This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
The poor form from the Paul Nicholls yard continues and unfortunately for Rizz, he was on the receiving end of it yesterday with two of his selections coming from that particular yard.
Connections involved with Paul Nicholls must be scratching their heads at the current form coming from the yard, and whats more concerning is their top guns look well off the boil. The expensive purchase of Caldwell Potter has been a turned-over favourite the last twice and doesn't appear to be showing the same form from when trained by Gordon Elliot in Ireland.
It is surely only a matter of time before the yard hit form but In the meantime, I'd be avoiding their runners until I see a change of results.
Cairnzy's Tips
Spirits Bay 7/2 – Haydock 12.45
Father duties have resulted in me posting quite late, so I apologize in advance.
My sole selection on Saturday comes in one of the earlier races of the day at Haydock and my eye was drawn to Spirits Bay who I think holds strong claims in upsetting the short priced favourite in Oh My Johnny.
Don't get me wrong, I can understand the rant and rave revolving around Oh My Johnny and on paper he probably deserves to be your market leader for this contest. Oh My Johnny is a lightly raced five-year-old who hails from the inform Hobbs & White yard who are currently operating a 45% SR in the last 14 days with five winners from eleven runners. Making his handicap debut of a mark of 116 is surely underestimating his ability. With that said, he is up against some experienced horses in this contest and I don't think he warrants a price as short as 6/5. He could make a mockery and hose up but I'll take the risk.
I thought my selection Spirits Bay was potentially a good bet against the favourite mentioned above and running of a mark of 126 makes him potentially well treated given he is still a lightly raced horse at the age of seven ( only had 9 career runs ). The forecast ground for Haydock as expected is running heavy which I feel will play into the strengths of Spirits Bay whos last two wins came of soft and heavy ground. There was plenty of positives to take from my selections last outing, which came when finishing fifth of fourteen at Cheltenham last month. My selection finished just over 7L behind the eventual winner Mirabad who was as impressive as you like but he did finish a lot closer to some decent types in Bo Zenith and Wreckless Eric. Open to further improvement, I think Spirits Bay has every chance in this race and at more attractive odds, I'll roll the dice in the hope he can put his best foot forward and upset the market principle.
Father duties cairnzy 🤔
Didn’t know you was a vicar ✝️
Amen 😁
😂😂😂😂
Sticking to home soil today
Ballygunner Castle 12.00
No Looking Back 17/2 ew 1.10
Collaborative 3/1 1.45
Olympic Man 3/1 2.20
BOL
James’s Gate very impressive winner. Should be even better over further.
Would love to see him go for the Turners at the festival.
Ballygunner Castle needs a trip. Albert Bartlett could be his trip
Martin Brassil said he’ll be entered in the Coral Cup. Best priced 14s now. 20s for the Turners. I hope he also enters him in that race.
Who’s lumping on spirits day then ? 😂
It won’t win . Bertie’s ballet will win at far more juicy odds of 13/2 do it e/w risk free betting ! 😂
Easy money 💰 pooooooor old headliners !!!!!😂
You’re a wee…. 🚶♀️
Well done Dazzman 👌
I think the Thames boatman will be worth doing in the 12:15 lingfield! Been banging on the door and at 3/1 worth a go !
Waste of time that was 😂
The 12.35 at Navan is an interesting race with only 4 runners left now
I’ve had a small win bet on Jacob’s Ladder 15/2 as Kainsburg is by Dr Dino who has a hopeless record with horses over 20f and the HDB yard are hopelessly out of form with just 1 winner since the turn of the year, correct me if I’m wrong, so Forty Coats also has to be vulnerable
Winner 😂
Collaborative wins 👍
105 ascot- Ansaam 7/1 you know those bookies love to give big money away on Saturdays!
Take no chances 1-40 Ascot
11-8 betting without kargese BETFAIR sportsbook
6-1 ew (in case it wins)
Scarface 2-15 ascot
EVENS top 4 finish (double your dough 🤕)
6-1 ew 4 places @paddy power ( in case the rest fall 🤣)
Trelawne 2-30 haydock
11-8 betting without royal pagaille and Mr Vango.
@skybet.
Scarface top 4 is bet365…..
I’d say well don with Take No Chances Elvis but I had it on beforehand 😉 👍
That makes no sense recoba.
Are you say you posted it beforehand ?.
If so well done but I can’t find it l
Nice shout elvis
Cheers DC, glad I covered the win this time.
Quite often I do place bets and feel like I’ve lost if they win the race if that makes sense .
Well done yourself with that collaborative, doubled in price and went off 6-1, hope you have b.o.g there in Ireland.
2 decent novices 1st and 2nd in the opener at ascot.
The Henderson winner looks top drawer and I was surprised to see Mondo man running so well on jumps debut as he was a regular in group one flat races in France in 2024.
He will improve greatly for that run, one for the tracker
Scarface sneaks past tedley into 4th so ok there.
Footy time now, good luck with yer punts peeps.
Just been watching Bournemouth tear a new arse in Newcastle’s defence, so impressed with them ⚽🏇
Cheers Elvis
Difficult to way up how good Lulamba actually was.
Runner up pulled way too hard and made it easier for the winner.
7/4 now best priced for the Triumph is just crazy.
4 seconds slower than the Mares Grade 2 carrying 4lbs more.
The DRF in a couple of weeks will hopefully paint a clearer picture for us if both Hello Neighbour and Sainte Lucie both run
GL
No just had it in before seeing your post
Had it on
Bushypark 3-05 haydock
EVENS top 5 finish bet365
Double your dough 🤣
9-1 ew 4 places SKYBET
One of the most annoying horses in training, he is literally hit or miss and on a going day quite talented.
Was going well here last time when falling
He likes haydock and his record when completing hurdles here is 1-1-1.
Runs at the bottom of the weights today with just 10 stone 3.
So here’s hoping it’s a going day,
Mr Vango 2.30 well done all winners yesterday
2:30 haydock- chambard 66/1 e/w nap /nb
Thought it had a good chance at 66/1 😂😂 poor old horses !!
🇬🇧
3.05…Tune In A Box 5/1.
Virgin Bet doing Money back as free bet if loses Virgin Bet. Fancied a few quid on him anyway so glad I seen this offer
well done all winners today
🤦.
Last attempt to post and probably to late
Oaklawn Park -Race 1..Toodle Loo 3/1
Insurance bet – money back if 2nd/3rd.
William Hills or Coral Bet
Yip and be thankful for it fell out stalls pulled up 😂 🤦