SCOTLAND are targeting six points in five days to stay alive on the Road to Russia.
Four points could be enough to keep them in contention depending on results elsewhere but you need to beeat teams like Lithuania to be serious contenders.
I'm giving Gordon Strachan's side victory against Malta on Monday and hopefully he picks the points in Vilnius tonight.
We all know it won't be easy against stubborn eastern Europeans on an artificial pitch some players will hate and it looks cert to go under 2.5 goals.
However, after coming so close to beating England last time out I'm backing Scotland to nick it even though we are no bigger than 4-5 with McBookie.
If we win it could be by 1-0 at 19-4 with McBookie while under 2.5 goals pays 8-15 at Paddy Power. Six of the nine meetings between the sides have gone that way.
Celtic hitman Leigh Griffiths is our most likeliest first scorer at 16-5 with Paddy Power and is 13-10 with McBookie to score. He should start after netting two free-kicks last time out against England.
England only beat Malta 2-0 at Wembley and we're the only side that's hammered them in Group D.
However, Gareth Southgate's side are 1-20 certs to win an should do so by at least three at 1-2 with McBookie. Best bet could be England to win to nil at 1-3 with boylesports but that's one for accumulators.
Elsewhere Germany have maximum points in Group C, scoring 27 times and conceding once in six outings. They’ve also led at the break in each of these victories and in their last 20 qualifiers on the road have won 18 times, leading at the half-time on 14 occasions. Take them half-time and full-time at 13-10 with Ladbrokes.
Northern Ireland are five points behind the Germans but could move seven points clear of Czech Republic in second if they win away to the Faroes.
Finding value isn't easy with the Irish 1-20 at sportingbet and have won previous meeting 4-0, 4-0 and 3-0 so consider the Irish -2 at 8-11 with Skybet. Kyle Lafferty is playing regular games for the first in years and the Hearts striker is 3-1 at bet365 to break the deadlock.
Poland look value at 6-5 with bet365 draw no bet in Denmark and consider Robert Lewandowski to score at 13-10 with unibet. The Bayern star has netted 20 in 11 qualifiers and has started the season with six in four for Bayern.
- Scotland & under 2.5 goals
- England -2
- Germany/Germany HT/FT
- Poland draw no bet
- Lewandowski to score
- Lafferty to score first