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A poor opening day to start Royal Ascot. The ground didn't help a couple of my selections, but that can't be helped. I expected a few millimetres, according to the sources I use, instead we got 10mm+ in the morning. 

Highfield Princess ran well, I honestly thought she couldn't lose. They went to the Stewards for an enquiry, but I don't think there was enough to reverse the placings. Law Of The Sea ran well and grabbed a place, getting outstayed by those ahead of him in the final furlong. Chaldean got the lead as I hoped, but was outclassed by the better horse from Aidan O'Brien. Modern Games was poor and Asadna looked to despise the ground, with Boughey before the race saying he'd be worried if the rain came, so he deserves another chance.

Ascot 3:05 – Farhh To Shy 20/1 (0.5pt EW Bet365 6pl)

It's a weird one that Tom Queally has lost the ride on Farhh To Shy but Jamie Spencer is probably the best replacement for this horse, as she needs to be smuggled into the race and delivered very late.

I'm sure there are horses deemed to be better handicapped than my selection, with the Joseph O'Brien favourite being the main one, and one I was close to putting up, but I just think Farhh To Shy is being overlooked in this race, and that will be mainly due to the trainer and the level of opposition she has been up against compared to others. If you watch her race last time out at this track it was very visually impressive. She cruised through the race, and considering that was one of her first times over a mile, you wouldn't have noticed as she cantered all over the field, and though she didn't win by much, I think that's just due to her style and quirkiness. She has to be delivered late on and that's why I think Jamie Spencer is a match made in heaven.

We all know what Jamie is about, but from stall 22, he'd have no other choice but to take a sit and hope the race unfolds in front of him. But, he'll hopefully be able to get her settled and creep her into contention down the outside, which has been a good place for winners in this race in previous years. She did go up a few pounds in the ratings for that recent win, but she's still on a good mark as her highest winning mark to date came off one pounder higher mark than what she races off today and she raced in this race 12 months ago off 95 and was cruising through the race but probably went down the inside which didn't seem best to do with the winner and placed horses running down the outside, so had to settle for middle of the pack.

Ascot 3:40 – Queen Aminatu 9/1 (0.5pt EW)

I'm going to go with a horse I really do love and that is Queen Aminatu.

It's a risk going for a horse who has 0 wins on turf and has 5 wins and 3 placed efforts from 8 runs on the AW, but I don't think she is one-dimensional and is capable of winning on turf, as we've seen her run belters, albeit in lower tier races, but things have rarely gone her way and she's done well in some terrible positions to finish where she has. Ascot does tend to suit the AW horses better than most other turf tracks in the UK and I believe that is something to do with the heavy sand base under the turf, we've seen it a lot over the years, so if there is a track that will suit Queen Aminatu it is this track, and especially the straight track.

She has done winning round bends on the AW, including the Listed win last October, but I don't think it suits her run style at all, so for her to win in the manner she does on those tracks shows that she is a very capable horse. She is often held up in her races, and finds trouble, especially around Lingfield where she has to go widest of all, which is never ideal and then has to hit top gear but it's often too late, like we saw in the Group 3 behind Sacred. With this straight track, it should hopefully allow her to hit top gear, not worry about getting into trouble with other horses and then show the deadly turn of foot she possesses.

I'm not sure what ground she prefers as she has run well on good to soft before, but clearly found the ground at the Curragh too soft for her, so I'd presume that today's ground should be spot on, as it will be in between. There has been a bit of money floating around for her, so 14/1 which I was hoping for has gone, but I still think she is worth a small EW bet. I don't think this race is particularly strong and not one horse has outstanding claims.

Ascot 5:00 – Astro King 17/2 (0.5pt EW PaddyPower 7pl)

To say Astro King was unlucky not to win last time at York is the understatement of the season so far for me. This horse is clearly on a very good handicap mark and will be a big player if everything drops right for him.

This race has been the plan since Daniel & Claire Kubler bought him, so the run at York, although it was painful to watch, it would've been a prep run for this race today, so they'd have been pleased with the great run he put in even though they would've loved the prize money, but 26k compared to 90k for winning this is a very big jump so I doubt they'll be too upset if he delivers the goods. Handicaps like these are often a pain as they split into two groups and more often than not one side of the track will be better ground than the other and half of the field will be goosed and have no chance by halfway. Normally, the earlier races on the card are a very good indicator, but as it's my job to tip the night before I don't get that luxury. However, we know for a fact that Astro King loves this track, so if he's on the right side I expect him to be bang there come the finish.

Horses often turn up to the same race from the year before, but Astro King has been placed in this specific race two years on the bounce. Last year he finished fourth off a mark of 102 and he finished 2nd off 98 in 2021 which is 1lb lower than today's rating, and he was only beaten by Real World who went on to be a Group 1 level performer. Fast ground is what he likes, so he'll be hoping that the ground dries out quickly from now till 5 pm, and no rain forecasted and heat of up to 25 degrees, come 5pm the ground should be on the fast side of good, as Ascot does drain very well.

Ascot 5:35 – Gregory 7/4 (2pt WilliamHill)

I've got to stick with Gregory for this race, I've tipped him up two times in a row and he's not disappointed me one bit.

I think he did very well last time out at Goodwood to win in the manner he did. I don't think the track suited him whatsoever and I thought he'd be a lively contender for the St Leger come the end of the season as he looked an out-and-out stayer over 11f, so to see the Gosden's putting him to 14f doesn't surprise me in the slightest. This is obviously his toughest test to date, but I think he is a class act and will keep progressing and if I think he is a Leger horse, he will need to be winning this race.

It's a short write-up compared to the others I have put, but I don't think it takes a rocket scientist to see his chances of winning. He's short enough in the market at 7/4, but it's big enough to have a play.

I get very similar vibes to Stradivarius with this horse, and he will hopefully be the new staying star for the yard. Strad won this race back in 2017 before going to finish 3rd in the St Leger. He is currently 9/1 ante-post for the Leger, and that will shorten if he wins tomorrow. I'll probably have a few quid on that too, just in case.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Ascot
Horse Racing Tips
Farr To Shy
Ascot - 3:05 pm

20/1 @ Bet365

Queen Aminatu
Ascot - 3:40 pm

9/1 @ Bet365

Astro King
Ascot - 5:00 pm

17/2 @ PaddyPower

Ascot - 5:35 pm

7/4 @ William Hill

  1. recoba 11 months ago

    Philadelphia-R9…Chelsea Wall 7/2****

    Bigger dejj look at than Scotland game?? 😉

    Loading fast but v short fav it’s definitely the value

    • recoba 11 months ago

      Well done winners yesterday.
      Just watched Twilight Gleaming there in 3.40 coming 3rd….last!

      Few tipsters like USA raider Crimsom Advocate’ I see at around 12/1. In my tracker with another.
      It’s NOT really a tip as much as “just in case” or have it with a £1 or 2 just in case ( 😉) I thought I best mention it. Pretty wide open race an he need do some hella lot of improving.

      William Hill doing Epic Odds’ for Ascot 2.30 and 5 places so with my £5 and 26 freebie and odds 66/1 I’ll have a crack Ew at another USA runner with Velazquez on board who can ride abroad.

      Cynane…. 33/1. Ew William Hills
      ‘Epic odds’ doubles yer odds hence 66/1 for me…£5 max bet Ea too

      GL all an Luxembourg for me today and I hate to do it to Adayar.

  2. double carpet 11 months ago

    2.30 Beautiful Diamond 7/2

    Just an interest stakes as impossible to know how this race will pan out.
    Karl Burke won the race last year with Dramitised and word is this horse is his no1 and she was very impressive in winning her only start to date.
    I’ll be paying most attention as to what side of the track they congregate. Yesterday low numbers definitely had the advantage so we’ll see what happens today.

    3.05 Adelaise 6/1

    One of my stronger bets of the day. Should have won lto. Had no clear run and comes here only 1lb higher. I think she will go off fav.

    3.40 Potapova 20/1 ew 3 places

    Can’t really work this race out so have decided to have a play on Potapova as he can pop up on the odd occasion and win when not expected to and his trainer has won this race more times than anyone else.

    4.20 My Prospero 7/2

    Think the step back up In trip will be perfect for him. Ground needs to remain good at least so no rain required. Ran a blinder on reappearance and should be spot on for this.
    Obviously a very tough race and Luxembourg sets a high standard but I just think MP can take this today.

    5.00 Dunum 11/1 ew 6 places NAP

    What the trainer has done with this horse is nothing short of miraculous. He arrived at the stable rated 58 and 7 races later he’s rated 97 having won 5 and been 2nd in the other 2.
    He’s drawn in 11 which isn’t too bad depending on which area of the track has the best ground, hopefully it’s low numbers like yesterday. This will also be the trainers first runner at RA and as she’s a shrewdie I’d be very surprised if she’s sending this horse over without a very good chance.
    Lto he finished ahead of Adelaise (3.05) so if she’s to run well it will strengthen his chances.

    5.35 Gregory 7/4

    Won’t go on too much about his horse as Rizzle has covered him well but he’s well clear on ratings and should be winning this today

    6.10 Barnwell Boy 7/1

    Was very impressive on debut winning by 4 1/2L . The runner up came out and won nto so franked the form.
    I’ll also have a small ew on AOBs 2nd string Alabama as he was the horse that AOB mentioned in his stable tour back in March. Has yet to do it on the track but some of AOBs can take time to blossom and this could be another


    • double carpet 11 months ago

      Barnwell Boy price should read 4/1

  3. double carpet 11 months ago

    Stands side: 7.7
    Centre: 7.5
    Farside: 7.5.
    Round: 6.6.
    Readings taken 8am, Wednesday 21st June​

    Based on those figures looks like high numbers will have slight advantage on the straight track today, but we’ll see.

  4. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    midnight affair 2.30 crystal caprice 3.05 grande dame 3.40 Luxembourg 4.20 ghaly 5.00 Gregory 5.35 maximum impact 6.10 well done all winners yesterday

  5. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    dawn of liberation 5.00 ew paying extra places

  6. ew thief 11 months ago

    Afternoon all well done Elvis dc posty and everyone else
    Flora of Bermuda 2.30 14-1
    Crystal caprice 3.05 10-1
    Random harvest 3.40 16-1
    Mostahdaf 4.20 16-1
    Orbaan 5.00 40-1
    rRNA rosso 5.35 22-1
    Sergeant wilko 6.10 25-1
    Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️gl all

    • spurs55 11 months ago

      See you’re thinking the same as me Ewt 💸

      Start with number 11 again


    • ew thief 11 months ago

      All the best spurs lad👍

    • spurs55 11 months ago

      Didn’t realise you had tipped that last winner. at 16-1
      Well done matey

      Glad i never said anything otherwise I’d probably put the mockers on it 💰💰💰

    • spurs55 11 months ago

      Just in case

      5 – Mostahdaf @ 16/1
      16.20 Royal Ascot: Prince Of Wales’s

    • Wildhorse 11 months ago


      Nice one , with Mostahdaf ^^

  7. spurs55 11 months ago

    Can’t can it?

    We will see in a hour or so 💰

  8. postman 11 months ago

    2:30 – Relief Rally / Balsam
    3:05 – Tarrabb
    3:40 – Grande Dame / Rogue Millennium
    4:20 – Luxembourg / My Prospero
    5:00 – Point Lynas / Intellogent
    5:35 – Gregory looks solid and should be hard to beat.
    6:10 – Maximum Impact / Johannes Brahms

    B’ Lucky 😉

    • postman 11 months ago

      Always the 5:00 Race. 😠

  9. double carpet 11 months ago

    I took the 25/1 ew on MALC in the first race tomorrow as I thought it would shorten as its trained by Ri hard Fahey and he’s won the last 2 runnings. 22s still available but generally 20s now and id expect it to come in more.
    I also backed the fav as I think he’ll win.

  10. double carpet 11 months ago

    Clear advantage for high numbers

    • kirantotti365 11 months ago

      whats advantage for high numbers /??

    • double carpet 11 months ago

      If you’re drawn high you have an advantage on the straight course.

  11. Wildhorse 11 months ago

    Hi All

    Ascot Day 2


    R. 6 – Gregory

    R. 4 – Adayar

    Each Way

    R, 2 – Adelaise

    R. 7 – Maximum Impact

    To be placed

    R. 5 – Outbreak ( 6 – 7 Places )

    Good luck , back at Day 3 !!

    • Wildhorse 11 months ago

      Yeah , Dc

      Same problem , yesterday with Calling the Wind , young Jokeys are always a risk , Adelaise had a bad position , in middle of the field , after a free passage , you saw how much speed she have , but to late and the Race was over ,

    • Wildhorse 11 months ago

      Looking the Godolphin horses are out of form , right now : – (

  12. double carpet 11 months ago

    They’ll have to reduce the amount of runners in that race. It’s ridiculous and horses or jockeys will end up getting hurt.
    Adelaise ran well but once again found trouble and it was too late when she eventually found room

  13. spurs55 11 months ago

    Honey Girl
    J: D. B. McMonagle
    T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien, Ireland
    F: 265-115

  14. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    6-10 Ascot
    45-1 bet365 ew extra paying 10 places.
    Loose change 125-1 ew 5 places at BETWAY 🏇

  15. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Bay bridge
    11-4 win
    6-4 betting without Luxembourg

    • elvis parsley 11 months ago

      Rubbish effort by bay bridge

  16. double carpet 11 months ago

    My Prospero must have lost a leg.

  17. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Ascot 5-00

    Point lynas 20-1 ew 8 places SKYBET.

    Dawn of liberation 30-1 bet365 ew extra paying 10 places.

  18. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Ascot 5-35

    5-2 betting without Gregory 🏇 .. NAP.. 🏇 at bet victor…..

  19. elvis parsley 11 months ago

    Lucky last at Worcester 5-09
    Stripe of honour
    3-1 top 3 finish William HILLS
    11-10 top 5 finish SKYBET

    Beat the favourite kapitaliste by 12 lengths at 50-1 over c+d last month.
    7 pound swing and not the most reliable of horses but could be a factor if repeating that effort.

    Only won 1 other race and that was here last July.

    • Paulm 11 months ago


  20. recoba 11 months ago

    Philadelphia -R1…Tequilamademedpit. 6/4/****

    • recoba 11 months ago

      ⬆️. That’ll do!

      Philadelphia R2…Harley Charley 11/4
      R3…Bourbon Bay 13/8
      Thistledown -R1…Becopa Bay 13/8

      Maybe tight for Thistledown Race 1 but knowing USA be late 👌

      GL and well done winners today

  21. azzthewigan 11 months ago

    alabama 6.10 ew well done all winners

  22. double carpet 11 months ago

    Finally a winner 🙏

    • azzthewigan 11 months ago

      yup my lucks turned dc must be a fav day coming dc

  23. Paulm 11 months ago

    Ignored all this minefield stuff this week fun to watch sure can’t bet seriouslythough. Bet today ive went for Zimmerman at ripon tonight 11-4. Look at the horse that beat it last race….it ran a cracker in the last race yesterday at Ascot. 3rd favourite looks the danger

  24. double carpet 11 months ago

    Typical, Alabama finishes 5th and only 4 places from the bookies.
    Just about sums up today, but at least there’s always tomorrow to bounce back

    • azzthewigan 11 months ago

      sky bet paid 5 places dc on to tomorrow mate for the cavalier charges

    • double carpet 11 months ago

      One of the firms I don’t have Azz. Glad you got your place 👍

  25. double carpet 11 months ago

    I’m putting up my selections for tomorrow now as I will be busy for the early part of the day as I have my scan to see if I’m cancer free.
    I won’t get the results for a couple of weeks but hopefully things go well.
    If someone wants to copy and paste my selections to tomorrow’s thread I would be grateful.

    2.30 Elite Status 7/4

    Should be a cracking race with American Rascal who won by 10L on his only start. But Elite Status has been so impressive in winning both starts so far I think he will come out on top.
    I’ve also backed Malc at 25/1 who represents Richard Fahy who has won the race for the past 2 years and won well on his only start.

    3.05 Valient King 10/1 ew 6 places

    Not a strong selection but seems to be Improving with racing. Extra distance looks like it will benefit.

    3.40 Warm Heart 14/1 ew

    Fav looks bomb proof and has been supplemented for the race. Was so impressive at Goodwood lto but not backable at those odds so I went for Warm Heart who beat Bluestocking lto and I think can confirm the form over this longer trip.

    4.20 Subjectivist 10/1 ew 4 places

    This is a real headscratcher to work out. Coltrane we know stays all day, Eldar Eldarov has the class having won a Leger, Courage Mon Ami could be anything having only had 3 runs and hasn’t gone beyond 1.6f but I very much doubt Gosden would be chucking him in here unless he had a chance and if Yibir is there and the business end there isn’t a horse that has a better finishing kick in the race.
    But I’ve gone for Subjectivist. Yes he’s only had the one start since winning this race in 2021 but if he’s anywhere that kind of form will take a lot of beating as he won this race with ease.

    5.00 Fort Vega 25/1 ew 4 places

    A other trappy affair but I’ve gone for Fort Vega who has won his last 2 starts and is progressing nicely.
    His win lto has been well franked with the 3rd winning a very competitive h’cap nto with Carracci well back in 9th.
    Panic Alarm is another irish raider with a chance but lto was behind another horse from Lavery’s yard so she should have a fair idea of Fort Vega’s chances

    5.35 Drumroll 6/1 ew

    Drumroll’s only defeat in 3 starts was when 2nd beaten 1 1/2L by Paddington and I believe that’s the best form on offer and the extra furlong shouldn’t be an issue.

    I’m leaving the 6.q0 as its just a minefield.


    • mr jack 11 months ago

      All the best mate,

  26. recoba 11 months ago

    🇺🇸/ 🇬🇧
    Not bad with early single at Philly!
    One other for Acca so a half decent return although as mentioned you probably had 6-7 minutes to get Thistledow winner on

    Also I heavily mentioned USA winner Crimson Advocate at Royal Ascot 2.30 today AND the Jockey saying he being able abroad so does that count? 😋
    Guessing no? 👌

    Yankee and single,only noticed this late I’ll be sleeping race at Canterbury Park is the old Oaks’ a good Stakes race!

    Canterbury Race 4..Lure‘Em in 17/2 Bet365 /***.
    Place is 5/2 Bet365 top 2 or 6/5 top 3
    Think just on nose for me but it’s your dimes!
    Horseshoe Indianapolis R5…Intimant Fast 11/4/***
    Penn National -R2..Nola Costano 5/4
    Mountaineer -R2. Joy In Battle 5/2 /***

    GL and onwards 👉


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