Man City vs LeicesterEnglish Premier League, KO: 17:30 Dec 21, 2019, Etihad Stadium
MANCHESTER City will be presented with the opportunity to close the gap on both Liverpool and Leicester when faced with the Foxes at the Etihad on Saturday evening.
The Citizens title defence is hanging by a thread, however, Pep Guardiola's star-studded side looked like their old selves last weekend whilst cruising to a 3-0 success away at Arsenal.
Prior to last Sunday's stroll in north London, City had failed to win three of their previous five Premier League fixtures and the Blue Moon will be desperate to build some momentum in their feeble bid to retain their crown.
Yet, even if Pep's champs were to triumph in this tussle, City would still fail to leapfrog the Foxes who will arrive in Manchester four points in front of the Sky Blues.
Brendan Rodgers side were in the midst of an eight-game winning streak before dropping points at home to Norwich last Saturday, however, Leicester's impressive points return of 25 from the last 27 on offer will see them head north high in confidence.
What's more, Rodgers men will be in high spirits after booking their place in the last four of the Carabao Cup on Wednesday night after squeezing past Everton in a penalty shootout.
The Betting Odds
Despite failing to win three of their eight leagues games at the Etihad this term, Man City enter this mouthwatering meeting as big odds-on favourites at 4/11 (Bet 365)
Leicester have only lost two leagues games this season and are unbeaten in nine, however they go into this battle as big underdogs at 7/1 (UniBet) and the draw also deemed unlikely at 4/1 (Unibet) with the same firm.
The Betting Angles
I successfully tipped Man City to concede in their last league outing at home to rivals Manchester United and I'm going to take a similar approach when City lock horns with Leicester.
Indeed, Man City kept a clean sheet at the Emirates, however, that was the Citizens first shutout in 11 attempts and seven of the last eight teams to visit this venue have made the net bulge.
Leicester arguably represent City's toughest home assignment to date in a game where the Foxes look a bit short to strike at 1/2 (William Hill) however, the 5/6 (Bet 365) on offer for Leicester to score before the 72nd minute is a lot more enticing, not too mention, it's a betting angle that would have banked profit in 14 of Leicester's last 15 matches across all competitions.
Rodgers has a wealth of attacking talent, a number of technically gifted midfielders and two very adept full-backs -all of whom could threaten City's fragile back four.
Leicester also boast the leanest defence in the division, however, Rodgers rearguard will face a rigorous examination from free-flowing City who are the Premier League's top scorers – Guardiola's side have slammed in 47 goals in 17 outings to date.
Furthermore, City's goal return on home turf is even more impressive – the champions have chalked up 34 goals in 12 matches in their own backyard this season – and 15 of City's 17 league games has seen over 2.5 match goals land – a repeat on Saturday pays 4/9 (BoyleSports)
Given the collective firepower that will be on display, coupled with City's well-documented defensive deficiencies, I would be more inclined to back both teams to score at 4/6 (Unibet) – a bet that would have generated a return in 13 of City's last 14 matches.
Although I wouldn't back against Man City in the outright winner market, I am mindful of the fluency that the Foxes are playing with – so much so that I fancy the visitors to give vulnerable City a fright.
Therefore, I'm going to side with Leicester with a 1.75 goal start at 4/6 (UniBet) on the asian handicap – a bet that would only completely fail in the event that Leicester lose by three or more goals.
Leicester have only lost twice this season – by a solitary strike on both occasions – not to mention, City have netted two or fewer goals in their last four games at the Etihad.
This English Premier League match between Man City and Leicester will be played on Dec 21, 2019 and kick off at 17:30