Leicester vs NewcastleEnglish Premier League, KO: 16:30 Sep 29, 2019, King Power Stadium
THE only Premier League fixture slated for Sunday comes from the King Power Stadium when Leicester City lock horns with Newcastle United.
Both teams have endured contrasting starts to the season with Newcastle hovering precariously above the bottom-three while the Foxes started the weekend in the top-three.
Brendan Rodgers side completed a brilliant comeback to bag all three points against Spurs last Saturday and in doing so stamped themselves as legitimate top-six candidates.
Leicester were touted to gatecrash the traditional top-six this term and after amassing 14 points from 21 – and suffering only one defeat in six games – the Foxes have seen their odds slashed to 11/10 with Sky Bet to claim a European spot.
Meanwhile, some bookmakers currently make Newcastle favourites for the drop and that can be attributed to the Magpies only managing to collect one win and two draws from their opening six fixtures.
What's more, the Toon have only hit the back of the net four times in the aforementioned stretch of games – a goal return which makes Newcastle the joint-lowest scorers in the division.
Steve Bruce's side played out a dour stalemate with Brighton at St James' Park last Saturday and they could once again struggle in front of goal against a lean Leicester City defence who have only conceded five goals thus far – the joint-fewest in the Premier League.
However, the Tyneside club will take confidence from the fact that they have won on their last two trips to this venue – however, the visitors are huge odds-against a 13/2 (Bet 365) to continue that trend.
These two teams have already gone toe-to-toe this season – with Leicester prevailing on penalties following a 1-1 draw in the English League Cup – and another share of the spoils is priced at 16/5 (Betway)
The home win is odds-on at a general 8/15 with most firms, however, despite Leicester's red-hot start to the season, that price looks a bit short to me.
Under Bruce's stewardship Newcastle have the lowest possession stats in the top-flight – just 37 per cent – which suggests they will shut up shop at the King Power.
However, in taking that approach Newcastle have only lost once in their last four league outings and that was at Anfield against Premier League pacesetters Liverpool.
The Geordies most notable result of the season came at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium where they ground out a 1-0 win – a performance they will look to replicate on Sunday.
Jeolinton done the damage in north-London and given the fact Newcastle have made the net bulge in all of their away games this season I like the look of the 4/5 (PaddyPower) on offer for the big Brazilian striker to have at least one shot on target.
The home side will more than likely have the lion-share of possession and the Foxes faithful may have to be patient as their side try to breakthrough Bruce's rigid rearguard.
Should last week's match-winner James Madison miss out through injury then the Foxes full-backs could hold the key to unlocking the Black-and-Whites backline – and when attempting to do so it could generate corner kicks.
Leicester have averaged eight corners per home game this season and the Magpies regularly rack up bookings on the road due to their dogged style of play – a combination which attracts me to the 8/5 (BetVictor) on offer for Leicester to have over 6.5 corners and Newcastle to receive over 1.5 cards.
Indeed, it's still early in the season, however, if Leicester are to break into the top six then Sunday's assignment is the type they will have to take care of.
However, Newcastle will make life tough by starving the Foxes of space – even more so if the magnificent Maddison misses out – and as such a low-scoring affair could lie ahead.
Yet, Leicester look the real deal under Rodgers and they should be a class above a goal-shy, yet gritty Newcastle outfit – all of which could offset a goal-fest at the King Power.
With that in mind, the 3/4 (Coral) available on Leicester to win and under 4.5 goals could be a shrewd alternative angle to consider – a combination that would have delivered profit in all three of Leicester's league victories this season.
This English Premier League match between Leicester and Newcastle will be played on Sep 29, 2019 and kick off at 16:30