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Light N Strike didn't jump with the fluency he showed on his two previous runs over fences, and that costed him in the final stages of the race. He cruised into the lead at Southwell, but the final two jumps allowed the Skelton horse to reel him in as he stayed on strongly. It was frustrating to see, but I do think he can win another race if his jumping returns to the previous runs.
Haydock 2:20
Unfortunately, this race has fell apart, and is now a three runner race after two have been pulled out. It's annoying to see as it makes the prices on offer a lot worse, but at the same time there are obviously less horses to beat. GREEN BOOK is the one to be on in this race, and will definitely give the current market favourite a lot of problems.
A Different Kind is the current market fav, and is around odds of EVS. He comes into this race on the back of three wins on the bounce, so you'd expect him to be well fancied, but the form of the races he's won isn't great by any stretch of the imagination, and I think he can be taken on. He won by a wide margin on hurdles debut, but he beat two flat horses into 2nd and 3rd, who clearly haven't taken well to the hurdles game, and the Irish Raider back in 4th flopped the next time out when losing as a fav, which was a poor run. He also managed to win his two bumper runs by wide margins, but once again the form hasn't exactly worked out. Also, he needs to prove that he handles/is good on this ground, as his form has come on good or good-to-soft.
Green Book has enjoyed a good summer on the flat, where has racked up a win in a decent Chester Handicap, which won connections 18k, and he won that with ease. He then had to run in better races, and he didn't run without promise, as he finished 4th in a Goodwood handicap (0-105) on his latest start. Prior to his runs on the flat, he ran once over hurdles which has now turned into good form. He finished 2nd to Herbiers, and that horse has won three times since and is now rated 134. The 3rd placed horse has been runner-up twice and won on his seasonal reappearance, and is now a rated 125 chaser and 118 hurdler. Today's ground should be more suited to Green Book than the others, as he has previous ran well on soft and is a strong stayer at the trip.
The Nicky Henderson runner shouldn't be underestimated, especially in a three runner race, but she hasn't proven herself as much as the others, but with the mare's allowance she could be dangerous.
6:30 Kempton – endured 7/2
3:30 Lingfield- libbretta – 16/1 e/w
Not as good as some today but a wins a win none the less! hope some got on at the better price or were waiting for it as part of an accumulator 💰
Desert lime 11.50 lin
Another brown bear 1.15 hay
Poet 4.30 kem
Imperium 6.0 kem gl
Jim Crowley has won 1 in 5 of his 1000 rides at this track and could be worth a look at, an even money fav, Gizda has halved in price whilst both others could place. Jack Mitchell is there too, a man (assuming that’s what he identifies as) who should be getting at least one.
The two I will chance at Lingfield both come with risks so don’t let them cost you.
12.20 Lingfield – BURABECK 17/2 ew 5 places
Brian O’Rourke has one in this, he had a random 25/1 winner this week. Havlin was on board, so it’s interesting to see Rab opt for my selection, BURABACK. The horse makes it’s hcap debut and obviously a certain level of trust is needed. Please note this is bargain bucket racing and I have not assesed rivals as such bet appropriately.
BURABECK’s best run was over this trip when a distant 4th, both the 2nd and 3rd came out and won immediately after. The 3rd won off 82 in a Class 4 and was then 4/11 at Listed level. The 2nd beat a previous winner who then came out again and won. We were 4.5 lengths behind the pair but given we are rated 60, in a Class 6, there is room for some optimism. Given the fav is 9/2, it suggests an open looking race and with 5 places paid, I am happy to take the chance, I urge people to use a bankroll so stabs like this carry no consequence as in the long run we will win.
Note Slybet do not give BOG in extra placed races. If looking for another outsider, at 12/1 LELABAD represents an inform trainer who had a 2yo debutant winner recently, and although this horse is from another stable, could run well based on very little reasoning.
12.50 Lingfield – AMBER ISLAND 9/1 ew
This horse looks hcapped to its fullest so I would advise, if risking to seek 3 places. Don’t let it break your multiples. I haven’t assessed rivals in this either and it’s nothing more in hope, you’ve been warned.
This is a C3, both wins have come in C4, although she was a good 2nd off 1 lower in an apprentice race over this C&D back April. Prior to that it was winning off 80. This suggests she’s hcapped to the max, having failed off a few higher but if fully firing, I would like to hope a place is possible.
Jim Crowley precise record at Lingfield Park is: 270 winners 15.6% 1727 rides
Great shout there kid
Well done nice shooting son 👍💰
MERRY CHRISTMAS, YOU FILTHY ANIMALS.
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
hope some were on, i’ve lost my voice.
Outstanding lovely double there sir 👍 can’t knock that mate 💰
Brilliant tips.
Unfortunately didn’t see them on time
Credit where credid is due, Fantastic write up 👍
Mate that’s superb ! 👏 🌲
only worth if others benefitted, that’s why trolls wind me up because i care more about helping others win than winning for myself. anyway, after EWTs 80/1 and postmans 40/1, i barely get the bronze medal this week alone, but hopefully i can land another one soon enough over and out.
11:50 Lingfield – Covert Mission
3:10 Dundalk – Satin Snake
4:30 Kempton – Poet
Binky the pale horse ! Wonder which one he will be riding in today !
Mung last night in the USA tae with 1 winner and I backed that Monday night!
A great day followed by a duffer and uninspiring in the UK so I’m going with ATRs man in Hong Kong 🇭🇰
At very least it’s exciting racing with some good prices but nothing major with my ¥ I’m staking.
3 from my tracker but 2 in the same race so maybe a R/fc and 1 of them he’s on too
Yankee and 2x singles
Happy Valley-R1…Victorious Seeker. 4/1(***)
R3…Inno Legend 2/1
R8…Tianchi Monster. 11/4
R9..Yourmyeverything 11/2(**** hard to choose here but going with the expert with weight allowance and draw in its favour) R/fc with Savvy Kingmann too.
GL 🇭🇰🐎
Inno Legend is his Nb and Yourmyeverything is his NAP. First ups from y notes.
Ting tong tai Pepsi Cola’ 🇭🇰🐎
J.Moreria jumps off Savvy Kingmann to ride Yourmyeverthing too so hope it’s right choice all round
*To ride Tianchi Monster
Honestly being at work and trying to post!
3 replays Ive had to watch too without seeing the results just for all the excitement of them getting pumped! 😂
Joyful Win 1.45…5/2. “Get across and a point and steer job” said the man in Hong Kong and it was,just thank France for that!!
Why wasn’t that his NAP or Nb with that statement??
alba del soul 11.50 ew
12.40 H Storm Lorenzo 11/1 E/W SKYBET payong 4.
14.50 H Smooth Stepper 22/1 E/W SKYBET paying 5
15.20 H Mcgowans Pass 16/1 E/W SKYBET paying 5
12.20 L Major Gatsby 14/1 E/W SKYBET paying 5
15.30 L Libberetta 12/1 E/W SKYBET paying 5
16.40 D International Lady 18/1 E/W most firms paying 5
major gatsby 12.20 ew hurricane dylan 12.40 ew well done all winners yesterday
Always like to catch Venetia Williams when she comes into form . She sent out a 28/1 winner and 5/1 second on Saturday , she has 3 runners today
2.30 hay green book
2.50 hay also
Singles / Double
3.20 hay grizzly James
Longshot treble
Gla
Morning all. Late Romantic looks over priced @ 20s Haydock 2.50. Has won on heavy ground and worth an ew.
And a small ew extra bet on Daylotin @ 100s if your feeling brave or 22s down to 8th.
French import who could run well.
GL
Fantastic ewthief
4 places and a winner. Thanks 😊
No good so far in Hong Kong.
I’m on Zac Purton next one at Happy Valley.
Wins All…12.45. 3/1.
GL
Purton- Moreria 1-2 again at Happy Valley and I go with Purton who was 2nd of course!
Need to hope later picks land or Oor Rizzles comes home.
GL rest of the day folks I’m out till I land stateside.
Afternoon all well done winners yesterday
Late romantic 2.50h 16-1
Das kapital 3.30l 22-1
Miss cunning 3.40d 25-1
Harrietts force 4.40d 17-2
Blue Medici 5.00k 16-1
Mafia power 6.30k 11-1
Makambe 7.30k 8-1
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️Gl all
Cheers reky glad you were on 👍
Well in mate,good start that!
Just to be clear before I’m stuck at work till after 4.30
It’s Tianchi Monster and Savvy Kingmann (son of Kingmann) that’s the R/fc in R8 Happy Valley and apologise IF (which I doubt) anyone got mixed up or more so IF anyone is even on! Lol
Happy Valley-R8…R/fc…3-6
this is a £2 max type of bet, and maybe not even that, but teal/mitchell are legends in my book and have landed some big touches last month or two. the horse is better over 2f more, so as i said, a throwaway quid if anything but i wanted to mention it because i took 20/1 and it just went to 10/1… in a 4 horse race up against two shorties. 200 ling
what are the chances, i had osprey call in a lot of multiples with two 9/1 winners and it’s been withdrawn, clearly firms aren’t running scared of me, but if it won, i was looking at FIVE figures… so i wouldn’t be shocked :D
in the 430, sterling knight was my 4th horse of the day, 17/2, and is now 4/1, not even looked at it on paper, but there was a brief spell where these silks just absolutely crushed on the AW couple months back, price less appealing now but one to mull over.
Just reading bit above Myizin that’s a pi$$er it’s NR as I’d have watched it myself in hope for you.?
i thought it was a bad thing at first, but actually, given cash outs are 70-80% of the bet value, i have lost on on the potential big time (granted needed 9/1 shot to win altho is was 2nd fav), but won more than i would’ve if cashing out. also, the trebles with a NR get winning doubles, so it’s worked out OK, but still got the 17/2 into 9/2 horse for four figures from less than £5 so here’s hoping.
R/fc lands in Hong Kong thank France.
Took the winner in a wee single to so well done Tim Carrol at ATR as I’d been all over Savvy Kingmann for another 2nd.
Myizin has cracked December already! 😉
🇭🇰Didn’t think the R/Fc pay £28.93 that’s for sure?
Lucky duck in the end tbh,not with the R/fc it was the betting/chasing it in between but anywho…
🇺🇸🐎
Feet up and had time to get in about the US racing,nothing from my tracker it’s just a good look and then see if ratings,tipsters etc agree so just a Trixie on…
Tampa -R5…Truly A Dream. 6/4
Mahoning -R7…Churchilled. 2/1
R8…Double Edged. 7/4.
GL and well done the winners today.
@myizin
Credit where it’s due. Two cracking calls.
Hard enough these days to call winners of those odds never mind 2 on the trot.
Well done.
thank you kindly, keep up the good work yourself ;)
lady dollars 4.30 ew well done all winners today
Well done all with winners
1820 EXPRESSO FREDDO won this race last year. He had a similar wide draw, carries 2lbs less and is rated 4 lower. I would be more than happy if it just places so don’t get carried away, so much more better opportunities from now until the weekend. He raced over CD 3 weeks ago and although only 4th, if you watch the race, he is the last off the bridle, which may not mean much, but I take it as a positive. At the price you can afford to use EW EXTRA, he is 20/1 on 365, they’re offering 10/1 for 6 places.
Nice bit of placing that 👍
every little helps! looked hard to win given the trip although could’ve been a lot worse, onwards and upwards.
just saw you had the winner, lovely schtuff
7:00 Kempton – dynakite 12/1 e/w if you like but I’m going straight for the win 😂
do for me dazzman
onwards
Drifted to 20s so you would of been alright going e/w with 4places easily available
on it dazzman with 2 already placed in a L15
well done with endured ,got that as well
bol
pennies on Purple Poppy
sky 4 places
Maykir
J: Marco Ghiani
T: J R Jenkins
prices are massive so this as well
@myizin2
the stats i used for jim the shark crowley, was from the last 10 years only, 1035 rides 202 wins 19.5%
Last punt of the day
Kempton 7:30 – Chetan 33/1 William hill 4 places
Let’s hope we can all get a few in 2 Moro best of luck 👍
Blue Artemis
Lucky last
🤞
🇺🇸 blazing zenna 8-04 moaning valley 🇺🇸
9-4 top 3 finish 9-4 main bet.
11-2 top 2 finish smaller bet
————————————————–
Well done data today
I’m Busy at work until that bearded twat Santa comes calling so missed all the excitement.
See what happens when you focus on your knowledge for the good of the thread and not other folks postings.
Keep em coming laaah
Poor old Elvis left with the dregs of American racing 😂
Race 7 Tampa bay downs – Gramercy 6/1 don’t fall into the mug bet trap at 5/4
Here is one for you myizin
Seeing as you missed out on osprey call today the next race at Tampa bay downs has a horse called osprey currently 6/1 worth a go you ll only kick yourself if you don’t 😂
only thing i like about american racing is the commentary. missed it anyway, contrary to popular belief i had to step up to go watch the the mighty reds ;)
What like that bloke who says “and there they gooooo !!!! Haha better than the Irish comentator who sounds like he’s being electrocuted near the end of the race and the winner is announced 😂