Following a heavy defeat to Italy, France’s progression to the next stage of the tournament suddenly looks far from certain. But the win here is no less important for Turkey, who are still hoping to avoid relegation.
France arrive back on home soil stinging from a 3-1 comeback defeat to Italy at San Siro on Thursday. Despite taking an early lead, Zidane's men were ultimately overrun by a resilient Azzurri side, denying them early progression to the knockout phase.
However, they remain in second place and hold their fate in their own hands; a victory here will punch their ticket to the last eight regardless of Belgium's result against Italy.
Zidane is managing a somewhat depleted squad, with key players like Aurelien Tchouameni and Marcus Thuram out of camp. Kylian Mbappe’s return remains uncertain, while Dembele and Upamecano will also be unavailable.
Turkey, on the other hand, take this trip with hopes of retaining some chance to not get relegated. Due to the latest format of the UNL, finishing last does not mean automatic relegation, but anything other than a win will guarantee it.
The Crescent-Stars have lost seven of their last eight fixtures, and while they have been scoring goals, their defence is simply not on par with the level of their opposition.
How the bookies view it: France will bounce back
There is an obvious gap in class, which is reflected in the odds. Everyone favours the hosts, with a French victory priced at around 1/4.
Considering that Les Bleus have not lost a competitive match in France since September 2024, backing Turkey at 9/1 is a massive longshot. A draw is priced at 6/1.
Recent head-to-head: Les Bleus edged a 1-0 in Turkey
Historically, Turkey have occasionally proven to be stubborn opponents, notably taking points off France during the Euro 2020 qualification phase. However, the current gulf in class is significant.
Overall, Les Bleus have five wins in seven meetings, with their most recent UNL clash in September ending in a 1-0 away triumph.
Players to watch: Olise needs better teammates
Once again, with some considerable names either doubtful or confirmed out, we have to focus on Michael Olise. He has been electric for France during the last couple of international breaks, and currently boasts five goals and two assists in five UNL games.
He scored the opening goal against Italy, but that wasn’t enough to motivate France for more.
Probable line-ups
France: Maignan, Truffert, Konate, Gusto, Jacquet, Rabiot, Camavinga, Doue, Cherki, Olise, Mbappe
Turkey: Cakir, Kadioglu, Demiral, Kabak, Aydin, Kokcu, Yuksek, Yilmaz, Guler, Akgun, Unal
Anything else catch the eye?
France simply must win to ensure their quarter-final progression without relying on favours from elsewhere, and Turkey are facing an uphill battle.
Zidane's men will be eager to issue a statement of intent following their defeat in Milan, and an early goal could see the floodgates open against a disheartened Turkish defence.
There’s definitely reason to expect a strong performance, although Les Bleus need more players to step up. I’ll back France to score in both halves.
France vs Turkey Betting Tips & Predictions
Further Reading
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