This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.

State Of Bliss didn't get the ride I was hoping for, as the lead was still there for the taking in my opinion. Either way, I don't think it would've made a difference as he was convincingly beaten. Today I've gone for a couple of selection in Ireland on the first day of their Champions Weekend.

Leopardstown 12:40

Lullaby will more than likely go off favourite for this race, due to being trained by Aidan O'Brien. I think she will be a talented filly, but based on the one run to date, I think I'd rather swerve her, as more than likely she will be far too short. One interesting thing about her is the fact that Aidan chucked her straight into the deep end; she made her debut in a Group 3, where she finished 4th. As for the rest of the field, I think it will be between Corvigilia & LIMITI DI GRECCIO.

I have decided to side with the Paddy Twomey trained filly, as I think she was positioned poorly when she was 2nd behind Corviglia when the pair met at Leopardstown in July. Corviglia made the running that day, and this track does often suit a front runner, as it can be difficult to come wide around the bend and make up the ground on the horses who race prominently. That was the case for Limiti De Greccio. She didn't exactly race wide, but she was towards the rear/midfield, and when she hit top gear in the straight she made up a lot of eye-catching ground on the winner. There is a strong possibility the same will happen again, but this time I'm hoping Billy Lee can make use of her quick start. When the pair met in July, the selection broke well, but was then restrained. Hopefully this time, she breaks well and Billy settles her behind the leaders. She has a wide stall and although that can be a negative, if she breaks well she should be able to stay wide and find a nice position.

It is interesting that Paddy Twomey bought this filly, as in a recent article from the Racing Post, he said he prefers to train Fillies than Colts or Geldings, and a noticeable quote was “I like to train quality over quantity”. Though it's hard to say what level this filly will peak at, I think she is a Class 1 filly, and now being trained by Twomey she could improve again. Paddy has the best SR for runners in the entire country of Ireland, currently operating at 29%. He is also 3/8 with 2yo's at this track.

There is forecast rain at Leopardstown, so there is a chance of getting at least Good-to-Yielding ground, and that appears to be not ideal for Corviglia who has been withdrawn on soft ground before.

Leopardstown 2:10

I am surprised to see FEV ROVER being backed in at the start of the market opening, and when I thought she looked good for this race, I was thinking she would be double figure odds, but that's not the case. She opened up at around 12s and has been nibbled into 9s, whether that'll drift out or not, I'm not sure. However, I will still be playing despite the fact I was hoping for bigger odds.

Her last two starts have been quite disappointing as a whole, as I think a lot of people were expecting a big season from the horse, who looked talented as a juvenile. She was a Group 2 winner at a 2yo, but things haven't really gone to plan this year. She started the season off really well, with a promising 3rd placed finish in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket, behind Mother Earth. Since then she was poor at the Curragh, and the same again at Ascot. My theory behind those two poor runs was the bottomless ground. That might sound ridiculous as she won on Very Soft ground at Deauville when she won her Group 2. The problem is, I think she handles soft ground, but she might prefer faster. Last year she probably got away with soft conditions as it put an emphasis on her stamina over shorter trips, as well as horses not taking to the conditions. Her best run this year was at Newmarket when the ground was rattling fast. Today the ground won't be lightning quick, but it also shouldn't be bottomless, and I think that will help.

Richard Fahey won this race back in 2019 with Space Traveller, who was also rode by Billy Lee, who takes the ride on Fev Rover. Connections must clearly think she is capable at this level, as this is a very competitive Group 2 and there will be easier chances elsewhere, perhaps on foreign soil.

3yo's have a decent record in this race, winning 4 of the last 7 renewals. Also, 5 of the 7 wins have been won by English raiders.

16:00 Epsom Downs - Race: 7
Distance: 7f 3y
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
4
Epsom Faithfull
363211

1
Marlay Park
523621

9
Alezan
424422

3
Sadiqaa
73-8731

5
George Morland
128663

6
Gosnay Gold
525412

2
Sir Oliver
931531

7
Otago
351166

8
Desert Land
170466

16:10 Curragh - Race: 8
Distance: 1m
Type: Flat
Class:
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
4
Epsom Faithfull
363211

1
Marlay Park
523621

9
Alezan
424422

3
Sadiqaa
73-8731

5
George Morland
128663

6
Gosnay Gold
525412

2
Sir Oliver
931531

7
Otago
351166

8
Desert Land
170466

16:20 Ffos Las - Race: 7
Distance: 5f
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
1
Handytalk
226513

5
The Daley Express
245234

10
I'm Watching You
330542

6
Mister Bluebird
152563

3
Holbache
217314

4
Secretfact
13-5527

11
Edge Of The Bay
2524-48

2
Spurofthemoment
463565

8
Brandy Station
421145

7
Symbol of Hope
356189

9
Red Walls
652240

33 Comments
  1. Sore point 2 weeks ago

    Musselburgh 6.50 FAVOURITE NEICE . 7/1 widely available Each/Way

    8
    • Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

      I put it in with wadacre gogo,,your kindness,,,maysong all lingfield gl

  2. spursman 2 weeks ago

    Small w/o L15
    3.20 Bath Atyaaf
    4.55 Muss Kaleidoscope
    6.15 Muss Avior Star
    6.50 Muss Iron Sheriff

    🙂

    1
  3. spursman 2 weeks ago

    Small E/W L15
    1.40 Leop Champers Elysees
    2.10 Leop Fev Rover
    2.00 Chest Throne Hall
    4.35 Muss Texas Man

    🙂

    1
  4. nezhambo 2 weeks ago

    DONCASTER 1.45COOPER KNIGHT 5 PLACES 12/1 MAX E/W
    DONCASTER 3.35 THE MEDITERRANEAN 16/1 MAX E/W
    ALSO MAX E/W DOUBLE

    7
  5. denningl 2 weeks ago

    Old favorite Mr Wagyu is racing today and I am hoping for a return to form following the break.

    1.45 Doncaster Mr Wagyu 12/1 6 places

    Got another tracker horse which is running today. Not sure this is her race as she has been better over the flat but for the places and odds on offer I will have a very small nibble.

    15.45 – Leopardstown Effernock Fizz 80/1 6 places (Paddy) – Might be worth looking at the e/w extra market on 365

    4
  6. elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    🇫🇷 OSMOSE 1-50 chantilly.
    3-1 win
    EVENS top 2 finish.
    @paddy power 🇫🇷
    ———————————
    DBAI 3-00 Doncaster
    8-1 bet365 ew extra 3 places.
    11-10 top 3 finish @betfair
    Hoping last run was a blip following a long break.
    Probably has to beat stablemate glorious journey to get near 3rd.
    ——————————–
    St leger
    High definition
    16-1 ew
    11-10 top 4 finish @betfair.

    Supplemented for this and dettori on are positive, it’s form since finishing just behind hurricane run in the Dante are negative
    Maybe it’s an autumn horse ?
    —————————————-

  7. Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

    Mthe first 4 early races corviglia maritme wings ,,fall of rome lordman,, won some nice money in use last again GL .Today

    • Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

      The ones am following tonight in the usa ,,kanta,,,,midnight choir,,special frorces,,,james bay,,,union colonel,,,frosted over,,,,take it easy,,,,,Melrose star,,,,souper hot,,,all woodbine,,olivia darling,,,,inside risk,,,purrs well,,,,amunet,,,all Delaware,,,,,guaco,,Bronx,,,,chess not checkers,,,lovely hussar,,,,unusual code,,,,,flashy too,,,spuntacular,,,captain ron,,,,blind eye,,,,,,,,all glufstream,,,,,special mission,,,meet miss kitty,,,,grinning ear to ear,,,all golden gates,,,

    • Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

      Sorry gulfstream and golden gates its other way round sorry

    • Deb2000 2 weeks ago

      Did you leave any horses out mate 😉

  8. elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    Money back from french nag (place only)

    DBAI was profitable.

    As for high definition 😆, they paid 50 grand to supplement this f.f.s, mind you 50 grand to them rich cnuts is probably 50 quid in relative terms to the man in the street.

    Well done posters today 👍.
    Just 6 months until Cheltenham 🏇

    2
    • Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

      Nice one el my pick were bad today but hopeing usa will save me ,,and who ever is on paddy powers theres a free 5er for Liverpool v leeds and a free 5er risk free beat on the American football not soccer

  9. Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

    Lol after last two lovely wining nights ,i have even more but there my best ones , have you any tips for us all never see you put any up ? Any for the uk raceing mate as my luck is out today

    1
    • Deb2000 2 weeks ago

      Had an anti post double Stradivarius evens & Hurricane lane 4/5 but no point putting them up at those prices.
      I don’t bet for fun

      1
    • elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      Fair point debs, but if you had a ton on at 4-5, that’s £80 profit in your wallet/account which is a good thing.
      Some have a hang up about posting odds on stuff but if it’s money being taken off the enemy all well and good.

      1
    • Deb2000 2 weeks ago

      Elvis TBH mate that’s why I didn’t post it am not interesting in arguing with clowns. You know the 1s that come out the woodwork AFTER a horse gets beat.
      I took a chance on Strad because the weather forecasts I was following were not predicting alot of rain Unless they got a heavy thunderstorm and on that fast ground they would have needed 50mil + for Trueshan to run so Strad was value to me at evens and even if Trueshan ran Strad would still have a decent chance. For me it was all about getting more money on Hurricane lane and it not coming out my bank lol as in my book he was as much a certainty as you can get in racing.
      Keep doing what your doing mate and bash the bookies 👌👌
      I was surprised with your High definition bet mate😉😉 hes very slow and been terribly over hyped by AOB he will be 1 of your sand donkeys next 🤣🤣

      1
    • elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      Thought the 50 grand supplement meant he had shown summat at home.
      Wot a waste of money 😆.
      Don’t see where they go with it now after a 3rd flop.
      Probably a prime example of a horse not progressing from age 2-3
      It’s all a game of espionage debs ☠️

      1
    • Deb2000 2 weeks ago

      Or maybe it was a sign he didn’t fancy any of his others to beat the Derby 2nd & 3rd.
      Let’s face it 50k to Coolmore is probably like a fiver to us 💰💰

  10. Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

    Well in rizzle lovely Double your having a great week you got me an ew bet up 2days ago and am waiting on one the other was doomed

  11. Deb2000 2 weeks ago

    Incredible days racing in France & Ireland tomorrow 🐎🐎🔥🔥
    2 early value bets for me against short priced favs.
    Long 1.33 Pretty Tiger 11/4
    Curr 4.05 Native Trail 4/1
    2 singles & a double for me 😁
    GL fokes

    1
    • Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

      Yeah am going start following you a bit more ,,my first yanke is spilt between dazze and rizzles then reboca gets a Yankee on there own as there tips are so good,, same as butterbean he gets his own,, then its Elvis and sore and ewthife there my place pot men,,so going to following you this week a bit more not much on ofcorse just 11p ew Yankes in all you cover everyone you like for 3pound and you end up with 10 12pound,,not much but when you follow the people that no what there talking about your sure to win a few pennys,, so am away to do yours thank, P’S always put your picks up as a 2,5 will mak my Yankee up

    • Deb2000 2 weeks ago

      Av nothing against what you do mate if that’s what makes you happy that’s what it’s all about 👍.
      We all bet different and different stakes.
      GL👍

      1
    • elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      Spot on debs 🏇

    • elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      Remember a guy called nenad here a couple of years ago who literally put up a horse for every race going .
      I thought it was strange but each to their own and if it don’t suit scroll on.
      After a while a few made comments and he vanished.
      Always wondered what happened to him along with many regulars.

      Duncan poundcake is one I miss, posted few tips but very accurate when he did.
      Thought DC would have been on this weekend with his Irish insight, another who knows his onions

    • dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

      Yeah I remember his Hawthorne cottage pick at 12/1 and I’m sure you can remember a good few others. . You can see the jockeys talking in the stalls before they go off wish I was a lip reader ha. Funny seeing Matt chap man whipping that mike away from the woman In the crowed earlier as she swore 😂😂

    • Thebigflu 2 weeks ago

      Sweet ill put them in with these 2 white jasmine 100chelmsford and lord of the glens 4’45 mussel

  12. dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

    6:15 Musselburgh – red sky delight 18/1 e/w

    • dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

      I was right to go high just picked the wrong one ha . What a difficult Saturday. Fair play if you had any winners . Rizzel was unlucky still a decent enough return if you did the e/w double with his picks . Think I might do the dogs on the weekends ha

      1
  13. dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

    Gonna try and get one for the team !

    Musselburgh 6:50

    Garnock valley 12/1 on the nose !

    • dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

      Some place out in Scotland !

  14. dazzman1979 2 weeks ago

    Might have to dig out my steps album to cheer me !

  15. alextosh 2 weeks ago

    where is recoba usa racing tips

Leave a reply

Get involved Today!

It take less than 60 seconds to sign-up for free and to join in the conversation immediately. Post your comments, enter competitions,get exclusive betting offers and access all our free betting tips without spending a penny.

GET STARTED FOR FREE

CONTACT US

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Sending

About MFT  |  Support  |  Contact Us  | 18+  Gamble Aware  |  Privacy Policy  | ©2021 12th Man Media Ltd.

All betting odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change.

Log in with your credentials

or    

Forgot your details?

Create Account