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If The Busy Fool didn't make a pig's ear of the second last hurdle he would've won his race and he drifted out to 10/1 as well. Law Of Supply was a bit too keen in the early stages of his race, jumped very nicely and we'll get our money back on him in the future. Broomfield Present jumped in patches, but it was at its worst at the end of the race and that cost him his chance of winning. Similar to the other Kim Bailey horse, he'll be a tip on this thread in the future and we'll be getting our money back, even though we didn't lose anything on him as he was placed.

Kelso 1:05 – Butler's Brief 15/2 (0.5pt EW SkyBet 4pl)

With all the good racing we have on Saturday it seems a little strange having a selection at Kelso, but I think I might've found something worth having a small bet on.

Butler's Brief is Alastair Ralph's first runner at Kelso, ever. Ralph has been training since the 2011/12 season and he has never had a runner at this Scottish border track, which is surprising, but he isn't one for sending his horses to the northern parts of the UK and into Scotland, he tends to keep his horses at more local tracks, so the fact he is sending this horse all the way up to Kelso could be a tip in itself.

Nick Schofield goes up for the ride on Butler's Brief and goes up for two rides in total. This horse is definitely the main reason to be travelling to Kelso as the other is on a spare for a trainer he has never ridden for before, whereas he has been a regular rider for Butler's Brief.

bet365

This horse is best suited on soft ground, which he'll get today. His recent run was a decent effort considering it was on much quicker than ideal ground and I believe you can forgive his form from his win in July to now as the ground wasn't ideal and he had a try over fences.

Newcastle 2:05 – Sense Of Duty 5/2 (2pt, put up early on Friday morning)

I put this horse up early on Friday morning as I thought the price would be gone by the time Saturday's selections went live, so I thought it was for everyone's best interest to get the best price on Sense Of Duty.

Now I've put her up very early as I don't think she'll drift at all, she'll end up drifting. In all seriousness, if she's back to the level of her 2022 campaign, she should be running away with this race, as she is a very talented horse on her day and her form from her Newcastle win over 6f in April 2022 is head and shoulders above this field. She recorded an RPR of 116 that day at Newcastle and the form of that race has worked out nicely since, especially with Annaf who was the runner-up that day. Annaf has since been placed at Group 1 level and has won many races, and if he was to turn up to this race he'd be the favourite, so, in theory, Sense Of Duty should be a fair bit shorter than the 5/2 on offer early Friday morning.

She wasn't seen for over a year, clearly having complications, but she returned at Newbury when finishing 3rd on testing ground, it was a nice pipe opener for her and I can't imagine soft ground is what she wants, hence why I think you can overlook her last run on Champions Day as that was testing ground too.

Aintree 1:35 – Imperial Merlin 3/1 (2pt)

I'm not a big fan of betting in the Pertemps Qualifying races as you only need to be placed in the top 4 (I think) to qualify for the final race at Cheltenham, so you often get horses doing the bare minimum and not really wanting to win. However, Imperial Merlin still looks like a horse who is on the up over staying trips and can add another win to his already good record.

He has always looked like a horse with plenty of ability, he did his fair share of winning/running in novice races last year which saw him win when carrying a penalty and he did well when trying to defy a double penalty but was beaten by a Lucinda Russell newcomer who looked like a nice horse for the future, and that same horse makes his chase debut today. This horse fell dropped back down to 2m 3f, he was pitching with a decent chance but probably would've struggled, but was in the midst of making a decent race of it. On his final start on his first attempt over 3m he won and beat some decent handicappers, and from that performance, I thought there was still a fair bit to come from him before the handicapper catches up to him.

Wincanton 2:25 – Forward Plan 25/1 (0.5pt EW PaddyPower 4pl)

I'm hoping the ground isn't going to be too testing, as the current description is soft and good to soft in places with no further rain expected to land at Wincanton, so based on that I'll take a chance on Forward Plan.

Anthony Honeyball sends three for this race, so he's not messing around and will like to come away with something to show for it and I think his best chance in this is Forward Plan. I wouldn't read into Rex Dingle riding Gustavian as Forward Plan is normally ridden by Ben Harvey and it's vital that Ben remains in the saddle for this ride as he claims 3lb which is a big help considering this horse is 7lb out of the handicap. Sending a horse into a race out of the handicap isn't ideal, but I think it shows the belief that Anthony has in this horse and I can see why.

This horse made good strides as a chaser last season, winning over 3m and 3m 2f, albeit in a lesser grade, but when he was up in grade at Ayr at their spring festival I thought he ran a nice race, especially with how the race unfolded. The winner that day got an uncontested lead and scooted many lengths clear, so it was always going to be a tough task to catch him, especially when he was as well handicapped as he was that day. I thought his run at Kelso over 3m 2f was a decent effort as well, he didn't quite stay the trip on testing ground that day, but Kelso is a demanding track on a horse's stamina and he ran with credit again, and the form of that race has worked out quite well since.

Anthony has come out and said that this has been the target for this horse, obviously many of these would have been targetted it, but he's running off bottom weight and they could've gone for another target where he wasn't running from out of the handicap, so he gets the vote.

Horse Racing Tips
Butler's Brief
Kelso - 1:05 pm

15/2 @ The Pools

Sense Of Duty
Newcastle - 2:05 pm

5/2 (put up early Friday) @ Bet365

Imperial Merlin
Aintree - 1:35 pm

3/1 @ Bet365

Forward Plan
Wincanton - 2:25 pm

25/1 @ PaddyPower

56 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    3:20 aintree – millers bank 7/2 no N words jusy pussy pops when it wins 😂

    1
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      1:58 gowran park – touch me not 9/4

      1
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      2:40 Newcastle- lions house 7/2

      3
  2. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    I’ll chuck Rizzels sense of duty in for a unlucky Saturday piss pot 15 may god have mercy on your soul !

    1
  3. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    3:45 Newcastle- chullingham 7/1 e/w🤢

    1
  4. Mrworldwide 3 months ago

    2:50 – Flemington Springtime Stakes

    Snapback 7/1 eachway

    Looked to be coming back to form last time out when finishing 2nd gets Melbourne cup winning jockey in the saddle this time around even if you take place bet should get good value in this race

    4:50 – flemington Darley Champions Sprint

    IMPERATRIZ

    All eyes will be on this as it looks immortal if it ables straight track be back there to go 5/5

    Front Page 28/1 eachway

    Not saying this will win but last win was impressive will appreciate the speed here in with a soild chance

    5:30 – Flemington Kennedy Champions Mile

    FAN GIRL could scream her way down this field in style if she gets a good draw and soft lead she will be hard to get pass for sure

    06:10 – flemington TAB Champions Stakes

    Weather may have a big say on this if the storm was a shock not to see DUAIS not Have a target on Melbourne cup day as he runs at that course with full respect of condition go his way on the run up to this with yard keeping him fresh wont be a sure to see him back there likes of Alligator blood mr brightside may be none runners in this as they do have other big targets set for this across the world this campaign so they’ll certainly be planning the path out in a ordinarily fashion so they dont over run them abd give them the perfect preparation for there main targets

    5:50 – Rosehill FIVE DIAMONDS

    DETONATORS JACK 14/1 EACHWAY

    Was an excellent 2nd on preview outing in the Royal Randwick – FIVE DIAMONDS PRELUDE on the run up to this finding the line strongly looks to have the perfect preparation for this with yard bang in form firing winners in and detonators jack looking well in recent track work I’d be expecting him to have a big say in this on Saturday

    5:46 – Geelong Ballan Cup

    CRACKERJACK PRINCE

    Good win last time out come in this in top form at top weight shouldn’t be enough to stop him going in again worth favorite

    2
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      Did you win ?

  5. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    6:30 Chelmsford- fiddlers green 7/1 – sounds about right !

    1
  6. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    11:35 durbanville infared 9/2 ⚰️

    2
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      Hopefully a sign of the day ahead but doubt it 😂

  7. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    1:35 aintree- gentlemen at arm 15/2

    4
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      Cha ching Pussy pops ! 🤢

      1
    • azzthewigan 3 months ago

      well done dazzman 1979

      1
  8. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    josh the boss 12.45 nap

    9
    • azzthewigan 3 months ago

      12.25 soz

      6
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      Nice 👌 favourites scare the shit out of me hope Rizzels sense of duty wins but just get that horrible feeling it’s a muggy bet but hopefully not as I got it now in my accumulator now 😂

      1
    • azzthewigan 3 months ago

      cheers dazzman 1979

      1
  9. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    jarco 10 .55 France well done all winners yesterday

    5
  10. Gidza32 3 months ago

    2.20 Minella Indo 11/2
    4.10 Horaces 8/1
    1.35 I will do it 7/1

    Auetelli

    1.50 Funberry 10/3

    1
  11. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Grrr Kerry hill !! Was going to do that as well !! Haha we all say that I know !

    1
  12. Gidza32 3 months ago

    4.10 Windsurfer from 33’s to 8/1

    1
  13. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    local dynasty 3.45 nb

    2
  14. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    paddy the horse 12.30 ew

    2
  15. elvis parsley 3 months ago

    Kaadam 1-15 auteuil 🇫🇷
    EVENS.
    Poor price but doubling your dough can’t be a bar thing.
    Promising horse this, should be contesting top races in frog this season
    ——————————————————————–
    Return fire 1-40 kelso 7-2
    Gesskille 2-45 aintree 7-2
    Brewinupastorm 3-20 aintree 3-1
    All these 3 have ran their best races this time of year, have course form and have ran well in these corresponding races in previous years.

    2
    • elvis parsley 3 months ago

      Wincanton
      1-50 Givega
      5-2 top 2 finish
      10-11 top 3 finish
      20-80 stake
      If he gets round (dodgy jumper) he should place behind knappers hill on chase debut.

      2-25 threeunderthroughfive
      4-1 win
      EVENS top 3 finish
      20-80 stake
      Dodgy looking form figures but it’s Paul Nicholls and he’s usually among the winners on Saturdays.
      Also this horse is 4/4 running right handed which is relevant today.

      1
  16. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Smashed it with butlers brief Rizzel . That’s a excellent bit of tipping how you spotted that one out

    5
    • Rizzel Tips 3 months ago

      Hope you got on the drift this morning. Shame really that I’ve got to put them up the night before, but I went in again at 18s this morning.

      4
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      Very impressive. Fingers crossed for the others but you know what it’s like you get the big one then nothing to go with it but hopefully not as a reward to yourself if anything

      1
    • Jayell61 3 months ago

      Well done Rizzle. Unfortunate that I am only seeing it now

  17. airwalk1973 3 months ago

    I rarely comment, more if a reader than debater. But absolutely have to commend the Butlers Brief tip and write up, excellent spot. 14/1 Winner to start my day is much appreciated. 👌

    3
  18. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    well done rizzel awesome cheers what a drift

    1
  19. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Gentlemen at arms 😂

    1
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      To be honest I thought that one was quite obvious especially today

    • Gateacre Pete 3 months ago

      Well done dazzman. Picked this on out myself this morning as I was a Aintree today. Thought it had a great chance. Only winner but it paid for the day. 👍

  20. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Mug bet just as I thought 😂

  21. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Never doing a muggy fav again even if you win what do you actually gain compared to the risk involved and how often time and time again they lose even if the horse is good enough the jockeys soon put a stop to that 😂

    1
  22. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Lions house ! 😂

    2
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      Not a bad day after all in the end

      1
  23. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Also did my opinion at 8:30 tonight hopefully billy boy will come good !

    2
  24. spurs55 3 months ago

    Checkmeout @ 18/1SP

    Win – 17.00 Chelmsford City – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    4
    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      Qatar moon is winning this old bean ! 😊

    • dazzman1979 3 months ago

      Jesus we don’t stand a chance ! 😂

      1
    • spurs55 3 months ago

      good old billy

      perhaps he will win that last race as well for you dazzman??

      at least skybet placed my selection.paid on 18-1 as well

      on we go

    • spurs55 3 months ago

      we never did dazzman!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  25. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Big Dee kicking myself over that one ! Had it shortlisted last night as well ! Fell victim to believing the fake markets again when will I learn 😂

  26. dazzman1979 3 months ago

    Been told to nap le rouge chinois 7:00 Chelmsford 9/2 I said I don’t use the N word anymore 😂

    1
  27. spurs55 3 months ago

    Our Papa Smurf
    12/1
    17:30 Chelmsford City – 1m2f Nursery

    1
  28. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    makuri 5.30.well done all winners today

    4
  29. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    carnival day 6.00.ew

    4
  30. azzthewigan 3 months ago

    different tone 7.00

    4
  31. spurs55 3 months ago

    Align The Stars @ 15/2SP

    Win – 18.00 Chelmsford City

    1
  32. recoba 3 months ago

    🇺🇸

    Churchill – Race 4…Little Prankster 6/5 ****+ Skybet boost
    Race 10…Sirge Of Boston 6/1 *** (or Top 3 finish 15/8 and 7/2 Top 2 Skybet for safer option in multiples etc).
    *Side bet combo tricast 11-4-7
    Race 11…Enegmatic 13/2. **** (agains can take to place)
    *Side Bet combo forecast/tricast 1-2-3.#Easy as A B C
    Aquaduct -Race 9….Soldier Rising 9/4 **** Skybet
    Tipped this last 2 times and more and it couldn’t been more unlucky last run
    Del Mar -Race 7…Dolce Zel 11/4 *****
    * Side bet Combo forecast/tricast = 5-4-1

    Betfred are doing cash back if horse finishes 2nd or 3rd Churchill Downs Race 5 and Race 6.
    £10 max bet but of course tough races made harder with fields a bit decimated with non runners but worth a play
    Churchill Downs – Race 5 …Tammy Lynn EVS **** was 2/1 so value bet br Twirl Around at 4/1
    Race 6….Augusta Red 5/2 ***

    GL all and well done winners the winners today 👌 ✅

    🫡 🇺🇸 👨‍⚖️

    1
    • recoba 3 months ago

      Churchill Race 6… No :7 Superhero at 11/2 is worth a mention for first time starter trainer/jockey combination 50% last 21 days with 3/6 wins and twice in the money so with the non runners you have 90% chance getting your money back as a free bet? 10% chance will come through tonight no doubt! Lol

      No: 3 is much same in Race 5 at Churchill Downs but 25/1 for a reason.

      1
  33. ew thief 3 months ago

    If cliffs of Capri gets beat today am slashing up😂😂

    1
    • spurs55 3 months ago

      Hoping it does ewt
      Hate the sight of blood 🙏

  34. spurs55 3 months ago

    How’s about tables turned in the last

    Seen Josephine do it before 🤷‍♂️🤷‍♂️

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