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With Fontwell being abandoned I went with an EW shout at Newmarket, he was backed in a little into 5/1 but was off the bridle very early into the race. I thought his added stamina would've been to his strength but he was only staying on in the last furlong or so past beaten horses and was simply outclassed. 

Carlisle 1:40 – Vincenzo 4/1 (1pt)

With the Sam Thomas yard flying I think that Vicenzo can make a winning hurdling debut.

Carlisle isn't a track Sam uses all too often for his horses with just four runners coming to Carlisle since he took up his training licence a few years ago, which has yielded 2 wins. This horse has a decent campaign in bumpers last year, but he wasn't heavily raced last season as it clearly wasn't the be-all and end-all of his career to get as many runs into him as possible as his pedigree would suggest he would be better over fences in time. He has a very nice pedigree and is related to some good French jumpers including Nanosecond who was placed in a Group 1 over 2m 7f, so that also gives the impression that today's step up to 2m 4f will benefit him.

There are only two horses in this race who have hurdle ratings and only one should be mentioned and that is Keep Wondering. The 9yo is officially rated 118 as a hurdler but is 0/4 in this code, and he has been kept to chasing for the most part of his career. I see this as a pipe opener for a chase race in the future and I don't think hurdling is his game, especially against some potentially nice unexposed types in this race like Vincenzo.

Sam Thomas is 3/3 in the last fortnight and all have won with plenty to spare, he is clearly getting his horses ready first time out and I don't think they'll be wasting their diesel money with the trip up to Carlisle.

Carlisle 4:30 – Yellowstone Park 12/1 (0.5pt EW B365 3pl)

If there was a horse in this race that was made to be a chaser it would be Yellowstone Park.

This horse is a half-brother to two smart chasers who improved plenty when sent over the largest obstacles, so it wouldn't be a surprise if Yellowstone Park followed in their footsteps off a relatively low handicap mark of 113. He was a decent enough hurdler, winning one and finishing and runner-up another time from his seven runs as a novice and it's interesting that Alex Hales and connections come to Carlisle for his chase debut as it's a track that has been very good to the Hales yard, with three winners from six runners at this track in the last five years, with him having 2/4 winners over fences, netting a decent profit.

He is related to Islandofhomeandreams and Mighty Thunder who were very good staying chasers, both reaching RPRs of 150 at their peak and both winning on their chase debuts.

Ludlow 3:30 – Hardy Fella 5/1 (1pt)

I've always liked Hardy Fella since watching him finish 2nd on his hurdles debut, and I've always thought there was plenty of ability with this horse and now he makes his move to fences this is where he could turn into something decent.

He was a frustrating horse to back and follow last year as he finished 2nd on three occasions, but he finally got his day in the sun at this track on his final run of the season when making all and winning with plenty in hand. Granted, the race was much weaker than today's opposition but it would've been a nice confidence booster for him and though he lacks experience over fences to most of these, as he hasn't run in PTPs or had a chase start to date I think with the form of the Emma Lavelle yard going as well as it currently is, you can take a chance.

I'm not totally sold on the others in this race. Outlaw Peter made hard work in his match race at Newton Abbott last time out, his jumping wasn't great and though he is the ‘class' horse in this race from his hurdles form, I think he'll have his work cut out for him. Neon Moon was a frustrating horse over fences last year, often coming with a winning run but flattening out in the final furlongs, his experience will be key in this but he is definitely open to being beaten by some unexposed horses.

Horse Racing Tips
Carlisle - 1:40 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

Yellowstone Park
Carlisle - 4:30 pm

12/1 @ Bet365

Hardy Fella
Ludlow - 3:30 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

  1. hibee1 7 months ago

    Good Risk At All 3.55 Carlisle 3/1

    Has been schooling very well at home very good vibes coming from the right people, expect it to be gambled late . Chase debut tomorrow. Must be about a 600 mile trek for the yard. Won at this track last year, won twice over this trip. Runs very well fresh. Yard do very well with their chasers must have about 30 % strike rate or not far off.
    Alot of confidence coming out the yard. Really confident bet tomorrow. Wasn’t going to share this but Friday’s bet looking unlikely now.

    Best of luck everyone, Chris.

    • TheMaster 7 months ago

      You weren’t going to share it Dean? Why not if it’s good info? Surely that’s what we are all here for…?

    • hibee1 7 months ago

      Money starting to come in already. 3-1 into 2-1. If anyone else likes it today it could possibly be worth waiting to see if they try to push the odds out to try to put joe public off. They are fully aware that this is strongly fancied by the yard, be interesting to see what they do.

      Good luck everyone ill be back later into next week

    • lossie jim 7 months ago

      Spot on again hibee1, you da man.👍

  2. elvis parsley 7 months ago

    Sounds like our Dean knows a lot of the right people in a lot of yards.
    Must be great to be so popular 🏇

  3. recoba 7 months ago

    🇺🇸 Morning!!

    Remington -R10…Elle Of The Ball 5/2 ***+


  4. recoba 7 months ago

    8 -3 -10 Trifecta and smaller combination tricast

    Well done to the winners yesterday

  5. Gateacre Pete 7 months ago

    The Empty Kettle 2.00 Clon. could sneak into the top 5 ew extra @ 40s dropping back in trip

  6. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    leapaway 11.50 France

  7. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    pambola 12.25 ew France

  8. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    del Cielo 12.50 France nap

  9. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    Farah 1.07 France nb

  10. elvis parsley 7 months ago

    Getaway glory 2-55 Ludlow
    16-1 bet365 ew extra 7 places.

    Good race this for Ludlow, few promising types running

  11. azzthewigan 7 months ago

    adjuvant 2.55 rose king 3.05 outlaw Pete 3.30 gardener 3.20 savior 3.40 baby sage 4.05

  12. Bennybear 7 months ago

    Thank you. Hibee 1 .

  13. jimba 7 months ago

    Well done Hibee1 with good risk👍cheers.

  14. dazzman1979 7 months ago

    I did nt risk it at all this time I bottled lumping which is kinda what you have to do at those prices on a single bet but still worthy of a well done . If it becomes a regular thing you posting then it would probably be worth lumping the same amount each time knowing more often than not a winner is very likely. Poor old Rizzel pick the rong Sam Thomas horse he must be kicking himself but I’m sure he jumped on hibee1 ones tip behind closed doors 😂

  15. recoba 7 months ago

    🇺🇸 Some short prices so go with..
    4 fold
    5 Fold
    6 fold.

    Deleware -R1…He’s A Shooter
    R2…Hurrying Home 2/1
    Belmont -R2…Unbridled Bomber 5/6
    Laurel Park-R1…Mystic Seaport 5/6
    Presque Isle Downs -R2…Castle Born 2/1
    Keeneland -R4…Jolly Miss Jill 6/5

    All Paddy Power

    GL all and well done winners today 👍.

    • recoba 7 months ago


      Deleware -R2..He’s A Shooter NOT Race 1
      Laurel Park -R3…Hurrying Home 2/1 NOT Deleware. 👍.


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