SlipsTips shares his favourite fancy ahead of Leicester's Friday night fixture with Newcastle in the Premier League.
Leicester vs Newcastle (Friday, 20:00)
Leicester will be looking to get their bid for a top-four finish back on track when Newcastle come to town on Friday night.
Having said that, the King Power club missed a big chance to tighten their grip on third spot against Southampton last week and they can ill-afford to offer the chasing pack another lifeline on Friday night.
Newcastle, meanwhile, despite last week's limp 2-0 loss against Arsenal, have significantly eased their relegation fears – Steve Bruce's side have a healthy nine point buffer between themselves and the bottom-three.
The Toon could take a huge step towards securing their Premier League safety this weekend but I'm going to steer clear of the match result market here and opt for an alternative angle.
Newcastle are priced up at 5/6 with Sky Bet to receive 20 or more booking points during this match and that price just looks a little too big to me.
Bruce's boys are averaging 1.79 bookings per game this season – the second-highest tally in the division – and they have chalked up 20+ booking points in 21 of their 34 Premier League matches this season.
Leicester, on the other hand, are drawing a league-high average of 2.12 yellow cards from their opponents in home matches this season.
Indeed, referee Darren England is averaging 3.30 cards per game this season, but it's worth noting that the Doncaster-born whistler has shown the away side two or more cards in five of his last Premier League assignments.
With that in mind, coupled with the likelihood of Leicester dominating possession for long periods here, I'm more than happy to back the Magpies to pick up 20+ booking points at the King Power on Friday night.
- Newcastle 20+ Booking Points (5/6, Sky Bet)