AFTER the drama of the men's quarter-finals that ended with Andy Murray battling back from two sets down to join Jerzy Janowicz, Novak Djokovic and Juan Martin del Potro it's the turn of the women to hog the spotlight on Thursday.
The first semi-final sees Marion Bartoli face Kirsten Flipkens followed by Sabine Lisicki against Agnieszka Radwanska.
I'm staring with the later match because that's the one I feel more confident about predicting. Lisicki's looked like the tournament winner since she beat world No.1 Serena Williams and she followed up with a convincing win against Kaia Kanepi to reach the last four.
The world No.24 may be up against the world No.4 but it's Lisicki who is a strong favourite at 4-7 with Betfred.
Radwanska needed treatment during her hard-fought three-set win against Li Na and has been to a decider three rounds in a row. The Pole is a battler but this could be a game too far for her.
I'm on Lisicki, who is now 11-10 at Betfred towin the tournament, and looking at the German to win 2-0 at 11-8 with the likes of Betfred.
The other tie is much tougher to call but I'm taking Belgian 20th seed Kirsten Flipkens to reach her first Grand Slam final.
Flipkens is learning all she knows from Belgian legend Kim Clijsters and has enjoyed a fantastic year and great run to the semis.
She looks like she has all the shots and should be able to outhit baseline battler Bartoli who was runner-up in 2007.
Bartoli will make Flipkens battle all the way and it should be close enough to go to three sets. Flipkens is 13-10 with William Hill against the French favourite who is 4-6 at bet365. My call is three sets is 11-8 at Ladbrokes.
Recommended Bets
Lisicki to win 2-0
(11-8, William Hill, Betfred, bet365)
Flipkens v Bartoli 3 sets
(11-8, Ladbrokes)
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Bartoli straight sets for me,kvitava would have had her it wasn’t for illness and she still only just made it playing a lady who could hardly move.
John, it’s a tough call really which is why I’ve gone 3 sets. A bit harsh on Flipkens who hit some nice shots particularly in the last set.
What does jackanory ellis make of them.
His 10-1000 venture barely reached 20 quid
Then suddenly he turns 20 quid into £1200.
Whatever? ?
Both 3 sets for me
I’ll take Flipkens and Lisicki. Belgian is really playing mature tennis on Wimbledon; Bartoli didn’t impress me against Stephens, even if she won. Lisicki is playing game of her life so it’s time for Agneska to pack her stuff.
bet 1
ika brage v degerfors btts 4/7
vikingur reykjavic 4/11
£10 on returns £21.43
I’m not putting this on but just gonna show Ellis how it’s done :) just to see how far a get
single/double/treble at roughly evens each day is the way to go wi these bets to get the pot going quicker and so you don’t feel as bad when a 1/8 shot let’s a wks work down
[email protected] Todi Challanger
I like here Naso … He has to protect his ranking next week at San Benedetto so taking some pressure out he should go deep here as much as he can do… Naso was competitive against Maxi Gonzales last week and it indicates form. Granollers has struggled against nameless Italian player in first round so Naso can use his chance well here imo. GL!
I’ve gone for over 9.5 first set games double in both matches at 10/11 each, works out around 2.7/1.
Hopefully both players hold serve for a while and even if one breaks, still a good chance it could go to 6-4 or 4-6, which would be a winner.
CONSENSUS BETTING TENNIS.
(The tennis matches from Wimbledon most experts agrees on having value combined with my staking plan.)
Not 100% consensus on Lisicki vs. Radwanska and what to do when it’s one of your favourite tipsters who’s going against what most experts agrees on? I’m compromising.
Wimbledon profit so far: €131.88
(If I would have used level stake/flat betting I would have lost €4.80)
S. Lisicki – A. Radwanska
A. Radwanska +4.5 games
Odds: 1,50
Stake: €64.00
K. Flipkens – M. Bartoli
M. Bartoli
Odds: 1,68
Stake: €57.00
Total stake: €121.00
If 1 pick correct: -21% lost of my €121.00
If 2: +59%
The Dane.
Striker – like the look of that overs bet.
Paes/Step over3.5 sets,Mayer,Vesely,Crivoi,[email protected]
5fold…. GL…
Yes a little harsh on Flipkens even so Bartoli in straight sets is my call, iv got a tennis coach for a gf so she hot on the tips for me.lol
John, I was impressed by Flipkens in the last round but Bartoli reminds me of Ferrer in the way she never gives up a point. If her timing is right she can edge it but Flipkens’ game seems to have a bit more variety.
Struggling to decide with these matches. Both could really go either way.
Fancy lisicki but not at such a short price considering she’s playing world number 4.
All things considered two tight matches likely.
Over 22.5 games in both around evens. Over 2.5 sets only slightly better. Prefer to bet on games as will also win if matches decided in 2 tight sets.
So 2 singles and a double on over 22.5 games.
And will follow strikers lead with same bets on over 9.5 games in first set.
Ps. Would be great if Ellis would list his sequence of bets. I believe him but would love to see what he bet on just out of interest. And it would silence the doubters.
MrT, you’re right. If you put up a comment like he has done you have to explain it.
Mr T, best of luck to both of us.
I’m hoping that because it is the semi-finals and that most commentators seem to be on the fence with both games that they will be tight and the games market will be more favoured to the Overs rather than under.
Flipkens is crap, my double is out.
Striker, she never turned up today, don’t know if she was injured or what.
You’re right there Striker. Flipkens was terrible. After set 1 I got on -9.5 games for 2nd set big time and managed to cover all bets. Was tempted by -8.5 as Flipkens was really so so bad.
Nice little 6/4 straight sets win.2nd semi tough though, I reckon radwanska in 3 just because of her quality over lisiki.
Now is the time to get on over 22.5 games in the Lisicki match. Surely this can’t be another non-event.
Radwanska for me to win match: £40 @ 5/4
I tried to back Lisici and bet365 won’t let me- the match has disappeared but it hasn’t started yet. I can see Tracey Austin on the tele blethering on about it. What is going on here?
probably to early Jumped on Lisicki @ 2.10 bet in play
Naso won easily :)
5 fold has lost only by Veic… :(
Glad you got your money back Mr T, I did a similar thing but went for under 9.5 games in the second set.
Ellis must be busy spending the £1200+ he made from 12 quid yesterday,hes a very shrewd gambler just a pity he struggled turning a tenner into 30 quid over 2 weeks of trying.
lol shouldn’t laugh Paul H but I agree mate different story/discussion for a different day as for now dain a flit in a few hours time heavy buckelt
Ellis made the same mistake Cris Guy did by putting up his Winnings on here
I like the way Radwanska plays- no shouting, moaning or handwaving but really she had more bandages on her than the British Lions. If her legs are that bad she shouldn’t have played. Lisicki won through and the final is hers for the taking 2/5. Time to lump on as they say here.
Lord Clegg, the injuries didn’t seem to be bothering Radwanska too much but I agree with you and have to go with Lisicki for the final.
Anyone got any links for the Tromso game ?
Wrong thread
Novak and Murray both to lose tomorow, 20/1
Get on it!