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Frustrating day on the whole yesterday. The 2yo played up before the start, was keen and then didn't handle the track. He travelled nicely into the race, but was off balanced through the dip, I think he could still be a nice horse to follow nevertheless. Alaskan Jewel got off to her usual slow start, was outpaced and plugged on to get third on the line, so the EW bet advised would've returned your stake. The other two were terrible. The ride that Joe Fanning gave our big outsider was clearly an effort on a non-trier. No pace in the race as expected, he could've gone from the front and no one who would've pestered him, instead he held the horse up who pulled the entire race.
Though we have Newmarket and Cheltenham on tomorrow, not much really caught my eye as a bet other than COLINTON at Beverley.
Other than the obvious claims of Jamil, who is well found in the market, I can't see any other real claims of winning this race. Sure enough, now that's been said, the biggest outsider will proceed to win. But in all seriousness, I think Colinton could run a big race even though he is claimed to be an AW horse, which is unfair in my eyes. He has raced 3x on turf, and since then has racked up 4 wins on the AW, so instantly people are questioning whether he can reproduce that form on grass. The reason I think that is unfair is because he has clearly appreciated a longer trip, and that's what he has had during the winter months on the AW. His furthest trip on turf was 7f, which is evidently too short, and still, based on that run I thought he did extremely well. He was boxed on the inside rail at Catterick, travelled smoothly into contention but then was bumped and had to stop his momentum when he was about to put down his challenge. He finished 5th/14 that day, and that race has produced a few winners, so it's not like it was a poor race for the grade, like your usual class 6 is.
He is drawn in stall 2, so should be able to get a handy position if breaking well, which is a positive at this track.
Jason Hart has a positive record when riding for Katie Scott. 8 Wins from 42 rides, equaling a 19% SR and a +14.13 profit to level stakes.
Jamil won nicely last time out, so has to be respected under a penalty, which is effectively taken away, but this a relatively quick turnaround for 7yo, so can be taken on in my opinion. Carrigillihy has to make a return of 200 days, and with the Tim Easterby form reading 1 wins from their last 40 runners, which came over the jumps, fitness has to be a concern for that horse. Lord Torranaga looks slightly high in the weights, and the form of his yard is worrying.
12:00 Nottingham - Race: 1
12:30 Nottingham - Race: 2
12:40 Curragh - Race: 1