SlipsTips shares a selection ahead of Mexico's clash with England at the World Cup on Monday.
Mexico vs England (Monday, 01:00)
Battling it out for a place in the World Cup quarter-finals, Mexico and England will go head-to-head at the Azteca in the early hours of Monday morning.
The co-hosts were one of only three nations to come through the group stage with a perfect return of three wins from three, and they have since seen off Ecuador with a 2-0 victory.
England, meanwhile, blew hot and cold during the group stage but ultimately topped Group L before surviving a scare against DR Congo in a 2-1 victory in the previous round.
The Three Lions are 7/5 favourites with bet365, but I would rather steer clear of the match odds and turn my attention to a player-based selection.
Julian Quinones is priced at 10/11 with bet365 to be fouled at least twice, which looks like an attractive angle of attack.
The Mexican forward has impressed across his four World Cup outings, registering three goals and one assist.
He is also highly effective at winning free kicks, which is likely to be on show in a game of this magnitude.
Indeed, Quinones has drawn an average of 1.90 fouls per 90 across his four World Cup appearances thus far.
A closer look at the numbers shows he was fouled twice against South Africa and on three occasions against South Korea.
Looking further back, he was brought down three times against Portugal in a pre-World Cup friendly, and twice in the match that followed against Belgium.
There is some uncertainty over who England will start at right-back, but it could be Djed Spence, who was deployed there against DR Congo and struggled defensively.
With all things considered, Quinones to be fouled at least twice looks strong value, particularly given the price is much shorter elsewhere.
Recommended Bet
- Julian Quinones To Be Fouled 2+ Times – 10/11 (bet365)
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