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Gale Force Maya did what I expected her to do yesterday, and that was to win like she was the best horse in the race. The only way she was getting beat yesterday was if she wasn't fit or fully recovered from her previous race, but as I mentioned, I don't think she would've raced if that was the case.

Newbury 1:40

This race was formerly known as an Arc Trial, but in recent years that title has been removed, and probably for the best as it's not an ideal race prep for it these days. However, it still remains to be a good race to win and today's renewal is a great renewal, full of horses who could win this and it looks competitive.

The Godolphin trainers have combined and chucked a few darts at winning this, and you'd have to say they hold the best chances of a win. Saeed Bin Suroor sends one in the shape of Dubai Future, who will be carrying the first colours of the owner but I think his win the time before last time out at Ascot makes him look better than what he actually might be. He won that in great style, but that came as a shock as he won at odds of 20/1. Last time out he ran an okay race to finish 3rd/5 at York in a Group 2, but on the back of that Listed win, you have expected more. Personally, I think this race is between Charlie Appleby's runners in Siskany and KEMARI. I've decided to go with the latter.

I can understand why people will think that Siskany is the one to be on if you're going for an Appleby runner as Adam Kirby takes the ride, who is used as a frequent rider for the yard when the main two guys (Buick & Doyle) aren't available, but I am concerned about the time off the track for that horse. The form of Kemari has been well documented with Rebel's Romance going on to win Group 1 honours in Germany on his most recent start. He has beat Kemari the last two times they've raced against each other, with the last time being much closer as Kemari got an uncontested lead at Goodwood, but couldn't go on with the winner in the final furlong. This is a furlong shorter, so should suit him and even though I doubt they'll get an easy lead like last time, I think the fact he'll sit close to the pace will be an advantage.

The odds at the time of writing at all over the place, you can get between 4/1 and 6/1 depending on who you bet with. I'd advise going EW with him, unless the odds aren't worthy of that, but I can see him drifting out slightly if the money for Siskany is strong, which looks to be the case.

Newbury 2:15

I am going to be giving MITBAAHY one last chance at this level unless David Egan gets off him as I think he is extremely overrated and has given this horse a number of rubbish rides. Despite the fact Egan is on board, I think he is worth another try as he hasn't had the breaks of showing what his real ability is in the last couple of attempts.

He won nicely at Hamilton and Sandown over the minimum trip, suggesting a stiff 5f is what his ideal conditions are, which might be the case, but I think a race run at a real tempo is what this horse wants. Something that allows him to track a horse into the race and use his good cruising speed and then hit stamina kicks in in the final furlong.

For this race, I am praying that he gets a clear run, that way I know whether my instinct is wrong or right about him being better than what we've seen. Based on his runner-up finish at Sandown in a Group 3 behind Raasel I think there is definitely more to come from this horse. I think due to his under-par run last time out (given a strange ride) people are forgetting about him and are opting for the horses who are deemed to be in ‘better form'. I think he offers good EW value.

Ayr 1:55

A horse who is priced up on the short side is PHANTOM FLIGHT, but there are reasons why he is the hot favourite for this race. He has some classy form when you consider he was behind New London at Newmarket in July, where that race didn't exactly go to plan with him being blocked off on a couple of occasions. New London went on to finish second in the St Leger last week, so that goes to show the level of form.

Since then, Phantom Flight went to York in a Class 2 handicap where he obliterated that field and made a mockery of his handicap mark of 98, winning by 5L and producing an RPR of 115. He showed that he was a group horse in waiting, and no one had a chance that day last time out as he was so well handicapped.

Today's race is a different kettle of fish as he moves into Class 1 company for the first time, so his 10lb rise in the weights doesn't mean anything as they'll be on equal weights, other than the age allowances. So now we'll find out how good he really is. I don't think this race is that great, so if he is the level of horse which I think he is, he should be dealing with the older horses who are exposed and have shown what they're capable of. I can see Phantom Flight having to work hard to get into top gear, but once he hits that, he will pull away and win by a couple of lengths.

Horse Racing Tips
Kemari
Newbury - 1:40 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

Mitbaahy
Newbury - 2:15 pm

7/1 @ Bet365

Phantom Flight
Ayr - 3:55 pm

5/4 @ Bet365

35 Comments
  1. recoba 2 years ago

    🇺🇸 USA was 2x second places so about as much use as ti!s on a fish..

    🇬🇧 Yankee and a single…

    1.40…Kemari 11/2
    2.50…Shouldvebeenaring. 5/2
    3.05..Queen Me 6/4
    3.40…Warren Point 7/2(**)

    GL all

    1
    • recoba 2 years ago

      Well done the winners yesterday.
      Had Rizxle,Naz,Azz,Elvis and even Oor Dazzman picks last 3/4 days doing me a turn.
      Only small singles but certainly helps!

      Big night ‘Stateside’ tomorrow and 6 on my tracker with 3/4 a probable play but no prices yet even Bet365. It’s been a constant with horses I’ve marked heading to or trying to get to ‘The Breeders Cup’ and the meetings round about then much like getting to ‘Royal Ascot’ or something?

      Ps: Poor poor show by Baeeds reps etc!
      Absolutely pathetic UK racing at times,It’ll go run at 1/3 or 1/5 and oi$$ it then sit in a field wasted

      1
    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      I got everything on you today red eyes so make it a good un !

    • recoba 2 years ago

      Ok Moosh! 😉

      I do try but zilch,zero,nada and nae promises!

    • recoba 2 years ago

      If your not yanking me I hope your ‘Stateside’ if at all Dazzman the UK ain’t my best I’m sure you know. I try (I do try) and leave that to use. 👍

    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      Looks like you got a full house red eye ! Never mind happens to everyone!

    • recoba 2 years ago

      Crud mate!

      All about the US of A but! 🙏 😉

  2. recoba 2 years ago

    Hope Baeed ends up a Barney Roy boy at stud! 😂 💦 🛑

    • recoba 2 years ago

      Couple of $s Night Cap 🇺🇸

      Prairie Meadows-R3….One Fabulous Boy 3/1.
      Penn National -R8…Curlingtin 6/5.

      Double pays near 8/1. Bet365

      Onwards…

      3
  3. recoba 2 years ago

    Get your tips out MATTY2!! 🤩

    1
  4. Gateacre Pete 2 years ago

    Morning all. A bit of a minefield out there to say the least. But there’s some extra places on offer so I’ll go with an unlucky 15 on these today
    Oneforthegutter 3.25 New @ 16s
    Gis a sub 3.40 Ayr @ 25s
    Vairue 3.45 Nav @ 33s
    Roll it in glitter 4.15 Ayr @ 33s

    Just a mention for Tilsworth Jade 5.15 Catt.
    Could sneak into the top 6 at 50s ew extra
    Hopefully nothing gets pulled out
    GL with all your bets today

  5. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    phantom flight 1.55 queen me 3.05

    1
  6. nezhambo 2 years ago

    NEWBURY 4.35 EKLIL 9/1 E/W
    AYR 5.20 KIHAVAH 9/1 E/W
    100/1 E/W DOUBLE

    4
  7. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    motagly 3.40 ew well done all winners

  8. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    also ..jaun led pins 3.40 ew in the cavalry charge

    3
  9. recoba 2 years ago

    Had a big write up there and and copy and cut it so I could paste and it’s gone!! 😤

    Out with the dog so I’ll put these up as I don’t think prices will last imo.
    🇬🇧/ 🇮🇹 Appelby with Buick,Dettori head to Woodbine and ‘Belmont at The Big A’ with few short priced favourites and rightly so. Few cracking G1s on tonight

    Trixie and a single…

    Woodbine -R6…State Of Mind 3/1
    R8…Lady Soeightspere 3/1(**/Nap)
    R9..Modern Games. 11/10. Looks the best value from Appelby raiders

    Mysterious Nights and United Nations run (8/11 and 10/11) Woodbine and Toskana Belle with Dettori (5/2) on board v Mckulick (EVS) Belmont -R7 that’s a doozy of a race. 👀 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 👍

    GL

    1
    • recoba 2 years ago

      An an Ew Thief of a bet 😉

      Gulfstream -R9..Dropkick Queen 33/1. All these have more on bar Jellybean who drops in from s decent run in a Stakes race and he’ll need to improve but at s price it’s worth an Ew. Bet365 possibly do extra places?

      All prices Bet365. 👍

      An that’s the short version!! 😉

      1
  10. elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Longchamp 🇫🇷
    12-58 sylphid 100-30 bet365
    and top 5 place 11-8 HILLS

    13-33 Victoria road 13-8 HILLS

    14-50 hoxton 13-8 HILLS

    5
    • elvis parsley 2 years ago

      Sylphid top 2 not top 5 obviously 🤣

      2
    • recoba 2 years ago

      Nice “fat thumbs!” I’ve just backed it 1/5 top 5!! 🤦

      GL

      1
    • recoba 2 years ago

      Lovely Elvis…had a few £s (3 of) on the win at 10/3

      Few Australian winners earlier and woke up to USA double up so rest of the days gravy!

    • elvis parsley 2 years ago

      Cheers fat thumbs 👍🤣
      If any of my other 2 win now be a Brucie bonus

      2
    • elvis parsley 2 years ago

      Good old Ryan Moore (dazzman’s favourite horse driver) wins on Victoria road 👍🏇

      4
  11. recoba 2 years ago

    Magnifíque Peppy! 👏

    Got your 2 and some guy Làurent Barbera first two..,one your on in a 30 p Yankee!
    Surely not?

    “That’s all folks “ 👋 👀

    GL rest of the day

    1
  12. Rizzel Tips 2 years ago

    Apologies for the two first ones, they were crap.

    Mitbaahy winning definitely makes up for the losers though.

    3
  13. elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Hoxton wins for a rare full house for me 😆
    4 bets won 🇫🇷

    3
    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      Well done 👏 💰👍

      1
  14. dazzman1979 2 years ago

    That rubbish David Egan did well today 😂

    1
    • recoba 2 years ago

      Off the naughty list?

  15. elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Recoba
    What was leg 4 of your Yankee ?
    Think 1st 3 won if my recoba language translator is working ?

    1
    • recoba 2 years ago

      HaHa …yeah I miss out words at times texting and stuff and probably no different on here Elvis.
      It pains me!
      It was Jupyra mate and I missed the race but it was nowhere and I hope(kinda) Láurents other Marguerite Girl doesn’t win it was between the 2.

      3/4 in Yankee and a single paid £38 for £6.30 so “mustn’t grumble “ 👍

      Well done with rare full house…I’m sure you said that the last time!! 😉

  16. ew thief 2 years ago

    Fair Mac think am late 👍

  17. recoba 2 years ago

    🇺🇸/ 🇨🇦
    2x singles and a wee double (£8 spent) for …

    Woodbine-R1..Tara Luna. 7:4
    R3..Tiur of Duty 4/1.

    See if we can get off to a flier.

    Apologies only 10 mins till the Woodbine off but fancy Tour Of Duty more IF that helps.

  18. dazzman1979 2 years ago

    From now on I’m just betting 10p a day 😂

    • elvis parsley 2 years ago

      That’s double your normal stake 💰💰

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