Well, the sizable drift spoke volumes yesterday, with Amerjeet running accordingly at Newcastle. We move on to Tuesday.
| Newcastle - 19:30 |
Shark Two One |
17/2 |
I’m once again favouring the all-weather, and this time it’s off to Newcastle, where ahead of the penultimate race on the card, a six-furlong race of the Class 6 variety, Shark Two One appeals.
Perhaps not the most obvious winner on paper, especially given his lack of success in recent times, the six-year-old comes into this contest off the back of a fairly encouraging recent effort over course and distance, a reproduction of which may well be enough for him to lay down a serious challenge in what is a simpler contest.
Has the form to feature prominently in a race of this nature
Seven days ago, the gelding finished fourth (of 12) in a better race than this, which for my money, is not something to ignore, especially not with odds of 17/2 lurking in the early market.
He goes from the same mark here, while he’s performed well in both races of this nature and slightly better events from higher in the handicap, placing at Thirsk in September.
Trainer Jessica Macey can certainly ready one at Newcastle, and in general, she’s not unfamiliar with going close, winning or placing with a chunky 40% of her runners at the venue in 2024.
It’s also fair to say that Lewis Edmunds and Jessica Macey have been known to team up to good effect, with the duo winning or placing with 45% of their runners in 2024. During that time, nobody has ridden more winners for Macey than Edmunds.
I’d very much argue that this race is less demanding than his latest assignment, while I also fancy that he has a better chance of being a bit closer to the pace, which should mean that he has a little less to do in the latter stages of the race.
5 lbs below his last winning mark, right up there on last-time-out speed figures, which bodes well given that his latest run came over C&D, the six-year-old ticks more than enough boxes for me to conclude that early odds of 17/2 are on the generous side.
Based on a £10 level-stakes example, the Nap of the Day, after 50 Naps, has a running profit and loss of -£20.00 (since switching to being published here (10/09/2024) rather than on the ‘Nap of the Day' page).
In December 2020 we sadly 
You’d think with Class 6 being the minefield that they are, they’d throw up some winners. I know they say the market speaks but if the market was correct we’d be millionaires by now 🙂