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Champions Day was a total joke from start to finish. If you weren't on a horse who was on the pace or close to it, you had no chance of winning for the most part. Front runners were in their element at Ascot yesterday and trying to close the gap when they got an easy lead was near to impossible. 

Leopardstown 2:10 – Cairo 5/4 (2pt PaddyPower)

With Ryan Moore riding in France for Sunday, it puts good ol' Seamie Heffernan as the main man for the Aidan O'Brien string at Leopardstown and he finds himself on a very good chance with Cairo.

Cairo hasn't been seen much this year with two runs happening before the official flat season started, with his only run of the year coming in the Irish 2000 Guineas which saw him finish 2nd to Paddington. That form is by far the best in this race, so I think his fitness and well-being is worth taking a chance on, as even though he has clearly had problems this year, if he is right then he's the best horse in this race.

I thought he ran a huge race to finish 2nd in that race at the Curragh as that was he looked more at home on soft ground when landing a Group 3 last October over 7f. He was staying on nicely in the Guineas and I think good ground didn't help him at all, he probably found it all going a bit too quick for him, but with the ground being heavy today I think he can come back with a win.

bet365

Leopardstown 3:20 – Sprewell 11/4 (2pt PaddyPower)

Carrying a penalty will make this task much tougher for Sprewell, but in a race which looks very poor he should be able to pull it off with ground conditions to suit.

This horse has the class to win races like this, he was 4th in the Derby at Epsom earlier this season over 2f too far and on ground far too fast for him, which shows the level of horse we're dealing with. On soft or heavy ground this horse is 2/2 this season and was decent on that surface as a juvenile 12 months ago, but he has clearly improved a lot since his 2yo season. He won a Group 3 in May on soft/heavy ground by 3L, recording an RPR of 116 which is head and shoulders above the level of form this field has shown, so if he's anywhere near that level of form he will be bang there despite carrying more weight than ideal.

His peak RPR came over C&D in the Derby Trial, so he clearly has a liking for this place and I like the fact he normally sits close to the pace as we saw yesterday at Ascot on testing ground you don't want to be miles away from those who lead the dance.

3yo's have won 8 of the last 10 renewals of this race and Sprewell is definitely the pick of that bunch.

Saint-Cloud 1:33 – Navy Seal 5/1 (1pt)

Giving up on an Aidan O'Brien horse is not the best thing to do, so even after a sub-par performance by Navy Seal I think he deserves another shot.

Aidan said they were disappointed with his run at the Curragh and believe it wasn't it true showing. Obviously, trainers come out and say what you want to hear, but I think there is an element of truth to that, this horse is fantastically bred, being by Dubawi and out of a Camelot mare, he is meant to be much better than what we've seen so far. I think testing ground is the key to this horse and I think Ryan Moore might want to get the lead in this race from Stall 1, point-and-shoot style.

This horse is a full brother to Never Ending Story who was a decent juvenile, and was 3rd in a Group 1 last October and was 2nd in a Group 1 this year as 3yo. With this type of pedigree I think he'll stay a couple of furlongs further next year, so Ryan might want to turn this into a stamina test if he does decide to go from the front, I doubt he'll want this turning into a usual French dawdle and sprint for home, as that simply won't suit. The French horses seem to have all the cards for this, but the form of their races is far from bulletproof, I'd say Sunway is a big danger but I'm not sure he wants a mile and though the form has worked out nicely from his York 2nd, I think a few underperformed in that race so it can't be trusted, and the winner was rubbish nto.

Saint-Cloud 2:50 – American Flag 12/1 (0.5pt EW)

I put up American Flag very early into the season and thought he didn't manage to win, he wasn't given the best of rides that day being held up miles from off the pace and given mission impossible. He hasn't been great since, but he has been racing over further and on drier ground, so with soft ground back in his favour he deserves another shot.

His run last time out saw him return to racing after a break of 118 days so chances are that he wasn't ready to do himself justice and it was to get a prep run into him and get his fitness up. Though he is a strong stayer over a mile, I don't think 10f is what he wants at this moment in his career and his run before last would suggest that. This horse is very good when getting very soft conditions over a mile, and that is what he gets today, he was 2/3 with those conditions this year and like I mentioned before, he didn't get a great ride in the Group 1.

The odds are more than generous in my opinion and he is very dangerous to underestimate.

Horse Racing Tips
Cairo
Leopardstown - 2:10 pm

5/4 @ PaddyPower

Sprewell
Leopardstown - 3:20 pm

11/4 @ PaddyPower

Navy Seal
- 1:33 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

American Flag
- 2:50 pm

12/1 @ Bet365

30 Comments
  1. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Rizzell
    One horse and jockey bucked the trend you mention, Frankie coming from last to first on king of steel

    Like him or not racing will be a poorer place without him.
    What other jockey could have an Ascot crowd singing “oh Frankie dettori”.

    Ryan Moore and a couple others are top notch jockeys, probably better jockeys but lack that personality to bring racing to non racing people.

    Hope he sticks to his word and doesn’t ride here again because nothing can top his finale yesterday.

    5
    • ew thief 4 months ago

      Well said that man 👏👏

      1
  2. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Saint cloud 🇫🇷

    1-33 grey man 8-1 ew 3 places SKYBET.

    2-15 Heliopolis 12-1 ew 5 places bet365.

    2-50 tribalist 6-4
    2nd in this last year to facteur cheval, that one was 2nd yesterday at Ascot.

    3
  3. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Mercian prince 3-30 kempton
    10-1 ew 3 places BOYLE SPORTS.

    Won this in 2022 and 2021 and won a similar event here on November 9th 2020. Under the same jockey

    1
  4. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    2:05 sedgefield- fakir 4/1

    5:15 kempton- shallow river 9/2

    Going for the across card double and trainer winning the first and last in both done as e/w to nothing tiny profit if they place at the very least 🤞

    Also doing a un lucky 15 with Rizzels 2and my 2

    If they all win I can get a Ryan Moore hair cut and not a Lionel Blair 😂

    Also going for the risky double looks like a good bet

    2
  5. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    I’m assuming having your sides scalped like that above the ears is for aerodynamics 😂

    1
  6. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    1:35 leopardstown – nituna 8/1 e/w single bet

    2
  7. ItsTrixie 4 months ago

    EW trixie and singles:

    1335 Leopardstown – Mowgli 11/1
    1355 Limerick – Not Before Time 16/1
    1405 Sedgefield – Present Fair 4/1

    1
  8. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    11:55 Hyderabad- Bangor on Dee 11/4

    1
  9. double carpet 4 months ago

    Notnowlinda 11/8 2.20 kemp

    First Street 4.05 Kemp

    Munster National

    The Goffer 9/2

    BOL

    2
    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      I’m liking first street myself

      1
  10. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    12:25 Hanover – be ruby 11/4

    1
  11. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Fatty Elliott has 8 of the 12 horses entered in the 4-15 Limerick .
    A shocking situation.

    2
    • elvis parsley 4 months ago

      Had to pick a non Elliot horse as I think having 8 of 12 entries just ain’t cricket.

      A wave of the sea in the fatty Elliott handicap above.
      8-1 ew 5 places SKYBET.

      Come 2nd and 4th in this race last 2 years.
      Carried 11-11 last year and 11-1 this year.

  12. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Nearly shot my load then with nituna landing a decent price in Ireland for a change ! But not to be money back e/w

    1
  13. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Riskeeeee 😂

  14. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    3:15 sedgefield- Ali star Bert 7/1 fun fun fun 🤩

    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      E/w obv 😂

  15. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    😂😂

  16. riaz26 4 months ago

    When’s the last time that rizzle has had a winner? Everyday picking losers and telling us to stake 2 points on crappy selections!

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      Risky Rizzel ! 😂 better off doing your own selections I find it easier to digest losing at my own hands 😂 I mean hibeels pretty good but with the prices usually being very short you don’t really make any money and if one loses it just puts you back where you were before so I usually try and mix it with another try try and pump it up . Unless your Barney Curley none of us will ever win . Just accept your going to lose and anything on top of that is a bonus .

      3
  17. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Amazing how Barry hughes slips under the radar again ! We should know better by now surely!

    1
  18. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    mars Harper 4.15 well done all winners yesterday and today

  19. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    time to boogie 3.55

  20. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    dee star 4.25

  21. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    rubahud 4.05 nap

    4
  22. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    givemehoperosa 4.30 ew nb

    3
  23. recoba 4 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Santa Anita -Race 5…Encolpion 4/1 Skybet ****
    Side bet 7 -4 -5. No:5 Cute Khloe is outsider im obviously wanting to get in somewhere and Bett365 have it 3/1 while Skybet and others have her 20/1!! 🤷‍♂️

    1
    • recoba 4 months ago

      Cute Khloe 20/1 Skybet till back of 6pm?

  24. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Bent ride on shallow river 😂

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