake ?
Mr F I like the look of your BTTS in the games at Villa and Betis but I’m going to include Sedan v Monaco to that aswel.Been lots of money this morning for btts in that game,down to 8/11 now with most firms
jamie, I can understand that. Sedan’s last five have been btts and playing well but Monaco are the best they’ll have faced. Monaco have two clean sheets in a row which is a slight concern. But if forced to pick I’d say yes to btts.
btts 5fold
Villa/Sunderland
Betis/Deportivo
Orebro/Varberg
Jonkopings/Angelholm
Brage/Ljungskile £3 for £45
Villa win & over 2.5 gls
Betis win & over 2 5 gls
Helsinki win & over 2.5 gls £1.50 for £28
benteke and castro (betis) to score 2+ 50p for £17
Seeking some advice…. Put on a £1 lucky 15 on the following anytime scorers with paddy power: ba, rvp, ballotelli, and higdon….. So 3 out of 4 ….fabby or so I thought. I got back just over £30 so doubled my money. Is this right ?
what prices were they kag?? sounds about right as 3/4 all at evens returns £26 so maybe a couple 6/5’s 9r aa 6/4 in there
Craig, looks right to me. Higdon was a bigger but Balotelli and Ba were odds on and RVP not much better. With those prices you need to hit all four for a good profit.
I am 99.9% sure O’Sullivan will win the match, however When I placed my bets i thought after 16 frames the score would have a bigger margin than it does now. (9-7) My bets were £125 double on arsenal/Utd both to score 8/15, and O’Sullivan -3.5 4/6. after reading Mr Fixits btts line yesterday i also placed £20 on an accumulator arsenal/utd 8/15, zwolle/Utrecht 4/7, schalke/hamburg 4/7, Valladolid/Sevilla 4/6, sociedad/Valencia 4/7 and O’Sullivan -3.5 4/6.
So as I said I am waiting on O’Sullivan to win on the handicap for £650. I am willing to risk more money as i can’t see Carter winning. 13-12 is 7/1, 13-11 is 11/2 and 13-10 is 9/2. Help?!!!
Jamesy, as I said earlier it depends on what you are prepared to lose. Carter +3.5 is currently 4-6 with Betfair and others so you could put some of your potential winnings on that or if you are watching the game and know the ins and outs of back and lay you could lay O’Sullivan -3.5 if it’s worth it and back again later depending on how the game goes. Milesey might give you better advice but the key is question is how much do you want to lay off.
How do you think the outcome of the match will turn out? If you had to predict a scoreline what would it be?
Just looking through todays fixtures and Austria must have the fixture of the day Austria LUSTenau v HORN. Someone had a one track mind when naming teams over there!
Thanks guys. I didn’t take the prices but if you think returns are accurate, then I’m happy.
Kag, as the lads have already said, seems about right, I had Higdon anytime as a single at 5/2 and Ballotelli was 4/7 thats why I did him in a anytime wincast, Ba too was odds on, not sure what RVP was so it seems right to me.
Finish Home Double – HJK – InterTurku
Away Double – Kaisersluten – LechPoznan
Single – Aarau
Both 2 Score
Jonkopings – Angelholms
Maritimo – Benfica
Maccabi Haifa – Maccabi Tel Aviv
Anytime Goal Scorer Double
Ruben Castro (Betis)
Nicklas Helenius (Aalborg)
Jamesy what about just doubling up on carter next frame 11/10 then try to play it frame by frame?? or instead of a big lump oncarter +3.5 legs do +2.5 legs at a better price at 5/4 and cover it with 13-10 o’sullivan at 5/1 either way a nervy few hours for yi :)
Think tonites game in epl will be a draw. But i fancy the germans to both win away from home! They are both to strong for real and barca!
Alex, depends how the Germans play it. They don’t to win, or even draw, but probably capable of it if was needed. I can’t see any way either of them will get into difficulty to be honest.
I’m on 2 each tonight in the epl game. Might do a few small stake score casts with benteke and sessegnon as well.
Gone for a btts treble of villa betis and sedan games also. Good luck all.
Craig that could be an idea. Am out at football tonight tho so can’t sit and watch it i need to do something before 6pm. Think I am just going to bet on 13-10 13-11 and 13-10 and hope for the best!
Jamesy, do it properly you need to watch it but if you can’t then it’s a tough one to cover without losing half your possible winnings.
Anyone had a look at Lech Poznan? Kick off 5.30pm. Challenging for the league title, this is a must win game. They haven’t dropped a SINGLE point away from home since 30th September 2012! They have lost once away all season and won the other 11. Nine of which were with a clean sheet. Trading at evens on Paddy Power. LUMP ON
James, never got as far Poland. Settles quite quickly on the treble and single today but from what you say Poznan are a decent bet. Might have a look when I get to the office.
Just noticed bet 365 are doing there free in play bet again for the Real v Dortmund game. Anyone got any ideas how to achieve maximum profit out of this. I remember last time doing it for the Man utd v Real game but the odds were alot more even for that game. I remeber putting £50 on Man Utd on bet 365 and £50 on real on the exchanges. Then once game kicked off I put the £50 on in play on the draw. This time with Real heavy odds on im not sure whats best. Its guaranteed profit though so definately want to get involved .
BETFRED HAVE MUANG THONG UNITED ON THEIR BTS COUPON.
W T F.
Neil H, seen ‘betting hoe’ flag this up on twitter last night but there are a few you can do for example
£50 under 4.5 goals at 3/10 then put your ‘free’ £50 in-play on over 4.5 gls. minimum £15 profit.
Ive done it before doing over 0.5 gls then putting draw in-play just because you have a chance of winning both wi a score draw.
Just remember that the in-play free bet must be placed out your own money then bet365 will refund it within 12 hrs or so,
over 4.5 gls is 21/10 so the 1st example will be £15 profit for unders and £55 profit for overs if you get it straight after KO. I still prefer the over 0.5/draw option tho :)
Hola Mr Fixit, can it be possible for you to give out Saturday’s match tips on Friday nights or better still, Saturday dawn? Because my betting website (www.nairabet.com) do experience a kinda system failure (not sure if its deliberate or not) which serves as a constraint for me in placing my bet for the rest of the day. And I can be so disappointed at times.
Hope am not asking for something too big???
Mike, the Saturday top tips are scheduled for about 2am on a Saturday so you should be seeing them in time. The top tips also appear in Saturday’s Daily Record so I don’t like them posted on the site until the first edition of the paper is on the streets.
helsinki win but only 2 gls in the game so 1 line down but ma btts line looking ok at ht time, 1 up and there’s gls in the other 2 early games in Sweden.
Craig was thinking of looking at goals market but only concern is if you can’t get on the site early enough to get the bet on. Last time they did on the man utd game I couldn’t get online until 25 mins in as the site was so busy. So if that was the case again then if couple goals scored early then odds would be slashed in the overs market. Having looked about think the best bet could be following
50 on real -1 at 6/4 (various)
50 on Dortmund + 1 at 13/10 ( use this as bet 365 bet)
Once game kicks off put £50 on draw on handicap of real -1. At moment this is 3/1 on bet 365 so if after kick off you get it still around this price then you would be guaranteed £15, £25 or £50 return. If there is an early goal and you can’t get on the website then wouldn’t have thought the draw handicap would change all that much and may even increas so see it as being a safer option than goals market.
Definitely worth doing though as guaranteed profit with no risk
Bet365: Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund
pre kick off – £50 BTTS – yes – returns £72.
In play – £50 BTTS – No- Returns £131
Bet365 will return the £50 in play as cash.
BTTS yes £22 profit
BTTS No £81 profit.
Happy days…..
Max almost certain that they won’t let you do that as they won’t return if you are betting in such a way that guarantees a profit By betting on only 2 outcomes With bet 365. That’s why if you choose a market where there is 3 outcomes then you put 2 of those on through bet 365 and the other elsewhere.
Ok, cheers Neil. I’ve put BTTS on, so any ideas what else to take to cover it.
Tonight I’m focusing on the big premiership game at Villa park and have picked 3 bets.
BET OVER 2.5 GOALS 1/1 @ VARIOUS
BET BENTEKE TO SCORE 29/20 @ BETVICTOR
BET SESSEGNON TO SCORE 17/5 @ BETVICTOR
Good luck if your having a bet
(double) Dutching, dogging, greening (where one gets ones knees stained while engaging in our door activity with memeber of the opposite sex on the grass), laying, backing (in) shafting(the bookies) this site is turning into a Paul Raymond guide to life in Soho novel!! ;-)
oh yea…forgot Pumping as in pumping the bookie or pumping money in the puggy machines in the bookies! ;-) every days a school day on this site!
That’s a tricky one tbh max . No real way to get out of that and guarantee a profit. You could always lay the BTTS on exchanges or back no BTTS at highest odds you can find then start again using the way I explained above .
Was thinking you could try under 2.5 goals in play but be a disaster for you if ends 3 nil or above to any team
ASTON VILLA V SUNDERLAND
Both Teams to Score
Yes @ 1.833
REAL BETIS V DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.615
Double
Houston Astros @ New York Yankees
New York Yankee -1.5 Runs @ 1.80 William Hill
Yeah, I’ve had a look myself doesn’t seem to be too much that can be done with out fronting up more cash. To be fair there are many a worse place to be that with £50 on Real/Dortmund BTTS, and a free £50 in play. Think it’ll probably just see what it’s looking like at half time and make a call on that.
Thanks for your help.
Bet365 have been refunding when people have been guaranteeing profit. its maybe safer to wait til at least 5-10 mins tho just incase but as I said before over 0.5 gls pre-game then hit the draw whenever you want in play but they’ve not got it this time, must’ve clicked on :)
another one I’ve just noticed is dortmund to qualify pre game then madrid win or if your goin for a biggie try the handicaps -1 13/10 or -2 10/3.
anyway that’s for tomorrow, they Swedes dinny half love a gl or 2 :) , 3/5 in ma btts acca up now waiting on games at villa and betis, really hope benteke’s on fire tonight
@Craigy,,yer no needing Benteke the night mate,BOOM ,,,
Good luck wae Betis
Guys as a lot of peeps on here talk about bets/systems etc but never talk about outcomes i thought i would keep things going….
I went for the nags today doing the dutch betting system
16 bets 9 winners and still down 50% the lesson is it doesnt matter what u do u will still end up losing guys…any other results of people that actually do win would be greatly appreciated lol ;)i doubt theres many out there prove me wrong
Aston Villa v Sunderland BTTS in before half time! :)
that was easy :) now down ti betis depor
Craig,,couldnt have got a better start than that mate,,7mins 0-1,,,think its gonnae be your night :):)
is this you just limbering up for your semi-final,,,:)
BOOM :):):) The tonics on you matey,,n ye know ‘jimbo’ will never believe ye,,pmsl
well done bud
Over 2.5 goals singles and a double in the villa and sedan matches, fantastic start!
I reckon there should be a separate thread/link for miserable bstds,,who dont stop whingin…
Dont know if he has noticed but nobody is even answering him anymore!!!!
SilentJoe, there is. It’s called the trash.
LOL,,:):)
Jimbo your to negative about the whole thing, if you have patients and place bets on things you think have a chance yourself you should be up. It’s when you start doing 12 bets a day for the sake of putting a bet on your going to lose. I win a fair amount more than I lose at the bookies mate, patients is a big thing some punters cannot deal with.
@Miguel,,,wasting your time mate,,,if ‘jimbo’ won the lottery he would moan about the colour of the balls,,,and he wont believe you that you are “up” in any way, shape or form!!!
The preverbial pest of his local bookies,,shouting at tv screens etc….
Sessegnon sending off put paid to landing a full house but still, if you hit on 2 out of 3 your happy :) Mr F with 2nd legs of champions league would you advise lowering your stakes as the games are so heavily stacked in favour of the German teams or are you sticking with your normal staking plan.
thechief, I’ll be much more cautious with the two CL games simply because the Germans don’t need anything.
aye joe hoping they can get an equaliser now, I’m more chuffed that benteke got a hat-trick amd man of the match as it’s the business end of fantasty fitbaw and I’m in a good position goin into last few games wi 3 good prizes up for grabs. week for 2 in LA for winner, 2nd gets VIP tickets to premiership game of their choice and 3rd a 16gb I-pad. AND got 5 subs left :)
betis equaliser too :)
ano mate,,i ‘BOOMd” ye a cpl of posts above xcellent…..
a wee hol in LA would be brilliant, keep me posted wae that one,,,
well done,,ye deserved a good night :):)
Craig, that was easiest double ever I think. Never in doubt.
Just needed Betis for a fourfold of BTTS tonight and Sessegnon to score but he had to get himself a straight red….oh well good tipping again Mr F on the spanish game :-)
Got on under 2.5 goals in Betis game as soon as the second goal went in, too hedge my double. Hoping a third goal is scored. If not, then at least I get my stake back. Got to love in play betting.
Was it Dortmund or Munich that had a couple of dodgy goals last week?
Mr Kop, it was Bayern with the dodgy goals.
haha cheers mate been long awaited but banked £40 and got £5 for the midwk card. currently in 6th position 50 points before tonights game behind 1st and 35 points behind 2nd but will tomorrow where I am. just glad to be in wi a shout at this stage but hoping ma 5 subs can get me at least 3rd
Jumping the gun here but the chelsea game on Thursday BTTS is 10/11, ill be all over that as I feel Basel could score anywhere, the carrot of the final etc . Chelsea don’t lack a goal either .
Cheers I never seen any of games but barca @ 10/11, at home, in the semi final of the champions league ,4-0 down.
Call me crazy but I’m all over that.
Mr Kop, you wouldn’t go near it if you saw first leg. Might have been a couple of dodgy goals but it was men against boys. No chance of Barca turning that round.
Mr F, I would agree, I tend to mainly bet on anytime scorers and overs, think I’m gonna stick to the overs and as I can see over 3.5 at odds at 1/1 in tomorrow’s game, looks like a good bet to me.
Great call Paul on the both to score double, I thought it was a real runner and when I seen you side with it I needed no more convincing, well done. Ps credit as well for Sundays selections took A few of your calls and had a great day. Sterling job, still the best in the business
Paddy, only 1-1 at Betis but both that and final statistically looked good for btts.