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Live In The Moment is becoming a frustrating horse to follow. I didn't think the ride was particularly great on him, having to switch him around, but that happens with these young apprentices taking the ride. I wouldn't like to keep backing Live In The Moment as he looks expensive to follow, I have no doubt he'll win soon but the odds will always be quite low due to him running decent races in defeat.

Beverley 4:15 – Casilli 12/1 (1pt EW)

Casilli is on the drift as we speak, but I've had plenty of winners this month who have drifted out so it doesn't really bother me, and it doesn't surprise me she is drifting out as you have the more unexposed horses who are attracting market support, which inevitably will push the outsiders out in price.

I don't think the ones towards the head of the market are the ones to be on, if anything the ones who I thought had a decent chance was the bigger-priced horse in Freak Out and Shine On Brendan. But, out of the three I've named I thought Casilli looked the best selection. Seeing form figures of 057 for this season doesn't look great on paper but the recent seventh-placed effort was much better than it would appear. She ran in a Class 3 (0-90) in the Sky Bet Sunday Series for fillies, which was won by Reach who won by 2L and in good fashion, the following six were separated by 2.5L and Casilli wasn't fancied in that race, going off at odds of 16/1 but made good ground late in the race, running down the outside from the rear like she normally does at Beverley. She was outclassed that day, but to say she ran a poor race would be very harsh, and now she is in calmer waters, she is dangerous to underestimate.

She is a five-time course winner, and we've seen along the years how niche of a track Beverley is. It's a stiff track and catches you out if you don't have the stamina, having a solid course form in your CV is a big tick in my book and I think now she is running back off her last winning mark of 78 she looks a cracking EW bet. I expect Billy Garrity to hang her out in last place and run down the outside, avoid the trouble and hope they go quick on the front end which will help the closers.

I just want to comment on Bobby's Blessing. I think this horse is very well-handicapped off a mark of 76, I tipped him up on debut when he put in a crazy performance from coming last to first. He has a good pedigree, but for as far as I can look not one horse has run or done well over today's trip. He is built for 7f and maybe a mile at a push, which seems a strange decision to whack him up to 10f on handicap debut. If he stays, he's a huge player, but I'd have massive fears that he'd stay, even though his running style suggests he will like a longer trip.

Brighton 4:00 – Tolstoy 13/2 (1pt EW WilliamHill)

Similar comments can be applied to this race as the above race in that there is an unexposed horse who heads the market, but this time I can see why, but he is a bit short for my liking and I think Tolstoy is very interesting now running over 7f for the first time.

For the life of me, I don't know why this horse hasn't been running over 7f, his pedigree would suggest he'd love it, being by Kingman and out of a Frankel mare, it stinks of middle-distance trips but both Stuart Williams and John Gosden (previous trainer) haven't quite seen how have I have. Not only does his pedigree suggest 7f should suit, but his running style and the way he finishes out his races look like a horse who has been crying out for a longer trip. They ran him over 5f at Sandown last time out where he was rushed off his feet and couldn't really go the early gallop but when his stamina came into play he was picking off horses very quickly and though he didn't win, he ran a big race to finish third, considering that type of trip shouldn't be what he wants.

He is very well-handicapped off last year's form, he was rated 94 on his last start for the Gosden's when he won a Class 2 handicap, recording an RPR of 103 in the process, and even that day he did his best running late in the race after looking a bit outpaced, so 7f is definitely worth a try. I've hyped him up for this distance, so sod's law he'll run a stinker and I'll have egg on my face but I think 13/2 is more than fair and he's an EW player in this.

Horse Racing Tips
Casilli
Beverley - 4:15 pm

12/1 @ Bet365

Tolstoy
Brighton - 4:00 pm

13/2 @ William Hill

30 Comments
  1. dodger22 10 months ago

    Been given a tip today from a reliable source! Do what you want with it and don’t go massive then moan if it loses! Just passing information on as it’s from a reliable source. Followed this group for many years now and only posted the odd time. Good luck today people!

    6.40 Newbury Shuwari 7-2 was 11/2 this morning

    A very strong message for this Ollie sangster trained filly who has been working extremely well with winners at home including older filles such as Cruise who is rated in the low 80s.

    She’s felt to be well above average, arrives here done plenty of work in preparation for her debut and connections are extremely confident she can make a successful debut before going on to bigger and better things.
    Tom Marquand takes the ride today.

    32
    • Tricky13 10 months ago

      Thank you mate £25 e/w at 5/1 👍

      3
    • mint 10 months ago

      Dodger22,

      Always like a little inside information. Thank you!

      Mint…

      3
    • ew thief 10 months ago

      Cracking tip lad cheers 👍

      3
    • Gmc1976 10 months ago

      Cheers, 5er on it. 👍

      3
    • dazzman1979 10 months ago

      And that’s how only people with inside info ever really win at this game and us mug punters usually end up losing more often than not . 😂

      2
    • gordys 10 months ago

      Cheers Dodger, brilliant info!! Thanx for sharing..

      2
    • azzthewigan 10 months ago

      well done dodger 22

      3
    • dodger22 10 months ago

      Cheers guys! Nice little drift! Had a good wedge on it myself! Glad plenty of people backed it too! Well done to all the other winners as well

      7
  2. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    scramble 3.15 ew

    1
  3. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    wrens rose 3.45 ew

    1
  4. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    frankandeal 4.15 ew

    1
  5. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    zakram 4.45 ew well done all winners yesterday

    1
  6. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    westernes 4.15 nap low numbers have a advantage at Beverley

    1
  7. elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Kauto the king 6-20 Newton abbot.
    8-1 ew 2 places
    EVENS top 3 finish SKYBET.

    Waiting for this to return to his form of last summer when he won 3 times including this race off a lot more weight back then

    2
  8. ew thief 10 months ago

    Did everyone have that message this morning 🤔

    1
    • dodger22 10 months ago

      The message I put in?

      1
    • ew thief 10 months ago

      No mate something about privacy issues on my account 🤔🤔

      5
    • ew thief 10 months ago

      But cheers for the tip as well had 20on the shirking😂👍

      2
  9. ew thief 10 months ago

    Shnekk not shirking 👍

  10. mwc777 10 months ago

    Thanks dodger. Superb. Made my day that

    2
  11. Yonus 10 months ago

    Thanks Dodger 22 .👌👍😎

    3
  12. azzthewigan 10 months ago

    presenting Yeats 7.30 ew puffable 7.50 ew.. Bastogne 8.25 ew jax edge 9.00 ew well done all winners today

  13. ew thief 10 months ago

    Night arc 8.25n 25-1 ☘️☘️gl all

    4
  14. dodger22 10 months ago

    Glad a lot of people was on it! Nice when they win 😊

    9
  15. recoba 10 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Horseshoe Indianapolis -R3…Forest City 5/2. /****
    Doubles and wee treble with..

    Horseshoe Indianapolis -R4…Louder Than Words 4/5
    Finger Lakes -R7 …Wedontbelieher 4/5

    GL and well done winners today 👌

    1
    • recoba 10 months ago

      Should said there all Skybet or there boosts 👍

  16. recoba 10 months ago

    Well done Dodger great bit of extra information and pays on for plenty by looks of it. 👏

    Worst b@stard day at work and caught nothing today but good to see

    1
  17. ew thief 10 months ago

    Lucky last ignar lamak 15-2☘️☘️gl all

    1
    • ew thief 10 months ago

      Jesus my eyes a getting worse Murphys mount 😜😜

      1

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