Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target.
While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and confidence in the tip provided, and make your own decision whether to follow, cash out or continue at every stage. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
We will use a unit system for our stakes, allowing readers to set their own unit value that suits their own budget. For the sake of simplicity, for us, 1 unit = £1.
We will continue to transparently track our progress as far as we go on the path to 1,000, but will refresh our main tracking stake back to the starting point every time we surpass 100 units – a 10x ROI.
For the sake of consistency, all tips are placed using odds from bet365. It worth pointing out that with Bet365 we can paid out if our selection goes into a lead by two or more goals.
We landed Bet 3 last night as Manchester United and Brentford delivered for us, keeping the run going.
Bet 5 won comfortably as Leeds ran out 3-1 winners, collecting a total of five corners.
Bet 6 – Ipswich vs QPR – Saturday 2nd May at 12:30
Ipswich look well placed to score over 1.5 goals against QPR on Saturday, with the hosts carrying one of the strongest home attacks in the division and the visitors arriving with poor defensive form.
At Portman Road, Ipswich have scored 40 goals in 22 matches, an average of 1.82 per game, the second best home return in the league. They have failed to score only two times at home all season, a low 9% rate, showing how reliable they are in front of goal.
Their attacking process is strong. Ipswich average 15.32 shots per home game, 5.86 shots on target and have created 29 big chances, the second highest home total in the division. They also boast an 81.8% home xG battle win rate, highlighting how often they control matches.
QPR arrive in poor shape, losing their last three matches while conceding two goals in each. They have kept only six clean sheets away all season and just one of those came against a top-half side, away at Swansea in 11th.
Against the current top five on the road, QPR have conceded 17 goals in four games. With Ipswich strong at home and QPR leaking goals, over 1.5 Ipswich team goals looks a solid bet.
- Bet: Ipswich to score over 1.5 goals
- Odds: 4/11
- 25.32 units returns 35.52
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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