Confederations Cup semi-final, Thursday, 8pm
SPAIN have cantered to the semi-finals of the Confederations Cup with three wins out of three and are just 2-5 with Coral to set up a final showdown with Brazil.
They now face Italy in a repeat of last year’s European Championship Final which they won 4-0 and although I can't see a repeat of that rout I expect Vicente del Bosque’s team to win in normal time.
The Italians, 8-1 with bet365, have been decent throughout but couldn't live with Brazil in their final group game and crashed to a 4-2 defeat.
Cesare Prandelli’s troops have conceded a total of eight goals and that's too many. Italy have posed a threat at the other end but the loss of star striker Mario Balotelli is huge and he's on his way home alongside Ignazio Abate. Andrea Pirlo is also a doubt while others are said to be shattered.
So it's Spain for me and Fernando Torres, top of the scoring charts with five goals, is worth a look at 5-1 with Coral to score first. Forget about his four goals against Tahiti, what was impressive was coming off the bench and also immediately making an impact with the goal that killed off Nigeria in the final group game.
With Roberto Soldado and David Villa fighting for places there's no guarantee the Chelsea man will start though so check team news before having a bet.
After seeing Nigeria create and waste at least four chances against Spain I'd have fancied the Italians to score but the absence of Balotelli puts me off that bet and he'll be replaced with Alberto Gilardino.
Recommended Bets
Torres to score
(5-4, Stan James)
Spain to win to nil
(27-20, Coral)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
I was initially thinking Spain to win 2-1 but having read that balotelli is out I’m now thinking 2-0 or 3-0 Spain
Cavaaaaani.
Thanks william hill for the 10-11 btts brazil.
Made my week.
Fancy spain 2 or 3 nil, though there hasnt been a shock yet,
Italy still have Shaarawy and Giovinco as well, I’d like to see Italy score would make it more interesting.
Wilesey, from what I read Shaaraway is one of those feeling fatigued and won’t start. Looks like Italy will go with Gilardino up front on his own and defend for their lives.
MR f wats it to be win to nil or not to win to nil.
On your top tips colum it’s not to win to nil and on this one it’s to win to nil.
Susan, it’s win to nil. Fixed it, thanks.
3.2 4.2 spain
Susan I think the not to win to nil is the Spain u20 game Mr Fixit is referring to
Chris, no it was a typo and now sorted.
1-0 or 2-0 Spain for me. Thinking would most likely be 2-0 though so £60 on 2-0 @ 13/2 and £10 on 1-0 Spain @ 13/2 as a cover bet.
Paul if Spain win tonight will they pay out on the finalists tonight do you think?
Noticed that Coral had De Rossi first goal @ 50/1 and anytime @ 20/1 but now been cut to 20/1 and 7/1. Interesting to see what Coral coupon says. If Torres starts I will back him first but may have to drive to Clydebank to get the 5/1 price. May seem a bit extreme but half a point is £50 when it’s £100 stake.
Chris, I don’t know if they’ll pay out tonight on finalists, suppose they don’t have to until the final kicks off but they might. 50-1 De Rossi was ridiculous and 20-1 is still big but I can’t back him as I’m Spain to win to nil.
yeah yeah
Chris – have you not heard of betting online yet? Who uses bookies yet along drives to one these days???
Chris, the other Chris is right. You can still get better prices in shops sometimes. They have to try to compete with the internet and even coupon prices are better on occasions. I bet mainly online but still like to go into shops and have a good look at coupons, screens, maybe the Racing Post. Also it’s somewhere to walk the dog to and on a day like this somewhere to shelter. And the other thing – is it a nicer feeling being handed a wad of cash after a win or just seeing the figure appear in your account?
Chris the reason why you would drive along to the bookies is because Torres is 4/1 with Coral online and he will be 5/1 in shop. Same as Neymar was cut to 9/2 with Ladbrokes online but still 5/1 in the shop. That’s why.
mr fix show me the difference between fractional odds and decimal odds.thanks,
m.gerrio, as has been said it’s down to arithmetic. Most bookies offer both so you can compare them on any site. Google conversion tables fractional to decimal if you want to find out more.
Dunno how this will look on here but here goes m gerrio
7/2 4.5 7/20 1.35
5000/1 5001 10/3 4.333 1/3 1.333
4000/1 4001 16/5 4.2 3/10 1.3
2500/1 2501 3/1 4 2/7 1.286
2000/1 2001 14/5 3.8 1/4 1.25
1500/1 1501 11/4 3.75 2/9 1.222
1250/1 1251 13/5 3.6 1/5 1.2
1000/1 1001 5/2 3.5 2/11 1.182
750/1 751 12/5 3.4 1/6 1.167
500/1 501 19/8 3.375 2/13 1.154
400/1 401 23/10 3.3 1/7 1.143
300/1 301 9/4 3.25 2/15 1.133
250/1 251 11/5 3.2 1/8 1.125
200/1 201 17/8 3.125 2/17 1.118
175/1 176 21/10 3.1 1/9 1.111
150/1 151 2/1 3 1/10 1.1
125/1 126 19/10 2.9 1/11 1.0909
100/1 101 15/8 2.875 1/12 1.0833
80/1 81 9/5 2.8 1/13 1.0769
70/1 71 7/4 2.75 1/14 1.0714
66/1 67 17/10 2.7 1/15 1.0667
60/1 61 13/8 2.625 1/16 1.0625
50/1 51 8/5 2.6 1/18 1.0556
40/1 41 3/2 2.5 1/19 1.0526
33/1 34 7/5 2.4 1/20 1.05
30/1 31 11/8 2.375 1/22 1.0455
28/1 29 13/10 2.3 1/25 1.04
25/1 26 5/4 2.25 1/28 1.0357
22/1 23 6/5 2.2 1/30 1.0333
20/1 21 11/10 2.1 1/33 1.0303
19/1 20 21/20 2.05 1/40 1.025
18/1 19 1/1 2 1/50 1.02
17/1 18 20/21 1.952 1/60 1.0167
16/1 17 10/11 1.909 1/66 1.0152
15/1 16 9/10 1.9 1/80 1.0125
14/1 15 5/6 1.833 1/100 1.01
13/1 14 4/5 1.8 1/125 1.008
12/1 13 8/11 1.727 1/150 1.0067
11/1 12 7/10 1.7 1/200 1.005
10/1 11 2/3 1.667 1/250 1.004
9/1 10 5/8 1.625 1/300 1.0033
17/2 9.5 8/13 1.615 1/400 1.0025
8/1 9 3/5 1.6 1/500 1.002
15/2 8.5 4/7 1.571 1/1000 1.001
7/1 8 8/15 1.533 1/1250 1.0008
13/2 7.5 1/2 1.5 1/1500 1.0007
6/1 7 8/17 1.471 1/2000 1.0005
11/2 6.5 9/20 1.45 1/2500 1.0004
5/1 6 4/9 1.444 1/4000 1.0003
9/2 5.5 2/5 1.4 1/5000 1.0002
4/1 5 4/11 1.364
18/5 4.6
Well not so good so take 2 try here m8 http://www.racing-index.com/decimal-odds-conversion.html
Paul are you nipping into Coral? Could you check the price for De Rossi on shop coupon
Chris, not been near a Coral’s shop today and heading to work soon.
If Torres starts then Boylesports may be the bookie to bet with as they will refund losing first goalscorers up to £100 if your player scores second.
Hi, m.gerrio. There is no complicated thing hidden in fractions and decimals. It is simple mathematics and they only use it for showing regional differences. So decimals will be considered in some part of world and fractions will be in some other part.At the end the profit will be same.
For example in a game showing odds 8/13 (fractional) or 1.61 (decimal). Just good at mathematics it will be like flicking your finger to convert it to decimal otherwise get a handy calculator and do 8 divide by 13 which is equal to 0.61.
Always remember the odds will be displayed including your returns so for every £1 you put on the return will be £1.61 in which your profit is 0.61 which is what you got above after doing 8/13 maths.
Its just as simple as it is ;) Hope it helped you :)
:) Sorry, a small correction in m.gerrio’s reply. “Odds will be displayed including your stakes”. Thanks.
Nice to see the Racing Post siding with my selections of 1-0 and 2-0, hopefully that’s an omen after they tipped Fred yesterday.
Hopefully Torres starts but Racing Post suggests it will be Soldado. Will wait for team news before lumping on
Chris, not sure who will start but by tipping Spain to win to nil I’m on the same wavelength as the Racing Post. It seems Italy are going to shut up shop without Balotelli so 1-0 or 2-0 would seem reasonable.
I personally prefer fractional odds
Alright guys I’m looking for card market can’t seem to see one ??? Spain v Italy to get booked ??? HELP
Honestly never seen (or heard) prices being better in a shop!
mrfixit- I rarely handle cash anymore due to my profession, I just like seeing the several 0’s in my account!
Chris, both is nice but sometimes being handed cash is good. Shops often doing promotions and enhanced bets but coupon prices can be better. Last season coupon prices on both teams to score tips were often higher.
Lee
First Player Booking – VC and Skybet
To be shown a card – Betway, VC and Skybet
Chris Test 1 step by step
1) Check Corals online and see that Torres is 4/1 to score first goal tonight (cut from 5/1)
2) Jump in your car and jump to the nearest Coral and see that Torres is 5/1 on the coupon.
3) Smile and tell yourself that I was right.
Basically prices online are generally better BUT sometimes when goalscorers are being hammered the bookies cut the price online but you can still get the price in shop. For instance a player could be 14/1 for first goal. Just before kick off you discover that your player is playing in a more advanced role and the bookies online are slashing the odds. If you make bit to the shop on time you generally still get the full odds. I’ve never seen a shop cutting prices on a first Goalscorer to date as they have coupons and the screens they use to check prices do not change.
Do you understand?
For instance I backed Joe Ledley for Celtic not too long ago. He was 11/1 for first goal and 7/2 anytime with William Hill online. I went into the shop and on the coupon he was 11/1 first goal and 11/2 anytime.
First Player to be Booked?
With the Italians tiring, who do you reckon will receive the first booking. The bookies vary with their opinions and there is some decent value should you back the right player.
De Rossi – 14/1 VC and 17/2 Skybet
Jordi Alba – 10/1 VC and 25/1 Skybet
Xavi – 16/1 VC and 33/1 Skybet
Think I will have a flutter on De Rossi as my bonkers bet @ 14’s. I will also have small stakes on Alba and Xavi too as very big odds.
Who you on Lee?
Take your pick Lee it’s going to be one of the above
chris betfred doing their double delight hat trick heaven on tonight’s game but only 7/2 there for torres 1st gl
Yeah I know Craig, crap mate ain’t it. Torres 5/1with Paddy Power and Skybet now.
I will be backing him or Soldado, whoever starts up front. Backing your player with Boylesports is def the best option though cos they will refund if your player scores second. Think if you pick the striker then he’s going to get goal number 1 or 2
Sometimes i have to place a bet in a shop if they restrict my stake online
Goalscorer odds @ bet365
Torres FG (4.75) LG (4.75) ATG(2.05)
Soldado FG (4.75) LG(4.75) ATG(2.05)
Villa FG (5.00) LG(5.00) ATG(2.20)
Thinking of going with Torres and Villa.
Above odds are from bet365.
Why BET three six five word is blocked in comments?
dee, it’s not. It’s in your last comment.
Dee would be surprised if Villa starts to be honest
aye I know Chris, there always like that tho, it’s just an extra gamble if 1st gl scorer gets a 2nd or 3rd then quids in but if not lose £150 if you have £100 on torres if could’ve had torres at 5/1. should be a good game tho
Yeah Craig but think about it this way you need Torres to score at least two goals and one of them has to be first goal and you get 7/1 or just back him first goal at 5/1. As you say if I was putting £100 on him to score first goal and he did but didn’t score again, I’d feel as though I’d just lost £150 instead of winning. I think the double delight is great but they have dropped the odds recently but it wasn’t always like that. I’d be willing to take the risk if I was only losing half a point but not 1.5 points.
Anyone backing my players to be booked. Telling you it’s going to be one of them. Got 14/1, 25/1 and 33/1. If De Rossi is first player booked I get £450 back or if Xavi or Alba I get £400 back
Chris, I rarely do first booking because it could be anyone of 22. I don’t know how you can say for sure it will be one of three you’ve backed.
Is this bloke for real? what an idiot
Mr F I’m sitting with half my double up after last night ie brazil to win & btts I had that as double with Spain win & btts to score I’ve seen a lot of scepticism about Italy netting without balo so just wondering how can I cover this bet best. It’s is £800 in if Spain win and btts? Any thoughts welcome guys
Rory, easiest way to cover is back no to both teams to score. But of course you still need Spain so Spain to win to nil would be a bigger price.
New to the site but gone for 3-3, 3-2, 4-2, either way in the Spain v Italy game, You all may laugh but it’s wat I fancy, Big old wedge back if any come off.
Good luck all… AVG
Adventurous,I am not laughing but having read what Prandelii is saying anyone of those would be surprise. Looks like he’s going to play defensive and maybe try to force extra time.
You would have thought though ‘when’ Spain score, surely Italy will have to come out and give it a real go at some point! I can only see Italy scoring from a set piece though tbh.
Cheers mr f took ur advice and decided to do Spain -2 assuming if Spain win to nil they will still score 2 or 3
Rory, Spain -2 wasn’t my advice. That’s not a great cover to be honest.
Rory Spain -2 would be a losing bet if Spain won 2-0
I’ve noticed the odds of overs has drifted out. That will be why.
Paul I very rarely back things like that as I see it more as a novelty bet than anything. Obviously it’s a lottery so maybe I should have said I’m hoping it will be one of those three.
Rory with -2 you need Spain to win 3-0, 4-0, 4-1 etc maybe you would have been better doing -1?
Team card and corner combo…Spain to win..4-6 cards and under 10 corners..currently priced at 5/1….does look rather good, considering Italy is tired and we all know how firey they can be!
Chris guy thanks my internet buggered up but I’m back I just put 400 on Torres score/win double at 2/1 with paddypower what a price…… I will quickly have a look at Italy’s midfield I will be back
Candreva and derossi look the best players to get booked
Lee that’s a great price but unfortunately Power restrict me to £20 so no good. Torres first goal and money back if he scores second. Great bet. Boylesports have Villa @ 4/1 fav and not even playing so they will prob cut Torres
Lee Candreva is 20/1 with VC for first booking. There must be money going on De Rossi, cut from 14/1 to 8/1.
I just tried to put 400 on it let me put 276??? How random lol just looking through I got 124 to play with in play can’t see any cards on paddy power
I’m thinking the balls going to be in that area pretty much all game someone’s going to kick out (I HOPE)
Spain are justifiably massive favourites. But Italy are Italy, and while they got thrashed to nil last summer, whatever team they put out is good enough to get a goal, even against Spain. Spain I can’t see losing, but the Italians are wily and capable. For me, that makes 5/2 on BTTS and Spain to win must-bet.
italy to me can play absoloute rubbish or can be brilliant…
ballotelli missing is a bid blow but at the prices available for an italy win i cant say no.
6/1 beter may be available and can always lay in play as long as no early spain goal.
italy masters of defence and if they can nick an early goal on the break i can see 1-0 italy.
50 on italy win for me, should be a great game just for watching anyway.
gl
Italy playing a tad better than i thought they would here
Tell you what Italy are doing well
Chris guy de Rossi should have banged the first one ther Italy should be one up here
Italians look well up for it Spanish not so much
Mr f I didn’t do my previous posted bet I did as u advised although watching the game Italy looked like they are def going to score should be 1 or 2 up
btts 7/4 now
What’s the chances a goal in the 45 min for spain
When torres is in a Spain team that’s playing a half decent team Spain are well below par imho
Can’t believe no bookings yet and Spain get the finger out you should be wiping the floor with Italy.
just stuck pirlo 1st and anytime £2 on at 28/1 & £3.05 on at 14/1. Spain have been piss poor so far and can see pirlo pinging a freekick in to the top bag. ideal scenario pirlo 1st gl spain 2-1 but that’s never gonna happen is it haha
Falling asleep waiting for the game to go into second gear
This is dire
For what has been a very dull game so far on the betting front, thank you De Rossi £30 first booking @ 14/1 for £450 back.
14/1 Bonkers bet up, GET IN!!!!
I think if Balotelli had have been playing tonight then Italy would have won in 90 mins. Spanish players are looking more tired than the Italians in my opinion.
Nice one Chris guy.with de rossi
Cheers Smiler. I’m waiting to get £450 back though for a Spain/Brazil final so need Spain to win.
Chris, fair play, just a bet I don’t do. Like you need Spain to get through though.
Yeah the first player booking will soften the blow if the Italians triumph but really I would like Spain to win.
Chris, before the game started I told a colleague I feared 0-0. He backed it and I didn’t it!
HURRY UP CORALS 9/1 SPAIN TO WIN IN EXTRA TIME
Max you can put on is 69 so be quick
Did anyone get it in time ?????
I’ve lost so much money on that game it’s not even funny…gonna have lay low for a while… terrible result for myself and a lot of others I’m guessing
Rory, you should have simply bet no to both to score as advised.
Paul before kick off I feared extra time. I priced it up @ 9/1, didn’t say anything and didn’t back it.
Lee no idea how you get 9/1 just now, best I see is 7/4
Spain 9/1 Italy 25/1
Lee Coral not offering anything now
Can you send pics on here??? I have took a photo 9.53pm 9/1 69 on 690 bk
lee, you can email me at mrfixit@dailyrecord.co.uk. Don’t doubt you but it has to be a mistake. If it was 9-1 and 25-1 I hope you backed both.
In that case it must be a mistake Lee cos even now best price is 15/8 for Spain in extra time
Not being funny but why can Spain not even hit a shit on target?
A shot that would be lol
Getting made to sweat on Spain here but looking better with Martinez on
Lee I believe you but what I’m saying is its obvious from the odds quoted by other bookies that they’ve made a boob of that one. Price should more likely have been 9/4. Hope you get it mate
extra time bets
£5 italy 13/2
£5 over 1.5 corners 6/5 (been 5 already :)
They have took the bet off completely….. Where do I stand on this if it comes in I have a photo
I just sent it to u
Have you got it MR.F
lee, I’ve got it. As I said it must be a mistake and now it looks like they’ve spotted it. It’s clearly a mistake so they don’t have to pay you at 9-1. If it comes up they’ll pay you it what it should be, if it doesn’t ask them to void it and tell them you only backed it because of the price.
If they’ve accepted the bet and the game kicks off (extra time) then in my opinion they’ve got to honour the bet. You could easily argue if it was only 9/4 then you would have put £400 on it. Think thy have to notify you and offer you it at the amended price. Wait and see if it wins first
Chris, they’re covered for errors so don’t have to honour it. We all know and Lee knows 9-1 was the wrong price.
Click in settled bets on your account. They’ve prob settled it as void
Who’s best a penalties the Spanish or the Italians?
They have give me 69 back and my bet has dissapeared…. I bet loads with them so I will kick up big time if it comes in
lee, if it comes up you have an argument to get paid at reduced odds.
Lol I know it was wrong but hey they took the price…. Its the same as when I put a horse down at 14/1 when its gone down to 8/1 if they take it I’m laughing
Yeah it is an obvious mistake. Lee looks like they may have done you a favour by voiding the bet. Looks like penalties to me
Because they gave me my money back its a win win really because I can’t lose but still gain a lot
Chris guy it looks pens big time bit of a boring game tbh
I’d do what Paul says although as I’m a bit o a chancer I’d argue that if I had known the odds were so short my stakes would have been higher.
Didn’t see any live betting on Coral site. I wouldn’t be surprised if that was the pre match price and they forget to move it off their site lol
I would have done a lot more if they let me they blocked it at 69….. MATA really lol
Wow from Martinez
Buffon looks like a vampire
Lol i want Italy to win ??? Then beat Brazil
Well I’m happy lol I’m going bed night guys
What about Italy to win confed @ 9/1 with Betfred. You won’t get that in the final. Come on Spain don’t let me down
Got a funny feeling Torres is going to miss a penalty
Chris, wrote my Record column this morning on a Brazil-Spain final so had fingers crossed throughout. Never once covered the 11-4 prediction so happy to make a full profit.
I did the Spain to win to nil bet mr f thinking it was a banker but no such thing as we know…o well have to take a heavy hit on the chin n try again
Same Paul, was going to cover but chose not to
Italy deserved to go thru, Spain were dire, just didn’t look interested until extra time.
Now that was a costly draw!
I had btts-no so not all bad, got on that at 1.96. Mr fixit any idea why I couldn’t post earlier, the comment kept vanishing :/
Madi, no idea.
That’s VC paid out on the Brazil/Spain final