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Gregory did manage to win yesterday, although not in the fashion I was hoping for. I suggested backing him for the Leger before the race, and hopefully, some of you did as he is now into favourite from being 9/1, I've got him in a double for the Leger with the win from yesterday so fingers crossed he is good enough!

Ascot 3:05 – Davideo 15/2 (1pt EW Bet365 6pl)

Outside of the 2yo races, this is up there for one of the hardest races to pick so far at Royal Ascot, so if you find the winner of this race you deserve a big pat on your back. I narrowed my fancies down to four, being Perfuse, Cloudbreaker and Greysful Storm, but I'm not a huge believer of having two in one race so I went with my last fancy, Davideo.

For handicaps at the big meetings you really need to have a Group horse in a handicap, it's one of the most well-used clichés used in racing, but it's true. This race has seen Secret State, Surefire and Hukum win it in the last three years, all have gone on to win or run well in Group races, especially Hukum who is an absolute weapon these days. I think Davideo is worth a punt in this on the back of his win and good 2nd placed effort from his last two runs.

His win was impressive on the eye at Newmarket, the form doesn't look spectacular but he looked ready for the step up to 12f, he handled the quick ground, showed stamina for days over 10f and he looks like a proper physical specimen now, and appears to have filled out from over the winter months. He ran well on his second start before the run at Newmarket, which saw him finish 2nd to Mostabshir who won a Class 2 York race by 5L and the form looks solid, he ran to a rating of 108 earlier this week at Ascot in the St James's Palace Stakes won by Paddington, so that Kempton run doesn't look too bad now, even though he did convincingly beat him. However, that was over a mile and his pedigree would suggest he's built for further, being by Galileo and out of a mare who has produced Time Warp and Glorious Forever who both won Group 1s in Hong Kong over 10f, but they weren't by Galileo, who has more stamina and I think with that type of pedigree, he is surely going to be much better than a mark of 92, whether that's now or not, I'm not sure, but his Newmarket run suggests he's progressing, and quickly.

Ascot 3:40 – Midnight Mile 22/1 (0.5pt EW PaddyPower/WilliamHill)

It's probably a daft idea going against the shortest-priced favourite we've had so far this week (I think), but stranger things have happened and at the current prices I think Midnight Mile is being overlooked too much.

Towards the head of the market, outside of the favourite, you've got horses who are unexposed and haven't really got Group level form, whereas with Mightnight Mile she is already a Group 3 winner as a 2yo and was 4th in a Group 1 at Keenland in the Breeders' Cup, so you'd have to say she should be much shorter than what she is. She is bred to get this distance being out of a Galileo mare who is related to many 100+ rated horses who all exceeded over 12f or further, so I'd like to think that today's trip will bring out the improvement required for Mightnight Mile to run a big race.

Considering she is bred to be better over longer trips, I think that makes her runs as a juvenile much better. She won a Group 3 over 7f at Newmarket and ran a belter, all things considered, in the Breeders' Cup race where she was slowly away from the gates and was last turning for home, didn't get the clearest of runs and on a sharp track like Keenland, it wasn't exactly tailor-made for her, but she did run on strongly in that race to finish fourth. Her return in the Musidora at York over 10f was a pleasing return, but it was definitely a prep run for today's race as they already had her entered, so to see her run well when probably not fully revved up was a good indicator of what's to come in today's race. She'll love the ground, but my only concern is stall 2 and if she breaks slowly that could be her race over before it even begins.

Ascot 4:20 – Eldar Eldarov 9/2 (1pt PaddyPower/WilliamHill)

What a race this Gold Cup is, since the older staying stars have moved on or are on the decline (Trueshan) it's all about who can claim the thrown and stamp their authority in the staying division and I think that might be last year's St Leger winner, Eldar Eldarov.

I never really rated this horse last year, I thought he was decent but I didn't expect him to win the St Leger, but you can't really fault him and based on that run and the run from seasonal reappearance he is well worth his place in this race. He seems to be all about stamina and you don't get a bigger stamina test on the flat than the Gold Cup. His reappearance run must've pleased Roger Varian and all of his stable as he was carrying a penalty for winning the Classic last year, and he wouldn't have been close to 100%, but he still nearly managed to claw the winner back.

I think you've got to forgive him for his run at Champions Day where he did bomb out, but that was to be expected after such a big performance at Doncaster just a month before. The ground shouldn't be an issue for him considering he won on fast ground at Royal Ascot last year in the Vase. I'm expecting a very big run.

Ascot 6:10 – Redarna 100/1 (0.5pt EW Bet365/PaddyPower 6pl)

It wouldn't be Royal Ascot if I didn't put up a crazy selection, and possibly be the only tipster on the planet to put him up, but I think he is far too big of a price even though it does look like mission impossible for Redarna.

It's a total lottery the handicaps on the straight track, and I think it's best to go with the horse you think has a chance rather than playing into the draw and ground bias of the track as chances are it will change throughout the day and we don't know what's best.

Coming into this race off a 258-day absence is never the ideal prep for a horse, but the fact Dianne Sayer brings her horse here on seasonal reappearance gives the impression they fancy their chances of a big run. The trainer is more known for her jumping exploits, but she is proving to be equally as good with her flat horses, with Redarna being her flag bearer for a good few years. This horse won on his seasonal reappearance last year in a big handicap at Thirsk off a mark of 91, she has since finished in the places on a couple of occasions in Class 2 races, including as runner-up at Ascot at the Shergar Cup meeting, which was equalling career-best run, rated to 100 by the Racing Post. That was Dianne's second-ever runner at Ascot, with the first-ever runner being Redarna earlier in his career which saw him win, so he clearly handles the track and it proves that Dianne doesn't like wasting a journey to the Berkshire track unless it's worth it.

He is better known as a miler these days, but he did win over 7f at this track in 2019 and I think the stiffness of the track plus a fast gallop will be perfect for him, it's just whether he's good enough, but at 100/1 I'm willing to have my money on the line to find out, and even a placed effort would return a very nice profit.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Ascot
Horse Racing Tips
Davideo
Ascot - 3:05 pm

15/2 @ Bet365

Midnight Mile
Ascot - 3:40 pm

22/1 @ William Hill

Eldar Eldarov
Ascot - 4:20 pm

9/2 @ William Hill

Redarna
Ascot - 6:10 pm

100/1 @ Bet365

34 Comments
  1. spurs55 10 months ago

    Going with DC on the first race

    Malc. Ew

    3
    • spurs55 10 months ago

      Thanks DC
      Profit is profit ✔️

      3
    • double carpet 10 months ago

      Glad you were on

  2. recoba 10 months ago

    I’m with favourite in the 2.30 but for value and of the 2 USA that are next in the market No Nay Mets the son of No Nay Never (won this in 2013) was sold on Tuesday there for 1.3 Milion dollars!
    George Weaver of course won first yesterday and Dettori is on board rather than Velazquez. Both him and American Rascal by Wesley Ward won impressively on debuts but ARs win was only 4 Furlong by a neck and with Ascot hill at end I’d go with No Nay Mets who won over 5f 70 yards by 3 1/2 lengths. Currently 7/1 Bet365.
    It’s 6/4 a place

    GL today all 👍

    Probably pick wrong like yesterday or be Nwheresville and I’m the mayor! 😂

  3. sb162002 10 months ago

    Devious 2,30 ew 20/1 4 places
    Wonder legend 3.05 8/1 L15
    Midnight Millie 3.40 ew 25/1 4 places
    Subjectivist 4.20 9/1
    Docklands 5.00 13/2 L15
    Caernarfon 5.35 8/1 L15
    Croupier 6.10 8/1 L15
    Singles and a lucky 15

  4. CoreyForLuck 10 months ago

    2:30 Malc
    3:05 Tagabawa
    5:00 Surely Not
    5:35 Drumroll

  5. wn 10 months ago

    Bet365 have pushed out Al Asifah to 11/8.

    2
  6. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Ascot.

    2-30 malc
    16-1 bet365 ew extra 8 places
    —————————————
    3-05 struth
    18-1 ew 6 places bet365
    —————————————
    3-40 sea of roses
    30-1 bet365 ew extra 9 places
    100-1 ew 4 places (loose change) for this balding/Murphy combo
    —————————————–
    4-20 subjectivist
    8-1 ew 5 places SKYBET
    ——————————————

    3
  7. double carpet 10 months ago

    Back home now from my scan. Fingers crossed the results go well 🙏

    Just copying and pasting my selections put up yesterday

    2.30 Elite Status 7/4

    Should be a cracking race with American Rascal who won by 10L on his only start. But Elite Status has been so impressive in winning both starts so far I think he will come out on top.
    I’ve also backed Malc at 25/1 who represents Richard Fahy who has won the race for the past 2 years and won well on his only start.

    3.05 Valient King 10/1 ew 6 places

    Not a strong selection but seems to be Improving with racing. Extra distance looks like it will benefit.

    3.40 Warm Heart 14/1 ew

    Fav looks bomb proof and has been supplemented for the race. Was so impressive at Goodwood lto but not backable at those odds so I went for Warm Heart who beat Bluestocking lto and I think can confirm the form over this longer trip.

    4.20 Subjectivist 10/1 ew 4 places

    This is a real headscratcher to work out. Coltrane we know stays all day, Eldar Eldarov has the class having won a Leger, Courage Mon Ami could be anything having only had 3 runs and hasn’t gone beyond 1.6f but I very much doubt Gosden would be chucking him in here unless he had a chance and if Yibir is there and the business end there isn’t a horse that has a better finishing kick in the race.
    But I’ve gone for Subjectivist. Yes he’s only had the one start since winning this race in 2021 but if he’s anywhere that kind of form will take a lot of beating as he won this race with ease.

    5.00 Fort Vega 25/1 ew 4 places

    A other trappy affair but I’ve gone for Fort Vega who has won his last 2 starts and is progressing nicely.
    His win lto has been well franked with the 3rd winning a very competitive h’cap nto with Carracci well back in 9th.
    Panic Alarm is another irish raider with a chance but lto was behind another horse from Lavery’s yard so she should have a fair idea of Fort Vega’s chances

    5.35 Drumroll 6/1 ew

    Drumroll’s only defeat in 3 starts was when 2nd beaten 1 1/2L by Paddington and I believe that’s the best form on offer and the extra furlong shouldn’t be an issue.

    I’m leaving the 6.10 as its just a minefield.

    BOL

    6
  8. double carpet 10 months ago

    Interesting to see Mark Prescott’s only runner of the day happens to be in the 8.20 at leopardstown.
    I’ve actually been told Shark Hanlon’s has a big chance but I’ll leave it alone and see how I get on here first..

    2
  9. double carpet 10 months ago

    Malc SPs at 66/1.
    Unfortunately having backed it last night I only get 25s. Thems the breaks, sometimes it goes for you like Warm Heart who was 14/1 yesterday and 7/1 now sometimes it goes against you.
    Anyway it’s a return and that’s the main thing

    6
    • azzthewigan 10 months ago

      well done dc cheers good shout

      1
    • double carpet 10 months ago

      No worries Azz 👍

      1
  10. Wildhorse 10 months ago

    Hello

    Day 3

    Yankee / Each Way

    R. 2 – Perfuse

    R. 4 – Subjectivist

    R. 5 .- Docklands

    R. 6 – Caernafron

    To be placed

    R. 7 – Vafortino

    See you on Day 4 & BOL !!

    1
    • double carpet 10 months ago

      Well done with Docklands 👏

  11. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    duke of Oxford 3.05 ew don’t need back any others now

  12. recoba 10 months ago

    Well No Nay Mets was kind of correct USA pick (😋) I just couldn’t see American Rascal last home but that said it was all same chat etc with Campanelle and his other winners in past and 150/1 so 🤷‍♂️
    Swear o looked at it and was only the price put me off! 😉
    Well done anyone even mentioned it!!??

    Rizzle!
    I’ve been meaning to axe you.
    Why do you never quote tips and point folk to bookies that have money back if 2nd 3rd 4th or even 5th like Skybet there as with 2.30?
    I’ve my £12 back for 3rd.
    It’s not just this week for Royal Ascot but a Hella lot of meetings with various BUT Skybet seem to be only ones with as cash offer the rest back as a free bet but it really helps.

    1
  13. double carpet 10 months ago

    I’m looking at the 6.10 to see if anything takes my fancy and am looking at the form of RHOSCOLYN. Why on earth is he 10/1 ???
    Absolutely crap form since a 3rd at Goodwood last August. OK his rating has dropped to 93 but unless this is a plot job surely hasn’t a hope unless I’m missing something.

    1
  14. spurs55 10 months ago

    Being murdered again by the enemy 😡😡

    1
  15. double carpet 10 months ago

    Thought Valient King was going to nick it but have to settle for another 2nd but once again a return.

    2
  16. double carpet 10 months ago

    Warm Heart romps home 14/1 👍

    12
  17. recoba 10 months ago

    Yipir…5.20. 10/1 Ew.
    it stay all day but getting on in runs this season

  18. double carpet 10 months ago

    The horse I put up last week PRETTY SOLDIER is entered in the 3.10 at Down Royal on Saturday.
    It’s over 10f which is his usual distance unlike the race he was going to run at fairyhouse which was 13f. And its a local track for the new owners so I’d say he’ll run but very much doubt t he’ll be 50/1

  19. double carpet 10 months ago

    That was a great race.

  20. spurs55 10 months ago

    Benacre for a place in the next 🤞

    • spurs55 10 months ago

      And a bit on Finns charm

      (After my grandson) 💰

  21. double carpet 10 months ago

    A million runners in the 5.00 but bookies only offering 4 places as they will be giving ALL profits to charity.
    It will be nice to get the winner but at least losing won’t feel so bad as its for a good cause

  22. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Profit in 3/4 races so far.
    Quick picks for the last 3 races.
    —————————————-
    5-00 panic alarm and good karma.
    Both 16-1 bet365 ew extra paying 10 places

    1
    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      5-35 Brave emporer

      30-1 bet365 ew extra paying 8 places.
      And
      £1 ew at 100-1 bet365 paying 4 places.

    • elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Lucky last 6-10.

      The gatekeeper 16-1 bet365 ew extra 10 places.

      Bopedro 30-1 bet365 ew extra 10 places

      1
  23. spurs55 10 months ago

    17:35 Royal Ascot – 1m2f Grp 3

    Canberra Legend
    28/1

  24. double carpet 10 months ago

    Ok so decided to have a play on 2 in the lucky last.

    Documenting 50/1 ew 6 places

    9th in the race last year. Better draw this year and runs off the same mark. Was a good 3rd lto so hopefully hitting form at the right time.

    And the 2nd horse is Rizzles as I’d kick myself if I didn’t

  25. recoba 10 months ago

    Nope NOT typing/doing that write up again and tbh Easter at Belmont (tipped it on Easter last time?) been bit to close and Flowerpecker at Horseshoe Indianapolis well…both just won??

    Rest in my Canadian

    Belmont -R6…Nova Rags 11/10
    R7…Dafuseke Island 5/2 ****

    Far to close I’m sure BUT..
    Horseshoe Indianapolis-R2…Mike From P’Burgh. 6/4.
    No fan of debut horses but Chad Brown here at Shelbyville??

  26. recoba 10 months ago

    150/1 winner was from Kentucky breeding? 🇺🇸

    To much dat $hite auld foreign stuff again eh? 🙈

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