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I can't seem to get a grip of the flat season as of yet, and yesterday was agonising with Flotus being beaten by small margins and Rachael Blackmore sat too confident on the other horse who was backed in below EVS and finished second.
Goodwood 2:50
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Hayley Turner
Form: 21411-
With the ground being changed to Soft at Goodwood yesterday it brings SECRET SHADOW into this race with a big chance. This horse progressed nicely last season on testing ground and there's no reason to believe that progress should be stopped now she is a 4yo.
This race looks competitive on paper, but it's crying out for an improving horse to grab it by the scruff of the neck. You have some decent horses at the top of the weights but they are surely coming to an end of their career. The interesting horses are towards the bottom of the weights, but they don't all take to the ground like Secret Shadow does, which is why she is a great price and one to be on side with.
The fact she has had no run is a slight concern, but the fact she was entered at Epsom and was eventually pulled out due to the fast ground gives me the feeling she will be much further forward in her fitness than you'd think as they would've got her ready for that race, and she would've stripped fitter for that prep so the fact they've given her a month to get even fitter is a positive. I can't see any excuses for fitness being an issue.
Haydock 3:10
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Jockey: James Doyle
Form: 111-61
I think it's fairly significant that connections have decided to go for this race than the race after with FLAMING RIB. I thought the idea of dropping back to 5f last time was a cracking idea and it seemed to have worked out pretty well as he won with a fair bit in hand but he did stay on strongly at the line and the horse really stuck his neck out so there seemed to be potential for 6f as well. Hugo and the owner has gone for the 6f race and I can see how it does suit him as he is a strong traveller but has a nice turn of foot. This race looks a tricky one but you have to be a fairly smart horse to win this race in recent years with the average RPR to win is around 115-116 so the fact this horse has already produced a rating 110 this year shows he's at the right calibre to win this. He's has two runs this season so his fitness won't be an issue, and he gets on well with good ground so the ground should be spot on for him. There is a lot of pace in this race, so a horse who stays the 6f well is what you want and I think this lad fits that title. He's not an amazing price now, and isn't an EW play currently, so if he drifts to around 11/2 – 6/1 then I'd play him EW but if shorter then it's just a win bet for me.
Curragh 5:03
Trainer: Paddy Twomey
Jockey: W J Lee
Form: 310P-
Paddy Twomey is probably my favourite trainer in Ireland and I think he is brilliant with the stable he has. He is a very shrewd operator, which is a term which gets chucked about quite loosely these days, but he is 100% fitting to that title. PINAR DEL RIO has been gelded since last season and when you combine that with ground with a little bit of juice in it I think he could be a little overpriced in this contest.
He was a quick juvenile who started the season off well with a 3rd and a win from his first two starts. He was then chucked into the deep end in a Group 2 where it didn't quite go to plan and was then PU in July. He's clearly had problems hence why he's been off the track for 300 days but his early potential gives the impression he could be better than a 87 rated horse. The return to ground which isn't quick will be to his benefit and in a race where most turn up to this in fairly terrible form, he looks worthy of taking a chance on.
York 2:55
Trainer: Michael Dods
Jockey: Connor Beasley
Form: 5446-0
If I didn't back this lad after the ride he had last time and he won I'd be kicking myself. I said that whenever and wherever JAWWAAL races next I'll be on, and it's today so I'll be a supporter of his again.
I had a little bit of rage from the ride he had last time out and it stunk of a none trier. The horse was on the bridle and Paul Mulrennan didn't even try and win the race. I think he is more than capable of winning a race like this off his current mark and it's no surprise they are back here after 9 days where the prize money to the winner is 10k bigger than the race he contested just over a week ago.
He's an EW price again and it would be ridiculous if connections don't fancy winning this race as it's a good pot.
York 3:30
Trainer: Ed Walker
Jockey: Ross Coakley
Form: 5336-4
I've been waiting a very long time to see GLENARTNEY over this longer trip. She was scheduled to run in a race over 14f last year but was pulled out due to the ground. I fancied her to run a big race that day so was a bit gutted to see her be a NR. There is a strong possibility that she will be a NR today as the ground is deemed as ‘good', which doesn't appear to be best suited, however I think she is worth taking a chance on.
This race doesn't look all that strong if the truth be told. Believe In Love has been disappointing on the whole since her constant set of wins and Mighty Blue's recent form doesn't scream that she is bulletproof.
Glenartney has had a nice seasonal opener so she should be match fit and rearing to go. This looks a great opportunity to land some Group 3 winning blacktype which is so important to the breeding side of the game.
Musselburgh 4:13
Trainer: William Haggas
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Form: 03-1
With William Haggas winning the previous two renewals of this race, it's hard to look elsewhere other than NATHANAEL GREEN who makes the trip up from Newmarket to make it a hat trick of wins in this race. It's not a great surprise to see William bringing up an unexposed type for this race again as the prize money to the winner is very generous for a Class 3 (25k).
William's horses are in tremendous form as of late and arguably the most in form trainer so it's a little surprise to see odds of 5/2 floating around for this horse.
Since going up in trip he has looked more at home and a further 2f today should bring out even further improvement. He has a nice pedigree and is related to horses who have stayed this far, including My Frankel who was/is a decent handicapper. William has a 40% SR at this track, so doesn't bring them to mess about.
Cracking race at auteuil 🇫🇷 4-00.
Mullins sends over 3, kemboy, klassical dream and tornado flyer to take on France’s top hurdlers.
And Sunday the grand steeplechase de Paris (french grand national)
Al boum photo one the notable non french entries
These are sky sports Laurent barbarin’s tips on Saturday, he is usually quite decent with his tips 🇫🇷
2.15 AUTEUIL
IBAN ROQUE (4-1 general)
4.35 AUTEUIL
IDEAL DU CHENET (4-1 Coral, Ladbrokes)
16+ runners in each race, no ew value on these, they will have to win, don’t think I’ll bother myself
I hear his brother Conan is quite good !
His great grandfather used to help another chap called William Hanna make cartoons I think?
🇫🇷 Seriously but he is a good tipster,tough looking races to me he’s picked out but maybe worth a couple of pounds
4.00 is a cracker but that’ll be a few £s for interest too if at all.
Better tomorrow ,Sel Jem,Hawai De Berlais and La Manganice out tomorrow from my tracker but no prices.
Don’t expect them to be great but we shall see.
GL today whatever yer on
My selections for today
1:25 haydock- songo 11/4
1:53 Musselburgh- the gay blade 9/4
2:55 York – jawwaal 8/1
8:00 Stratford- dhowin 2/1
Hopefully we can dig out some winners between us all ! 👍💰🤞
Also going to do a £1 e/w 6 fold on all of David proberts rides today at haydock who knows anything is possible on a sat . Obviously going for the place money not expecting him to win them all be nice if he did though 😂
Smashed it 💰💰💰💰💰💰💰👍👍
731/ 1 winner ! Don’t think I will too that again anytime soon 😂
4:35 Auteuil- Irish sport 14/1 e/w
Atomic Jones 3-20 curragh
25-1 ew 3 places BETVICTOR
8-1 ew extra 5 places.
beat buckaroo into 6th last September at leopardstown, today buckaroo is 4-1 !!!!! 🇮🇪
Silence please 3-30 York 4-1
Monndamej 3-45 haydock
80-1 ew 4 places PADDY POWER
33-1 ew extra 6 places.
Fanzio 6-00 Stratford 13-2 ew 3 places.
Race 2 – toowoomba – mill Rossa 5/1 nap ! 💰
Get in ! That’s today’s betting fund sorted !!
Did I not tell you to wake me up for that race Dazzman? 🙄 👍
Towoomba -R6…Dreamers Gift. 14/5
Up Kate watching US of A stuff and I’ll be keeping most my pennies for tonight.
*up Late watching
She sees that I’ll get my ar$e slapped…again!
I had a nice one last night at gulfstream 8:55
SLOT QUEEN 5/1 I had a little lump on it manly because Samuel Camacho jr was on board I do keep an eye out for him lately def a note worthy jockey
Well stone the crow…Dreamers Gift. ✅
That’ll do! 🇦🇺
Well done lad ☝️
Nóice! 👌
Yeah think he was on one for me last night and Manuel Franco. Flavian Prat’s strike rates dropped but only due to competing in better graded races but he was operating at 40% strike rate few months back! 😯
13:10 Goodwood – Baccarat Baby – 11/8
15:20 Curragh – Native Trail – 1/3
15:45 Haydock – Winter Power – 2/1
16:07 York – Looking For Lynda – 2/1
19:45 Lingfield – Byefornow – 4/1
Race 3 – toowoomba – coynes road 11/2 e/w just to be safe !
I’ve added a few more for today. Play careful as always as Saturday’s can often be a bloodbath. Good luck with all of your bets.
It’s the best from a spectating perspective but a nightmare for betting 😂
Saturday is the Devil 😈
I was going to say postman got the right idea not bothering on the weekend ! But my best win has came on a Saturday before I came on here . You just never know when it’s going to be your day as you said the other day you could be walking around lucky and not know it 😂you would only kick yourself if what you may have followed comes in so all those bets before would of been for nothing 😂 within a blink of a eye your luck can change good or bad 😂
The mother in law is the devil in drag !
On Saturdays and Sundays I still bet, But I like Tennis Finals, Football matches and the odd final round golf bets.
Just one bet for me today, already tipped by Rizzel/dazzman👍 Jawwaal 2.55. GL🍀
Saturday is tough but always worth a Trixie or Yankee etc for small stakes that’s for sure.
Have a watch between Scottish Cup Final.
Bandinelli…2.00. 10/3
Majestic Dawn..2.15. 7/2
Believe In Love ..3.30. 7/2
Winter Power…3.45. 10/3.
Go with an Ew on Jawaal too after watching the race again after Rizzle mentioned it the next day,was certainly a strange bit of jockeying?
GL all today
🇺🇸 Cracking stuff stateside last night and Pimlico starts early but going with these for now.
Pimlico -R8…Set. Piece. 6/4
R11…B Dawk. 11/4.
Monmouth Park -R5…Robin Sparkles. 11/4
Go with Early Voting in the Preakness Stakes G1 currently 4/1. Plenty of improvement to come and only beaten a short head by Mo Donegal who showed up well in Kentucky Derby after a bad start. Should be fresher than a few of these after skipping Kentucky.
Wee R/Fc with Secret Oath
Not that Epicentrer isn’t a good favourite but at 10/11 I’m not having it and nothing major staked on what should be a cracking race.
Small Ew on Skippylongstocking. 50/1 4 places with Bet365. Finishing well in 3rd behind Early Vitung and Mo Donegal mentioned above but mainly as he’s 16 and 18/1 with others?
GL
Interesting ex UK runner making his debut in Pimlico race 6 Golden Voice. Not best race and is 2/1 favourite. Gaffalione on board too.
Bandinelli did NOT like the grass!
Blackbeard very impressive there and one rom my notes at 5/2(big £4.50 on it) but $hat it to put it up??
Should have posted with a few beers down me last night like I was going too! 😂
Least I had a few £s on it but maybe the Saturday factor folk keep mentioning or something?? 🤷♂️
eye knee 1.25 ew
evocated spark 1.45 Frankel colt got to be a cracking ew bet today
-13.25pts
Haddock
13:25 screaming petrus 4/1 1pt win
14:00 dark Jedi 16/1 1pt ew
14:35 whoputfiftyinyou 13/2 1pt win
15:10 el caballo 3/1 2pt win
15:45 last crusader 5/1 1pt win
Haddock 🎣🐟 😆
😂😂☝️
😂😂 got to love the iPhone . Running like haddocks 😂😂
Finally caught one 🎣 😂
Well done Pom I’m hoping he places in all his races today 🤞💰
Nice one with el caballo 👍🍻
Caught two 🎣
It was the old 2pts ploy with your baiting that hook it! 👏
Woodsworth…3.55. 15/8. Got the fitness and Moore stays on and was just touched off last time .
Believe in Love wins so Winter Power be a good 3/4 in my Yankee.
2 more Saturday losers before I head out to watch some low level football.
Just a star 1-33 auteuil 🇫🇷
4-1 win
6-4 top 2 finish
——————————————
Third realm 3-25 Goodwood.
3-1 win NAP 🏇
EVENS (without lone eagle)
Both at BETVICTOR….
Well done with third realm 👍💰 no shock at all to see an odds on get turned over these days it don’t mean anything 🤪
Napper 💰
Backed Third Realm earlier when i seen Alan Thomson tip it,even more confident when i seen elvis was also on well in elvis.
David probert having not such a bad day after all 😋
🇫🇷
Hermes Baie …4.00. 5/1. Beat favourite last run and more scope for improvement but just a few Francs as I said for interest in a very interesting race.
GL
Jamacho 7-00 Stratford has drifted from 7-1 to 12-1, I don’t know why.
He wins here and ground is suitable.
Atlantic storm is a likely winner and won here before also but hasn’t won in a while and too short at 2-1.
Jamacho 9-1 ew extra 3 places I’ve done for interest later
David probert 💰
🇫🇷 “A changing of the guard” indeed as Hermes Baie pi$$ed it tbf v a great stablemate and Klassical Dream.
Still very little prices available for tomorrow but Sel Jem 4/1 to serve it up to the elders in same colours for me tomorrow in 3.00 Autueil.
#All gone to look for America#
🇺🇸🐎 💩
It’s best odds but Robin Sparlkes at Monmouth is out to 6/1. Point being there’s 2 horses that ran last night in a stakes race like this at Pimlico.
It’ll be less than 16/17 hours ago I’d say at another venue over 700 miles away?
Honey Money and Payntdembluesaway (I had in my Canadian) and there’s money for them so looks like there in and if they run …only in America as “they” say?
Happens in UK the odd time but with travel like that and timescale??
🇺🇸
Posted earlier….
Interesting ex UK runner making his debut in Pimlico race 6 Golden Voice. Not best race and is 2/1 favourite. Gaffalione on board too.
Golden Voice is favourite for the upcoming 4.42 at York?
Concord back in the sky again or what with these horses! 😂 😋
Well done the winners today!
Monndamej 3-45 haydock
80-1 ew 4 places PADDY POWER
33-1 ew extra 6 places.
Came 4th, backed into 25-1 well pleased with this one.
Well done peeps, pom, daz probert etc 😆.
One more place to go at 28/1 for big money 😂
£607 if the last one places from a £1 e/w stake 😂💰
😮
Well best o frickin luck Dazzman! 🤞
Jessie Allan 4.45 ew
admiralty 5.15 ew well done all winners today
Get in my son ! 🤪💰💰💰💰 thank you very much David probert !!! 😘😘😘
£731.73 pence ! Time for a pizza 🍕 😁
Brilliant Dazzman! I didn’t want to say for obvious reasons but put a wee Ew on it as it’s been a good day and with USA bets all but on and sorted i had to have a bet.
Some going and pleased for you as for a £1 Ew that’s a great “speculative” effort. ;)
🍕?
“dining with meatballs!” 👍
Well done mate glad you were on !!! The risk reward was well worth it for only a couple of quid 💰💰 oh and I’m playa inclusion in the last at gulfstream 9/2 those Silks we’re doing well last night and with top jockey on board 😂💰💰
Congrats are on you mate and just looking I was thinking Sammy Camacho from your winner last night but Jnr your saying… I’m pretty sure it’s a relationship of some sort! ;)
Looks okay to me mate but mind I I ask why?
Case I need a get out of jail later! ;)
Na not after Robin Sparkles getting me off to a flyer for first time in a while on a Saturday.
Monmouth Park ye can’t find a stat for that it’s just as well for the auld tracker factor and Set Piece wins too. Pity Join The Team let’s the ‘side’ down but can’t grumble with that tbf.
GL mate and mind join in with Jnr Cammy later
Set Piece…Drifted to 5/2?
Yahtzee! 🎲
🇺🇸
B Dawk is NR so keep 2 I’ve mentioned as singles and go with this Canadian
Pimlico -R8…Set. Piece. 6/4(*)
R12…Caritora 6/4
Monmouth Park -R5…Robin Sparkles. 11/4(*)
Woodbine- R3…Join The Team 3/1
R7…Emmaline. 3/1
Repeat from earlier ⬇️
Go with Early Voting in the Preakness Stakes G1 currently 4/1. Plenty of improvement to come and only beaten a short head by Mo Donegal who showed up well in Kentucky Derby after a bad start. Should be fresher than a few of these after skipping Kentucky.
Wee R/Fc with Secret Oath
Not that Epicentrer isn’t a good favourite but at 10/11 I’m not having it and nothing major staked on what should be a cracking race.
Small Ew on Skippylongstocking. 50/1 4 places with Bet365. Finishing well in 3rd behind Early Vitung and Mo Donegal mentioned above but mainly as he’s 16 and 18/1 with others?
GL all
forgot to ask 8.00 ew
Well done mate wish I was on that one now 😢
cheers dazzman 1979
Dhowin beaten by a 14/1 shot ! Why is that not a supprise !
Don’t forget race 12 gulfstream
Playa inclusion 9/2 on the nose 😛💰💰
🇺🇸
Early Voting posting it in…stop the count!
Santa Anita-R9…Legfs Galore 1/1.
🇺🇸
Early Voting posting it in…stop the count!
Santa Anita-R9…Legfs Galore 1/1.
Santa Anita-R8..Thrive. 6/4(Ex tracker horse)
Golden Fates -R9 ..Rock An Salt. 11/4 (tracker horse,thats it). ;)
Went a small Trixie with the above
🇺🇸 A 👌
Santa Anita race with Leggs Galore?
Can’t Believe that Bye By Bertie at 4/1 now was on my tracker this morning at 12/1 rank outsider and is now 4/1 2nd favourite?
Surely not?
NOT advised but if you know but at all R/fc there with Leggs Galore and Bye Bye Bertie. 👍🎲